News that Ben Hennant is homesick paints a deeper picture of the Bulldogs' state of mind.
They looked as though they were not ready to play last week and it's unlikely they will be able to turn that frame of mind around quickly - particularly with an unhappy camp.
If there was a buzz in the Bulldogs, it would have been unlikely that Hennant would be homesick. He's used to the Brisbane hype which surrounds football in Queensland, and a fickle Sydney crowd combined with distance from his family will have done his passion no good at all.
Sure, the Bulldogs will be playing to win. But if it's close, who will have the passion? My money will be on Wayne Bennett's troops to come out on top, and for $1.50-plus, it's a good bet for mine!
Friday, March 19, 2010
South Australian election update
The bookies are all over this election stuff. Not much more I can say about it really:
MORE LATE MONEY FOR LABOR IN SA
The late money continues for Labor in South Australia with a bet of $10,000 at $1.42 struck with Sportingbet Australia.
Several late polls had the Liberals sneaking in front but punters are confident Mike Rann can hold on.
“All the money in the last 24 hours has been for the Labor to win another term and there price has shortened from $1.42 to $1.35 while the Liberals have blown out to $3.00,” said Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan.
“The party that firms in the last 24 hours before an election has a tremendous record of winning and that is clearly Labor here.
“The Liberals have done a tremendous job to close the gap but punters clearly think they will just fall short.”
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.35
Liberal 3.00
MORE LATE MONEY FOR LABOR IN SA
The late money continues for Labor in South Australia with a bet of $10,000 at $1.42 struck with Sportingbet Australia.
Several late polls had the Liberals sneaking in front but punters are confident Mike Rann can hold on.
“All the money in the last 24 hours has been for the Labor to win another term and there price has shortened from $1.42 to $1.35 while the Liberals have blown out to $3.00,” said Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan.
“The party that firms in the last 24 hours before an election has a tremendous record of winning and that is clearly Labor here.
“The Liberals have done a tremendous job to close the gap but punters clearly think they will just fall short.”
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.35
Liberal 3.00
Tasmanian election neck and neck
For those following the Tasmanian election, punters have it a tight battle. In such a situation, an upset is usually on the cards - and a likely change of government.
MAJORITY THINK IT'S TIGHT IN TASSIE
Punters are unclear who will win Government in Tasmania but they do seem certain neither party will win with a clear majority.
Sportingbet Australia have posted a market which has neither party winning a majority at $1.22 and a clear verdict as a $4.00 outsider.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been good money for Labor and the Liberals in the past 24 hours but the winner was likely to be decided by who could pull off a deal with the Greens to form Government.
“The race is very tight at the moment but the one certainty does appear to be that it will be a minority government,” Sullivan said.
“We currently have market at $1.90 each side but Liberals have been backed from $2.10 to $1.90 in the past 24 hours so they do have the momentum in the lead up to the poll.”
“The market trend is certainly suggesting the Liberals will form a minority Government.”
Sullivan said this was the closest election in betting terms he could remember.
“The money has been split almost exactly 50/50 which is extremely unusual in election betting,” Sullivan said.
“Normally punters have landed clearly on one side or the other by the day before the election but they are truly divided here.”
TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.90
Liberal 1.90
TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION – MAJORITY GOVERNMENT
Sportingbet Australia Market
No, Majority Government Not Elected 1.22
Yes, Majority Government Elected 4.00
MAJORITY THINK IT'S TIGHT IN TASSIE
Punters are unclear who will win Government in Tasmania but they do seem certain neither party will win with a clear majority.
Sportingbet Australia have posted a market which has neither party winning a majority at $1.22 and a clear verdict as a $4.00 outsider.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been good money for Labor and the Liberals in the past 24 hours but the winner was likely to be decided by who could pull off a deal with the Greens to form Government.
“The race is very tight at the moment but the one certainty does appear to be that it will be a minority government,” Sullivan said.
“We currently have market at $1.90 each side but Liberals have been backed from $2.10 to $1.90 in the past 24 hours so they do have the momentum in the lead up to the poll.”
“The market trend is certainly suggesting the Liberals will form a minority Government.”
