Wednesday, July 21, 2010

Masterchef latest odds

Despite industry predictions of Sunday night’s Masterchef Final attracting in excess of 4 million viewers Sportingbet Australia punters are convinced that less than 3.5 million viewers will tune in.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said less than 3.5 million viewers had been backed in from $10 to $7 and was clearly the most popular option.

“While anything just less than 3.5 million would be a huge ratings success you’d have to think the shows’ producers would be slightly disappointed given the 3.7 million last year’s final attracted,” said Sullivan.

“But there’s been a good deal of bets saying this will be the case and the money is usually on the mark.”

The Masterchef Final has already shunted Sunday’s Election Debate out of the prime 7.30pm spot and the show has consistently attracted over 2 million viewers in its normal weekday format.


HOW MANY VIEWRS WILL WATCH MASTERCHEF SERIES 2 FINAL
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
3.91 Million To 4 Million 5.50
5.1 Million or More 6.00
3.81 Million to 3.9 Million 6.00
4.1 Million to 4.2 Million 7.00
Less Than 3.5 Million 7.00
4.21 Million to 4.3 Million 7.50
4.31 Million To 4.4 Million 8.50
4.41 Million to 4.5 Million 9.00
3.71 Million To 3.8 Million 9.00
4.91 Million to 5 Million 10.00
4.61 Million to 4.7 Million 11.00
4.51 Million to 4.6 Million 11.00
3.5 Million to 3.6 Million 11.00
3.61 Million to 3.7 Million 12.00
4.71 Million to 4.8 Million 14.00
4.81 Million to 4.9 Million 17.00

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Damn those Gold Coast Titans rumours

Then comes Four Corners or some other current affairs silhouette-type cloak and dagger interview, and off we go again!

WOODEN SPOON MARKET REOPENED WITH TITANS AT $21

Sportingbet Australia has reopened their wooden spoon market with the Gold Coast Titans as $21 chances after the NRL informed them there was no current investigation regarding the salary cap.

Sportingbet suspended betting on the wooden spoon yesterday morning after a flurry of bets came for the Titans as soon as the market was opened.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the NRL’s statement came after Sportingbet had reported the transactions but as they had clearly stated there was no investigation underway, he was completely confident in reposting the market.

“The market back is up now for punters to bet on with the Titans still at $21, “ Sullivan said.

“I am sure if yesterday morning is any indication we will be taking plenty of bets on them but we have full confidence in the market now given the NRL’s statement.

“We had no choice but to suspend the market yesterday morning given the unprecedented run of bets for a side currently sitting fourth.”

Sportingbet Australia currently has the Cowboys as $3.00 favourites for the Spoon, without Melbourne Storm in the betting, ahead of Cronulla at $4.00 and the Knights at $5.00.

NRL – WOODEN SPOON
Sportingbet Australia Market
North Qld Cowboys 3.00
Cronulla Sharks 4.00
Newcastle Knights 5.00
Canberra Raiders 6.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 11.00
New Zealand Warriors 15.00
Sydney Roosters 21.00
Parramatta Eels 21.00
Gold Coast Titans 21.00
Brisbane Broncos 34.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 34.00
Wests Tigers 51.00
Penrith Panthers 51.00
Manly Sea Eagles 51.00
St George Dragons 51.00

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Roy Hodgson favourite for Liverpool FC manager job

One for Premier League fans. If anyone gets the heads up, let us know.

The imminent departure of Fulham manager Roy Hodgson to Liverpool later this week has left a vacancy to fill at Craven Cottage, and bookies Victor Chandler had made Alan Curbishley the 5/2 favourite to bag the position. But that was before he was backed this morning and the firm now are as short as 5/4.

“It didn’t take long for the 5/2 to be snapped up, and we had to take evasive action.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “We felt he’d be the favourite to get the job, but we didn’t know how short to be. It seems the 5/2 might be a decent price now.”

There were strong rumours about Sven Goran Eriksson taking over at Craven Cottage, and the firm make him the third favourite at 6/1. Mark Hughes is sandwiched between them at 4/1. Other names in the hat include Glenn Hoddle, Slaven Bilic and Manuel Pelligrini. The job will appeal to many managers as Hodgson has built a terrific platform for the future and Fulham’s future looks reasonably bright.

