If the English team is half passionate, then the 25-1 on shedding tears on the pitch is great value for mine. First, they'd have to lose. Second, they'd have to care that they lost. Pretty good odds, I'd think, unless of course there's some small print I haven't seen.
Victor Chandler make it a 9/4 chance that Fabio Capello picks the same starting line up against Germany that he did against Slovenia.
“There is a worry that Wayne Rooney’s injury could rule him out of contention” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “But the rumours suggest it doesn’t seem serious. Another issue is whether Matthew Upson retains his place over Jamie Carragher after an impressive display, and of course, there is every chance that Capello throws in a curve ball with a team selection we are not expecting.”
Joe Cole is 7/4 to start against Germany, a bigger price than he was to start against Slovenia.
Cole incurred the wrath of Fabio Capello in the latter stages of the Slovenia match when he gave away possession instead of playing keep ball, and this might have a bearing on Capello’s decision. The firm also make it a 25/1 chance that an England player sheds tears on the pitch during the game as Gazza did in 1990.
“It’s unlikely to happen, but it’ll be a highly charged atmosphere on Sunday so we could see a few sniffles from someone.” Wilkins added.
England starting line-up same as Slovenia…….9/4
Joe Cole to start 7/4
Not to start 2/5
England player shedding tears on pitch 25/1
Thursday, June 24, 2010
Wimbledon's longest match ... how long will it last?
You'd have to think that as players return to the court fresh, that under 123 games would be the go, but these guys have already defied the odds. They've done some remarkable stuff.
WIMBLEDON MARATHON - HOW LONG CAN ONE MATCH LAST?
John Isner and Nicolas Mahut will enter the 11th hour of their first round match at Wimbledon tonight and Sportingbet Australia have posted a market on how much longer the marathon clash will last.
The match is already a world record with the fifth and final set locked at 59 all and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were backing the game to keep going for some time yet.
“We have posted a market on how much further the record will be extended and punters are backing Isner and Mahut to go over 123.5,” Sullivan said.
“You would think both players would have to be completely knackered and a result may come quickly but both players have an enormous serve so a break will be hard to come by as obviously has been the case so far.
“It’s incredible to watch a game of tennis that has the scoreboard unable to keep track with the number of games played.”
Sportingbet has Isner as a slight favourite at $1.87 to finally win the match with Mahut as the $1.95 outsider.
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Total Games
Sportingbet Australia Market
Over 123.5 Games $1.87
Under 123.5 Games $1.93
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Winner
Sportingbet Australia Market
John Isner $1.87
Nicolas Mahut $1.95
WIMBLEDON MARATHON - HOW LONG CAN ONE MATCH LAST?
John Isner and Nicolas Mahut will enter the 11th hour of their first round match at Wimbledon tonight and Sportingbet Australia have posted a market on how much longer the marathon clash will last.
The match is already a world record with the fifth and final set locked at 59 all and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were backing the game to keep going for some time yet.
“We have posted a market on how much further the record will be extended and punters are backing Isner and Mahut to go over 123.5,” Sullivan said.
“You would think both players would have to be completely knackered and a result may come quickly but both players have an enormous serve so a break will be hard to come by as obviously has been the case so far.
“It’s incredible to watch a game of tennis that has the scoreboard unable to keep track with the number of games played.”
Sportingbet has Isner as a slight favourite at $1.87 to finally win the match with Mahut as the $1.95 outsider.
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Total Games
Sportingbet Australia Market
Over 123.5 Games $1.87
Under 123.5 Games $1.93
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Winner
Sportingbet Australia Market
John Isner $1.87
Nicolas Mahut $1.95
Bookie says fair's fair for unlucky Socceroos punters
Online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au has pledged to refund bets on the Socceroos after their heroic performance against Serbia left them just short of progressing in the tournament.
The bookie will refund more than $50,000 in bets on the Socceroos to qualify for the Round of 16 and to win the World Cup.
“The Socceroos were heroic and have been very unlucky, so we think it’s only fair we refund punters who have placed their hard-earned on them,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The lads put in a great effort today against Serbia but were cruelled by dubious red cards earlier in the tournament.”