Sullivan said this was the closest election in betting terms he could remember.
“The money has been split almost exactly 50/50 which is extremely unusual in election betting,” Sullivan said.
“Normally punters have landed clearly on one side or the other by the day before the election but they are truly divided here.”
TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.90
Liberal 1.90
TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION – MAJORITY GOVERNMENT
Sportingbet Australia Market
No, Majority Government Not Elected 1.22
Yes, Majority Government Elected 4.00
AFL television rights
If it's a flat billion, that makes the 3-1 look juicy. But I'm not into corporate bidding. Perhaps the extra little bit on top helps sway the coverage rights?
AFL BROADCAST RIGHTS - HOW MUCH WILL THEY COST?
Sportingbet Australia punters are betting on how much money the 2012 AFL television broadcast rights will cost the winning bidder.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the winning bid would almost certainly exceed the current $780m deal currently in place and was sure the market would be popular with punters.
“It’s a hot topic and we’ve already had plenty of enquiries from punters,” said Sullivan.
“Everybody has their own opinion on how rich these rights will make the AFL and punters can now back their own judgement.”
Sullivan said the option of between 1 billion and one dollars and 1.1 billion dollars had been installed as a slight $2.50 favourite.
“The talk is that 1 billion dollars is the magic mark so we’re betting there’s a partnership out there prepared to offer a little more in order to make sure,” Sullivan said.
“It’s a little like an auction bid designed to knock opponents out.”
The rights costing more than 1.1 billion dollars is second favourite at $2.75 with between 901 Million and 1 Billion dollars at $3.00.
2012 AFL TELEVISION BROADCAST RIGHTS – WINNING BID AMOUNT
Sportingbet Australia Market
1 Billion And One Dollars To 1.1 Billion Dollars 2.50
More Than 1.1 Billion Dollars 2.75
901 Million Dollars To 1 Billion Dollars 3.00
781 Million Dollars To 900 Million Dollars 26.00
780 Million Dollars Or Less 51.00
AFL BROADCAST RIGHTS - HOW MUCH WILL THEY COST?
Sportingbet Australia punters are betting on how much money the 2012 AFL television broadcast rights will cost the winning bidder.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the winning bid would almost certainly exceed the current $780m deal currently in place and was sure the market would be popular with punters.
“It’s a hot topic and we’ve already had plenty of enquiries from punters,” said Sullivan.
“Everybody has their own opinion on how rich these rights will make the AFL and punters can now back their own judgement.”
Sullivan said the option of between 1 billion and one dollars and 1.1 billion dollars had been installed as a slight $2.50 favourite.
“The talk is that 1 billion dollars is the magic mark so we’re betting there’s a partnership out there prepared to offer a little more in order to make sure,” Sullivan said.
“It’s a little like an auction bid designed to knock opponents out.”
The rights costing more than 1.1 billion dollars is second favourite at $2.75 with between 901 Million and 1 Billion dollars at $3.00.
2012 AFL TELEVISION BROADCAST RIGHTS – WINNING BID AMOUNT
Sportingbet Australia Market
1 Billion And One Dollars To 1.1 Billion Dollars 2.50
More Than 1.1 Billion Dollars 2.75
901 Million Dollars To 1 Billion Dollars 3.00
781 Million Dollars To 900 Million Dollars 26.00
780 Million Dollars Or Less 51.00
South Australian election
The power of incumbency can never be under-estimated:
LATE MONEY SAYS RANN TO HOLD POWER
Punters seem convinced Mike Rann and Labor will be returned in South Australia despite the Liberals moving ahead in some polls.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the big money in the 48 hours leading up to election day had all been for the Government who remain $1.42 favourites.
“We had seen a huge swell of support for the Liberals in the last couple of weeks but that has dried up completely as election day nears,” Sullivan said.
“We have taken a couple of bets of $3000 and more of $2000 and $1000 on Labor and this late money suggests they will hold on despite the Liberals closing the gap.
“It looks like Labor still hold enough of a break in the key marginal seats to hold on.”
Isobel Redmond is currently a $2.75 chance at Sportingbet to become South Australia’s first female Premier.
