Friday, March 12, 2010

Australia Cup horse racing update

We expect a bold showing from Zipping ... just when some might least expect it.

ZARITA BACKED FOR AUSTRALIAN CUP

Sportingbet Australia punters are looking past the favourites in the Australian Cup with the best early money coming for Pat Hyland’s stable star Zarita.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said bets on Zarita included one of $2000 each way at $15 while Heart Of Dreams was proving hard to lay.

“We’ve had a little bit of money for Shocking but punters just aren’t interested in the favourite at this stage.”

“But punters definitely think Zarita can repeat her Sunline Stakes win and have been keen to snap up the $15 about her.”

AUSTRALIAN CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Heart Of Dreams 6.00
Zipping 7.00
Shocking 8.00
Sirmione 8.00
Miss Maren 9.00
Barbaricus 10.00
Extra Zero 13.00
Zagreb 15.00
Zarita 15.00
Littorio 16.00
Master O’Reilly 17.00
Tobique 21.00
Divine Rebel 41.00
Growl 51.00
Moatize 61.00

Clarke to be next Australian cricket captain

This is a no-brainer. Of course Michael Clarke will succeed Ricky Ponting, unless he's injured in the meantime. It's as solid an investment as there is at $1.25 - that is, if you can wait long enough for Ricky Ponting to retire in order to collect your dividend.

Credit to Shane Watson for his recent performances with bat and ball, but he's got about as much chance of becoming Australian test captain as my mother.


WHO WILL BE AUSTRALIA’S NEXT TEST CAPTAIN?

Sportingbet Australia has opened a market on who will be succeed Ricky Ponting as Test captain following the controversy over Michael Clarke’s departure from the tour of New Zealand.

Despite the controversy surrounding Clarke, he has been installed $1.25 favourite to take over from Ponting.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there appeared to be a lack of serious contenders to the incumbent vice-captain.

“Michael Clarke would have been $1.01 had we put this market up a few weeks ago and while he still looks the next captain, he isn’t the certainty he once was,” Sullivan said.

“Some have suggested Cameron White but, while he has outstanding leadership credentials, the fact remains he appears to be behind Steve Smith for a spot in the side.

“Simon Katich and Michael Hussey have longevity issues while there’d have to be some doubt about the suitability of both Brad Haddin or Shane Watson for the role when they don’t even captain their state sides.

“Michael Clarke remains favourite essentially by default in the current side and unless Ponting lasts another four or five years, he looks the only choice.”

Sullivan revealed there had been some backing for Shane Watson with his odds shortening from $41.00 to $31.00 in the last twenty-four hours.

NEXT AUSTRALIAN TEST CAPTAIN
Sportingbet Australia Market
Michael Clarke 1.25
Michael Hussey 6.00
Cameron White 7.00
Simon Katich 9.00
Brad Haddin 12.00
Shane Watson 31.00
Marcus North 67.00
George Bailey 101.00
Any Other 21.00

So You Think You Can Dance

Public vote tends to be rather fickle, particularly early in the competition. If you can identify some good value among the outsiders, now is the time to get on.

Essentially, you're looking for someone who could make an impression three or four weeks out from the final. Easier said than done, I know!


ROBBIE IS THE ONLY DANCER PUNTERS WANT

After weeks of chopping and changing favourites at Sportingbet Australia the SYTYCD market has finally sorted itself out with Sydney contemporary dancer Robbie a dominant $2.50 favourite.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Robbie was the only dancer punters wanted to be on.

“Robbie started out as a $13.00 chance in the competition with several punters smart enough to take those odds,” said Sullivan.

“His confidence has grown since he’s been partnered with Ivy and punters have backed him into his current price with several on to win $2000.”

Another Sydney dancer in Hip Hopper Jess S is second favourite at $8.00 ahead of Melbourne Ballroom dancer Kieran at $9.00.

SYTYCD - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Robbie 2.50
Jess.S 8.00
Kieran 9.00
Nick 10.00
Heath 10.00
Ivy 11.00
Renee 12.00
Jessica.P 14.00
Carly 14.00
Jessie H 17.00
Matt 21.00
Philipe 41.00

Randwick Guineas update

Update from the bookmakers:

GUINEAS BACKING FOR SHOOT OUT AND MONTON

Sportingbet Australia punters are banking on the Hobartville Stakes quinella being repeated in tomorrow’s Randwick Guineas with strong money coming for Shoot Out and Monton.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Shoot Out’s odds had been trimmed from $4.00 to $3.50 with Monton’s quote almost halved from $17 to $9.

“The money says these two will again be fighting out a feature race,” said Sullivan.

“All the early money was for Shoot Out before punters stepped in to Monton in a big way.

“They snapped up the $17, came again at $13 and are still not afraid to take the $9 on offer now.”