The Socceroos are short-priced favourites at $1.25 to qualify for the 2014 World Cup, and are $151 to hold the trophy aloft in Brazil.
Socceroos to qualify for 2014 World Cup
$1.25 Yes, the Socceroos will qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$3.75 No, the Socceroos will not qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$151 Socceroos to win the 2014 World Cup
The bookie will refund more than $50,000 in bets on the Socceroos to qualify for the Round of 16 and to win the World Cup.
“The Socceroos were heroic and have been very unlucky, so we think it’s only fair we refund punters who have placed their hard-earned on them,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The lads put in a great effort today against Serbia but were cruelled by dubious red cards earlier in the tournament.”
The Socceroos are short-priced favourites at $1.25 to qualify for the 2014 World Cup, and are $151 to hold the trophy aloft in Brazil.
Socceroos to qualify for 2014 World Cup
$1.25 Yes, the Socceroos will qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$3.75 No, the Socceroos will not qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$151 Socceroos to win the 2014 World Cup
Labor firms with news of Julia Gillard as first woman PM
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan reported a series of big bets on Labor at $1.70 shortly after Gillard’s intention to challenge became public.
“We took one bet of $10,000 and three of $5000 as Labor shortened from $1.70 to $1.55 late last night,” Sullivan said.
“We shortened Labor up further to $1.50 this morning following the confirmation that Gillard would lead them to the election.
“There is no doubt Kevin Rudd was on the nose with the electorate and Gillard has the chance to improve Labor’s standing in the polls almost immediately.”
Sullivan said Labor had been as short as $1.15 for the election in November last year but had blown out dramatically as Rudd’s popularity dwindled.
“We hadn’t seen any money at all for Labor in the past couple of months and it was only when punters realised that Gillard would be leader that the money rolled in,” Sullivan said.
“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Labor shorten up even further particularly if Gillard enjoys a similar honeymoon period to Rudd or Tony Abbott.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.50
Coalition 2.50
“We took one bet of $10,000 and three of $5000 as Labor shortened from $1.70 to $1.55 late last night,” Sullivan said.
“We shortened Labor up further to $1.50 this morning following the confirmation that Gillard would lead them to the election.
“There is no doubt Kevin Rudd was on the nose with the electorate and Gillard has the chance to improve Labor’s standing in the polls almost immediately.”
Sullivan said Labor had been as short as $1.15 for the election in November last year but had blown out dramatically as Rudd’s popularity dwindled.
“We hadn’t seen any money at all for Labor in the past couple of months and it was only when punters realised that Gillard would be leader that the money rolled in,” Sullivan said.
“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Labor shorten up even further particularly if Gillard enjoys a similar honeymoon period to Rudd or Tony Abbott.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.50
Coalition 2.50
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Michael Barlow the Brownlow bolter
There will be a few people sitting around, saying quite simply: "Wish I'd got him at 1000-1!"
BARLOW POISED TO CAUSE BIGGEST BROWNLOW SHOCK OF ALL TIME
First season player Michael Barlow continues to be the surprise packet of the season with the Docker now into third pick at $11 for the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.
Barlow wasn’t even in Sportingbet’s Brownlow market before the season but punters have been knocking down the door to back him since round two.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said a first season player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest shocks he had seen in his years as a bookie.
“He would have been at least $1001 before the season but to be truthful we hadn’t even heard of him,” Sullivan said.
“After round two we put him in the market at $151 and punters have been knocking each other over to get on.
“He was $15 last week and after another brilliant game on the weekend, we have seen plenty of smart money come for him again this week and we have had to shorten him up again.
“He is only behind Gary Ablett and Luke Hodge in our market and ahead of blokes like Brendon Goddard, Chris Judd, Dane Swan and Jimmy Bartel.
“A first year player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest upsets I can think of but he looks a genuine chance.”
Ablett retains favouritism in Sportingbet’s market at $4.00 ahead of Hodge at $9.00 and Barlow at $11.
2010 Brownlow Medal
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 4.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 9.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 11.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 12.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 15.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 15.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 17.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 21.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 21.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 34.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 51.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus
BARLOW POISED TO CAUSE BIGGEST BROWNLOW SHOCK OF ALL TIME
First season player Michael Barlow continues to be the surprise packet of the season with the Docker now into third pick at $11 for the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.