“Isobel Redmond has done an enormous job to put the Liberals back in the race after we bet as much as $5.00 about a Liberal victory last year,” Sullivan said.
“However, punters think she will just fall short of causing a huge upset in unseating Mike Rann who had an approval rating of 80% just last year.”
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.42
Liberal 2.75
LATE MONEY SAYS RANN TO HOLD POWER
Punters seem convinced Mike Rann and Labor will be returned in South Australia despite the Liberals moving ahead in some polls.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the big money in the 48 hours leading up to election day had all been for the Government who remain $1.42 favourites.
“We had seen a huge swell of support for the Liberals in the last couple of weeks but that has dried up completely as election day nears,” Sullivan said.
“We have taken a couple of bets of $3000 and more of $2000 and $1000 on Labor and this late money suggests they will hold on despite the Liberals closing the gap.
“It looks like Labor still hold enough of a break in the key marginal seats to hold on.”
Isobel Redmond is currently a $2.75 chance at Sportingbet to become South Australia’s first female Premier.
“Isobel Redmond has done an enormous job to put the Liberals back in the race after we bet as much as $5.00 about a Liberal victory last year,” Sullivan said.
“However, punters think she will just fall short of causing a huge upset in unseating Mike Rann who had an approval rating of 80% just last year.”
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.42
Liberal 2.75
Animals to watch this weekend
Here are a few animals to watch this weekend, tips courtesy of TAB in New South Wales:
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 19th March
Harold Park Race 3 - 8.00pm
No. 4 Ben Junior
Saturday 20th March
Rosehill Race 7 - 4.10pm
No.7 - Lady Lynette
Saturday 20th March
Wentworth Park Race 2 - 7.48pm
No.6 - Lochinvar Marlow
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 19th March
Harold Park Race 3 - 8.00pm
No. 4 Ben Junior
Saturday 20th March
Rosehill Race 7 - 4.10pm
No.7 - Lady Lynette
Saturday 20th March
Wentworth Park Race 2 - 7.48pm
No.6 - Lochinvar Marlow
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
Kevin Rudd to lose leadership
Kevin Rudd might be stumbling a little more than he expects at the polls, but it's not enough to get carried away with.
The $1.25 on he and Gillard again being a partnership at the next election are crazy ... this statement might well come back to bite me, but it's better than bank interest, as they say!
GILLARD TO LEAD LABOR AT NEXT ELECTION?
A day of poll-driven leadership speculation has caused seismic shifts in the Sportingbet Australia betting markets, where punters are getting behind a leadership combination of Julia Gillard and Wayne Swan at $4.50.
With the market only days old, the steady reversal in Kevin Rudd’s fortunes at the polls has spurred a show of confidence in Julia Gillard as a possible federal ALP leader and prime minister, at the next election.
While the Gillard/Swan leadership combination is the preferred second option, the combination of Gillard and high-powered finance minister Lindsay Tanner is also well in the market at $5.50 with Sportingbet Australia market.
Today’s betting has also raised the notion of a Gillard-less leadership team, perhaps following an unsuccessful challenge, with a Rudd/Swan team as an outside bet at $9.00.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters seemed to be eyeing the polls very carefully and were dropping away from the Rudd/Gillard leadership team in their droves.
“Our markets seem to be showing that punters are expecting there to be blood spilled in the PM’s office some time before the next election,” said Mr Sullivan.
“With Gillard the clear front runner for next leader, all the action is around whether it will be before or after the next election and who will be deputy.”
“Swan is the obvious choice, but has not shone in the treasury job in the same way that Tanner has in finance.”
“I would have thought Tanner would be a highly unlikely choice given he comes from the same background as Gillard, a Melbourne left-winger, but punters have a good record in these markets.”
LABOR LEADERSHIP TEAM AT NEXT FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rudd/Gillard $1.25
Gillard/Swan $4.50
Gillard/Tanner $5.50
Rudd/Swan $9.00
Any other $17.00
The $1.25 on he and Gillard again being a partnership at the next election are crazy ... this statement might well come back to bite me, but it's better than bank interest, as they say!
GILLARD TO LEAD LABOR AT NEXT ELECTION?
A day of poll-driven leadership speculation has caused seismic shifts in the Sportingbet Australia betting markets, where punters are getting behind a leadership combination of Julia Gillard and Wayne Swan at $4.50.
With the market only days old, the steady reversal in Kevin Rudd’s fortunes at the polls has spurred a show of confidence in Julia Gillard as a possible federal ALP leader and prime minister, at the next election.
While the Gillard/Swan leadership combination is the preferred second option, the combination of Gillard and high-powered finance minister Lindsay Tanner is also well in the market at $5.50 with Sportingbet Australia market.
Today’s betting has also raised the notion of a Gillard-less leadership team, perhaps following an unsuccessful challenge, with a Rudd/Swan team as an outside bet at $9.00.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters seemed to be eyeing the polls very carefully and were dropping away from the Rudd/Gillard leadership team in their droves.
“Our markets seem to be showing that punters are expecting there to be blood spilled in the PM’s office some time before the next election,” said Mr Sullivan.
“With Gillard the clear front runner for next leader, all the action is around whether it will be before or after the next election and who will be deputy.”
“Swan is the obvious choice, but has not shone in the treasury job in the same way that Tanner has in finance.”
“I would have thought Tanner would be a highly unlikely choice given he comes from the same background as Gillard, a Melbourne left-winger, but punters have a good record in these markets.”
LABOR LEADERSHIP TEAM AT NEXT FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rudd/Gillard $1.25
Gillard/Swan $4.50
Gillard/Tanner $5.50
Rudd/Swan $9.00
Any other $17.00
Who will win the Archibald Prize?
I can't say it's something I know an awful lot about, I'm more of an "I don't know much about art, but I know what I like" sort of person. But it's an interesting market to gaze over nevertheless - the Archibald Prize.
REDDY FAVOURITE FOR SECOND ARCHIE
A portrait of Northern Territory filmmaker Warwick Thornton by former winner Craig Reddy has been installed as the favourite for the 2010 Archibald Prize at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said this year’s field looked to be very open with many first time finalists but the portrait of Thornton seemed to attract the eye of many experts who had seen the exhibition.
“We have made Craig Ruddy favourite at $8.00 as the portrait has a lot of presence and he is a past winner with his portrait of David Gulpilil in 2004,” Sullivan said.
“The fact this portrait is quite similar to his 2004 winner could count against him though.”
Sportingbet have the Ian Smith portrait of 1984 Archie winner Keith Looby as second pick at $11 with 2005 and 2006 finalist Jasper Knight third favourite at $12.
“The portraits by Ian Smith and Jasper Knight are the type of paintings that have been successful in the Archibald’s in recent year and look certain contenders,” Sullivan said.
“The Packer’s prize winner, Nafisa’s portrait of Glen A Baker is also well in the market at $16 but it would have to break the trend of the Packer’s prize never having won the Archie.”
2010 Archibald Prize
Sportingbet Australia Market
Craig Ruddy - The Prince of Darkness - Warwick Thornton 8.00
Ian Smith - Keith Looby Alfresco 11.00
Jasper Knight - Bill Wright AM 12.00
Apple Yin - The Previous Life 14.00
Adam Chang - Two Eyes - Closing To Open (Simeon Kronenberg) 16.00
McLean Edwards - Tim Storrier 16.00
Khue Nguyen - Unleashed 16.00
Rodney Pople - Stelarc Triptych 16.00
Nafisa - Glenn in Black & White 16.00
Chi Kordelya - Mr Walker 18.00
Sam Leach - Tim Minchin 18.00
Nick Stathopoulos - The Bequest 18.00
Kevin Connor - Self Portrait 21.00
Peter Clifton Kendall - Underdog 21.00
Pobert Malherbe - The squire - portrait of Luke Sciberras 21.00
Victor Rubin - John Olsen - A Diptych - Part I Seated: Part II in his Bath 21.00
Greg Somers - Self Portrait with the Picture of Dory in Frey 21.00
Nigel Milsom - Adam Cullen (Bird as Prophet) 21.00
Adam Cullen - Gareth at the Country Fair 23.00
Paul Newton - Self portrait #2 – Dark Night of the Soul 23.00
Marc de Jong - Janice Petersen 26.00
Robert Hannaford - Malcolm Fraser 26.00
Paul Ryan - Danie Mellor, True Blue Country 26.00
Peter Smeeth - Peter FitzSimons, author 26.00
James Money - The Lord Mayor of Melbourne 26.00
Kate Beynon - Self Portrait with Guardian Spirits 31.00
Cherry Hood - Michael Zavros 31.00
Alexander McKenzie - Andrew Upton 31.00
Martin Ball - Jacqueline Fahey 34.00
Dean, Shane & Reilly Bowden - I Wake up with Today! 34.00
Christine OHagan - Kate Ceberano 34.00
I Wang - Bishop Elliott and Lady Jacqueline 34.00
Giles Alexander - The alternative ambassadors 41.00
Carla Fletcher - CW Stoneking 41.00
REDDY FAVOURITE FOR SECOND ARCHIE
A portrait of Northern Territory filmmaker Warwick Thornton by former winner Craig Reddy has been installed as the favourite for the 2010 Archibald Prize at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said this year’s field looked to be very open with many first time finalists but the portrait of Thornton seemed to attract the eye of many experts who had seen the exhibition.
“We have made Craig Ruddy favourite at $8.00 as the portrait has a lot of presence and he is a past winner with his portrait of David Gulpilil in 2004,” Sullivan said.
“The fact this portrait is quite similar to his 2004 winner could count against him though.”
Sportingbet have the Ian Smith portrait of 1984 Archie winner Keith Looby as second pick at $11 with 2005 and 2006 finalist Jasper Knight third favourite at $12.
“The portraits by Ian Smith and Jasper Knight are the type of paintings that have been successful in the Archibald’s in recent year and look certain contenders,” Sullivan said.
“The Packer’s prize winner, Nafisa’s portrait of Glen A Baker is also well in the market at $16 but it would have to break the trend of the Packer’s prize never having won the Archie.”
2010 Archibald Prize
Sportingbet Australia Market
Craig Ruddy - The Prince of Darkness - Warwick Thornton 8.00
Ian Smith - Keith Looby Alfresco 11.00
Jasper Knight - Bill Wright AM 12.00
Apple Yin - The Previous Life 14.00
Adam Chang - Two Eyes - Closing To Open (Simeon Kronenberg) 16.00
McLean Edwards - Tim Storrier 16.00
Khue Nguyen - Unleashed 16.00
Rodney Pople - Stelarc Triptych 16.00
Nafisa - Glenn in Black & White 16.00
Chi Kordelya - Mr Walker 18.00
Sam Leach - Tim Minchin 18.00
Nick Stathopoulos - The Bequest 18.00
Kevin Connor - Self Portrait 21.00
Peter Clifton Kendall - Underdog 21.00
Pobert Malherbe - The squire - portrait of Luke Sciberras 21.00
Victor Rubin - John Olsen - A Diptych - Part I Seated: Part II in his Bath 21.00
Greg Somers - Self Portrait with the Picture of Dory in Frey 21.00
Nigel Milsom - Adam Cullen (Bird as Prophet) 21.00
Adam Cullen - Gareth at the Country Fair 23.00
Paul Newton - Self portrait #2 – Dark Night of the Soul 23.00
Marc de Jong - Janice Petersen 26.00
Robert Hannaford - Malcolm Fraser 26.00
Paul Ryan - Danie Mellor, True Blue Country 26.00
Peter Smeeth - Peter FitzSimons, author 26.00
James Money - The Lord Mayor of Melbourne 26.00
Kate Beynon - Self Portrait with Guardian Spirits 31.00
Cherry Hood - Michael Zavros 31.00
Alexander McKenzie - Andrew Upton 31.00
Martin Ball - Jacqueline Fahey 34.00
Dean, Shane & Reilly Bowden - I Wake up with Today! 34.00
Christine OHagan - Kate Ceberano 34.00
I Wang - Bishop Elliott and Lady Jacqueline 34.00
Giles Alexander - The alternative ambassadors 41.00
Carla Fletcher - CW Stoneking 41.00
WAFL betting markets
I haven't seen too much information on the WAFL, but for those who are interested, this might prove interesting:
SOUTH FREMANTLE FAVOURITES TO OPEN AND CLOSE 2010 WITH A WIN
Last season Premiers South Fremantle are favourites to open their Premiership defence with a win over East Perth and make it make it back to back Premierships after leading on-line bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au. was first to release betting markets for 2010.
“The Bulldogs are the benchmark and we expect them to come out barking against the Royals” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Matthew Campbell.
In other Round 1 matches, the Swans are slight favourites over the Falcons while the Tigers and the Sharks are expected to take the points.
In Premiership betting, the Swans and the Tigers are just behind the Bulldogs in the betting while perennial Grand Finalists, Subiaco are next at $7.00.
WAFL Round 1
South Fremantle $1.50
East Perth $2.55
West Perth $2.05
Swan Districts $1.75
Peel Thunder $6.00
Claremont $1.12
Perth $2.55
East Fremantle $1.50
WAFL Premiership 2010
South Fremantle $3.50
Swan Districts $4.00
Claremont $4.50
Subiaco $7.00
East Perth $8.50
West Perth $14.00
East Fremantle $16.00
Perth $26.00
Peel Thunder $51.00
SOUTH FREMANTLE FAVOURITES TO OPEN AND CLOSE 2010 WITH A WIN
Last season Premiers South Fremantle are favourites to open their Premiership defence with a win over East Perth and make it make it back to back Premierships after leading on-line bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au. was first to release betting markets for 2010.
“The Bulldogs are the benchmark and we expect them to come out barking against the Royals” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Matthew Campbell.
In other Round 1 matches, the Swans are slight favourites over the Falcons while the Tigers and the Sharks are expected to take the points.
In Premiership betting, the Swans and the Tigers are just behind the Bulldogs in the betting while perennial Grand Finalists, Subiaco are next at $7.00.
WAFL Round 1
South Fremantle $1.50
East Perth $2.55
West Perth $2.05
Swan Districts $1.75
Peel Thunder $6.00
Claremont $1.12
Perth $2.55
East Fremantle $1.50
WAFL Premiership 2010
South Fremantle $3.50
Swan Districts $4.00
Claremont $4.50
Subiaco $7.00
East Perth $8.50
West Perth $14.00
East Fremantle $16.00
Perth $26.00
Peel Thunder $51.00
NRL Manly vs Parramatta specials
Parramatta will be specials this weekend against an under-manned Manly outfit. The Eels are one of the few sides who will be able to match it with the Manly forwards, but their backline spearheaded by Hayne at fullback and Tahu in the centres look likely to be too strong.
I spoke to Timana Tahu on Monday and he said the only thing which had changed in league while he'd been away was the intensity around the rucks. He said gang tackling was more prominent which meant it was harder to create space. With that knowledge under his belt, the Eels might do what other sides are now doing by throwing the ball further into space to open up their talented backline.
While talking to Tahu, at the forefront of his mind was an Origin guernsey, so if you think he'll be taking the foot off the pedal, you'd be horribly wrong. Let's pen in the Eels as specials this weekend, and $1.40 is fair odds in the early market.
Meanwhile, here's the latest from Sportingbet on that game:
MANLY BLOW OUT THE GATE AS STEWART'S INJURY SOURS SEASON
Manly have blown out the gate in premiership betting following the news that Brett Stewart’s injury will keep him out of action for most of the season.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Sea Eagles had blown from $13 last week to $21 and now looked a real chance of missing the eight.
“We couldn’t find a punter to back Manly before Stewart’s injury and now not even the most ardent Sea Eagles fan could back them,” Sullivan said.
“They showed last year they couldn’t win without Stewart and that could be exacerbated by the absence of an experienced half following Matt Orford’s departure.
“Manly had been as short as $7.00 in premiership markets before Orford left and this is as big a drift you will see in premiership markets after just one round.”
