Interesting to note that what many thought was a two-horse race, all of a sudden opens up when the favourite is scratched.
Shamoline Warrior is out, and the other fancy Rockferry is steady at $5 or so.
But according to the betting, Onemorenomore, Viking Legend and Monaco Consul have all come into contention. All three are at the $5-6 mark.
Extra Zero is on the next line of betting.
I still like Rockferry, but follow the betting.
Saturday, October 31, 2009
Friday, October 30, 2009
Roughie backed to win the Wakeful
This might be a decent tip for those who like value:
The Brian Smith trained Moncalieri has been backed at big odds to upset the applecart of Oaks favourites Run For Naara and Faint Perfume in Saturday’s Wakeful Stakes.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been solid backing for the daughter of Encosta De Lago.
“There’s been separate bets to win $60,000 and $20,000 on Moncalieri at $61 with little interest so far for either of the favourites,” said Sullivan.
“There’s plenty to say she can run a big race at big odds.”
2009 WAKEFUL STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Run For Naara 2.50
Faint Perfume 4.20
Melito 5.50
Jolie Brise 9.00
Silent Surround 11.00
Mont Fleuri 13.00
Formalite 23.00
Moncalieri 41.00
Savsbelle 51.00
Flotercher 201.00
The Brian Smith trained Moncalieri has been backed at big odds to upset the applecart of Oaks favourites Run For Naara and Faint Perfume in Saturday’s Wakeful Stakes.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been solid backing for the daughter of Encosta De Lago.
“There’s been separate bets to win $60,000 and $20,000 on Moncalieri at $61 with little interest so far for either of the favourites,” said Sullivan.
“There’s plenty to say she can run a big race at big odds.”
2009 WAKEFUL STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Run For Naara 2.50
Faint Perfume 4.20
Melito 5.50
Jolie Brise 9.00
Silent Surround 11.00
Mont Fleuri 13.00
Formalite 23.00
Moncalieri 41.00
Savsbelle 51.00
Flotercher 201.00
Punters support the Warrior in Victoria Derby
Here's the latest Victoria Derby market information from Sportingbet:
Punters are beginning to swarm for Derby favourite Shamoline Warrior with some huge bets struck on the Mark Kavanagh trained colt.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Shamoline Warrior had been a little soft until Thursday but punters have stepped into the $3.30 about him in a big way.
“One client has had $30,000 on him amongst a string of big bets placed in the last 24 hours,” Sullivan said.
“His win last start was outstanding and it is no surprise to see punters stepping in now.”
Sullivan said Rockferry remained his worst result after some big bets were placed on the Danny O’Brien trained colt at big odds in the pre post betting.
“Rockferry is still our worst result at the moment after we took some huge bets including one to win $400,000 at $26 some weeks ago,” Sullivan said.
“However, if the money keeps coming for the Shamoline Warrior like it has in the last 24 hours, they will be as nasty as each other.”
Punters are beginning to swarm for Derby favourite Shamoline Warrior with some huge bets struck on the Mark Kavanagh trained colt.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Shamoline Warrior had been a little soft until Thursday but punters have stepped into the $3.30 about him in a big way.
“One client has had $30,000 on him amongst a string of big bets placed in the last 24 hours,” Sullivan said.
“His win last start was outstanding and it is no surprise to see punters stepping in now.”
Sullivan said Rockferry remained his worst result after some big bets were placed on the Danny O’Brien trained colt at big odds in the pre post betting.
“Rockferry is still our worst result at the moment after we took some huge bets including one to win $400,000 at $26 some weeks ago,” Sullivan said.
“However, if the money keeps coming for the Shamoline Warrior like it has in the last 24 hours, they will be as nasty as each other.”
Efficient a gamble in Melbourne Cup
If you're keen to back Efficient in the Melbourne Cup, now seems to be the time to do it:
With 2007 Melbourne Cup winner Efficient still having to pass a vet examination before he is cleared to run on Tuesday, Sporting Australia CEO Michael Sullivan has pledged to refund any bets on him if he doesn’t line up for the Cup.
Sullivan said any bets up to $500 placed between 3.30pm on Thursday, when doubts over the horses arose and Saturday evening when the final field was declared would be refunded if he didn’t overcome the injury.
“Efficient has been posted as unlikely and normally at this stage there are no scratching refunds or deductions on other horses prices if a horse is withdrawn but I think in this case refunding punters money is the right thing to do,” Sullivan said.
“There are some doubts over the horse and many punters like to get their Cup bets on early so we are just providing them with the assurance they won’t do their money if he is ruled out.
“Obviously all bets on any scratched runner are refunded once the final field is declared but that is not until Saturday night.”
Effiecient blew from $6.00 to 8.50 at Sportingbet Australia yesterday as punters rushed to back other contenders.
“Punters put big money down yesterday on Viewed and Alcopop who are now $5.50 joint favourites while there was also strong support for Roman Emperor who shortened from $12 to $8.50,” Sullivan said.
“If all is well with Efficient though, punters are now getting great value about a former winner, who is in great form and obviously proven at the two miles.”