“The one dilemma I suppose for potential managers is that Roy Hodgson will be a hard act to follow, and some might sit this one out.” added Wilkins.

Next Permanent Fulham Manager
Alan Curbishley 5/4
Mark Hughes 4/1
Sven Goran Eriksson 6/1
Glenn Hoddle 8/1
Slaven Bilic 8/1
Manuel Pelligrini 9/1
Gareth Southgate 11/1
Dave Jones 14/1
Paulo Sousa 14/1
Kevin Keegan 16/1
Steve McClaren 16/1
Phil Scolari 16/1
Stuart Pearce 18/1
Tony Mowbray 18/1
Marcelo Lippi 20/1
Martin Jol 22/1
Sean O'Driscoll 25/1
Paul Jewell 25/1
Paul Ince 25/1
Otto Rehhagel 25/1
Gerard Houllier 25/1
Paul Le Guen 40/1

Gold Coast Titans rumours spark betting plunge

Whether it's a rumour or not, the rugby league administration is a joke. That's about all I can say.

NRL: BETS ON TITANS SUSPENDS SPOON BETTING

Sportingbet Australia suspended betting on their new Wooden Spoon market this morning after a series of bets were taken on the fourth placed Gold Coast Titans.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the market, which excluded the pointless Melbourne Storm, was up for less than five minutes when three bets were struck on the Titans.

“This is very similar to what led us to suspend Spoon betting initially when we saw bets come for Melbourne although we reacted a lot faster this time to suspend betting,” Sullivan said.

“We had the Titans in the market at $21 and I can’t see punters wanting to take that price for the fourth placed side unless they thought they knew something.

“The bets we took were only to win a few thousand but the fact they came on top of each so soon after we put the market up, meant we had to suspend immediately as punters were trying to get onto win a lot more.’

Sportingbet currently has the Titans as $17 chances for the Premiership.

Esther Anderson gets Dancing with the Stars early vote

I liked Wirra myself, but what would I know?

Home and Away star Esther Anderson is Sportingbet Australia’s $3.00 favourite to win series ten of Dancing with the Stars following Sunday night’s first show.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Anderson showed enough talent on the dance floor to say her soapie fans would not be disappointed.

“Esther Anderson looked fairly natural on the dance floor and this coupled with her fan base makes her favourite,” said Sullivan.

Sullivan said Anderson was closely followed by Blair McDonough ($4.50), Tamara Jaber ($4.50) and Rob Palmer ($6.00).

“McDonough was very good and looms as an early dark horse while Palmer was personality plus even if he did dance like a carpenter,” Sullivan said.

“Tamara Jaber was clearly the best dancer on the night and if the show was won purely on dance ability would be an odds on favourite.

“But her husband, Kyle Sandilands, is such a ‘love him ‘or ‘hate him’ character that it makes it hard to judge the effect on her public vote “

Meanwhile, there’s a strong AFL flavour in the elimination market with David Wirrpanda and Alex Fevola favourites to be drop punted from the show.

“Wirrpanda may have won Goal of the Year a few seasons back with his left foot but he unfortunately had two of them on the dance floor,” said Sullivan.

“Alex Fevola looked as pretty as a picture but obviously suffered badly from nerves.”

DWTS - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Esther Anderson 3.00
Blair McDonough 4.50
Tamara Jaber 4.50
Rob Palmer 6.50
Rachel Finch 8.00
George Houvardas 9.00
Melinda Schneider 9.00
Jason Stevens 12.00
Jo Beth Taylor 14.00
Alex Fevola 17.00
David Wirrpanda 21.00




DWTS – ELIMINATION 4 JULY

Sportingbet Australia Market

David Wirrpanda 2.25

Alex Fevola 2.75

Jo Beth Taylor 5.50

Jason Stevens 8.00

Melinda Schneider 8.00

Rachael Finch 10.00

George Houvardas 12.00

Tamara Jaber 12.00

Rob Palmer 17.00

Blair McDonough 17.00

Esther Anderson 21.00

August 28 election likely

If the government is talking about an August election, which they are, it August 21 and August 28 must be the most likely dates. But that doesn't necessarily mean that that's what's going to happen. When they sit down and realise they haven't finalised pre-selection for a number of seats, they might realise that September 4 would be a far better date.