Barlow wasn’t even in Sportingbet’s Brownlow market before the season but punters have been knocking down the door to back him since round two.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said a first season player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest shocks he had seen in his years as a bookie.
“He would have been at least $1001 before the season but to be truthful we hadn’t even heard of him,” Sullivan said.
“After round two we put him in the market at $151 and punters have been knocking each other over to get on.
“He was $15 last week and after another brilliant game on the weekend, we have seen plenty of smart money come for him again this week and we have had to shorten him up again.
“He is only behind Gary Ablett and Luke Hodge in our market and ahead of blokes like Brendon Goddard, Chris Judd, Dane Swan and Jimmy Bartel.
“A first year player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest upsets I can think of but he looks a genuine chance.”
Ablett retains favouritism in Sportingbet’s market at $4.00 ahead of Hodge at $9.00 and Barlow at $11.
2010 Brownlow Medal
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 4.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 9.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 11.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 12.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 15.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 15.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 17.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 21.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 21.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 34.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 51.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus
Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Anyone a Masterchef expert?
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe the State of Origin achieved around 3.8 million viewers. Given that the non-league playing states - ie, Victoria, SA and WA - will take an interest in Masterchef, you'd have to think the number would be slightly higher.
There's a reason the bookies have bunched together the figures between 4.5 and 5 million. Get it right, and the odds are enticing.
WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE THROUGH THE ROOF?
Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on how the Masterchef Finale will rate in 2010.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the market allowed punters keen to bet on Masterchef’s outcome an alternative as its ratings success had created tremendous speculation.
“We’ve had plenty of punters asking us to bet on the outcome of this show but its pre recorded nature makes this impossible,” said Sullivan
“With Masterchef’s ratings success causing plenty of discussion we thought odds on the final’s ratings would make a good alternative.
Last year 3.7 million Australian’s watched the series one final and with series two ratings going through the roof, several pundits have predicted the final could break the five million viewer mark, so it will be interesting to see which option the punters come for.”
Sportingbet Australia bookmakers are predicting the final will rate between 3.91 and 4 million viewers, installing that option as a $5.50 favourite.
HOW WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE?
Sportingbet Australia Market
3.91 Million To 4 Milllion 5.50
3.81 Million to 3.9 Million 6.00
5.1 Million or More 6.00
4.1 Million to 4.2 Million 7.00
4.21 Million to 4.3 Million 7.50
4.31 Million To 4.4 Million 8.50
4.41 Million to 4.5 Million 9.00
3.71 Million To 3.8 Million 9.00
Less Than 3.5 Million 10.00
4.51 Million to 4.6 Million 11.00
4.61 Million to 4.7 Million 11.00
4.71 Million to 4.8 Million 12.00
4.81 Million to 4.9 Million 12.00
4.91 Million to 5 Million 13.00
3.61 Million to 3.7 Million 14.00
3.5 Million to 3.6 Million 17.00
There's a reason the bookies have bunched together the figures between 4.5 and 5 million. Get it right, and the odds are enticing.
WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE THROUGH THE ROOF?
Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on how the Masterchef Finale will rate in 2010.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the market allowed punters keen to bet on Masterchef’s outcome an alternative as its ratings success had created tremendous speculation.
“We’ve had plenty of punters asking us to bet on the outcome of this show but its pre recorded nature makes this impossible,” said Sullivan
“With Masterchef’s ratings success causing plenty of discussion we thought odds on the final’s ratings would make a good alternative.
Last year 3.7 million Australian’s watched the series one final and with series two ratings going through the roof, several pundits have predicted the final could break the five million viewer mark, so it will be interesting to see which option the punters come for.”
Sportingbet Australia bookmakers are predicting the final will rate between 3.91 and 4 million viewers, installing that option as a $5.50 favourite.
HOW WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE?
Sportingbet Australia Market
3.91 Million To 4 Milllion 5.50
3.81 Million to 3.9 Million 6.00
5.1 Million or More 6.00
4.1 Million to 4.2 Million 7.00
4.21 Million to 4.3 Million 7.50
4.31 Million To 4.4 Million 8.50
4.41 Million to 4.5 Million 9.00
3.71 Million To 3.8 Million 9.00
Less Than 3.5 Million 10.00
4.51 Million to 4.6 Million 11.00
4.61 Million to 4.7 Million 11.00
4.71 Million to 4.8 Million 12.00
4.81 Million to 4.9 Million 12.00
4.91 Million to 5 Million 13.00
3.61 Million to 3.7 Million 14.00
3.5 Million to 3.6 Million 17.00
World Cup novelty bets for England
Here are some novelty bets on England's next World Cup game. They're interesting, if not overly enticing!
COLE, ROONEY AND TERRY SPECIAL WITH VICTOR CHANDLER
As the tension mounts in the lead up to the England v Slovenia match, Victor Chandler have opened a market on Joe Cole being England’s hero on Wednesday. The firm go 16/1 that Joe Cole starts the match, scores a goal and then bags the FIFA Man of the Match award.
“The English public has made it quite clear that they would like to see Joe Cole in the line up.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “And let’s face it England need a hero at the moment and Joe could be the man.”
VC also have a number of markets which might interest those who feel that England will struggle to qualify on Wednesday afternoon. They make it a 20/1 chance that any England players square up in an on-field bust up and 4/1 that a player shows dissent to Fabio Capello when he is substituted. It’s a 5/1 shot that John Terry gets substituted and 11/4 that Wayne Rooney returns to the bench.
Any England players to have an on-field bust up with one another 20/1
Any England player to show dissent when substituted 4/1
Joe Cole to start, score and win FIFA Man of the Match 16/1
John Terry to be substituted against Slovenia 5/1
Wayne Rooney to be substituted against Slovenia 11/4
COLE, ROONEY AND TERRY SPECIAL WITH VICTOR CHANDLER
As the tension mounts in the lead up to the England v Slovenia match, Victor Chandler have opened a market on Joe Cole being England’s hero on Wednesday. The firm go 16/1 that Joe Cole starts the match, scores a goal and then bags the FIFA Man of the Match award.
“The English public has made it quite clear that they would like to see Joe Cole in the line up.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “And let’s face it England need a hero at the moment and Joe could be the man.”
VC also have a number of markets which might interest those who feel that England will struggle to qualify on Wednesday afternoon. They make it a 20/1 chance that any England players square up in an on-field bust up and 4/1 that a player shows dissent to Fabio Capello when he is substituted. It’s a 5/1 shot that John Terry gets substituted and 11/4 that Wayne Rooney returns to the bench.
Any England players to have an on-field bust up with one another 20/1
Any England player to show dissent when substituted 4/1
Joe Cole to start, score and win FIFA Man of the Match 16/1
John Terry to be substituted against Slovenia 5/1
Wayne Rooney to be substituted against Slovenia 11/4
Harry Kewell bet a nice stunt
The World Cup is a competitive market, so bookmakers look for every edge they can to get their name in lights. To frame a market on whether Harry Kewell will play in four years time is nothing short of a stunt - granted, a good one, but a stunt nevertheless. Who in their right mind will put hard-earned on a $1.05 future bet.
I have a friend who often says: "Better than bank interest" when he wins a bet on a short-priced favourite. He wouldn't be saying it on this occasion!
KEWELL LONG ODDS TO PLAY IN NEXT WORLD CUP
Leading online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au rates Harry Kewell only an outside chance to play in the 2014 World Cup.
The bookie has priced Kewell at $8 to play in Brazil, while only offering $1.05 on Harry not to play.
“Harry would be almost 36 before the next World Cup and his body has to stand up to another four tough years of football,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Let’s hope all the planets align and we can go deep into this World Cup because it would be a shame for Harry to bow out after a dubious red card decision.
“It seems unlikely he’ll be there in four years time but as Aussies we’d love to be proven wrong.”
In other World Cup betting news, Australia are rated a $4 chance to beat Serbia, but are paying $11 to make it past the group stage.
