Friday, February 12, 2010

Special for Randwick tomorrow

This seems like a good thing to follow. Statement comes from Sportingbet.

SNITZEL'S HALF BROTHER WELL BACKED AT RANDWICK

Some big money has arrived at Sportingbet Australia for Gerard Ryan’s half brother to Snitzel, Hinchinbrook, to win on debut at Randwick tomorrow.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the son of Fastnet Rock had been backed in from $3.10 to $2.50.

“We’ve taken a string of bets on this bloke including one of $10,000 at the $3.10,” said Sullivan.

“By all accounts he was ultra impressive at his latest trial and the money suggests he’ll be hard to beat tomorrow.”

Sullivan said there had also been a nibble on the horse to win the Golden Slipper.

“He’s been backed from $34 to $17 with us so you’d have to think it has its fair share of ability,” he said.

Tiger Woods to surface in Augusta

This is a prime example of how bookmakers are diversifying their markets. They're asking whether Tiger Woods will play at the season's first major. Origin reports said he'd take 12 months off.

Here's the word from Sportsbet.com:


Following recent reports that Tiger Woods may play at the Accenture Match Play Championship next week, Sportsbet.com.au were quickly swamped by punters wishing to bet that Tiger would be a no-show.

“We put up $1.55 on Tiger not playing at the Accenture Match Play Championship, which was quickly smashed into $1.30,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“Given Accenture was one of the first companies to drop Tiger it would surprise if he made his comeback at this event.”

Talk has now focused on whether or not Tiger will tee it up at this year’s first Major - The US Masters - which begins on April 8 at Augusta.

“We think Tiger will make it back for the Masters and have installed him as a $1.35 favourite to play at Augusta, with $3.05 available on Tiger not to play the year’s first Major,” said Lane.

All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

Will Tiger play in the 2010 Masters at Augusta?
$1.35 Yes
$3.05 No

Which Major will Tiger win next?
$3.50 2010 US Masters
$5 2010 US Open
$6 2010 British Masters
$10 2010 US PGA
$13 2011 US Masters
$19 2011 US Open
$26 2011 British Open
$51 2011 US PGA

Tasmanian election on a knife edge

Usually, punters have a fairly good idea of how an election might pan out. The Tasmanian state election is an exception. If the odds are any indication, it could be a cliffhanger.

LABOR SLIGHT FAVOURITE BUT PHOTO FINISH EXPECTED

Labor has been posted as a slight favourite, at Sportingbet Australia, to be returned in Tasmania after Premier David Bartlett called a state election for March 20.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Labor were in real danger of losing government but retained favouritism at this stage.

“Labor are $1.80 favourites but I wouldn’t be surprised to see support come from punters for the Liberals here,” Sullivan said.

“The Liberals are $2.00 outsiders but that could well change before March 20.

“The Greens will also be a major factor here in Tasmania again and could potentially hold the balance of power.”

Sportingbet Australia’s market pays on the party that provides the Premier so any deal with the Greens could be very influential.

TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.80
Liberal 2.00

William Reid Stakes market fluctuations

More news on the William Reid Stakes, this time from Centrebet:

PUNTERS CAUTIOUS AHEAD OF WILLIAM REID STAKES

Punters are treading warily ahead of the Group 1 William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley following Thursday’s downpour according to leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.

“A few of the big punters have said they will wait and see how the track is faring on race day before they step up,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“The early scratching of Black Caviar has really opened up the market. At this stage Nicconi has been the best backed, while Shellscrape, who loves the sting out of the ground, has been backed from $5 into $4.20.”

Market courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

2010 William Reid Stakes
$3.20 Nicconi
$3.60 Wanted
$4.20 Shellscrape
$7 Light Fantastic
$10 Turffontein
$12 Sniper’s Bullet
$26 Mentality
$151 Master O’Rielly

Big bets for Offloaded in Alistair Clark Stakes

It's always nice to know where the money's going ...

PUNTERS UNLOAD ON OFFLOADED

All the talk may have centered around Extra Zero and Linton but punters have decided Lohnro gelding Offhanded is the horse to beat in tomorrow’s Alistair Clark Stakes at Moonee Valley.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Darley galloper had been backed in from $4.60 to $4.00 in the space of an hour.

“The phones rang hot on Friday morning with punters wanting to back the Sydney visitor,” said Sullivan.

“Offhanded hit the line hard last time ay Randwick and has an outstanding record with the sting out of the ground.”

Sullivan said he would not be surprised to see Offhanded firm into favouritism with doubts over his two major challengers.

“Linton was impressive at Cranbourne but this is a fair step up from maiden company, while Extra Zero has shown plenty but has an ordinary strike rate.”

“I would not be surprised in the least if the money doesn’t ease up for Offhanded.”

ALISTAIR CLARK STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Linton 3.80
Extra Zero 4.00
Offhanded 4.00
Rake The Rap 10.00
Eraset 11.00
At The Heads 12.00
Viking Hero 12.00
Cosmocrat 15.00
Prost 101.00
Full Metal Jacket 101.00

Thursday, February 11, 2010

William Reid Stakes

Plenty of news coming through on the William Reid Stakes. First, from IASbet:

TOP FILLY SCRATCHING GIVES NEW LIFE TO WILLIAM REID STAKES

Betting for the Group 1 William Reid Stakes has been turned on its head following the scratching of hot favourite Black Caviar reports IASbet.com's John Hartnett.

"It's a wide open race now without the champion filly," said Hartnett. "The three place getters of the Lightning Stakes are now the top three in the market in Nicconi ($5.50 into $3.20), Wanted ($6.50 into $3.40), and Shellscrape ($11.00 into $4.50)."

"I think Shellscrape finds his right race here. He hasn't raced at the Valley, although he is very suited to the 1200m and he likes the cut out of the ground."

IASbet.com has a range of head to head markets available on the William Reid Stakes, including Nicconi ($1.80) vs Wanted ($1.90), Shellscrape ($1.70) vs Light Fantastic ($2.15), Turffontein ($1.70) vs Snipers Bullet ($2.15), and Master OReilly ($2.75) vs Mentality ($1.45).

And from Sportingbet:

NICCONI NEW WILLIAM REID FAVOURITE

The David Hayes trained Nicconi is Sportingbet Australia’s new William Reid favourite following the shock withdrawl of odds on favourite Black Caviar.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Nicconi’s better record at WFA entitled him to be a slight favourite ahead of Black Caviar’s stablemate Wanted.

“Nicconi deserves the slight edge in the odds but we’re more than prepared to lay him at the $3.20,” said Sullivan.

“There had been strong support for Nicconi even before Black Caviar’s withdrawal as it shortened from $6.50 to $5.50 and I expect to see the money keep coming.

“The scratching of the favourite has done him no favours with the Chris Waller trained Shellscrape now likely to get a soft lead in the race.”

WILLIAM REID STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Nicconi 3.20
Wanted 3.30
Shellscrape 4.80
Light Fantastic 6.00
Sniper’s Bullet 9.00
Turffontein 11.00
Mentality 21.00
Master O’Reilly 101.00

Gold Logie betting opens

Latest statement from Sportingbet:

STONE THE FLAMIING CROWS - COULD ALF GET THE GOLD LOGIE?

Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on the 2010 Gold Logie.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he expected veteran actress Rebecca Gibney to repeat last year’s success.

“Gibney is the lead actress in Australia’s most popular drama and has always been popular with Australian viewers,” said Sullivan.

“While perennial favourites such as Rove McManus and Adam Hills have to be respected, she looks the winner.”

Sullivan said he was wary of a repeat of last year’s Ian Smith campaign repeating with Home And Away veteran Ray Meagher.

“We have Meagher safe in the market at $7.50 after hearing whispers that there could be a vote for Alf campaign,” Sullivan said.

“There’s no doubt he’d be a popular winner and must be respected as the longest serving actor in any serial all over the world.”

2010 GOLD LOGIE WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rebecca Gibney 2.50
Rove McManus 4.50
Adam Hills 5.50
Ray Meagher 7.50
Natalie Bassingthwaighte 9.00
Rodger Corser 11.00
Joelene Anderson 11.00
Sonia Kruger 14.00
Daniel MacPherson 17.00
Eddie McGuire 21.00
Michael Caton 26.00
Grant Denyer 31.00
Others Quoted