2009 MELBOURNE CUP
Viewed 5.50
Alcopop 5.50
Roman Emperor 8.50
Efficient (unlikely) 8.50
Vigor 14.00
Daffodil 15.00
Zipping 16.00
Master Oreilly 17.00
Changingoftheguard 18.00
Mourilyan 23.00
Kirklees 23.00
Leica Ding 23.00
Warringah 26.00
Allez Wonder 26.00
Cest La Guerre 31.00
Shocking 31.00
Capecover 41.00
Munsef 51.00
Fiumicino 51.00
Kibbutz 51.00
Cima De Triomphe 61.00
Basaltico 61.00
Dandaad 61.00
Crime Scene 61.00
Hume 61.00
Others 81.00 Plus
With 2007 Melbourne Cup winner Efficient still having to pass a vet examination before he is cleared to run on Tuesday, Sporting Australia CEO Michael Sullivan has pledged to refund any bets on him if he doesn’t line up for the Cup.
Sullivan said any bets up to $500 placed between 3.30pm on Thursday, when doubts over the horses arose and Saturday evening when the final field was declared would be refunded if he didn’t overcome the injury.
“Efficient has been posted as unlikely and normally at this stage there are no scratching refunds or deductions on other horses prices if a horse is withdrawn but I think in this case refunding punters money is the right thing to do,” Sullivan said.
“There are some doubts over the horse and many punters like to get their Cup bets on early so we are just providing them with the assurance they won’t do their money if he is ruled out.
“Obviously all bets on any scratched runner are refunded once the final field is declared but that is not until Saturday night.”
Effiecient blew from $6.00 to 8.50 at Sportingbet Australia yesterday as punters rushed to back other contenders.
“Punters put big money down yesterday on Viewed and Alcopop who are now $5.50 joint favourites while there was also strong support for Roman Emperor who shortened from $12 to $8.50,” Sullivan said.
“If all is well with Efficient though, punters are now getting great value about a former winner, who is in great form and obviously proven at the two miles.”
2009 MELBOURNE CUP
Viewed 5.50
Alcopop 5.50
Roman Emperor 8.50
Efficient (unlikely) 8.50
Vigor 14.00
Daffodil 15.00
Zipping 16.00
Master Oreilly 17.00
Changingoftheguard 18.00
Mourilyan 23.00
Kirklees 23.00
Leica Ding 23.00
Warringah 26.00
Allez Wonder 26.00
Cest La Guerre 31.00
Shocking 31.00
Capecover 41.00
Munsef 51.00
Fiumicino 51.00
Kibbutz 51.00
Cima De Triomphe 61.00
Basaltico 61.00
Dandaad 61.00
Crime Scene 61.00
Hume 61.00
Others 81.00 Plus
Early Flemington race tips from Mark Read
Here's some tips from Mark Read for tomorrow's card:
This years Derby shapes up to be a cracker, says IASbet.com's Mark Read.
Shamoline Warrior ($3.20) has drawn wide in barrier nine, however hell likely take a sit just behind the main group and shouldnt be disadvantaged from there, said Read.
He's been very impressive in his past two runs and deserves his outright favouritism.
Rockferry ($5) was an absolute moral beaten in the Geelong Classic and could provide punters plenty of value.
He will relish the big track and I think he may show us what hes made of. Ill be on Rockferry with a saver on Shamoline Warrior.Looking to the other Group 1 races, I expect Demerit ($7) to give Irish Lights ($6) a run for her money in the Coolmore.
When the field splits, I expect these two to beat their respective groups home, with Irish Lights on the inside from barrier 1 and Demerit hitting the grandstand rail from barrier 10.
It will just depend on which group is fastest!Rangirangdoo ($3.50) destroyed his rivals in the Crystal Mile, and I think hell do the same against a crack field in the Mackinnon Stakes.
He'll get a nice sit from barrier 4 and I can see Corey Brown unleashing him with about 400m to go and swamping the front-runners.
Quite a few runners in this fine-tuning for Tuesday's Melbourne Cup and it will be an interesting race.
Typhoon Tracy ($2.10) is far superior against her own sex, though has drawn poorly (barrier 13) in the Myer Classic.
Lady Lynette ($15) provides excellent value based on her last run at the Valley and is a solid each way chance.
This years Derby shapes up to be a cracker, says IASbet.com's Mark Read.
Shamoline Warrior ($3.20) has drawn wide in barrier nine, however hell likely take a sit just behind the main group and shouldnt be disadvantaged from there, said Read.
He's been very impressive in his past two runs and deserves his outright favouritism.
Rockferry ($5) was an absolute moral beaten in the Geelong Classic and could provide punters plenty of value.
He will relish the big track and I think he may show us what hes made of. Ill be on Rockferry with a saver on Shamoline Warrior.Looking to the other Group 1 races, I expect Demerit ($7) to give Irish Lights ($6) a run for her money in the Coolmore.
When the field splits, I expect these two to beat their respective groups home, with Irish Lights on the inside from barrier 1 and Demerit hitting the grandstand rail from barrier 10.
It will just depend on which group is fastest!Rangirangdoo ($3.50) destroyed his rivals in the Crystal Mile, and I think hell do the same against a crack field in the Mackinnon Stakes.
He'll get a nice sit from barrier 4 and I can see Corey Brown unleashing him with about 400m to go and swamping the front-runners.
Quite a few runners in this fine-tuning for Tuesday's Melbourne Cup and it will be an interesting race.
Typhoon Tracy ($2.10) is far superior against her own sex, though has drawn poorly (barrier 13) in the Myer Classic.
Lady Lynette ($15) provides excellent value based on her last run at the Valley and is a solid each way chance.
Thursday, October 29, 2009
Good offer for Melbourne Cup
Sportsbet is offering one of the better deals I've seen for the Melbourne Cup. You'd be hard-pressed finding a similar offer from the TAB.
