Winners: Nick Dal Santo; Dane Swan; Alan Didak
Aussiepunt tipped Dal Santo.
Based on a $10 bet for each, we were behind by $4 total.
Friday, April 9, 2010
AFL North Melbourne vs West Coast preview
If form is any indicator, the West Coast should notch their first win of the season over a Kangaroos outfit shattered after a 100-point loss last week. This is not only a test of character for the Roos to see whether they'll bounce back (so to speak) but also a test of character for new coach Brad Scott.
Sportingbet fantasy trios are as follows:
Anthony vs Selwood vs Priddis
Tip: Adam Selwood
Liam Anthony was well held last week, but so were most of the Roos' midfield, including Boomer Harvey who had only 5 disposals. If Anthony bounces back to his absolute best, expect him to score around 120-130 points, the same score Selwood managed last week. If that's par for this group, Priddis has been well below it in his two opening rounds. We'll tip Selwood on form and consistency.
Embley vs Swallow vs McIntosh
Tip: Embley
This is tough. A man who consistently gets 20-odd touches (Embley) against a Swallow who barely touched the ball in Round 1 but bounced back in a well-beaten side, against an out-of-form ruckman who is likely to be outclassed in the middle. Again, we'll tip Embley on the basis of consistency.
Ebert vs Ziebell vs Masten
Tip: Brad Ebert
Ebert managed 95 and 96 points in his last two matches, and is against the promising Ziebell who did nothing against the Saints. Yes, he was in good company, but we'd rather go with someone who is already getting their hands on the ball. Masten hasn't done much in the first two rounds.
Sportingbet fantasy trios are as follows:
Anthony vs Selwood vs Priddis
Tip: Adam Selwood
Liam Anthony was well held last week, but so were most of the Roos' midfield, including Boomer Harvey who had only 5 disposals. If Anthony bounces back to his absolute best, expect him to score around 120-130 points, the same score Selwood managed last week. If that's par for this group, Priddis has been well below it in his two opening rounds. We'll tip Selwood on form and consistency.
Embley vs Swallow vs McIntosh
Tip: Embley
This is tough. A man who consistently gets 20-odd touches (Embley) against a Swallow who barely touched the ball in Round 1 but bounced back in a well-beaten side, against an out-of-form ruckman who is likely to be outclassed in the middle. Again, we'll tip Embley on the basis of consistency.
Ebert vs Ziebell vs Masten
Tip: Brad Ebert
Ebert managed 95 and 96 points in his last two matches, and is against the promising Ziebell who did nothing against the Saints. Yes, he was in good company, but we'd rather go with someone who is already getting their hands on the ball. Masten hasn't done much in the first two rounds.
Sires Produce update
The bookies might be talking it up, but I still like More Strawberries, despite being perhaps a little under the odds.
PUNTERS SEARCH FOR SIRES PRODUCE VALUE
Punters are betting around the Golden Slipper form of More Strawberries and Hinchinbrook in the Sires Produce with big money coming for the likes of Toorak Toff, Hidden Kisses and Skorost at Sportingbet Australia.
Toorak Toff’s odds have been slashed from $23 in opening markets to $9.00 while Hidden Kisses has been $51 to $23 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the favourites had been friendless.
“We have taken some big bets on some of the roughies and can’t write the favourites names,” Sullivan said.
“More Strawberries has been $2.50 to $2.70 while Hinchinbrook has been $3.20 to $3.50 and I am desperate to take them both on.
“Both horses are racing for the third week in a row which is a huge ask for two year olds and at these odds I think they are both a risk.”
Sullivan said punters had latched on to the fresh horses on the scene .
“We took a bet of $165,000 to $5000 each way on Hidden Kisses after there had already been good money at $51,” he said.
“One of the first bets we took was on Toorak Toff which was to take out $20,000 at $23 and more money came at $13 and $11.”
2010 AJC SIRES PRODUCE
Sportingbet Australia Market
More Strawberries 2.70
Hinchinbrook 3.50
Toorak Toff 9.00
Blackball 13.00
Divorces 14.00
Skilled 15.00
Yosei 16.00
Skorost 17.00
Hidden Kisses 23.00
Mafia Miss 26.00
Legalistic 35.00
Gold Arena 91.00
PUNTERS SEARCH FOR SIRES PRODUCE VALUE
Punters are betting around the Golden Slipper form of More Strawberries and Hinchinbrook in the Sires Produce with big money coming for the likes of Toorak Toff, Hidden Kisses and Skorost at Sportingbet Australia.
Toorak Toff’s odds have been slashed from $23 in opening markets to $9.00 while Hidden Kisses has been $51 to $23 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the favourites had been friendless.
“We have taken some big bets on some of the roughies and can’t write the favourites names,” Sullivan said.
“More Strawberries has been $2.50 to $2.70 while Hinchinbrook has been $3.20 to $3.50 and I am desperate to take them both on.
“Both horses are racing for the third week in a row which is a huge ask for two year olds and at these odds I think they are both a risk.”
Sullivan said punters had latched on to the fresh horses on the scene .
“We took a bet of $165,000 to $5000 each way on Hidden Kisses after there had already been good money at $51,” he said.
“One of the first bets we took was on Toorak Toff which was to take out $20,000 at $23 and more money came at $13 and $11.”
2010 AJC SIRES PRODUCE
Sportingbet Australia Market
More Strawberries 2.70
Hinchinbrook 3.50
Toorak Toff 9.00
Blackball 13.00
Divorces 14.00
Skilled 15.00
Yosei 16.00
Skorost 17.00
Hidden Kisses 23.00
Mafia Miss 26.00
Legalistic 35.00
Gold Arena 91.00
Randwick races in Sydney
If you live in Sydney and need an incentive to get to the races tomorrow, this might help:
Hall of Fame trainer Bart Cummings yesterday purchased a stunning colt by Nadeem for $220,000 at the Inglis Australian Easter Yearling Sales in Sydney and on Saturday at 2.45pm one lucky punter is going to be given 1/6 of this potential future star, just by being at Royal Randwick for David Jones AJC Australian Derby Day or having attended last week’s AAMI Golden Slipper at Rosehill Gardens.
The promotion gives everyone who attends the races a chance to win a share in the horse, which will be trained by Cummings, possibly with an eye towards the 2011 Golden Slipper given the colt’s impeccable sprinting credentials.
The prize brown colt, is sired by first season stallion Nadeem, himself a son of the top ranking sire Redoute’s Choice.
Nadeem was purchased for $700,000 by Sheikh Hamdan bin Rashed al-Maktoum at the Inglis Easter Sales in 2005 and went on to become the Joint Top Colt on the 2005/6 Australasian 2YO Classification.
Nadeem’s career highlights included a win in the Group One MRC Blue Diamond Stakes where he defeated the subsequent Golden Slipper winner Miss Finland.
This colt is from Nadeem’s first season of offspring, and is a true blue blood with real speed in his genes.
To have a chance to be the 1/6 owner of this colt, race day patrons attending the David Jones AJC Australian Derby Day tomorrow (April 10) will need to cut out the entry form from a competition advertisement or download a form online and submit their entry. Participants must be over 18 years of age to enter.
“He is a big colt with a very good rein, a lovely shoulder, and he moves athletically who steps over a lot of ground when walking,” said Cummings.
“And he looks the part,” the master trainer added.
The winner of the competition will be drawn at 2.45pm, just before the running of the Inglis Sires Produce Stakes.
The promotion has been organized by the stakeholders in the Sydney Autumn Carnival; AJC, STC, Inglis, Tabcorp, Racing NSW and Events NSW.
If you don’t win the lucky draw but still fancy owning a piece of this colt Inglis has a couple of shares in the horse remaining to be sold.