There will be a few superstitious types who'll worry about the "Crash"-type headlines if it was to be September 11. The only other realistic result is that the August call is a bluff, which means a date after November 27 is the next best bet.


Australia will be heading to the polls on August 28 according to punters betting at Sportingbet Australia with the date backed into ruling favourite at $2.75.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had zeroed in on dates in August but all the big money had been for the 28th.

“We have taken a number of good bets which has seen the 28th shorten from $3.50 to $2.75 in the past twenty four hours,” Sullivan said.

“Julia Gillard’s promotion to PM has certainly seen the polls move in Labor’s favour and punters are convinced that will lead to an early election.

“If the mining tax negotiations are well received, I think it looks a certainty we will be heading to the polls by the end of August.”

Labor continues to firm to win the election with Gillard as leader, shortening from $1.55 when Kevin Rudd was leader to $1.40 currently with Sportingbet.

“The money has all been one way since Julia Gillard became Prime Minister with punters very confident she can beat Tony Abbott,” Sullivan said.

“This is in complete contrast to when Rudd was leader when all the money was for Abbott but his odds have now blown out to $2.85 after being as short as $2.40 last Wednesday.”

Federal Election Date
Sportingbet Australia market
Saturday, July 31 2010 $26.00
Saturday, August 7 2010 $13.00
Saturday, August 14 2010 $13.00
Saturday, August 21 2010 $7.50
Saturday, August 28 2010 $2.75
Saturday, September 4 2010 $6.00
Saturday, September 11 2010 $10.00
Saturday, September 18 2010 $13.00
Saturday, September 25 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 2 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 9 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 16 2010 $13.00
Saturday, October 23 2010 $13.00
Saturday, October 30 2010 $17.00
Saturday, November 6 2010 $17.00
Saturday, November 13 2010 $21.00
Saturday, November 20 2010 $21.00
Saturday, November 27 2010 $34.00
Any Date after November 27, 2010 $6.50

Brisbane Broncos no longer under the radar

I've been saying it for a while now. With a fully fit side, which should be the case for the finals, the Broncos are an excellent unit: Yow Yeh, Folau, Hodges and Kemp is a backline we haven't seen for a while. Add that to Tronc who has returned, Parker, Lockyer, Wallace etc etc and they'll match it with anyone. A very good bet.

NRL: RESURGENT BRONCOS HORROR RESULT FOR BOOKIES

Six-time premiers Brisbane have bookmakers more than a little nervous after punters climbed on board at $67 several weeks ago when they looked more likely to be wooden spoon contenders than grand finalists.

But the Broncos are now into $8 third picks at Sportingbet Australia with their CEO Michael Sullivan saying they are by far his worst result with one client set to collect $268,000 should they go all the way.

“We took one bet of $264,000 to $4000 on them in April and we have laid them at every price on the way in,” Sullivan said.

“We took a bet of $55,000 to $5000 before Brisbane beat Parramatta on Saturday and we've slashed their quote to $8.00.

“They are our worst result for the Premiership by a long way.”

St George are the raging $3.25 favourites at Sportingbet and Sullivan said there looked to be only a few challengers capable of upsetting a drought breaking Premiership for the Dragons in October.

“The Dragons look a level above everyone else and if it wasn’t St George we were talking about, you'd almost declare them,” he said.

“The Panthers are second favourites at $5.50 and look short enough and then you go to the Broncos at $8.00 with Manly and Parramatta, sides some way off top form, both at $8.50.”

2010 NRL Premiership
Sportingbet Australia market
St George Dragons 3.25
Penrith Panthers 5.50
Brisbane Broncos 8.00
Manly Sea Eagles 8.50
Parramatta Eels 8.50
South Sydney Rabbitohs 9.00
Wests Tigers 13.00
Gold Coast Titans 17.00
Sydney Roosters 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
New Zealand Warriors 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 67.00
Cronulla Sharks 101.00
North Qld Cowboys 101.00

Penrith was a good bet

Punting is always a game of "should haves", "could haves", "might haves", "ifs" and "maybes". That said, it's always nice to see a punter who is on a good thing. For this person's sake, I say "Carn the Panthers".