Sportingbet Australia have Manly $2.90 outsiders for their clash with the Eels at Parramatta Stadium on Sunday.
PARRAMATTA V MANLY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Parramatta 1.40
Manly 2.90
NRL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Melbourne Storm 6.50
Parramatta Eels 6.50
St George Dragons 7.50
Canterbury Bulldogs 8.00
Gold Coast Titans 11.00
Wests Tigers 11.00
Penrith Panthers 15.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 15.00
Brisbane Broncos 17.00
Sydney Roosters 17.00
Manly Sea Eagles 21.00
North Qld Cowboys 23.00
New Zealand Warriors 34.00
Newcastle Knights 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
Cronulla Sharks 51.00
I spoke to Timana Tahu on Monday and he said the only thing which had changed in league while he'd been away was the intensity around the rucks. He said gang tackling was more prominent which meant it was harder to create space. With that knowledge under his belt, the Eels might do what other sides are now doing by throwing the ball further into space to open up their talented backline.
While talking to Tahu, at the forefront of his mind was an Origin guernsey, so if you think he'll be taking the foot off the pedal, you'd be horribly wrong. Let's pen in the Eels as specials this weekend, and $1.40 is fair odds in the early market.
Meanwhile, here's the latest from Sportingbet on that game:
MANLY BLOW OUT THE GATE AS STEWART'S INJURY SOURS SEASON
Manly have blown out the gate in premiership betting following the news that Brett Stewart’s injury will keep him out of action for most of the season.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Sea Eagles had blown from $13 last week to $21 and now looked a real chance of missing the eight.
“We couldn’t find a punter to back Manly before Stewart’s injury and now not even the most ardent Sea Eagles fan could back them,” Sullivan said.
“They showed last year they couldn’t win without Stewart and that could be exacerbated by the absence of an experienced half following Matt Orford’s departure.
“Manly had been as short as $7.00 in premiership markets before Orford left and this is as big a drift you will see in premiership markets after just one round.”
Sportingbet Australia have Manly $2.90 outsiders for their clash with the Eels at Parramatta Stadium on Sunday.
PARRAMATTA V MANLY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Parramatta 1.40
Manly 2.90
NRL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Melbourne Storm 6.50
Parramatta Eels 6.50
St George Dragons 7.50
Canterbury Bulldogs 8.00
Gold Coast Titans 11.00
Wests Tigers 11.00
Penrith Panthers 15.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 15.00
Brisbane Broncos 17.00
Sydney Roosters 17.00
Manly Sea Eagles 21.00
North Qld Cowboys 23.00
New Zealand Warriors 34.00
Newcastle Knights 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
Cronulla Sharks 51.00
Tiger Woods favourite for Masters
Bookies have been quick this morning to place Tiger Woods at the top of their lines for the Masters. They would have lost a heap to those willing to back that Woods would return for the event. Now, it seems, they'll be willing to take him on against a strong field.
Woods will no doubt be keen to get back on the golf course, and if he can make the cut, he's as good a chance as any to take out the tournament. Anybody who's played much sport will dismiss any theory that he might be a bit rusty. All the psychology will be firmly in his favour.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
GOLF: TIGER INSTALLED FAVOURITE FOR US MASTERS
Tiger Woods has been instantly installed as favourite for the US Masters after announcing he would return to golf at Augusta in April.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Woods’ dominance over the past decade meant he had to be favourite despite being out of the game for months.
“We are posting Tiger as a $4.50 favourite for the Masters and I am sure punters will be keen to back him,” Sullivan said.
“Woods was a $3.00 favourite for last year’s Masters so the time out has had an effect on his price.
“Tiger has the biggest following of any sportsmen among punters because he has looked after them so many times in the past and I am sure they will back him here.
“There is no doubt he will start the tournament as favourite and it would be a brave man to say he couldn’t win.”
Woods will no doubt be keen to get back on the golf course, and if he can make the cut, he's as good a chance as any to take out the tournament. Anybody who's played much sport will dismiss any theory that he might be a bit rusty. All the psychology will be firmly in his favour.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
GOLF: TIGER INSTALLED FAVOURITE FOR US MASTERS
Tiger Woods has been instantly installed as favourite for the US Masters after announcing he would return to golf at Augusta in April.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Woods’ dominance over the past decade meant he had to be favourite despite being out of the game for months.