Inglis will be responsible for management of the winners share. This will include settlement of all accounts and looking after communications.
Full conditions as well as entry forms for the promotion will be available on the SAC website www.sydneyautumncarnival2010.com.au from Monday March 29, 2010.
Hall of Fame trainer Bart Cummings yesterday purchased a stunning colt by Nadeem for $220,000 at the Inglis Australian Easter Yearling Sales in Sydney and on Saturday at 2.45pm one lucky punter is going to be given 1/6 of this potential future star, just by being at Royal Randwick for David Jones AJC Australian Derby Day or having attended last week’s AAMI Golden Slipper at Rosehill Gardens.
The promotion gives everyone who attends the races a chance to win a share in the horse, which will be trained by Cummings, possibly with an eye towards the 2011 Golden Slipper given the colt’s impeccable sprinting credentials.
The prize brown colt, is sired by first season stallion Nadeem, himself a son of the top ranking sire Redoute’s Choice.
Nadeem was purchased for $700,000 by Sheikh Hamdan bin Rashed al-Maktoum at the Inglis Easter Sales in 2005 and went on to become the Joint Top Colt on the 2005/6 Australasian 2YO Classification.
Nadeem’s career highlights included a win in the Group One MRC Blue Diamond Stakes where he defeated the subsequent Golden Slipper winner Miss Finland.
This colt is from Nadeem’s first season of offspring, and is a true blue blood with real speed in his genes.
To have a chance to be the 1/6 owner of this colt, race day patrons attending the David Jones AJC Australian Derby Day tomorrow (April 10) will need to cut out the entry form from a competition advertisement or download a form online and submit their entry. Participants must be over 18 years of age to enter.
“He is a big colt with a very good rein, a lovely shoulder, and he moves athletically who steps over a lot of ground when walking,” said Cummings.
“And he looks the part,” the master trainer added.
The winner of the competition will be drawn at 2.45pm, just before the running of the Inglis Sires Produce Stakes.
The promotion has been organized by the stakeholders in the Sydney Autumn Carnival; AJC, STC, Inglis, Tabcorp, Racing NSW and Events NSW.
If you don’t win the lucky draw but still fancy owning a piece of this colt Inglis has a couple of shares in the horse remaining to be sold.
Inglis will be responsible for management of the winners share. This will include settlement of all accounts and looking after communications.
Full conditions as well as entry forms for the promotion will be available on the SAC website www.sydneyautumncarnival2010.com.au from Monday March 29, 2010.
Thursday, April 8, 2010
AFL Collingwood vs St Kilda preview
Given Collingwood's form last week against Melbourne, St Kilda is rightfully favourite for this game. They should win by about 4-6 goals. But it will be interesting to see how the two midfields match up, how Ball lifts against his old team, and how youngsters Wellingham and Sidebottom stand up to the big-game pressure.
Here are Sportingbet's fantasy match ups and tips:
Reiwoldt vs Swan vs Montagna
Tip: Leigh Montagna
This for mine is not so much a battle of how the stars stand up; rather a battle of who manages to get loose. Assuming Maxwell can hold Reiwoldt better than other defenders, and that Swan will get the Clint Jones hard tag, that will leave Montagna in a position to repeat his 35 disposals and 134 points of last week.
Dal Santo vs Goddard vs Hayes
Tip: Nick Dal Santo
This is a coin flip. Goddard could well fall loose of an opponent and go wild with possessions, but to score as he did last week with 137, he must also kick goals. Dal Santo lifted significantly last week with 33 disposals and is in far better form than Hayes.
Pendlebury vs Didak vs Davis
Tip: Scott Pendlebury
Pendlebury needed to lift last week and he did - in intensity - with 7 tackles compared to the week before when he stood off and managed only 2 tackles. With that as a benchmark, he's the model of consistency against the two razzle dazzle players.
Here are Sportingbet's fantasy match ups and tips:
Reiwoldt vs Swan vs Montagna
Tip: Leigh Montagna
This for mine is not so much a battle of how the stars stand up; rather a battle of who manages to get loose. Assuming Maxwell can hold Reiwoldt better than other defenders, and that Swan will get the Clint Jones hard tag, that will leave Montagna in a position to repeat his 35 disposals and 134 points of last week.
Dal Santo vs Goddard vs Hayes
Tip: Nick Dal Santo
This is a coin flip. Goddard could well fall loose of an opponent and go wild with possessions, but to score as he did last week with 137, he must also kick goals. Dal Santo lifted significantly last week with 33 disposals and is in far better form than Hayes.
Pendlebury vs Didak vs Davis
Tip: Scott Pendlebury
Pendlebury needed to lift last week and he did - in intensity - with 7 tackles compared to the week before when he stood off and managed only 2 tackles. With that as a benchmark, he's the model of consistency against the two razzle dazzle players.
US Masters 3-ball tips
A good way to follow the top Aussies around Augusta is to have a punt in the 3-balls, and a couple of them are a good show.
Try these for size:
Heath Slocum 2.95
Nathan Green 3.25
Louis Oosthuizen 2.25
Geoff Ogilvy 2.65
Luke Donald 3.00
Martin Kaymer 2.65
Phil Mickelson 2.10
Robert Allenby 2.95
Yong-Eun Yang 3.60
David Duval 3.15
Adam Scott 2.15
Ricky Barnes 3.25
Allenby might struggle to get up over Mickelson, but the otehr three are well worth a tickle.
Try these for size:
Heath Slocum 2.95
Nathan Green 3.25
Louis Oosthuizen 2.25
Geoff Ogilvy 2.65
Luke Donald 3.00
Martin Kaymer 2.65
Phil Mickelson 2.10
Robert Allenby 2.95
Yong-Eun Yang 3.60
David Duval 3.15
Adam Scott 2.15
Ricky Barnes 3.25
Allenby might struggle to get up over Mickelson, but the otehr three are well worth a tickle.
Big bet on Tiger Woods
Here's the latest from the bookmakers on Tiger Woods. Punters are willing to gamble, as we suggest they should, on a remarkable Tiger comeback.
Maybe the bet was an insurance premium by the folks at sportsbet who've agreed to refund all bets if Tiger wins.
$80,000 BET AS PUNTERS GO TIGER CRAZY
One punter is very confident Tiger Woods will return to golf at the US Masters in top form after backing him to collect nearly $500,000 at Sportingbet Australia.
The punter had $80,000 on Woods at $6.00 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were backing Woods heavily in the 24 hours before tee off for the Masters.
“Tiger had been a little easy but punters have really stepped into him now with the bet of $400,000 to $80,000 joined by plenty of other bets including one of $10,000 and another of $7000 at $5.50” Sullivan said.
“Tiger had drifted from $4.50 out to $6.00 but within minutes of posting the $6.00, the punters absolutely smashed us.”
“Tiger’s involvement in the tournament has seen turnover on the golf go through the roof after we had seen a notable absence while he was away from the game.”
Sullivan said Woods had to respected but after nearly six months away from competitive golf, he was happy to take the big bets on fourteen time major winner.
“Tiger has achieved many things that no one else has ever been able to do but this is a huge ask and I am keen to take him on,” he said.
“The flip side of that is this is the most backable price Tiger has been for years, he was $3.00 for the Masters last year so $6.00 is big odds for the greatest golfer of all time.”
2010 US MASTERS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods 5.00
Ernie Els 12.00
Phil Mickelson 12.00
Padraig Harrington 17.00
Retief Goosen 23.00
Steve Stricker 23.00
Lee Westwood 23.00
Paul Casey 26.00
Jim Furyk 34.00
Geoff Ogilvy 34.00
Ian Poulter 34.00
Camilo Villegas 34.00
Dustin Johnson 41.00
Martin Kaymer 41.00
Anthony Kim 41.00
Hunter Mahan 41.00
Rory McIlroy 41.00
Nick Watney 41.00
Angel Cabrera 51.00
Sergio Garcia 51.00
Sean OHair 51.00
Vijay Singh 51.00
Henrik Stenson 51.00
Charl Schwartzel 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus
Maybe the bet was an insurance premium by the folks at sportsbet who've agreed to refund all bets if Tiger wins.