Brazil and Argentina have been the best backed teams to win the World Cup, while one punter clearly has a crystal ball as he placed $10 on Portugal to win 7-0 against North Korea overnight at the odds of $401 for a $4,000 win!
All markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Will Harry Kewell play in the 2014 World Cup?
$8.00 Harry Kewell to play in the 2014 World Cup
$1.05 Harry Kewell not to play in the 2014 World Cup
Australia vs Serbia
$4.00 Australia
$3.75 Draw
$1.83 Serbia
$11 Australia to make the Round of 16
2010 World Cup Winner
$5 Brazil
$5.50 Argentina
$5.50 Spain
$9 Holland
$11 Germany
$11 England
$21 Italy
$23 Portugal
$751 Australia
$1001 New Zealand
I have a friend who often says: "Better than bank interest" when he wins a bet on a short-priced favourite. He wouldn't be saying it on this occasion!
KEWELL LONG ODDS TO PLAY IN NEXT WORLD CUP
Leading online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au rates Harry Kewell only an outside chance to play in the 2014 World Cup.
The bookie has priced Kewell at $8 to play in Brazil, while only offering $1.05 on Harry not to play.
“Harry would be almost 36 before the next World Cup and his body has to stand up to another four tough years of football,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Let’s hope all the planets align and we can go deep into this World Cup because it would be a shame for Harry to bow out after a dubious red card decision.
“It seems unlikely he’ll be there in four years time but as Aussies we’d love to be proven wrong.”
In other World Cup betting news, Australia are rated a $4 chance to beat Serbia, but are paying $11 to make it past the group stage.
Brazil and Argentina have been the best backed teams to win the World Cup, while one punter clearly has a crystal ball as he placed $10 on Portugal to win 7-0 against North Korea overnight at the odds of $401 for a $4,000 win!
All markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Will Harry Kewell play in the 2014 World Cup?
$8.00 Harry Kewell to play in the 2014 World Cup
$1.05 Harry Kewell not to play in the 2014 World Cup
Australia vs Serbia
$4.00 Australia
$3.75 Draw
$1.83 Serbia
$11 Australia to make the Round of 16
2010 World Cup Winner
$5 Brazil
$5.50 Argentina
$5.50 Spain
$9 Holland
$11 Germany
$11 England
$21 Italy
$23 Portugal
$751 Australia
$1001 New Zealand
Coalition firms further as polls indicate victory
If you're keen on the Coalition to win the next election, and many now are, now would be the time to get on. Only one warning, however: Never underestimate the power of incumbency.
ELECTION: COALITION BACKED TO TAKE OUT NEARLY $100,000
A string of big bets has been placed on Tony Abbott to be Australia’s next Prime Minister with the Coalition shortening from $2.75 to $2.40 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
The Coalition has been backed to take out nearly $100,000 at Sportingbet in the past month and CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been next to no money for Kevin Rudd and Labor during the same period.
“We took one bet of $15,000 at $2.60 on the Coalition as well as multiple bets of $5000 and a huge amount of smaller bets,” Sullivan said.
“There is only one side punters want to back and at this rate it might not be too long before Tony Abbott is favourite to move into the Lodge.
“We can’t write a bet on Labor and they have drifted out to $1.55 after being as short as $1.15 in November last year.
“I can’t see us writing a decent bet on them until they start to turn things around.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.55
Coalition 2.40
ELECTION: COALITION BACKED TO TAKE OUT NEARLY $100,000
A string of big bets has been placed on Tony Abbott to be Australia’s next Prime Minister with the Coalition shortening from $2.75 to $2.40 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
The Coalition has been backed to take out nearly $100,000 at Sportingbet in the past month and CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been next to no money for Kevin Rudd and Labor during the same period.
“We took one bet of $15,000 at $2.60 on the Coalition as well as multiple bets of $5000 and a huge amount of smaller bets,” Sullivan said.
“There is only one side punters want to back and at this rate it might not be too long before Tony Abbott is favourite to move into the Lodge.
“We can’t write a bet on Labor and they have drifted out to $1.55 after being as short as $1.15 in November last year.
“I can’t see us writing a decent bet on them until they start to turn things around.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.55
Coalition 2.40
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