Sportsbet.com.au is offering punters their money back if Cups King Bart Cummings claims his 13th Melbourne Cup on Tuesday.
If your horse finishes second to a Bart Cummings trained horse, Sportsbet.com.au will refund your stake to a maximum of $100.
“With the Caulfield Cup and the Cox Plate already in Bart’s trophy cabinet, the others in this year’s Cup could well be fighting for second place,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“As such, we’re offering punters their money back if their horse finishes second to a Bart Cummings trained horse.
“At the moment Bart has three runners with good chances (Viewed $6.50, Roman Emperor $10, Allez Wonder $34) and the special will remain if he manages to get Dandaad or Naval Escort into the Cup field via the Lexus Stakes.”
Sportsbet.com.au is offering punters their money back if Cups King Bart Cummings claims his 13th Melbourne Cup on Tuesday.
If your horse finishes second to a Bart Cummings trained horse, Sportsbet.com.au will refund your stake to a maximum of $100.
“With the Caulfield Cup and the Cox Plate already in Bart’s trophy cabinet, the others in this year’s Cup could well be fighting for second place,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“As such, we’re offering punters their money back if their horse finishes second to a Bart Cummings trained horse.
“At the moment Bart has three runners with good chances (Viewed $6.50, Roman Emperor $10, Allez Wonder $34) and the special will remain if he manages to get Dandaad or Naval Escort into the Cup field via the Lexus Stakes.”
Two-horse race in Victoria Derby
Seems there are some big bets going down for Rockferry in the Victoria Derby, but Shamoline Warrior has not been forgotten.
Here's the latest from Sportsbet:
“We’ve taken a large amount of bets since the barrier draw,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane, “yet from speaking to some of the big punters, they’re waiting to see how the track will rate after the first couple of races before getting stuck in.”
“In the Derby, second-favourite Rockferry is currently our single worst result. He was a sure thing beaten in the Geelong Classic and the extra trip and wide track should suit him to a tee.
“Shamoline Warrior has won his last two in dominant fashion and is a deserved favourite, but personally I think he’ll have to bring out his very best to hold out Rockferry.”
Big bets so far:
$10,000 multi bet to win $135K – Shamoline Warrior (Derby) into Run for Naara (Oaks)
$2,000 multi bet to win $200K – Shamoline Warrior (Derby), into Alcopop (Cup), into Run for Naara (Oaks)
$733 multi bet to win $100K – Monaco Consul (Derby), into Alcopop (Cup), into Run for Naara (Oaks)
$5,000 multi bet to win $85K – Run For Naara (Wakeful), into Shamoline Warrior (Derby), into First Command (Salinger)
$6,000 each way on Rockferry at $9
Here's the latest from Sportsbet:
“We’ve taken a large amount of bets since the barrier draw,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane, “yet from speaking to some of the big punters, they’re waiting to see how the track will rate after the first couple of races before getting stuck in.”
“In the Derby, second-favourite Rockferry is currently our single worst result. He was a sure thing beaten in the Geelong Classic and the extra trip and wide track should suit him to a tee.
“Shamoline Warrior has won his last two in dominant fashion and is a deserved favourite, but personally I think he’ll have to bring out his very best to hold out Rockferry.”
Big bets so far:
$10,000 multi bet to win $135K – Shamoline Warrior (Derby) into Run for Naara (Oaks)
$2,000 multi bet to win $200K – Shamoline Warrior (Derby), into Alcopop (Cup), into Run for Naara (Oaks)
$733 multi bet to win $100K – Monaco Consul (Derby), into Alcopop (Cup), into Run for Naara (Oaks)
$5,000 multi bet to win $85K – Run For Naara (Wakeful), into Shamoline Warrior (Derby), into First Command (Salinger)
$6,000 each way on Rockferry at $9
Novelty bets for Victoria Derby Day
The betting market among corporate bookmakers has become hugely competitive, and everybody's looking at new ways to entice punters into having a lunge.
Sportsbet today released a heap of options which are likely to be repeated for the Melbourne Cup.
Here's a few:
Pick the star sign of the Derby winner, based on their foaling date.
Virgo $1.60 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, Gathering, Our Heir Apparent, Shamoline Warrior, Viking Legend
Libra $3.60 Monaco Consul, Onemorenomore, Southern Skye
Scorpio $5.60 Rockferry, Prinsom
Will the Derby winner be posh or a pauper? Based on career earnings to date.
Posh ($195,000+ career earnings) $2.25 Onemorenomore, Shamoline Warrior, Viking Legend
Paupers (under $195,000) $1.65 The Rest
Will the Derby winner be a Cadet or a Corporal? Based on number of career runs to date.
Cadets (6 starts or less) $1.40 Monaco Consul, Our Heir Apparent, Rockferry, Shamoline Warrior
Coporals (7 starts plus) $3.00 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, Gathering, Onemorenomore, Prinsom, Southern Skye, Viking Legend
Pick where the Derby winner is trained out of.
Victoria $1.65 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, Prinsom, Rockferry, Shamoline Warrior
NSW $3.65 Gathering, Onemorenomore, Southern Skye, Viking Legend
NZ $5.00 Monaco Consul, Our Heir Apparent
In each of the Alpha-Bet markets below, punters can select the group from which the Derby winner will come from.
Jockey’s surname alpha-bet
Group A $2.95 Commanage Close, Monaco Consul, Rockferry Group B $3.75 Extra Zero, Gathering, Onemorenomore, Southern Skye
Group C $2.10 Our Heir Apparent, Prinsom, Shamoline Warrior, Viking Legend
Trainer's surname
Group A $2.50 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, ShamolineWarrior
Group B $2.45 Monaco Consul, Prinsom, Rockferry, Southern Skye Group C $3.65 Gathering, Onemorenomore, Our Heir Apparent, Viking Legend
Fancy one nag over another? Take your pick in the following Head to Head markets.
Shamoline Warrior vs Rockferry
Shamoline Warrior $1.55
Rockferry $2.45
Rockferry vs Monaco Consul
Rockferry $1.70
Monaco Consul $2.15
Southern Skye vs Our Heir Apparent
Southern Skye $1.90
Our Heir Apparent $1.90
Sportsbet today released a heap of options which are likely to be repeated for the Melbourne Cup.
Here's a few:
Pick the star sign of the Derby winner, based on their foaling date.
Virgo $1.60 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, Gathering, Our Heir Apparent, Shamoline Warrior, Viking Legend
Libra $3.60 Monaco Consul, Onemorenomore, Southern Skye
Scorpio $5.60 Rockferry, Prinsom
Will the Derby winner be posh or a pauper? Based on career earnings to date.
Posh ($195,000+ career earnings) $2.25 Onemorenomore, Shamoline Warrior, Viking Legend
Paupers (under $195,000) $1.65 The Rest
Will the Derby winner be a Cadet or a Corporal? Based on number of career runs to date.
Cadets (6 starts or less) $1.40 Monaco Consul, Our Heir Apparent, Rockferry, Shamoline Warrior
Coporals (7 starts plus) $3.00 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, Gathering, Onemorenomore, Prinsom, Southern Skye, Viking Legend
Pick where the Derby winner is trained out of.
Victoria $1.65 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, Prinsom, Rockferry, Shamoline Warrior
NSW $3.65 Gathering, Onemorenomore, Southern Skye, Viking Legend
NZ $5.00 Monaco Consul, Our Heir Apparent
In each of the Alpha-Bet markets below, punters can select the group from which the Derby winner will come from.
Jockey’s surname alpha-bet
Group A $2.95 Commanage Close, Monaco Consul, Rockferry Group B $3.75 Extra Zero, Gathering, Onemorenomore, Southern Skye
Group C $2.10 Our Heir Apparent, Prinsom, Shamoline Warrior, Viking Legend
Trainer's surname
Group A $2.50 Commonage Close, Extra Zero, ShamolineWarrior
Group B $2.45 Monaco Consul, Prinsom, Rockferry, Southern Skye Group C $3.65 Gathering, Onemorenomore, Our Heir Apparent, Viking Legend
Fancy one nag over another? Take your pick in the following Head to Head markets.
Shamoline Warrior vs Rockferry
Shamoline Warrior $1.55
Rockferry $2.45
Rockferry vs Monaco Consul
Rockferry $1.70
Monaco Consul $2.15
Southern Skye vs Our Heir Apparent
Southern Skye $1.90
Our Heir Apparent $1.90
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Melbourne Cup action
Expect some action in the Melbourne Cup markets immediately following acceptance.
Following is an unedited statement released today by Sportingbet Australia.
PUNTERS SWEAT ON START FOR VIGOR
Sportingbet Australia punters are sweating on the Danny O’Brien trained Vigor gaining a start in next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup with one punter standing to win over half a million dollars.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Vigor was clearly Sportingbet’s worst way at the moment with punters backing him since the all in markets opened.
“Vigor opened up as a $51 shot and punters stepped in with one bet of $500,000 to $10,000 and other punters on to win $100,000 and $50,000 at those odds,” said Sullivan.
“He’s been as short as $8.50 and has not lost popularity at any stage.”
Vigor is currently at odds of $18.00 but Sullivan said those odds would trim up if he got a run.
“His run in the Caulfield Cup was superb and if he gets a run without having to race this weekend, those odds will tighten up significantly,” Sullivan said.
Alcopop and Efficient remain $6 joint favourites at Sportingbet ahead of the Bart Cummings pair of Viewed and Roman Emperor at $7 and $11 respectively.
2009 MELBOURNE CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Efficient 6.00
Alcopop 6.00
Viewed 7.00
Roman Emperor 11.00
Zipping 14.00
Master O’Reilly 17.00
Daffodil 17.00
Changingoftheguard 18.00
Vigor 18.00
Mourilyan 19.00
Leica Ding 23.00
Shocking 26.00
Warringah 26.00
Allez Wonder 26.00
Cest La Guerre 31.00
Kirklees 35.00
Munsef 41.00
Capecover 41.00
Fiumicino 51.00
Cima De Triomphe 61.00
Basaltico 61.00
Dandaad 61.00
Crime Scene 61.00
Others 71.00 Plus
Following is an unedited statement released today by Sportingbet Australia.
PUNTERS SWEAT ON START FOR VIGOR
Sportingbet Australia punters are sweating on the Danny O’Brien trained Vigor gaining a start in next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup with one punter standing to win over half a million dollars.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Vigor was clearly Sportingbet’s worst way at the moment with punters backing him since the all in markets opened.
“Vigor opened up as a $51 shot and punters stepped in with one bet of $500,000 to $10,000 and other punters on to win $100,000 and $50,000 at those odds,” said Sullivan.
“He’s been as short as $8.50 and has not lost popularity at any stage.”
Vigor is currently at odds of $18.00 but Sullivan said those odds would trim up if he got a run.
“His run in the Caulfield Cup was superb and if he gets a run without having to race this weekend, those odds will tighten up significantly,” Sullivan said.
Alcopop and Efficient remain $6 joint favourites at Sportingbet ahead of the Bart Cummings pair of Viewed and Roman Emperor at $7 and $11 respectively.
2009 MELBOURNE CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Efficient 6.00
Alcopop 6.00
Viewed 7.00
Roman Emperor 11.00
Zipping 14.00
Master O’Reilly 17.00
Daffodil 17.00
Changingoftheguard 18.00
Vigor 18.00
Mourilyan 19.00
Leica Ding 23.00
Shocking 26.00
Warringah 26.00
Allez Wonder 26.00
Cest La Guerre 31.00
Kirklees 35.00
Munsef 41.00
Capecover 41.00
Fiumicino 51.00
Cima De Triomphe 61.00
Basaltico 61.00
Dandaad 61.00
Crime Scene 61.00
Others 71.00 Plus
Monday, October 26, 2009
Punters go early for Bart in Melbourne Cup
Bart Cummings has won the season's two major races. Punters think he's a fair bet to pick up a remarkable treble in the Melbourne Cup.
At $4.50, there are better bets for mine.
Bart Cummings has been posted as a $4.50 chance to complete a historic treble and win a thirteenth Melbourne Cup.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had launched into Bart Cumming’s horses in both the Caulfield Cup and the Cox Plate and were doing the same for next Tuesday’s big one.
“Bart Cummings is undoubtedly the best trainer of stayers we have ever seen and punters have had a fill up following him this Spring again,” Sullivan said.
“Punters have been backing all his runners for the Cup so we have posted a price of $4.50 for any one of his horses to give him another Cup win.
“Viewed and Roman Emperor are obviously his best chances after they ran the quinella in the Caulfield Cup but it would be silly to write off any of his chances.”
Sullivan said he expected punters to lap up the $4.50 on offer for the master trainer.
“Punters and particularly fans of Bart have full pockets following the Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate wins and I would expect them to launch again for the Cup,” he said.
‘I can’t see many punters been willing to take the $1.20 about him not been able to get the job done a thirteenth time.”
Will Bart Cummings Win the 2009 Melbourne Cup
Yes, Bart Cummings will win the Cup $4.50
No, Bart Cummings will not win the Cup $1.20
At $4.50, there are better bets for mine.
Bart Cummings has been posted as a $4.50 chance to complete a historic treble and win a thirteenth Melbourne Cup.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had launched into Bart Cumming’s horses in both the Caulfield Cup and the Cox Plate and were doing the same for next Tuesday’s big one.
“Bart Cummings is undoubtedly the best trainer of stayers we have ever seen and punters have had a fill up following him this Spring again,” Sullivan said.
“Punters have been backing all his runners for the Cup so we have posted a price of $4.50 for any one of his horses to give him another Cup win.
“Viewed and Roman Emperor are obviously his best chances after they ran the quinella in the Caulfield Cup but it would be silly to write off any of his chances.”
Sullivan said he expected punters to lap up the $4.50 on offer for the master trainer.
“Punters and particularly fans of Bart have full pockets following the Caulfield Cup and Cox Plate wins and I would expect them to launch again for the Cup,” he said.
‘I can’t see many punters been willing to take the $1.20 about him not been able to get the job done a thirteenth time.”
Will Bart Cummings Win the 2009 Melbourne Cup
Yes, Bart Cummings will win the Cup $4.50
No, Bart Cummings will not win the Cup $1.20
Betting reopens for Australian Idol elimination
We don't mind a bet on Australian Idol, so the following news from Sportingbet comes as welcome.
Our early tip: James Johnston won't get to sing next week.
Sportingbet Australia punters now have the opportunity to bet on Australian Idol eliminations following the show’s producers decision to extend voting until Friday night.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters would be pleased with the decision.
“The phone has rung off the hook with punters wanting to bet on the eliminations but with such a short voting window it was impossible to accommodate them on more than a limited basis,” said Sullivan.
“Idol elimination betting has been extremely popular in previous years and punters will be well pleased that it’s back to the old way of doing things.”
Sportingbet Australia expects Toby Moulton ($2.25) and James Johnston ($2.50) to fight out next week’s elimination while Stan Walker ($2.50) and Hayley Warner ($2.75) the favourites to be crowned 2009 Australian Idol.
2009 AUSTRALIAN IDOL – ELIMINATION 1 NOVEMBER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Toby Moulton 2.25
James Johnston 2.50
Nathan Brake 5.50
Stan Walker 5.50
Hayley Warner 9.00
2009 AUSTRALIAN IDOL – WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Stan Walker 2.50
Hayley Warner 2.75
Nathan Brake 4.00
James Johnston 8.00
Toby Moulton 9.00
Our early tip: James Johnston won't get to sing next week.
Sportingbet Australia punters now have the opportunity to bet on Australian Idol eliminations following the show’s producers decision to extend voting until Friday night.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters would be pleased with the decision.
“The phone has rung off the hook with punters wanting to bet on the eliminations but with such a short voting window it was impossible to accommodate them on more than a limited basis,” said Sullivan.
“Idol elimination betting has been extremely popular in previous years and punters will be well pleased that it’s back to the old way of doing things.”
Sportingbet Australia expects Toby Moulton ($2.25) and James Johnston ($2.50) to fight out next week’s elimination while Stan Walker ($2.50) and Hayley Warner ($2.75) the favourites to be crowned 2009 Australian Idol.