Penrith have been the surprise packet of the NRL season and it has at least one punter smiling after he backed them to win everything but the Leagues club chook raffle pre season.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Panthers had been well backed to win the Premiership, the Minor Premiership and to make the top four at big odds pre season.

“We laid bets of $55,000 to $2500 at $23 for both the Premiership and Minor Premiership and a bet of $50,000 to $12,500 for them to make the top four,” Sullivan said.

“They are now sitting second on the ladder and we have slashed their odds to $5.50 for the Premiership and they look a genuine threat.

“They have been a real surprise packet to me but obviously this punter saw something most of us didn’t as he could potentially collect well over $150,000.

“Their current quote of $5.50 looks to be short enough to me but the way they are playing, they are one of only a few genuine Premiership hopes.”

St George are the current $3.25 favourites at Sportingbet ahead of the Panthers at $5.50 and the resurgent Broncos at $8.00.

2010 NRL Premiership
Sportingbet Australia market
St George Dragons 3.25
Penrith Panthers 5.50
Brisbane Broncos 8.00
Manly Sea Eagles 8.50
Parramatta Eels 8.50
South Sydney Rabbitohs 9.00
Wests Tigers 13.00
Gold Coast Titans 17.00
Sydney Roosters 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
New Zealand Warriors 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 67.00
Cronulla Sharks 101.00
North Qld Cowboys 101.00

Thursday, June 24, 2010

England to cry against Germany

If the English team is half passionate, then the 25-1 on shedding tears on the pitch is great value for mine. First, they'd have to lose. Second, they'd have to care that they lost. Pretty good odds, I'd think, unless of course there's some small print I haven't seen.

Victor Chandler make it a 9/4 chance that Fabio Capello picks the same starting line up against Germany that he did against Slovenia.

“There is a worry that Wayne Rooney’s injury could rule him out of contention” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “But the rumours suggest it doesn’t seem serious. Another issue is whether Matthew Upson retains his place over Jamie Carragher after an impressive display, and of course, there is every chance that Capello throws in a curve ball with a team selection we are not expecting.”

Joe Cole is 7/4 to start against Germany, a bigger price than he was to start against Slovenia.

Cole incurred the wrath of Fabio Capello in the latter stages of the Slovenia match when he gave away possession instead of playing keep ball, and this might have a bearing on Capello’s decision. The firm also make it a 25/1 chance that an England player sheds tears on the pitch during the game as Gazza did in 1990.

“It’s unlikely to happen, but it’ll be a highly charged atmosphere on Sunday so we could see a few sniffles from someone.” Wilkins added.

England starting line-up same as Slovenia…….9/4
Joe Cole to start 7/4
Not to start 2/5

England player shedding tears on pitch 25/1

Wimbledon's longest match ... how long will it last?

You'd have to think that as players return to the court fresh, that under 123 games would be the go, but these guys have already defied the odds. They've done some remarkable stuff.

WIMBLEDON MARATHON - HOW LONG CAN ONE MATCH LAST?

John Isner and Nicolas Mahut will enter the 11th hour of their first round match at Wimbledon tonight and Sportingbet Australia have posted a market on how much longer the marathon clash will last.

The match is already a world record with the fifth and final set locked at 59 all and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were backing the game to keep going for some time yet.

“We have posted a market on how much further the record will be extended and punters are backing Isner and Mahut to go over 123.5,” Sullivan said.

“You would think both players would have to be completely knackered and a result may come quickly but both players have an enormous serve so a break will be hard to come by as obviously has been the case so far.

“It’s incredible to watch a game of tennis that has the scoreboard unable to keep track with the number of games played.”

Sportingbet has Isner as a slight favourite at $1.87 to finally win the match with Mahut as the $1.95 outsider.

John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Total Games
Sportingbet Australia Market
Over 123.5 Games $1.87
Under 123.5 Games $1.93




John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Winner

Sportingbet Australia Market

John Isner $1.87

Nicolas Mahut $1.95

Bookie says fair's fair for unlucky Socceroos punters

Online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au has pledged to refund bets on the Socceroos after their heroic performance against Serbia left them just short of progressing in the tournament.

The bookie will refund more than $50,000 in bets on the Socceroos to qualify for the Round of 16 and to win the World Cup.