$80,000 BET AS PUNTERS GO TIGER CRAZY
One punter is very confident Tiger Woods will return to golf at the US Masters in top form after backing him to collect nearly $500,000 at Sportingbet Australia.
The punter had $80,000 on Woods at $6.00 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were backing Woods heavily in the 24 hours before tee off for the Masters.
“Tiger had been a little easy but punters have really stepped into him now with the bet of $400,000 to $80,000 joined by plenty of other bets including one of $10,000 and another of $7000 at $5.50” Sullivan said.
“Tiger had drifted from $4.50 out to $6.00 but within minutes of posting the $6.00, the punters absolutely smashed us.”
“Tiger’s involvement in the tournament has seen turnover on the golf go through the roof after we had seen a notable absence while he was away from the game.”
Sullivan said Woods had to respected but after nearly six months away from competitive golf, he was happy to take the big bets on fourteen time major winner.
“Tiger has achieved many things that no one else has ever been able to do but this is a huge ask and I am keen to take him on,” he said.
“The flip side of that is this is the most backable price Tiger has been for years, he was $3.00 for the Masters last year so $6.00 is big odds for the greatest golfer of all time.”
2010 US MASTERS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods 5.00
Ernie Els 12.00
Phil Mickelson 12.00
Padraig Harrington 17.00
Retief Goosen 23.00
Steve Stricker 23.00
Lee Westwood 23.00
Paul Casey 26.00
Jim Furyk 34.00
Geoff Ogilvy 34.00
Ian Poulter 34.00
Camilo Villegas 34.00
Dustin Johnson 41.00
Martin Kaymer 41.00
Anthony Kim 41.00
Hunter Mahan 41.00
Rory McIlroy 41.00
Nick Watney 41.00
Angel Cabrera 51.00
Sergio Garcia 51.00
Sean OHair 51.00
Vijay Singh 51.00
Henrik Stenson 51.00
Charl Schwartzel 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus
NRL Parramatta Eels to fire up
It's been a rough week for the Parramatta Eels with Nathan Cayless announcing it will be his last season.
We thought the death of their young fan would inspire them a couple of weeks ago, but if harsh criticism from all angles, including within the club, doesn't get some energy out of under-performing players, nothing will.
Timana Tahu has ambitions of playing Origin, but that shouldn't happen under current form. Hayne wasn't his usual self last week, and Hindmarsh's tackle count is usually a little higher.
In a way, they're lucky they are playing Canberra, a team which is also coughing up too much ball and whose players are under the microscope for a sloppy workrate.
"I certainly don't want it to happen that I get picked just because of what I've done or because I've been captain for so long," Cayless was quoted as saying.
"It's a team game and you've got to make sure that everyone's playing as well as we can."
"Your form dictates where you play. I've spoken to the coach and he said 'if you play well enough you'll be in first grade'."
In short, Parra should be nice and fired up - and should win.
We thought the death of their young fan would inspire them a couple of weeks ago, but if harsh criticism from all angles, including within the club, doesn't get some energy out of under-performing players, nothing will.
Timana Tahu has ambitions of playing Origin, but that shouldn't happen under current form. Hayne wasn't his usual self last week, and Hindmarsh's tackle count is usually a little higher.
In a way, they're lucky they are playing Canberra, a team which is also coughing up too much ball and whose players are under the microscope for a sloppy workrate.
"I certainly don't want it to happen that I get picked just because of what I've done or because I've been captain for so long," Cayless was quoted as saying.
"It's a team game and you've got to make sure that everyone's playing as well as we can."
"Your form dictates where you play. I've spoken to the coach and he said 'if you play well enough you'll be in first grade'."
In short, Parra should be nice and fired up - and should win.
Fremantle vs Geelong value
For those looking for value this weekend, it might come in an unlikely guernsey: Fremantle.
Geelong goes into the Dockers home den without Cameron Mooney who has been suspended, nor Matthew Scarlett. That means their midfield will have to hold up against the young guns of Freo.
That, on paper, might seem an easy task. But remember that Aaron Sandilands will be delivering the ball to the boys from the West, and will likely win 80% of the tap outs.
In essence, Geelong will be weakened at both ends of the field. They will need Hawkins and their young brigade to stand up in the forward line. And they will need the likes of Paul Chapman to find their goal-kicking boots.
That's not an easy task if they are unable to win the clearances.
Tip: We'll be looking to take Fremantle at the line +10.5
Geelong goes into the Dockers home den without Cameron Mooney who has been suspended, nor Matthew Scarlett. That means their midfield will have to hold up against the young guns of Freo.
That, on paper, might seem an easy task. But remember that Aaron Sandilands will be delivering the ball to the boys from the West, and will likely win 80% of the tap outs.
In essence, Geelong will be weakened at both ends of the field. They will need Hawkins and their young brigade to stand up in the forward line. And they will need the likes of Paul Chapman to find their goal-kicking boots.
That's not an easy task if they are unable to win the clearances.
Tip: We'll be looking to take Fremantle at the line +10.5
Tiger Woods tee off times
Tiger Woods tomorrow morning will tee off for the first time in 144 days.
And it will be an early start for most Australians, timed to roll down the first fairway at 3.42am (EST).
Australians kick off a bit earlier. Geoff Ogilvy is at 10.56pm, Robert Allenby at 12.25am, and Adam Scott at 3.53am.
Padraig Harrington, who at $17 isn't a bad bet, is two groups ahead of Woods, and reportedly glad to be slightly away from the circus.
Woods is at between $5 and $5.50. Centrebet is offering to return all bets on other players if Tiger wins the tournament.
And it will be an early start for most Australians, timed to roll down the first fairway at 3.42am (EST).
Australians kick off a bit earlier. Geoff Ogilvy is at 10.56pm, Robert Allenby at 12.25am, and Adam Scott at 3.53am.
Padraig Harrington, who at $17 isn't a bad bet, is two groups ahead of Woods, and reportedly glad to be slightly away from the circus.
Woods is at between $5 and $5.50. Centrebet is offering to return all bets on other players if Tiger wins the tournament.
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
Sires Produce money for roughie
Aussiepunt has been following More Strawberries with plenty of interest. The horse has a great turn of foot and should be too good for this field, to break through for a maiden win.
But any tip which is at $26 is worth a dash!
MONEY FOR BRISBANE RAIDER IN SIRES PRODUCE
Brisbane raider Hidden Kisses has been backed in from $51 to $26 to win Saturday’s Sires Produce at Randwick.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Rob Heathcote trained filly had been the subject of a good early go.
“There has been plenty of early money about to say she can reproduce her strong win over 1400 metres last time out and we have slashed her quote in half since we opened the market.”
“The fancied More Strawberries and Hinchinbrook were both hot on Crystal Lily’s heels in the Slipper last week but they are both racing for a third week in a row and it may well be tailor made for a fresh horse on the scene.”
More Strawberries is currently the $2.50 favourite at Sportingbet ahead of Hinchinbrook at $3.20.
2010 AJC SIRES PRODUCE
Sportingbet Australia Market
More Strawberries 2.50
Hinchinbrook 3.20
Divorces 12.00
Blackball 13.00
Skilled 14.00
Yosei 15.00
Skorost 17.00
Mafia Miss 19.00
Toorak Toff 23.00
Hidden Kisses 26.00
Legalistic 26.00
Gold Arena 71.00
But any tip which is at $26 is worth a dash!
MONEY FOR BRISBANE RAIDER IN SIRES PRODUCE
Brisbane raider Hidden Kisses has been backed in from $51 to $26 to win Saturday’s Sires Produce at Randwick.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Rob Heathcote trained filly had been the subject of a good early go.
“There has been plenty of early money about to say she can reproduce her strong win over 1400 metres last time out and we have slashed her quote in half since we opened the market.”
“The fancied More Strawberries and Hinchinbrook were both hot on Crystal Lily’s heels in the Slipper last week but they are both racing for a third week in a row and it may well be tailor made for a fresh horse on the scene.”
More Strawberries is currently the $2.50 favourite at Sportingbet ahead of Hinchinbrook at $3.20.
2010 AJC SIRES PRODUCE
Sportingbet Australia Market
More Strawberries 2.50
Hinchinbrook 3.20
Divorces 12.00
Blackball 13.00
Skilled 14.00
Yosei 15.00
Skorost 17.00
Mafia Miss 19.00
Toorak Toff 23.00
Hidden Kisses 26.00
Legalistic 26.00
Gold Arena 71.00
If you live in Sydney
Do the Italians know how to throw a party better than the Brazilians; or the French better than the Germans. Does Honduras and Cote d’Voire have support in Sydney? And where will they be holding a party during the World Cup?
I’m on a mission to find out which country parties best, and with your help, to compile a list of all Sydney’s best World Cup party places. It could be your favourite Norton St cafe to support the Italians, or a Greek restaurant in Rouse Hill. It doesn’t matter where it is, I’m keen to find it.
Help me out by adding a venue at:
http://liverpool-leader.whereilive.com.au/blogs/story/sydneys-best-world-cup-venues/
I’m on a mission to find out which country parties best, and with your help, to compile a list of all Sydney’s best World Cup party places. It could be your favourite Norton St cafe to support the Italians, or a Greek restaurant in Rouse Hill. It doesn’t matter where it is, I’m keen to find it.
Help me out by adding a venue at:
http://liverpool-leader.whereilive.com.au/blogs/story/sydneys-best-world-cup-venues/
Tiger Woods refund
It's not often you get two bets for the price of one. For example, take Reteif Goosen or Padraig Harrington. If Tiger wins, you get your money back. I'm not sure whether it's to attract more turnover on the field, or that the bookies are genuinely keen to back Tiger out of the Augusta race.
Note that somebody at sportsbet.com.au has a good sense of humour: Tiger is at $41 to be back at the clinic sometime during the tournament.
BOOKIE TO REFUND ALL BETS IF TIGER WINS THE MASTERS
Leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au will refund all bets placed on the outright winner of the 2010 US Masters if Tiger Woods wins.
“It’s fair to say Tiger’s preparation hasn’t been ideal and we’re happy to take him on this week, so much so that we’re prepared to refund bets on everyone else in the field if Tiger wins,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Taking a stance against Tiger is normally folly for a bookmaker, but we see this as our chance to finally get one back on him.”
Sportsbet.com.au is also offering the best price available on Tiger to win the Masters, currently at $6, with some other bookmakers posting as little as $4 on a Tiger victory.
In novelty markets, Sportsbet.com.au is offering $3 on Tiger to score 16 or more birdies at Augusta, $15 on him leading from start to finish, and $41 on him re-entering the clinic during the tournament.
Note: In November last year, Sportsbet.com.au paid out early on Tiger Woods to win the Australian Masters after two rounds when he was three strokes ahead. Woods faltered in the third round to share the lead with two others, before he shot clear on the final day to win the tournament.
All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.
2010 US Masters Outright Winner
$6 Tiger Woods
$14 Phil Mickleson
$15 Ernie Els
$17 Padraig Harrington
$23 Retief Goosen
$23 Lee Westwood
$26 Steve Stricker
$31 Paul Casey
$34 Jim Furyk
$34 Camilo Villegas
$34 Ian Poulter
$34 Anthony Kim
Others quoted
-------------------------------------
Australians
$41 Geoff Ogilvy
$71 Robert Allenby
$81 Adam Scott
$201 John Senden
$251 Mark Leishman
$351 Nathan Green
TIGER SPECIALS
Will Tiger Woods make the cut at Augusta?
$1.15 Yes, he will make the cut
$5.25 No, he will not make the cut
Where will Tiger finish at Augusta?
$1.80 First to fifth
$4.50 Sixth to 10th
$7 11th to 20th
$3.75 21st of worse
$41 Back at the clinic during the tournament
Front-running Tiger
$15 Tiger to lead after each round and win the tournament
Tiger’s Round 1 score at Augusta
$19 64 or less
$15 65-66
$4.80 67-68
$3.50 69-70
$3.75 71-72
$4.25 73-74
$4.50 75 or more
Tiger Woods vs The Field
$6 Tiger Woods
$1.11 The Field
How many Birdies will Tiger hole at Augusta?
$17 0-6
$6.50 7-9
$3.50 10-12
$2.85 13-15
$3 16 or more
Note that somebody at sportsbet.com.au has a good sense of humour: Tiger is at $41 to be back at the clinic sometime during the tournament.
BOOKIE TO REFUND ALL BETS IF TIGER WINS THE MASTERS
Leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au will refund all bets placed on the outright winner of the 2010 US Masters if Tiger Woods wins.
“It’s fair to say Tiger’s preparation hasn’t been ideal and we’re happy to take him on this week, so much so that we’re prepared to refund bets on everyone else in the field if Tiger wins,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Taking a stance against Tiger is normally folly for a bookmaker, but we see this as our chance to finally get one back on him.”
Sportsbet.com.au is also offering the best price available on Tiger to win the Masters, currently at $6, with some other bookmakers posting as little as $4 on a Tiger victory.
In novelty markets, Sportsbet.com.au is offering $3 on Tiger to score 16 or more birdies at Augusta, $15 on him leading from start to finish, and $41 on him re-entering the clinic during the tournament.
Note: In November last year, Sportsbet.com.au paid out early on Tiger Woods to win the Australian Masters after two rounds when he was three strokes ahead. Woods faltered in the third round to share the lead with two others, before he shot clear on the final day to win the tournament.
All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.
2010 US Masters Outright Winner
$6 Tiger Woods
$14 Phil Mickleson
$15 Ernie Els
$17 Padraig Harrington
$23 Retief Goosen
$23 Lee Westwood
$26 Steve Stricker
$31 Paul Casey
$34 Jim Furyk
$34 Camilo Villegas
$34 Ian Poulter
$34 Anthony Kim
Others quoted
-------------------------------------
Australians
$41 Geoff Ogilvy
$71 Robert Allenby
$81 Adam Scott
$201 John Senden
$251 Mark Leishman
$351 Nathan Green
TIGER SPECIALS
Will Tiger Woods make the cut at Augusta?
$1.15 Yes, he will make the cut
$5.25 No, he will not make the cut
Where will Tiger finish at Augusta?
$1.80 First to fifth
$4.50 Sixth to 10th
$7 11th to 20th
$3.75 21st of worse
$41 Back at the clinic during the tournament
Front-running Tiger
$15 Tiger to lead after each round and win the tournament
Tiger’s Round 1 score at Augusta
$19 64 or less
$15 65-66
$4.80 67-68
$3.50 69-70
$3.75 71-72
$4.25 73-74
$4.50 75 or more
Tiger Woods vs The Field
$6 Tiger Woods
$1.11 The Field
How many Birdies will Tiger hole at Augusta?
$17 0-6
$6.50 7-9
$3.50 10-12
$2.85 13-15
$3 16 or more
Coleman medal update
While Brown is still my pick, there are a couple posting odds well over their potential. Roughead is at $17 and Bradshaw at $29. Both are capable of kicking a bag.