“We are posting Tiger as a $4.50 favourite for the Masters and I am sure punters will be keen to back him,” Sullivan said.
“Woods was a $3.00 favourite for last year’s Masters so the time out has had an effect on his price.
“Tiger has the biggest following of any sportsmen among punters because he has looked after them so many times in the past and I am sure they will back him here.
“There is no doubt he will start the tournament as favourite and it would be a brave man to say he couldn’t win.”
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Golden Slipper attracts Star Witness
There has been a lot of publicity and talk about Star Witness in the media lately. The horse cost $150,000 and is now worth in excess of $6 million - a good investment by any standards.
But it is open to debate whether the publicity is leading to the betting plunge, or actual ability of the horse. No doubt it is a quality nag. History will tell whether it's worth following the punters though.
BIG SLIPPER PLUNGE ON STAR WITNESS
Blue Diamond winner Star Witness has been the subject of a betting plunge shortening from $10 to $6.50 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he had taken bets to take out over $250,000 on the colt and he was now his worst result for the Slipper.
“We took two bets of $90,000 to $10,000 and we took another bet of $5000 as the price tumbled in as well,” Sullivan said.
“He has clearly been the best backed runner since connections changed their mind about coming to Sydney.
“His Blue Diamond win was outstanding and with the pace sure to be on in the Slipper, his pattern of sitting off the speed should suit.”
Sullivan said punters were looking away from the Sydney form at the moment.
“We have been best price Beneteau and Chance Bye who look to have the some of the best Sydney form away from Solar Charged and we can’t find a punter to back them.
“Magic Millions winner Military Rose has been the other runner they have come for in the last week with bets to take out over $50,000 arriving for her.”
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 4.20
Star Witness (nn) 6.50
Crystal Lily (nn) 7.50
Military Rose 11.00
Chance Bye 13.00
Elimbari 13.00
Beneteau 13.00
Hinchinbrook 13.00
Zutara 13.00
Ambers Waltz 15.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Psychologist 17.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
My Amelia 23.00
Shrapnel 23.00
Divorces 26.00
Skilled 31.00
Brightexpectations 31.00
Hiatus 35.00
Maules Creek 35.00
Mafia Miss 35.00
Evidentia 35.00
Intertidal 35.00
But it is open to debate whether the publicity is leading to the betting plunge, or actual ability of the horse. No doubt it is a quality nag. History will tell whether it's worth following the punters though.
BIG SLIPPER PLUNGE ON STAR WITNESS
Blue Diamond winner Star Witness has been the subject of a betting plunge shortening from $10 to $6.50 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he had taken bets to take out over $250,000 on the colt and he was now his worst result for the Slipper.
“We took two bets of $90,000 to $10,000 and we took another bet of $5000 as the price tumbled in as well,” Sullivan said.
“He has clearly been the best backed runner since connections changed their mind about coming to Sydney.
“His Blue Diamond win was outstanding and with the pace sure to be on in the Slipper, his pattern of sitting off the speed should suit.”
Sullivan said punters were looking away from the Sydney form at the moment.
“We have been best price Beneteau and Chance Bye who look to have the some of the best Sydney form away from Solar Charged and we can’t find a punter to back them.
“Magic Millions winner Military Rose has been the other runner they have come for in the last week with bets to take out over $50,000 arriving for her.”
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 4.20
Star Witness (nn) 6.50
Crystal Lily (nn) 7.50
Military Rose 11.00
Chance Bye 13.00
Elimbari 13.00
Beneteau 13.00
Hinchinbrook 13.00
Zutara 13.00
Ambers Waltz 15.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Psychologist 17.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
My Amelia 23.00
Shrapnel 23.00
Divorces 26.00
Skilled 31.00
Brightexpectations 31.00
Hiatus 35.00
Maules Creek 35.00
Mafia Miss 35.00
Evidentia 35.00
Intertidal 35.00
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