“The Socceroos were heroic and have been very unlucky, so we think it’s only fair we refund punters who have placed their hard-earned on them,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“The lads put in a great effort today against Serbia but were cruelled by dubious red cards earlier in the tournament.”

The Socceroos are short-priced favourites at $1.25 to qualify for the 2014 World Cup, and are $151 to hold the trophy aloft in Brazil.

Socceroos to qualify for 2014 World Cup
$1.25 Yes, the Socceroos will qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$3.75 No, the Socceroos will not qualify for the 2014 World Cup

$151 Socceroos to win the 2014 World Cup

Labor firms with news of Julia Gillard as first woman PM

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan reported a series of big bets on Labor at $1.70 shortly after Gillard’s intention to challenge became public.

“We took one bet of $10,000 and three of $5000 as Labor shortened from $1.70 to $1.55 late last night,” Sullivan said.

“We shortened Labor up further to $1.50 this morning following the confirmation that Gillard would lead them to the election.

“There is no doubt Kevin Rudd was on the nose with the electorate and Gillard has the chance to improve Labor’s standing in the polls almost immediately.”

Sullivan said Labor had been as short as $1.15 for the election in November last year but had blown out dramatically as Rudd’s popularity dwindled.

“We hadn’t seen any money at all for Labor in the past couple of months and it was only when punters realised that Gillard would be leader that the money rolled in,” Sullivan said.

“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Labor shorten up even further particularly if Gillard enjoys a similar honeymoon period to Rudd or Tony Abbott.”

Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.50
Coalition 2.50

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Michael Barlow the Brownlow bolter

There will be a few people sitting around, saying quite simply: "Wish I'd got him at 1000-1!"

BARLOW POISED TO CAUSE BIGGEST BROWNLOW SHOCK OF ALL TIME

First season player Michael Barlow continues to be the surprise packet of the season with the Docker now into third pick at $11 for the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.

Barlow wasn’t even in Sportingbet’s Brownlow market before the season but punters have been knocking down the door to back him since round two.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said a first season player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest shocks he had seen in his years as a bookie.

“He would have been at least $1001 before the season but to be truthful we hadn’t even heard of him,” Sullivan said.

“After round two we put him in the market at $151 and punters have been knocking each other over to get on.

“He was $15 last week and after another brilliant game on the weekend, we have seen plenty of smart money come for him again this week and we have had to shorten him up again.

“He is only behind Gary Ablett and Luke Hodge in our market and ahead of blokes like Brendon Goddard, Chris Judd, Dane Swan and Jimmy Bartel.

“A first year player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest upsets I can think of but he looks a genuine chance.”

Ablett retains favouritism in Sportingbet’s market at $4.00 ahead of Hodge at $9.00 and Barlow at $11.

2010 Brownlow Medal
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 4.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 9.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 11.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 12.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 15.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 15.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 17.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 21.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 21.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 34.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 51.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Anyone a Masterchef expert?

Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe the State of Origin achieved around 3.8 million viewers. Given that the non-league playing states - ie, Victoria, SA and WA - will take an interest in Masterchef, you'd have to think the number would be slightly higher.

There's a reason the bookies have bunched together the figures between 4.5 and 5 million. Get it right, and the odds are enticing.


WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE THROUGH THE ROOF?

Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on how the Masterchef Finale will rate in 2010.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the market allowed punters keen to bet on Masterchef’s outcome an alternative as its ratings success had created tremendous speculation.

“We’ve had plenty of punters asking us to bet on the outcome of this show but its pre recorded nature makes this impossible,” said Sullivan

“With Masterchef’s ratings success causing plenty of discussion we thought odds on the final’s ratings would make a good alternative.

Last year 3.7 million Australian’s watched the series one final and with series two ratings going through the roof, several pundits have predicted the final could break the five million viewer mark, so it will be interesting to see which option the punters come for.”

Sportingbet Australia bookmakers are predicting the final will rate between 3.91 and 4 million viewers, installing that option as a $5.50 favourite.