RANDWICK GUINEAS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Shoot Out 3.50
Hanks 8.00
Monton 9.00
Sir Halowell 9.50
Viking Legend 10.00
Kidnapped 11.00
Captain Sonador 12.00
Zabrasive 15.00
Indian Ocean 21.00
Cosmocrat 21.00
More Than Great 26.00
Leicester Square 26.00
Run For Naara 26.00
Delago Bolt 41.00
Gathering 91.00
Saint Encosta 126.00

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Big bets on Solar Charged into Typhoon Tracy

I love stories about big bets:

PUNTER ON TO WIN $360,000 ON BOOM FILLY DOUBLE

One Sportingbet Australia punter stands to win himself $360,000 after outlaying $10,000 on a feature double featuring the two boom females of Australian racing .

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the punter had backed Solar Charged to win the Golden Slipper and Typhoon Tracy to salute in the Doncaster.

“It’s a good bet and I can think of worse horses that you’d want to be on in these races,” said Sullivan.

“Solar Charged brained some other good fillies in the Kindergarten and Typhoon Tracy has dominated in Melbourne and showed the mile is no problem.

“With Solar Charged now a $4.20 favourite for the Slipper and Typhoon Tracy at $7.00 for the Doncaster this punter has got himself some pretty good value.”

Sullivan said Solar Charged continued to be well backed in Golden Slipper betting with punters keen to get on at the $4.20.

GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 4.20
Star Witness (nn) 7.00
Beneteau 8.00
Chance Bye 10.00
Military Rose 10.00
Zutara 11.00
Elimbari 13.00
Ambers Waltz 14.00
Crystal Lily (nn) 15.00
Psychologist 17.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Divorces 18.00
Hinchinbrook 19.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
My Amelia 21.00
Others 23.00 Plus

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

South Australian election result

It is very rare that punters get elections wrong. They're often a good way of cashing up. Bet on the upset if you dare, but we believe that to be unwise.

Here's the latest from the bookies on the South Australian election:

PUNTERS BACK REDMOND TO BEAT RANN

Isobel Redmond and the Liberals are certainly attracting the support of punters with a series of big bets seeing their South Australian state election odds slashed from $5.00 to $2.90 at Sportingbet Australia.

The Liberals were rank outsiders and given little chance by bookmakers a couple of months ago but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the tide had certainly turned and 95% of bets in the past week had been for the Liberals.

“Before the Mike Rann affair story broke, Labor looked a certainty to be returned in South Australia but he now faces a real fight with polls showing Isobel Redmond’s numbers continuing to improve,” Sullivan said.

“Labor still remain $1.40 favourites but we haven’t written a bet on them this week while there has been a number of big bets placed on the opposition.

“The party that firms in the betting market in the last couple of weeks of the campaign have a tremendous record of winning and I would expect to see the Liberals to continue to shorten.”

SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.40
Liberals 2.90

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Western Bulldogs not worth $50,000

This one's a brave bet, given that the Doggies looked quite vulnerable on their way to the pre-season final. Yes, winning form is promising, but do they have what it takes to carry through the entire season?

People at times forget St Kilda and Geelong are still in the running, and Collingwood's midfield is every bit as good as the Dogs this year. Barry Hall could make a difference, but he'll have to kick 80-100 goals for the season to make a true impact in my book.

Here's the latest from sportingbet:


PUNTER BACKS BULLDOG FLAG TO WIN $275,000

The Western Bulldogs may have only won one premiership in eighty-five years of AFL/VFL but one Sportingbet Australia punter is confident that Barry Hall can help provide them with a second after outlaying $50,000 on them at $6.50.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said it was a massive vote of confidence in the Cinderella team.

“We’ve got used to writing these kind of bets on the likes of Geelong, St Kilda and Hawthorn in the last few seasons but $275,000 to $50,000 is by far the biggest flag bet we’ve ever written on the Doggies,” said Sullivan.

“While they’ve fallen short at the penultimate hurdle each of the last two years punters are certainly in agreement with Jason Akermanis that 2010 is their best chance of winning the big one.

“While most of Australia wouldn’t begrudge a smiling Brad Johnson holding the premiership cup aloft it’s looking like costing Sportingbet Australia plenty.”

The Bulldogs are now into $5.50 with last year’s Grand Finalists Geelong and St Kilda heading betting at $4.00 and $4.75 respectively.

2010 AFL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
St Kilda 4.00
Geelong 4.75
Western Bulldogs 5.50
Adelaide 9.00
Hawthorn 9.00
Collingwood 11.00
Brisbane 13.00
Carlton 26.00
Essendon 41.00
Sydney 51.00
Port Adelaide 67.00
West Coast 67.00
Fremantle 81.00
North Melbourne 101.00
Melbourne 126.00
Richmond 151.00