And if you're looking for something really long, Paul Medhurst is at $251. If he finds his best and kicks a couple of five-baggers in the next few weeks, he'll come well into double figures. It's a long shot, but more plausible than the others around him doing something similar.
Sportingbet Australia odds:
Brendan Fevola [BRIS] 4.25
Lance Franklin [HAW] 4.75
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 5.00
Barry Hall [WBD] 7.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 9.00
Jarryd Roughead [HAW] 17.00
Matthew Pavlich [FRE] 26.00
Daniel Bradshaw [SYD] 29.00
Cameron Mooney [GEE] 31.00
Kurt Tippett [ADL] 51.00
Adam Goodes 51.00
Jason Porplyzia [ADL] 67.00
John Anthony [COL] 67.00
Mark Lecras [WCE] 101.00
Tom Hawkins [GEE] 101.00
Justin Koschitzke [STK] 126.00
Steve Johnson [GEE] 126.00
Warren Tredrea [POR] 151.00
Leon Davis [COL] 151.00
Josh Kennedy [WCE] 151.00
Stephen Milne [STK] 201.00
Taylor Walker [ADL] 201.00
Daniel Motlop [POR] 251.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 251.00
Brett Burton [ADL] 251.00
Alan Didak [COL] 251.00
Mark Williams [ESS] 251.00
Paul Medhurst [COL] 251.00
Brett Ebert [POR] 251.00
Mitch Morton [RICH] 251.00
Paul Chapman [GEE] 251.00
David Hale [NTH] 251.00
Shannon Byrnes [GEEL] 251.00
Matthew Bate [MELB] 251.00
And if you're looking for something really long, Paul Medhurst is at $251. If he finds his best and kicks a couple of five-baggers in the next few weeks, he'll come well into double figures. It's a long shot, but more plausible than the others around him doing something similar.
Sportingbet Australia odds:
Brendan Fevola [BRIS] 4.25
Lance Franklin [HAW] 4.75
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 5.00
Barry Hall [WBD] 7.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 9.00
Jarryd Roughead [HAW] 17.00
Matthew Pavlich [FRE] 26.00
Daniel Bradshaw [SYD] 29.00
Cameron Mooney [GEE] 31.00
Kurt Tippett [ADL] 51.00
Adam Goodes 51.00
Jason Porplyzia [ADL] 67.00
John Anthony [COL] 67.00
Mark Lecras [WCE] 101.00
Tom Hawkins [GEE] 101.00
Justin Koschitzke [STK] 126.00
Steve Johnson [GEE] 126.00
Warren Tredrea [POR] 151.00
Leon Davis [COL] 151.00
Josh Kennedy [WCE] 151.00
Stephen Milne [STK] 201.00
Taylor Walker [ADL] 201.00
Daniel Motlop [POR] 251.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 251.00
Brett Burton [ADL] 251.00
Alan Didak [COL] 251.00
Mark Williams [ESS] 251.00
Paul Medhurst [COL] 251.00
Brett Ebert [POR] 251.00
Mitch Morton [RICH] 251.00
Paul Chapman [GEE] 251.00
David Hale [NTH] 251.00
Shannon Byrnes [GEEL] 251.00
Matthew Bate [MELB] 251.00
Brownlow medal update
Given that Jonathan Brown is off to a flyer, guaranteed at least 5 points from his first two games, $8 are not bad odds.
The other one who seems to be good value this year is Nick Reiwoldt, at $17. Active forwards showed last year that they can poll well, and they're pretty much dominating the league at the moment in terms of their impact on results.
Looking through the list, it is an interesting exercise to look for some early vote winners in the search for value. My few would be Matthew Boyd at $29, Aaron Sandilands at $51, and Ryan O'Keefe at $101. O'Keefe is likely to have polled in both his opening games and will play a key role for the Swans as they perform above expectations.
Sportingbet Australia odds:
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 6.00
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 8.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 13.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 15.00
Sam Mitchell [HAW] 15.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 19.00
Joel Selwood [GEEL] 19.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 23.00
Marc Murphy [CARL] 23.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 26.00
Simon Black [BRIS] 26.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 29.00
Leigh Montagna [STK] 29.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 29.00
Bryce Gibbs [CARL] 31.00
Alan Didak [COLL] 34.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 34.00
Nicholas Naitanui [WCE] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Kane Cornes [PORT] 41.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 41.00
Shaun Higgins [WBD] 41.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 51.00
Lance Franklin [HAW] 51.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 67.00
Steve Johnson [GEEL] 67.00
Bernie Vince [ADEL] 81.00
Brad Sewell [HAW] 101.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 101.00
Brent Stanton [ESS] 101.00
Brock Mclean [CARL] 101.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 101.00
Daniel Rich [BRIS] 101.00
Luke Ball [COLL] 101.00
Luke Power [BRIS] 101.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 101.00
Ryan Griffen [WBD] 101.00
Ryan Okeefe [SYD] 101.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 101.00
The other one who seems to be good value this year is Nick Reiwoldt, at $17. Active forwards showed last year that they can poll well, and they're pretty much dominating the league at the moment in terms of their impact on results.
Looking through the list, it is an interesting exercise to look for some early vote winners in the search for value. My few would be Matthew Boyd at $29, Aaron Sandilands at $51, and Ryan O'Keefe at $101. O'Keefe is likely to have polled in both his opening games and will play a key role for the Swans as they perform above expectations.
Sportingbet Australia odds:
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 6.00
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 8.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 13.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 15.00
Sam Mitchell [HAW] 15.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 19.00
Joel Selwood [GEEL] 19.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 23.00
Marc Murphy [CARL] 23.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 26.00
Simon Black [BRIS] 26.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 29.00
Leigh Montagna [STK] 29.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 29.00
Bryce Gibbs [CARL] 31.00
Alan Didak [COLL] 34.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 34.00
Nicholas Naitanui [WCE] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Kane Cornes [PORT] 41.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 41.00
Shaun Higgins [WBD] 41.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 51.00
Lance Franklin [HAW] 51.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 67.00
Steve Johnson [GEEL] 67.00
Bernie Vince [ADEL] 81.00
Brad Sewell [HAW] 101.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 101.00
Brent Stanton [ESS] 101.00
Brock Mclean [CARL] 101.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 101.00
Daniel Rich [BRIS] 101.00
Luke Ball [COLL] 101.00
Luke Power [BRIS] 101.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 101.00
Ryan Griffen [WBD] 101.00
Ryan Okeefe [SYD] 101.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 101.00
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Australian Derby update
There are some big bets early. Follow the betting is the best course of action, particularly following Shoot Out's poor last up start:
KIWI FILLY BACKED FOR DERBY RAID
Promising NZ filly Keep The Peace has been backed from $14 to $10 to win the Australian Derby with one Sportingbet Australia punter backing her to win over $90,000.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the filly had also been well backed in Oaks markets with punters confident she can emulate the efforts of the Clarry Conners trained Research who won the double in 1989.
“As soon as we posted a final field Derby market a punter rang to have $7000 on Keep The Peace at $14,” said Sullivan.
“And with her already well backed for the Oaks it seems the Kiwis are planning a significant hit and run here.”
Zabrasive heads the Derby market at $3.20 ahead of Rock Classic at $4.00.
2010 AJC AUSTRALIAN DERBY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Zabrasive 3.20
Rock Classic 4.00
Shoot Out 5.75
Keep The Peace 11.00
Handsome Zulu 12.00
Descarado 12.00
Count Encosta 16.00
Monaco Consul 17.00
Extra Zero 35.00
Landlocked 41.00
Sherpa Tenzing 51.00
Saint Encosta 71.00
Suyama 81.00
Home On A Wing 101.00
Cedarberg 151.00
KIWI FILLY BACKED FOR DERBY RAID
Promising NZ filly Keep The Peace has been backed from $14 to $10 to win the Australian Derby with one Sportingbet Australia punter backing her to win over $90,000.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the filly had also been well backed in Oaks markets with punters confident she can emulate the efforts of the Clarry Conners trained Research who won the double in 1989.
“As soon as we posted a final field Derby market a punter rang to have $7000 on Keep The Peace at $14,” said Sullivan.
“And with her already well backed for the Oaks it seems the Kiwis are planning a significant hit and run here.”
Zabrasive heads the Derby market at $3.20 ahead of Rock Classic at $4.00.
2010 AJC AUSTRALIAN DERBY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Zabrasive 3.20
Rock Classic 4.00
Shoot Out 5.75
Keep The Peace 11.00
Handsome Zulu 12.00
Descarado 12.00
Count Encosta 16.00
Monaco Consul 17.00
Extra Zero 35.00
Landlocked 41.00
Sherpa Tenzing 51.00
Saint Encosta 71.00
Suyama 81.00
Home On A Wing 101.00
Cedarberg 151.00
Hey Hey It's Saturday vs The Pacific
You'd have to think Hey Hey will win this one ... wouldn't you?
HEY,HEY TAKES ON THE PACIFIC
Sportingbet Australia has Hey,Hey It’s Saturday as a slight favourite to defeat Seven’s boom new series The Pacific in Wednesday week’s prime time ratings battle.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while Nine could not expect the same phenomenal success that Hey, Hey received in its two reunion specials, the 7.30 timeslot gave them a slight advantage.
“The reunion specials were gold for Nine but it’s hard to imagine the same numbers this time around,” said Sullivan.
“But they are on air an hour earlier than the Pacific and should be making every effort to ensure viewers don’t switch to the Spielberg epic come 8.30.”
Sportingbet Australia’s market pays on the program with the highest median ratings figure as per official Oztam figures.
HEY HEY IT’S SATURDAY v THE PACIFIC
Sportingbet Australia Market
Hey, Hey It’s Saturday 1.85
The Pacific 1.95
HEY,HEY TAKES ON THE PACIFIC
Sportingbet Australia has Hey,Hey It’s Saturday as a slight favourite to defeat Seven’s boom new series The Pacific in Wednesday week’s prime time ratings battle.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while Nine could not expect the same phenomenal success that Hey, Hey received in its two reunion specials, the 7.30 timeslot gave them a slight advantage.
“The reunion specials were gold for Nine but it’s hard to imagine the same numbers this time around,” said Sullivan.
“But they are on air an hour earlier than the Pacific and should be making every effort to ensure viewers don’t switch to the Spielberg epic come 8.30.”
Sportingbet Australia’s market pays on the program with the highest median ratings figure as per official Oztam figures.
HEY HEY IT’S SATURDAY v THE PACIFIC
Sportingbet Australia Market
Hey, Hey It’s Saturday 1.85
The Pacific 1.95
Can Tiger Woods win the Masters?
There was an interesting debate on Sydney radio this morning - whether the new Tiger Woods would be a better or worse golfer.
Oddly to me, the two professional sportsmen on the show - Triple M's The Grill Team - thought he'd find it hard to cope without the mistresses and extravagant lifestyle.
And if I might paraphrase Stuart MacGill, he seems to think the lifestyle was an exotic escape from the rollercoaster ride of the sporting arena. He also hinted that if Shane Warne didn't lead his exotic lifestyle, he wouldn't be the same standard cricketer. Mark Geyer agreed that familiarity was important for consistency in sport.
Dare it be suggested that a nagging wife is not conducive to good results.
Then there is the counter-argument: Without all those distractions, good or bad, there would be more time to focus on golf - golf would be the distraction from all those horrible things happening outside the sporting arena.
If, as has been reported, Tiger Woods has been training 15 hours a day, he'll be itching to get back into the competitive arena. He knows and likes the course. And remember all those people who discounted him in his first tournament back from injury. Many will still remember the long putt he sank to silence his critics.
You don't have to be a fan of the man, but as punters, we need to respect his golfing ability.
A few months ago, before the media circus, I argued that Tiger was a bad bet at even money - in short, chances of him winning more than half the events he enters are minute, which means he's generally under the odds each time he steps onto the golf course.
Now, however, at $5, he's worth thinking about!
Oddly to me, the two professional sportsmen on the show - Triple M's The Grill Team - thought he'd find it hard to cope without the mistresses and extravagant lifestyle.
And if I might paraphrase Stuart MacGill, he seems to think the lifestyle was an exotic escape from the rollercoaster ride of the sporting arena. He also hinted that if Shane Warne didn't lead his exotic lifestyle, he wouldn't be the same standard cricketer. Mark Geyer agreed that familiarity was important for consistency in sport.
Dare it be suggested that a nagging wife is not conducive to good results.
Then there is the counter-argument: Without all those distractions, good or bad, there would be more time to focus on golf - golf would be the distraction from all those horrible things happening outside the sporting arena.
If, as has been reported, Tiger Woods has been training 15 hours a day, he'll be itching to get back into the competitive arena. He knows and likes the course. And remember all those people who discounted him in his first tournament back from injury. Many will still remember the long putt he sank to silence his critics.
You don't have to be a fan of the man, but as punters, we need to respect his golfing ability.
A few months ago, before the media circus, I argued that Tiger was a bad bet at even money - in short, chances of him winning more than half the events he enters are minute, which means he's generally under the odds each time he steps onto the golf course.
Now, however, at $5, he's worth thinking about!
AFL premiership market update
Below is the latest AFL premiership market. On current and potential form, Hawthorn for mine is over the odds. The other two which seem to be over the odds on current form are Sydney and Fremantle, both outside $30.
Adelaide is the big drifter, and if they are beaten by Melbourne this weekend, expect that to plummet even further.
St Kilda 4.00
Geelong 4.25
Western Bulldogs 5.00
Collingwood 7.50
Hawthorn 9.00
Brisbane 12.00
Adelaide 19.00
Carlton 31.00
Sydney 31.00
Fremantle 34.00
Port Adelaide 41.00
Essendon 81.00
West Coast 126.00
North Melbourne 251.00
Melbourne 301.00
Richmond 401.00
Adelaide is the big drifter, and if they are beaten by Melbourne this weekend, expect that to plummet even further.
St Kilda 4.00
Geelong 4.25
Western Bulldogs 5.00
Collingwood 7.50
Hawthorn 9.00
Brisbane 12.00
Adelaide 19.00
Carlton 31.00
Sydney 31.00
Fremantle 34.00
Port Adelaide 41.00
Essendon 81.00
West Coast 126.00
North Melbourne 251.00
Melbourne 301.00
Richmond 401.00
Monday, April 5, 2010
Geelong vs Hawthorn fantasy results
Just the one game to end the round:
Winners: Jimmy Bartel; Sam Mitchell; Luke Hodge.
Aussiepunt tipped Mitchell and Hodge.
Based on a $10 wager on each, that means we're up $22 on the game.
So, for the week, Aussiepunt tipped 14/24. Based on an average $2.50 return for each, and a $10 wager on each, we're up $110.
If anybody wants to give it a crack next week, take a look at the Sportingbet site. Click on AFL and scroll down to the Superstars link. It's all explained there.
Winners: Jimmy Bartel; Sam Mitchell; Luke Hodge.
Aussiepunt tipped Mitchell and Hodge.
Based on a $10 wager on each, that means we're up $22 on the game.
So, for the week, Aussiepunt tipped 14/24. Based on an average $2.50 return for each, and a $10 wager on each, we're up $110.
If anybody wants to give it a crack next week, take a look at the Sportingbet site. Click on AFL and scroll down to the Superstars link. It's all explained there.
Coleman medal: Jonathan Brown to shorten
Expect some movements tomorrow for the Coleman Medal. The odds haven't been posted yet, but expect Jonathan Brown, Nick Reiwoldt and Jared Roughhead to shorten, while Fevola, Franklin and Pavlich to drift.
I'll post the latest odds as soon as I see them.
I'll post the latest odds as soon as I see them.
American Idol ... Lee Dewyze the dark horse
Now that American Idol is down to the final 9 and it's reasonably easy to see who the last 6 will be, it's time to start looking for a dark horse.
I'm not a fan of futures betting, but Lee Dewyze at $4.50 is a good bet. He's done nothing until last week, which was a wake up call for viewers looking for an alternative vote.
Crystal Bowersox is clearly the best singer there, but personality plays a huge part and Americans, like Australians, don't mind supporting an underdog - if they think he/she has a chance to win.
Siobhan peaked early and seems to be a one-trick pony. Casey is a safe bet to run through to the final 4, but it's unlikely he can pull out the "moment" judges and voters are looking for.
Lee for mine is an even money chance and sits at overs right now. He's not my favourite, but it harps back to the old saying: "Bet with your head, not with your heart."
Check the latest odds here.
I'm not a fan of futures betting, but Lee Dewyze at $4.50 is a good bet. He's done nothing until last week, which was a wake up call for viewers looking for an alternative vote.
Crystal Bowersox is clearly the best singer there, but personality plays a huge part and Americans, like Australians, don't mind supporting an underdog - if they think he/she has a chance to win.
Siobhan peaked early and seems to be a one-trick pony. Casey is a safe bet to run through to the final 4, but it's unlikely he can pull out the "moment" judges and voters are looking for.
Lee for mine is an even money chance and sits at overs right now. He's not my favourite, but it harps back to the old saying: "Bet with your head, not with your heart."
Check the latest odds here.
AFL Hawthorn vs Geelong preview
This is set to be a cracking game, with the Hawks finding some form and Geelong not quite the same side of old. Both teams will be remembering the 2008 grand final, so intensity should be at a terrific high.
Sportingbet again has some fantasy trio betting options:
Ablett vs Bartel vs Chapman
All three were keys in their victory last week, with Ablett out to prove his loyalty to the club, he scored 129 points, including 13 kicks, 24 handballs and a couple of goals. Bartel scored 114 points and Chapman 105, but Chapman is the wildcard this week for mine. Ablett is likely to get a hard tag which means Chapman will be in a position to take up some of the slack.
Tip: While Chapman is a real chance in probably the toughest of fantasy trios, it's hard to tip against Ablett.
Joel Selwood vs Mitchell vs Corey
By his own high standards, Mitchell was just on par last week, but still managed 27 touches and 112 points, while Selwood is caught in a team with extremely high possession counts and managed 107 points, including 23 disposals and 9 tackles. Corey's intensity wasn't up to his usual standard with 80 points, but expect that to lift against the Hawks. Note the last time Geelong played the Hawks, Selwood had 42 disposals.
Tip: We'll expect Mitchell to take a leading role today to narrowly pip Selwood.
Hodge vs Lewis vs Enright
Hodge was outstanding in the first week with 34 disposals, 9 marks and 5 tackles. Throw in a goal and he racked up 142 points. Lewis had 27 disposals for 109 points and Enright 17 disposals for 90 points.
Tip: It's hard to go against form, so we'll tip Hodge to repeat his 2008 grand final dose on the Cats.
Sportingbet again has some fantasy trio betting options:
Ablett vs Bartel vs Chapman
All three were keys in their victory last week, with Ablett out to prove his loyalty to the club, he scored 129 points, including 13 kicks, 24 handballs and a couple of goals. Bartel scored 114 points and Chapman 105, but Chapman is the wildcard this week for mine. Ablett is likely to get a hard tag which means Chapman will be in a position to take up some of the slack.
Tip: While Chapman is a real chance in probably the toughest of fantasy trios, it's hard to tip against Ablett.
Joel Selwood vs Mitchell vs Corey
By his own high standards, Mitchell was just on par last week, but still managed 27 touches and 112 points, while Selwood is caught in a team with extremely high possession counts and managed 107 points, including 23 disposals and 9 tackles. Corey's intensity wasn't up to his usual standard with 80 points, but expect that to lift against the Hawks. Note the last time Geelong played the Hawks, Selwood had 42 disposals.
Tip: We'll expect Mitchell to take a leading role today to narrowly pip Selwood.
Hodge vs Lewis vs Enright
Hodge was outstanding in the first week with 34 disposals, 9 marks and 5 tackles. Throw in a goal and he racked up 142 points. Lewis had 27 disposals for 109 points and Enright 17 disposals for 90 points.
Tip: It's hard to go against form, so we'll tip Hodge to repeat his 2008 grand final dose on the Cats.
Sunday, April 4, 2010
AFL Fantasy tipping results Sunday
Three games on Sunday:
Adelaide vs Sydney:
Winners: Ryan O'Keefe; Scott Thompson; Bock.
Aussiepunt tipped O'Keefe to win for a narrow overall loss.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're down $6 on that game.
Essendon vs Fremantle:
Winners: Aaron Sandilands; Greg Broughton; Michael Barlow.
Aussiepunt tipped Broughton and Barlow for a good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $20 on that game.
Bulldogs vs Richmond:
Winners: Lindsay Gilbee; Matthew Boyd; Cooney.
Aussiepunt tipped Boyd and Cooney for a good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $20 on that game.
Adelaide vs Sydney:
Winners: Ryan O'Keefe; Scott Thompson; Bock.
Aussiepunt tipped O'Keefe to win for a narrow overall loss.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're down $6 on that game.
Essendon vs Fremantle:
Winners: Aaron Sandilands; Greg Broughton; Michael Barlow.
Aussiepunt tipped Broughton and Barlow for a good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $20 on that game.
Bulldogs vs Richmond:
Winners: Lindsay Gilbee; Matthew Boyd; Cooney.
Aussiepunt tipped Boyd and Cooney for a good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $20 on that game.
NRL Sunday tips - Warriors, Manly, Canberra, Wests
All four home teams have won so far this week, including the shock result at Shark Park.
Can it continue? If form has anything to do with it, it shouldn't.
Manly travels across the ditch to take on the Warriors, and this is one of the most difficult games to pick. The Warriors are unpredictable and perhaps one of the most under-rated sides in the competition. But Manly still has something to prove. I'd expect Manly to win the battle of the halves, while out wide is a lottery. If you like Manly, take the line for value. If you like the Warriors, they're better than even money, so take that. I don't often sit on the fence, but I'm afraid I'm struggling with this one!
In the other game, Wests take their razzle dazzle to Canberra. Wests should break the trend by winning away. Canberra's ball handling has been awful of late and they're up against the best attacking side in the NRL. Take Wests to cover the line.
Any other result would be an upset.
Can it continue? If form has anything to do with it, it shouldn't.
Manly travels across the ditch to take on the Warriors, and this is one of the most difficult games to pick. The Warriors are unpredictable and perhaps one of the most under-rated sides in the competition. But Manly still has something to prove. I'd expect Manly to win the battle of the halves, while out wide is a lottery. If you like Manly, take the line for value. If you like the Warriors, they're better than even money, so take that. I don't often sit on the fence, but I'm afraid I'm struggling with this one!
In the other game, Wests take their razzle dazzle to Canberra. Wests should break the trend by winning away. Canberra's ball handling has been awful of late and they're up against the best attacking side in the NRL. Take Wests to cover the line.
Any other result would be an upset.