HOW WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE?
Sportingbet Australia Market
3.91 Million To 4 Milllion 5.50
3.81 Million to 3.9 Million 6.00
5.1 Million or More 6.00
4.1 Million to 4.2 Million 7.00
4.21 Million to 4.3 Million 7.50
4.31 Million To 4.4 Million 8.50
4.41 Million to 4.5 Million 9.00
3.71 Million To 3.8 Million 9.00
Less Than 3.5 Million 10.00
4.51 Million to 4.6 Million 11.00
4.61 Million to 4.7 Million 11.00
4.71 Million to 4.8 Million 12.00
4.81 Million to 4.9 Million 12.00
4.91 Million to 5 Million 13.00
3.61 Million to 3.7 Million 14.00
3.5 Million to 3.6 Million 17.00

World Cup novelty bets for England

Here are some novelty bets on England's next World Cup game. They're interesting, if not overly enticing!

COLE, ROONEY AND TERRY SPECIAL WITH VICTOR CHANDLER
As the tension mounts in the lead up to the England v Slovenia match, Victor Chandler have opened a market on Joe Cole being England’s hero on Wednesday. The firm go 16/1 that Joe Cole starts the match, scores a goal and then bags the FIFA Man of the Match award.

“The English public has made it quite clear that they would like to see Joe Cole in the line up.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “And let’s face it England need a hero at the moment and Joe could be the man.”

VC also have a number of markets which might interest those who feel that England will struggle to qualify on Wednesday afternoon. They make it a 20/1 chance that any England players square up in an on-field bust up and 4/1 that a player shows dissent to Fabio Capello when he is substituted. It’s a 5/1 shot that John Terry gets substituted and 11/4 that Wayne Rooney returns to the bench.

Any England players to have an on-field bust up with one another 20/1

Any England player to show dissent when substituted 4/1

Joe Cole to start, score and win FIFA Man of the Match 16/1

John Terry to be substituted against Slovenia 5/1

Wayne Rooney to be substituted against Slovenia 11/4

Harry Kewell bet a nice stunt

The World Cup is a competitive market, so bookmakers look for every edge they can to get their name in lights. To frame a market on whether Harry Kewell will play in four years time is nothing short of a stunt - granted, a good one, but a stunt nevertheless. Who in their right mind will put hard-earned on a $1.05 future bet.

I have a friend who often says: "Better than bank interest" when he wins a bet on a short-priced favourite. He wouldn't be saying it on this occasion!


KEWELL LONG ODDS TO PLAY IN NEXT WORLD CUP

Leading online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au rates Harry Kewell only an outside chance to play in the 2014 World Cup.

The bookie has priced Kewell at $8 to play in Brazil, while only offering $1.05 on Harry not to play.

“Harry would be almost 36 before the next World Cup and his body has to stand up to another four tough years of football,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“Let’s hope all the planets align and we can go deep into this World Cup because it would be a shame for Harry to bow out after a dubious red card decision.

“It seems unlikely he’ll be there in four years time but as Aussies we’d love to be proven wrong.”

In other World Cup betting news, Australia are rated a $4 chance to beat Serbia, but are paying $11 to make it past the group stage.

Brazil and Argentina have been the best backed teams to win the World Cup, while one punter clearly has a crystal ball as he placed $10 on Portugal to win 7-0 against North Korea overnight at the odds of $401 for a $4,000 win!

All markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Will Harry Kewell play in the 2014 World Cup?
$8.00 Harry Kewell to play in the 2014 World Cup
$1.05 Harry Kewell not to play in the 2014 World Cup

Australia vs Serbia
$4.00 Australia
$3.75 Draw
$1.83 Serbia
$11 Australia to make the Round of 16

2010 World Cup Winner
$5 Brazil
$5.50 Argentina
$5.50 Spain
$9 Holland
$11 Germany
$11 England
$21 Italy
$23 Portugal
$751 Australia

$1001 New Zealand

Coalition firms further as polls indicate victory

If you're keen on the Coalition to win the next election, and many now are, now would be the time to get on. Only one warning, however: Never underestimate the power of incumbency.

ELECTION: COALITION BACKED TO TAKE OUT NEARLY $100,000

A string of big bets has been placed on Tony Abbott to be Australia’s next Prime Minister with the Coalition shortening from $2.75 to $2.40 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.

The Coalition has been backed to take out nearly $100,000 at Sportingbet in the past month and CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been next to no money for Kevin Rudd and Labor during the same period.