2009 AUSTRALIAN IDOL – ELIMINATION 1 NOVEMBER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Toby Moulton 2.25
James Johnston 2.50
Nathan Brake 5.50
Stan Walker 5.50
Hayley Warner 9.00
2009 AUSTRALIAN IDOL – WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Stan Walker 2.50
Hayley Warner 2.75
Nathan Brake 4.00
James Johnston 8.00
Toby Moulton 9.00
Sunday, October 25, 2009
Thanks to followers of Aussiepunt
Thanks to those who passed on their thanks for our tips this weekend.
One punter cleaned up on So You Can Think in the Cox Plate. Another followed our tip that New South Wales would win the Champions League cricket Twenty20 competition.
Our response? No worries. Glad to be of assistance.
If you've got a tip you want to add to Aussiepunt, simply let us know and we'll share it with others.
One punter cleaned up on So You Can Think in the Cox Plate. Another followed our tip that New South Wales would win the Champions League cricket Twenty20 competition.
Our response? No worries. Glad to be of assistance.
If you've got a tip you want to add to Aussiepunt, simply let us know and we'll share it with others.
Saturday, October 24, 2009
Cricket win helps the balance
We were in danger of going backwards last night after Central Coast imploded in the soccer, but Brett Lee came to our rescue in the Champions League cricket.
NSW brought us home a $3.10 return on our speculator.
So if you have any late mail on the track this afternoon, be sure to let me and readers of the Aussiepunt blog know.
I still like Speed Gifted in the Cox Plate, but there's virtually no talk of it going into the race. Perhaps people feel it's better suited to the Melbourne Cup distance.
A tip for anybody who might be interested: Sportsbet has a fairly good promotion, allowing its members to tip on each race on the Melbourne card. It's free to enter and there's a $70,000-odd worth of prizes at the end of it.
I figure I've got nothing to lose by giving it a bash!
NSW brought us home a $3.10 return on our speculator.
So if you have any late mail on the track this afternoon, be sure to let me and readers of the Aussiepunt blog know.
I still like Speed Gifted in the Cox Plate, but there's virtually no talk of it going into the race. Perhaps people feel it's better suited to the Melbourne Cup distance.
A tip for anybody who might be interested: Sportsbet has a fairly good promotion, allowing its members to tip on each race on the Melbourne card. It's free to enter and there's a $70,000-odd worth of prizes at the end of it.
I figure I've got nothing to lose by giving it a bash!
Friday, October 23, 2009
Smith's chip promo ... now that's creative!
Now this is creative.
Smith's goes out to find a new chip flavour and throws it out to the people.
People argue about which of four finalist chip flavours are best - the coat of arms flavour; late night kebab; popcorn; or caesar salad.
Sportingbet Australia saw an opportunity, and has consequently opened a book on which one will win.
They've got the late night kebab and coat of arms fighting for favouritism, and why not: They're basically a variation on barbecue flavour. If popcorn wins, you'll get $4 in the running, and $4.50 if you like salad in a chip.
“This competition has created great debate around the country and punters have been keen to match their tastebuds with their wallets,” CEO Michael Sullivan said.
“We’ve had plenty of phone calls from punters wanting to back their personal favourites.”
Smith's goes out to find a new chip flavour and throws it out to the people.
People argue about which of four finalist chip flavours are best - the coat of arms flavour; late night kebab; popcorn; or caesar salad.
Sportingbet Australia saw an opportunity, and has consequently opened a book on which one will win.
They've got the late night kebab and coat of arms fighting for favouritism, and why not: They're basically a variation on barbecue flavour. If popcorn wins, you'll get $4 in the running, and $4.50 if you like salad in a chip.
“This competition has created great debate around the country and punters have been keen to match their tastebuds with their wallets,” CEO Michael Sullivan said.
“We’ve had plenty of phone calls from punters wanting to back their personal favourites.”
Central Coast worth looking at in soccer
Central Coast Mariners are worth looking at in tonight's game versus the Newcastle Jets.
Although they drew last time they met, the Central Coast have won five straight, compared to Newcastle's dismal effort of only one from its last five outings.
Jets defender Ljubo Milicevic is missing from their lineup.
Central Coast is still paying $2.60.
And remember, we're still riding New South Wales to win the Champions League final.
In the meantime, we'll look for some late mail for tomorrow's race card.
Although they drew last time they met, the Central Coast have won five straight, compared to Newcastle's dismal effort of only one from its last five outings.
Jets defender Ljubo Milicevic is missing from their lineup.
Central Coast is still paying $2.60.
And remember, we're still riding New South Wales to win the Champions League final.
In the meantime, we'll look for some late mail for tomorrow's race card.
AAMI Vase latest market
The Cox Plate is not the only race of significance tomorrow:
Sportingbet Australia punters have backed Moonee Valley specialist Carrara in from $5 to $4 for tomorrow’s AAMI Vase.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said history was on the Tony Vasil trained gallopers side.
“Nine of the last twelve winners of this race have come through the Caulfield Guineas and there’s plenty of smart money for Carrara,” said Sullivan.
“While he has to be a slight doubt at the trip he could just get a soft lead and has definitely shown a liking for the track.”
Extra Zero is an easing $3.50 favourite for the AAMI Vase.
AAMI Vase
Sportingbet Australia Market
Extra Zero $3.50
Carrara $4.40
Viking Legend $4.80
Miss With Attitude $6.50
Spacecraft $7.50
Hanks $8.50
Morossa $26
Rivers Lane $31
Sportingbet Australia punters have backed Moonee Valley specialist Carrara in from $5 to $4 for tomorrow’s AAMI Vase.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said history was on the Tony Vasil trained gallopers side.
“Nine of the last twelve winners of this race have come through the Caulfield Guineas and there’s plenty of smart money for Carrara,” said Sullivan.
“While he has to be a slight doubt at the trip he could just get a soft lead and has definitely shown a liking for the track.”
Extra Zero is an easing $3.50 favourite for the AAMI Vase.
AAMI Vase
Sportingbet Australia Market
Extra Zero $3.50
Carrara $4.40
Viking Legend $4.80
Miss With Attitude $6.50
Spacecraft $7.50
Hanks $8.50
Morossa $26
Rivers Lane $31
Whobe drifting by the minute
Here's the latest releast from Sportingbet Australia, which indicates there will be some good odds floating around, no matter which horse you fancy in the Cox Plate:
Cox Plate favourite Whobegotyou continues to drift in betting markets as punters swarm to back Heart of Dreams and last year’s runner up Zipping.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were betting all around the favourite who has blown from $2.50 to $3.20 following the barrier draw on Tuesday.
“Whobegotyou has been unlayable since the barrier draw as a host of other runners have been crunched in the market,” Sullivan said.
“Punters have launched at Heart of Dreams who has shortened from $8.50 on Sunday to his current price of $5.50 and there has been plenty of smart money put on him.
“Zipping has also been backed from $21 to $15 as punters look for quality weight for age performers.”
Sullivan said he expected the tide to turn at some point and punters would step into Whobegotyou tomorrow.
“He is still the best horse in the race for mine and he is four from four at the Valley so there is little doubt there will be money for him tomorrow,” Sullivan said.
“He is still our worst result as punters have been backing him for months and I think they will step in again tomorrow to make him a complete strip out if he salutes.”
2009 COX PLATE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.20
Heart Of Dreams 5.50
Speed Gifted 11.00
So You Think 11.00
Scenic Shot 14.00
El Segundo 15.00
Zipping 15.00
Vision And Power 16.00
Rock Kingdom 17.00
Black Piranha 18.00
Manhattan Rain 21.00
Road To Rock 26.00
Nom De Jeu 71.00
Sir Slick 151.00
Cox Plate favourite Whobegotyou continues to drift in betting markets as punters swarm to back Heart of Dreams and last year’s runner up Zipping.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were betting all around the favourite who has blown from $2.50 to $3.20 following the barrier draw on Tuesday.
“Whobegotyou has been unlayable since the barrier draw as a host of other runners have been crunched in the market,” Sullivan said.
“Punters have launched at Heart of Dreams who has shortened from $8.50 on Sunday to his current price of $5.50 and there has been plenty of smart money put on him.
“Zipping has also been backed from $21 to $15 as punters look for quality weight for age performers.”
Sullivan said he expected the tide to turn at some point and punters would step into Whobegotyou tomorrow.
“He is still the best horse in the race for mine and he is four from four at the Valley so there is little doubt there will be money for him tomorrow,” Sullivan said.
“He is still our worst result as punters have been backing him for months and I think they will step in again tomorrow to make him a complete strip out if he salutes.”
2009 COX PLATE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.20
Heart Of Dreams 5.50
Speed Gifted 11.00
So You Think 11.00
Scenic Shot 14.00
El Segundo 15.00
Zipping 15.00
Vision And Power 16.00
Rock Kingdom 17.00
Black Piranha 18.00
Manhattan Rain 21.00
Road To Rock 26.00
Nom De Jeu 71.00
Sir Slick 151.00
Cox Plate markets start to take shape
And here they come ... the betting movements on the Cox plate have started. Here's the first statement of the day, from IASbet.
Melbourne, 23 October 2009 - As racing's focus turns to Moonee Valley and the Cox Plate IASbet.com bookmaker Mark Read says you shouldn't overlook the obvious when it comes to assessing the race.
Whobegotyou ($3) has run at the track four times for four wins, he won the Yalumba Stakes last start and is a deserving favourite.
Read suggests sticking to the local hopes with Heart Of Dreams ($5.50), Zipping ($15), and El Segundo ($15) all creating interest.
El Segundo has won the race before, Zipping was second last year and Heart Of Dreams has been running great races in all the key lead ups."
Bart Cummings three year old So You Think ($15 into $11) has been one of the better backed runners and as we learnt last week, ignore Bart at your peril!
The Schweppes Stakes (1200m) should be a fantastic race according to Read.
"This is a Group One field in a Group Two race," Read said. "Lucky Secret ($3.30) and Apache Cat ($3.60) must be respected with fantastic Moonee Valley records, but Light Fantastic ($13) and Danleigh ($9) represent the value. Danleigh won the Manikato Stakes over the same Distance at the Valley a month ago and should again be prominent. "
Melbourne, 23 October 2009 - As racing's focus turns to Moonee Valley and the Cox Plate IASbet.com bookmaker Mark Read says you shouldn't overlook the obvious when it comes to assessing the race.
Whobegotyou ($3) has run at the track four times for four wins, he won the Yalumba Stakes last start and is a deserving favourite.
Read suggests sticking to the local hopes with Heart Of Dreams ($5.50), Zipping ($15), and El Segundo ($15) all creating interest.
El Segundo has won the race before, Zipping was second last year and Heart Of Dreams has been running great races in all the key lead ups."
Bart Cummings three year old So You Think ($15 into $11) has been one of the better backed runners and as we learnt last week, ignore Bart at your peril!
The Schweppes Stakes (1200m) should be a fantastic race according to Read.
"This is a Group One field in a Group Two race," Read said. "Lucky Secret ($3.30) and Apache Cat ($3.60) must be respected with fantastic Moonee Valley records, but Light Fantastic ($13) and Danleigh ($9) represent the value. Danleigh won the Manikato Stakes over the same Distance at the Valley a month ago and should again be prominent. "
Thursday, October 22, 2009
Random integrity comment
This has nothing to do with this blog's usual content stream, but I note there are moves to tighten laws on streaming of information.
It's about time we got rid of people posting incredulous reviews about products they have never seen, let alone tested or used. You won't see any of that rubbish here.
For the sake of full disclosure, here's how this blog works: If you click on a Google ad, I get a few cents. Last time I looked, there was about $6 in the account.
If you open an account after clicking on the affiliate ads at the side of the page, I get a commission. I'm not sure how much because it hasn't happened yet, and frankly, I'm not worried if it ever happens.
The bottom line: This site is for fun. I do it because I enjoy it. This is an open invitation to join in the banter, offer fellow punters a piece of advice, a tip, an observation, friendly fire, whatever takes your fancy.
And my only advice for now: Bet only what you can afford. If it's not enjoyable, don't do it.
It's about time we got rid of people posting incredulous reviews about products they have never seen, let alone tested or used. You won't see any of that rubbish here.
For the sake of full disclosure, here's how this blog works: If you click on a Google ad, I get a few cents. Last time I looked, there was about $6 in the account.
If you open an account after clicking on the affiliate ads at the side of the page, I get a commission. I'm not sure how much because it hasn't happened yet, and frankly, I'm not worried if it ever happens.
The bottom line: This site is for fun. I do it because I enjoy it. This is an open invitation to join in the banter, offer fellow punters a piece of advice, a tip, an observation, friendly fire, whatever takes your fancy.
And my only advice for now: Bet only what you can afford. If it's not enjoyable, don't do it.
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
Cox Plate odds
In terms of Australian sport, it's all about racing over the next couple of weeks, at least until the end of the Spring Carnival. And the next big race on the calendar is the Cox Plate.
There will be plenty of news coming through from bookies, some which will need to be taken with a grain of salt. Regardless, we'll try to keep abreast of which horses the punters like. Early in the market, it seems to be Heart of Dreams which has come in to $6.
Here's the latest release from Sportingbet Australia which came through a few minutes ago:
Heart of Dreams has been the big shortener for the Cox Plate with punters rushing to back the second favourite following the barrier draw.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Mick Price trained gelding shortened from $8.50 to $7.00 after taking barrier three but punters still stepped into the Underwood winner.
“He has clearly been the best backed runner since the barrier draw and is now into $6 after a rush of big bets came for him at $7,” Sullivan said.
“Whobegtyou is still the clear favourite and still clearly our worst way but punters are certainly warming to Heart of Dreams.
“He beat Whobegotyou in the Underwood and was only narrowly beaten in the Yalumba and with a much better draw, there is no reason he can’t come out on
top again.”
Sullivan said Whobegotyou had been left alone by punters since drawing 10 of 14.
“He has drifted from $2.50 to $2.80 since the draw but I still think punters will step into him on the day and he will definitely be our worst result,” Sullivan said.
2009 COX PLATE
Sportingbet Australia market
1. El Segundo $15
2. Zipping $17
3. Vision And Power $17
4. Nom Du Jeu $51
5. Scenic Shot $15
6. Black Piranha $16
7. Sir Slick $151
8. Road To Rock $31
9. Speed Gifted $9
10. Whobegotyou $2.80
11. Heart Of Dreams $6.00
12. Rock Kingdom $17
13. Manhattan Rain $17
14. So You Think $13
There will be plenty of news coming through from bookies, some which will need to be taken with a grain of salt. Regardless, we'll try to keep abreast of which horses the punters like. Early in the market, it seems to be Heart of Dreams which has come in to $6.
Here's the latest release from Sportingbet Australia which came through a few minutes ago:
Heart of Dreams has been the big shortener for the Cox Plate with punters rushing to back the second favourite following the barrier draw.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Mick Price trained gelding shortened from $8.50 to $7.00 after taking barrier three but punters still stepped into the Underwood winner.
“He has clearly been the best backed runner since the barrier draw and is now into $6 after a rush of big bets came for him at $7,” Sullivan said.
“Whobegtyou is still the clear favourite and still clearly our worst way but punters are certainly warming to Heart of Dreams.
“He beat Whobegotyou in the Underwood and was only narrowly beaten in the Yalumba and with a much better draw, there is no reason he can’t come out on
top again.”
Sullivan said Whobegotyou had been left alone by punters since drawing 10 of 14.
“He has drifted from $2.50 to $2.80 since the draw but I still think punters will step into him on the day and he will definitely be our worst result,” Sullivan said.
2009 COX PLATE
Sportingbet Australia market
1. El Segundo $15
2. Zipping $17
3. Vision And Power $17
4. Nom Du Jeu $51
5. Scenic Shot $15
6. Black Piranha $16
7. Sir Slick $151
8. Road To Rock $31
9. Speed Gifted $9
10. Whobegotyou $2.80
11. Heart Of Dreams $6.00
12. Rock Kingdom $17
13. Manhattan Rain $17
14. So You Think $13
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