AFL Bulldogs vs Richmond preview
The Bulldogs should win this game easy, but Sportingbet's fantasy markets are interesting. There are some potentially tight ones among them.
Giansiracusa vs Murphy vs Gilbee
Giansiracusa had a great pre-season but wasn't up to it last week against Collingwood with just 63 fantasy points, including 13 touches, 6 marks and 3 tackles. Murphy, however, showed that he's prepared to make space with 12 marks and 23 touches. Gilbee was also ordinary against the Pies with 17 touches, but just 1 mark and 3 tackles.
Tip: Murphy seems to be finding his old form, leading into space and running all day. He should outdo his opponents (or should we say team mates) again.
Boyd vs Cross vs Delidio
Boyd is one of the most skilled players in the AFL and despite the loss last week, still managed 38 touches, racking up 128 fantasy points. Cross seemed to be everywhere and out-tackled Boyd, but 29 possessions meant he reached 107 points. It's hard to judge a man who is part of a well defeated team, but Brett Delidio picked up 21 touches, 5 marks and 6 tackles in his 94 points.
Tip: Boyd is the class player and has terrific form.
Higgins vs Cooney vs Hargrave
On pure form, this is a tough one to pick. Cooney seems stuck on doing the extraordinary, rather than concentrating on perfecting the basics as he can, and seems to be constantly over-running the ball. His 26 touches seem good, but only 4 marks was out of character. Higgins was quiet for a half last week, but bounced back in the second to finish with 23 possessions, 5 marks and a couple of tackles, finishing just 3 fantasy points ahead of Cooney. On form, we can forget Hargrave, but needless to say the coach has probably had a few words after just 14 touches last week.
Tip: We'd expect Cooney's butter fingers to disappear this week against weaker opposition. He could have a field day.
Giansiracusa vs Murphy vs Gilbee
Giansiracusa had a great pre-season but wasn't up to it last week against Collingwood with just 63 fantasy points, including 13 touches, 6 marks and 3 tackles. Murphy, however, showed that he's prepared to make space with 12 marks and 23 touches. Gilbee was also ordinary against the Pies with 17 touches, but just 1 mark and 3 tackles.
Tip: Murphy seems to be finding his old form, leading into space and running all day. He should outdo his opponents (or should we say team mates) again.
Boyd vs Cross vs Delidio
Boyd is one of the most skilled players in the AFL and despite the loss last week, still managed 38 touches, racking up 128 fantasy points. Cross seemed to be everywhere and out-tackled Boyd, but 29 possessions meant he reached 107 points. It's hard to judge a man who is part of a well defeated team, but Brett Delidio picked up 21 touches, 5 marks and 6 tackles in his 94 points.
Tip: Boyd is the class player and has terrific form.
Higgins vs Cooney vs Hargrave
On pure form, this is a tough one to pick. Cooney seems stuck on doing the extraordinary, rather than concentrating on perfecting the basics as he can, and seems to be constantly over-running the ball. His 26 touches seem good, but only 4 marks was out of character. Higgins was quiet for a half last week, but bounced back in the second to finish with 23 possessions, 5 marks and a couple of tackles, finishing just 3 fantasy points ahead of Cooney. On form, we can forget Hargrave, but needless to say the coach has probably had a few words after just 14 touches last week.
Tip: We'd expect Cooney's butter fingers to disappear this week against weaker opposition. He could have a field day.
AFL Bombers vs Fremantle preview
Essendon should bounce back after last week, but Freo are on a high after their win against Adelaide at home last week. The Bombers home ground advantage should be enough to see them win.
Fantasy markets on Sportingbet follow:
Stanton vs Sandilands vs Prismall
Stanton was sensational last week with 33 touches, 7 marks and 8 tackles for 145 fantasy points, well ahead of Sandilands who managed 97 - 33 of them hitouts. Prismall was solid with 22 touches and 8 tackles for 98 points. These are three class players.
Tip: It's hard to tip against form, so Stanton should prevail here.
Broughton vs Watson vs Pavlich
Broughton should play more on the ball than Pavlich which gives him the edge when it comes to fantasy points. The difference will be whether Pavlich can do a Jonathan Brown or Riewoldt and dominate the half forward line. But he must also kick a bag of goals. Broughton racked up 32 touches in the win last week, adding 7 marks and 4 tackles. Pavlich was also good with 22 touches and 3 goals. Jobe Watson, by his standards, was ordinary with 18 touches, only 1 mark, 3 tackles and 2 goals.
Tip: Again, form is a good indicator, so we'll go with Broughton.
Barlow vs Winderlich vs Welsh
Barlow kicked some serious butt against Adelaide with 33 touches, 6 marks, 4 tackles and 2 goals for a score of 128. Welsh for the Bombers will need to lift considerably this week to make his team and coach happy. 22 touches, just the 1 mark and 5 tackles is not enough, nor is his 75 points. Winderlich had a great pre-season, but didn't take that form with him to the first round - just 17 possessions, 3 marks and 2 tackles.
Tip: If form is a true guide, we must favour Barlow to outscore these two opponents, although Winderlich must lift.
Fantasy markets on Sportingbet follow:
Stanton vs Sandilands vs Prismall
Stanton was sensational last week with 33 touches, 7 marks and 8 tackles for 145 fantasy points, well ahead of Sandilands who managed 97 - 33 of them hitouts. Prismall was solid with 22 touches and 8 tackles for 98 points. These are three class players.
Tip: It's hard to tip against form, so Stanton should prevail here.
Broughton vs Watson vs Pavlich
Broughton should play more on the ball than Pavlich which gives him the edge when it comes to fantasy points. The difference will be whether Pavlich can do a Jonathan Brown or Riewoldt and dominate the half forward line. But he must also kick a bag of goals. Broughton racked up 32 touches in the win last week, adding 7 marks and 4 tackles. Pavlich was also good with 22 touches and 3 goals. Jobe Watson, by his standards, was ordinary with 18 touches, only 1 mark, 3 tackles and 2 goals.
Tip: Again, form is a good indicator, so we'll go with Broughton.
Barlow vs Winderlich vs Welsh
Barlow kicked some serious butt against Adelaide with 33 touches, 6 marks, 4 tackles and 2 goals for a score of 128. Welsh for the Bombers will need to lift considerably this week to make his team and coach happy. 22 touches, just the 1 mark and 5 tackles is not enough, nor is his 75 points. Winderlich had a great pre-season, but didn't take that form with him to the first round - just 17 possessions, 3 marks and 2 tackles.
Tip: If form is a true guide, we must favour Barlow to outscore these two opponents, although Winderlich must lift.
Fantasy tipping results
There were three games yesterday.
Collingwood vs Melbourne:
Winners: Jordie McKenzie; Aaron Davey; Dane Swan.
Aussiepunt tipped McKenzie and Swan for a good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $20 on that game.
St Kilda vs North Melbourne:
Winners: Nick Dal Santo; Nick Riewoldt; David Armitage
Aussiepunt tipped Riewoldt for a narrow loss.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're down $4 on that game.
West Coast vs Port Adelaide:
Winners: Kane Cornes; Adam Selwood; Nic Natanui
Aussiepunt tipped Cornes and Selwood for another good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $22 on that game.
Collingwood vs Melbourne:
Winners: Jordie McKenzie; Aaron Davey; Dane Swan.
Aussiepunt tipped McKenzie and Swan for a good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $20 on that game.
St Kilda vs North Melbourne:
Winners: Nick Dal Santo; Nick Riewoldt; David Armitage
Aussiepunt tipped Riewoldt for a narrow loss.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're down $4 on that game.
West Coast vs Port Adelaide:
Winners: Kane Cornes; Adam Selwood; Nic Natanui
Aussiepunt tipped Cornes and Selwood for another good result.
Based on a $10 bet on each, we're up $22 on that game.
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