“We took one bet of $15,000 at $2.60 on the Coalition as well as multiple bets of $5000 and a huge amount of smaller bets,” Sullivan said.

“There is only one side punters want to back and at this rate it might not be too long before Tony Abbott is favourite to move into the Lodge.

“We can’t write a bet on Labor and they have drifted out to $1.55 after being as short as $1.15 in November last year.

“I can’t see us writing a decent bet on them until they start to turn things around.”

Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.55
Coalition 2.40

Friday, June 11, 2010

Compare World Cup odds before betting

I note from the release below that Australia is $101. If you're that keen on the Socceroos, you'll get up to $175 on an Aussie victory.

"What's the difference?" you might ask. After all, they're both good odds on a long shot. A friend told me the other day he had been given $67 at the local TAB.

The answer to that is easy. You're only having a bet if you think they are a legitimate chance, in which case, the winnings will be your money. For a simple $10 bet, the difference in return from the two bookmakers is $750. The TAB odds are more than $1100 behind the pace!

That should be reason enough to shop around.

In the meantime, here's the latest from Sportingbet:

PUNTERS KEEN ON SPAIN'S ODDS FOR WORLD CUP WIN

Spain are the clear favourites for the 2010 World Cup with good bets at Sportingbet Australia bringing their odds in from $5.50 to $4.75.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said bets including one of $10,000 and another of $5000 had arrived over the past week.

“Spain is the only side the punters want prior to the tournament kicking off,” said Sullivan.

“We’ve taken bets including one of $10,000, another of $5000 and plenty of other four figure sums over the past week.

“The return of star front man Fernando Torres from injury has convinced punters and they’re expected to cruise past Switzerland and Honduras with only Chile providing any opposition in the group stages.”

Spain are ranked second in the World and are current European Champions but the best they have done in previous World Cups is a fourth place in 1950. They must also overcome the hoodoo that no European side has ever won a World Cup held outside of Europe.

2010 FIFA World Cup
Sportingbet Australia Market
Spain 4.75
Brazil 5.50
Argentina 7.50
England 8.50
Netherlands 11.00
Germany 13.00
Italy 15.00
France 21.00
Portugal 29.00
Ivory Coast 41.00
Paraguay 67.00
Ghana 67.00
Serbia 67.00
Mexico 67.00
Chile 67.00
USA 67.00
Australia 101.00
Uruguay 101.00
Nigeria 101.00
Cameroon 101.00
Denmark 101.00
Others 151.00 Plus

Latin News into Stradbroke Handicap field

SWIFT ALLIANCE SCRATCHING GOOD NEWS FOR LATIN NEWS BACKERS

Punters who’ve backed Latin News to win the Stradbroke will be buoyed by the news that Swift Alliance has been scratched giving the Bart Cummings trained colt a start in the race.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michal Sullivan said Latin News was well supported yesterday.

“He was backed in from $11 to $8.50 before the scratching with bets including one of $5000,” said Sullivan.

“He is now into $7.00 second favouritism and we’re expecting more support following his luckless run last week.”

STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.20
Latin News 7.00
Melito 7.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus

Stradbroke Handicap update

PUNTERS KEEN ON KAVANAGH'S SECOND STRADBROKE STRING

QTC Cup winner Catapulted has been heavily backed for the Stradbroke shortening from $11 to $9.00 in the past 24 hours at Sportingbet Australia.

The Mark Kavanagh trained gelding was already a bad result for bookies after he was heavily backed at big odds before he even arrived in Queensland.

“Whobegotyou might be a dominant favourite but it is Kav’s other runner that punters have settled on this week,” said Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan.

“We took two bets to take out $20,000 and that was the start of an avalanche of money for him.

“He was already a bad result for us after we took some big bets at $26 following his big win at Flemington in mid May.”

Sullivan said there had been money for a number of horses at big odds in what was a very open Stradbroke away from Whobegotyou.

“Latin News has shortened from $11 to $8.50 and he looks a real chance if he can get a run,” Sullivan said.

“There has also been good money for roughies with bets to win $30,000 and $20,000 struck on Shellscrape at $41 and good money for Black Piranha and Mic Mac also.”

Catapulted must defy history to win the Stradbroke as no QTC Cup winner has backed up to win the race the following week.

STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.00
Melito 7.50
Latin News 8.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus