I'll be away from the computer, but here's a few selections for Saturday:
Collingwood vs Hawthorn
Swan vs Mitchell vs Hodge
Tip: Luke Hodge. Form of more than 100 points in three games is terrific, and he's a big game player.
Davis vs Rioli vs Ellis
Tip: Cyril Rioli: Scored 130 points last week and should be even better for the run.
Pendlebury vs Didak vs Ball
Tip: Luke Ball: Seems to have finally found his feet in the Magpies midfield.
Adelaide vs Carlton
Gibbs vs Murphy vs Vince
Tip: Bryce Gibbs: Had a shocker last week and will be out for redemption.
Simpson vs Judd vs Thompson
Tip: Chris Judd: No form in first game back, but hard to tip against a champion who'll be hungry for the ball.
Scotland vs Edwards vs Goodwin
Tip: Heath Scotland: Has form in a high-possession team.
Brisbane vs Bulldogs
Boyd vs Brown vs Cross
Tip: Matt Boyd: Hard to go against the man who should dominate the midfield.
Power vs Cooney vs Higgins
Tip: Higgins: While others are marked, Higgins usually gets a fair whack of the ball.
Sherman vs Drummond vs Giansiracusa
Tip: Justin Sherman: I don't have great confidence here, but his scores have been the best of the 3.
Friday, April 16, 2010
AFL preview North Melbourne vs Sydney
The Kangaroos lifted last week, largely led by Boomer Harvey but the Swans are in terrific form and play well as a team - they should be far too tough for North Melbourne in this one. Swans by 32.
Fantasy trios on Sportsbet:
Anthony vs O'Keefe vs Goodes
Tip: Liam Anthony
If the Kangaroos are to be at all competitive in this game, Anthony has to get plenty of the ball. And he has to be as intense as he was in the first game, when he registered 9 tackles. O'Keefe is a premier player, as is Goodes, but I'm working on the theory that Anthony consistently gets big fantasy scores, and that the Swans will share it around moreso than the Roos.
Harvey vs Swallow vs Jude Bolton
Tip: Swallow
Each of these three lifted last week, but the consisent performer has been Swallow, who has 99 and 119 points over the past fortnight. One would think that after 44 possessions last week, Harvey will cop a hard tag, and that's something Sydney do well. Bolton ran loose last week with 115 points, but Swallow is the one for mine.
Kennedy vs Kennelly vs Ziebell
Tip: Josh Kennedy
On the surface, the midfielder here (Ziebell) might seem the logical pick, but Kennedy is getting plenty of run off half back and scored 92 and 101 points the previous two weeks. Ziebell lifted last week but still only managed 85 points after a dismall 34 the week before. Irishman Kennelly has been good with 108, 59 and 82 over the past three weeks, but we'll tip Kennedy on current form.
Fantasy trios on Sportsbet:
Anthony vs O'Keefe vs Goodes
Tip: Liam Anthony
If the Kangaroos are to be at all competitive in this game, Anthony has to get plenty of the ball. And he has to be as intense as he was in the first game, when he registered 9 tackles. O'Keefe is a premier player, as is Goodes, but I'm working on the theory that Anthony consistently gets big fantasy scores, and that the Swans will share it around moreso than the Roos.
Harvey vs Swallow vs Jude Bolton
Tip: Swallow
Each of these three lifted last week, but the consisent performer has been Swallow, who has 99 and 119 points over the past fortnight. One would think that after 44 possessions last week, Harvey will cop a hard tag, and that's something Sydney do well. Bolton ran loose last week with 115 points, but Swallow is the one for mine.
Kennedy vs Kennelly vs Ziebell
Tip: Josh Kennedy
On the surface, the midfielder here (Ziebell) might seem the logical pick, but Kennedy is getting plenty of run off half back and scored 92 and 101 points the previous two weeks. Ziebell lifted last week but still only managed 85 points after a dismall 34 the week before. Irishman Kennelly has been good with 108, 59 and 82 over the past three weeks, but we'll tip Kennedy on current form.
AFL preview West Coast vs Essendon
Essendon is the form side. Some pundits are tipping the West Coast for the reason they're at home, and that they're "due". Not good enough for mine: Bombers by 12.
Fantasy options with Sportsbet:
Le Cras vs Kerr vs Kennedy
Tip: Kerr
Occasionally the bookies throw in a curly one which basically equates to which player will find form first. Le Cras has kicked some goals, but his possession count is low and his intensity is also in question. Kerr has been, by his lofty standards, terrible. Kennedy has defeated Kerr all three weeks so far, but with fantasy scores of 78, 73 and 63. I'd expect Kerr to lift for a must-win game.
Embley vs Ebert vs Rosa
Tip: Embley
Rosa blasted into the team last week with a mountain of possessions, and 120 points, but Embley has been gathering momentum and must continue to perform. He scored 83 points in round 1, but followed up with 102 and 111 last week. Ebert has also been good, but if the Eagles are to improve, I believe a lot of responsibility will be on the shoulders of Embley to lead the charge.
Winderlich vs Reimers vs Dalziell
Tip: Reimers
Reimers at forward has scored 80 in Round 1 and 114 last week. He's getting plenty of the ball and kicking goals. Winderlich had a good pre-season, but scores of 58, 82 and 73 are nothing to write home about. Dalziell had his first game for the year last week with 61 points and is hard to consider. Reimers is the special for mine.
Fantasy options with Sportsbet:
Le Cras vs Kerr vs Kennedy
Tip: Kerr
Occasionally the bookies throw in a curly one which basically equates to which player will find form first. Le Cras has kicked some goals, but his possession count is low and his intensity is also in question. Kerr has been, by his lofty standards, terrible. Kennedy has defeated Kerr all three weeks so far, but with fantasy scores of 78, 73 and 63. I'd expect Kerr to lift for a must-win game.
Embley vs Ebert vs Rosa
Tip: Embley
Rosa blasted into the team last week with a mountain of possessions, and 120 points, but Embley has been gathering momentum and must continue to perform. He scored 83 points in round 1, but followed up with 102 and 111 last week. Ebert has also been good, but if the Eagles are to improve, I believe a lot of responsibility will be on the shoulders of Embley to lead the charge.
Winderlich vs Reimers vs Dalziell
Tip: Reimers
Reimers at forward has scored 80 in Round 1 and 114 last week. He's getting plenty of the ball and kicking goals. Winderlich had a good pre-season, but scores of 58, 82 and 73 are nothing to write home about. Dalziell had his first game for the year last week with 61 points and is hard to consider. Reimers is the special for mine.
James Boag Galaxy update
Sorry I don't have much to say on this one, but thought it worth sending through for those who want the latest market movements:
GOOD BACKING FOR GALAXY ROUGHIES
Punters are struggling to sort out tomorrow’s Galaxy with good money for several horses at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while favourite Ortensia had been heavily backed there was also good money for De Lightning Ridge and roughies Motspur and Mount Verde.
“Ortensia got crunched in from $4.60 to $3.70 as soon as we started betting on the event but there’s been a fair bit of money to say the other three can upset her,” said Sullivan.
“De Lightning Ridge has attracted enough money to have her odds slashed from $8.00 to $7.50, Mount Verde is in from $81 to $71 with one punter on to collect over $50,000 and Motspur has been the subject of a good plunge which has seen the price plummet from $41 to $17.
Sullivan said there was no money for Swift Alliance which has drifted from $6 to $7 despite a strong win in the Star Kingdom.
“We’re struggling to write a ticket on Swift Alliance despite one of the best strike rates in the field.”
“We’re sure we’d lay him if the race was at Rosehill but he has been beaten a couple of times here and in this type of company.”
THE JAMES BOAG GALAXY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Ortensia 3.70
Definitely Ready 4.60
Swift Alliance 7.00
De Lightning Ridge 7.50
Dorf Command 11.00
Rostova 14.00
Stryker 15.00
Motspur 17.00
Gold Trail 21.00
Shellscrape 26.00
Typhoon Zed 41.00
The Mikado 51.00
Friday Creek 51.00
Mount Verde 71.00
Seeking Attention 151.00
GOOD BACKING FOR GALAXY ROUGHIES
Punters are struggling to sort out tomorrow’s Galaxy with good money for several horses at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while favourite Ortensia had been heavily backed there was also good money for De Lightning Ridge and roughies Motspur and Mount Verde.
“Ortensia got crunched in from $4.60 to $3.70 as soon as we started betting on the event but there’s been a fair bit of money to say the other three can upset her,” said Sullivan.
“De Lightning Ridge has attracted enough money to have her odds slashed from $8.00 to $7.50, Mount Verde is in from $81 to $71 with one punter on to collect over $50,000 and Motspur has been the subject of a good plunge which has seen the price plummet from $41 to $17.
Sullivan said there was no money for Swift Alliance which has drifted from $6 to $7 despite a strong win in the Star Kingdom.
“We’re struggling to write a ticket on Swift Alliance despite one of the best strike rates in the field.”
“We’re sure we’d lay him if the race was at Rosehill but he has been beaten a couple of times here and in this type of company.”
THE JAMES BOAG GALAXY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Ortensia 3.70
Definitely Ready 4.60
Swift Alliance 7.00
De Lightning Ridge 7.50
Dorf Command 11.00
Rostova 14.00
Stryker 15.00
Motspur 17.00
Gold Trail 21.00
Shellscrape 26.00
Typhoon Zed 41.00
The Mikado 51.00
Friday Creek 51.00
Mount Verde 71.00
Seeking Attention 151.00
Weekend racing tips
Here's a few tips courtesy of the New South Wales TAB experts:
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 16th April
Harold Park Race 5 - 8:30pm
No.9 - LADY LEXUS
Saturday 17th April
Randwick Race 6 - 3:35pm
No.16 - PALACIO DE CRISTAL
Saturday 17th April
Wentworth Park Race 5 - 8:50pm
No.2 - DID I ENTERTAIN
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 16th April
Harold Park Race 5 - 8:30pm
No.9 - LADY LEXUS
Saturday 17th April
Randwick Race 6 - 3:35pm
No.16 - PALACIO DE CRISTAL
Saturday 17th April
Wentworth Park Race 5 - 8:50pm
No.2 - DID I ENTERTAIN
Thursday, April 15, 2010
This is one nervous punter...
It's the multi dreams are made of:
One punter with online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au will turn a $5 investment into more than $8000 if Typhoon Tracy can win the Doncaster Mile on Saturday.
The punter had a seven-leg multi bet at the odds of $1676.34 on a combination of AFL and NRL matches last weekend. The final leg of the bet is for Typhoon Tracy to win the Doncaster.
Typhoon Tracy is unbeaten in her last five runs - four of those at Group 1 level - and goes into the race as the $3 favourite with Sportsbet.com.au.
“We often get excited by the bigger bets, but spare a thought for this $5 punter who stands to win a motza if Typhoon Tracy can get across the line first on Saturday,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“She is certainly the one to beat and I don’t think she’ll be too disadvantaged by her wide barrier (14).”
$5 Multi bet with Sportsbet.com.au at the combined odds of $1676.34 to win $8376.68
Odds Selection
$2.25 AFL – St Kilda to beat Collingwood by 1-39 points (St Kilda won by 28 points)
$2.50 AFL – Brisbane to beat Port Adelaide by 1-39 points (Brisbane won by 27 points)
$2.25 AFL – Western Bulldogs to beat Hawthorn by 1-39 points (Western Bulldogs won by 16 points)
$3.15 AFL – Fremantle to beat Geelong by 1-39 points (Fremantle won by seven points)
$3.65 NRL – Gold Coast to beat Melbourne by 1-12 points (Gold Coast won by four points)
$3.20 NRL – Wests Tigers to beat North Queensland Cowboys by 1-12 points (Wests Tigers won by seven points)
$3.60 Typhoon Tracy to win the Doncaster Mile – Saturday, 17 April @ 3.35pm
One punter with online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au will turn a $5 investment into more than $8000 if Typhoon Tracy can win the Doncaster Mile on Saturday.
The punter had a seven-leg multi bet at the odds of $1676.34 on a combination of AFL and NRL matches last weekend. The final leg of the bet is for Typhoon Tracy to win the Doncaster.
Typhoon Tracy is unbeaten in her last five runs - four of those at Group 1 level - and goes into the race as the $3 favourite with Sportsbet.com.au.
“We often get excited by the bigger bets, but spare a thought for this $5 punter who stands to win a motza if Typhoon Tracy can get across the line first on Saturday,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“She is certainly the one to beat and I don’t think she’ll be too disadvantaged by her wide barrier (14).”
$5 Multi bet with Sportsbet.com.au at the combined odds of $1676.34 to win $8376.68
Odds Selection
$2.25 AFL – St Kilda to beat Collingwood by 1-39 points (St Kilda won by 28 points)
$2.50 AFL – Brisbane to beat Port Adelaide by 1-39 points (Brisbane won by 27 points)
$2.25 AFL – Western Bulldogs to beat Hawthorn by 1-39 points (Western Bulldogs won by 16 points)
$3.15 AFL – Fremantle to beat Geelong by 1-39 points (Fremantle won by seven points)
$3.65 NRL – Gold Coast to beat Melbourne by 1-12 points (Gold Coast won by four points)
$3.20 NRL – Wests Tigers to beat North Queensland Cowboys by 1-12 points (Wests Tigers won by seven points)
$3.60 Typhoon Tracy to win the Doncaster Mile – Saturday, 17 April @ 3.35pm
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Plenty of panic at Parramatta Eels
Yesterday, the headlines screamed "No panic at Eels" as Nathan Hindmarsh was wheeled out to do the publicity for the club which has lost 4 of its first 5 games.
Hindy told radio and whoever else who'd listen that his side looked better against Canberra than they had for weeks - but that there was no explanation for the loss.
Perhaps there's a clue: Each time Canberra scored, the cameras showed Cayless with his head in his hands - hardly an indication of confidence.
Hindmarsh said there were too many generals, and that there should be one man directing traffic. Hindy himself seemed to be running into dead ends each time he touched the ball.
So today, the club announces Hindy as co-captain. That's not the sign of a club without panic. Rest assured, the Eels management is swinging quickly into crisis mode and players will be put on firm notice that their performance will determine their future at the club.
There's an old saying that a side of champions doesn't necessarily make a champion side.
From a punting perspective, their games - no matter who they're playing - should be a "no go zone".
Hindy told radio and whoever else who'd listen that his side looked better against Canberra than they had for weeks - but that there was no explanation for the loss.
Perhaps there's a clue: Each time Canberra scored, the cameras showed Cayless with his head in his hands - hardly an indication of confidence.
Hindmarsh said there were too many generals, and that there should be one man directing traffic. Hindy himself seemed to be running into dead ends each time he touched the ball.
So today, the club announces Hindy as co-captain. That's not the sign of a club without panic. Rest assured, the Eels management is swinging quickly into crisis mode and players will be put on firm notice that their performance will determine their future at the club.
There's an old saying that a side of champions doesn't necessarily make a champion side.
From a punting perspective, their games - no matter who they're playing - should be a "no go zone".
Doncaster Mile update
It's worth repeating: Many consider Typhoon Tracy to be the best mare in the country right now. There's not many which will beat her. Enough said.
RANGIRANGDOO AND PALACIO DE CRISTAL ATTRACT EARLY DONCASTER BETS
Rangirangdoo and Palacio De Cristal have been the subject of good early bets at Sportingbet Australia since Tuesday’s Doncaster barrier draw.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said both gallopers had been the early firmers.
Rangirangdoo has firmed from $7.00 to $5.50 with bets including one of $6600 at $7.00, while Palacio De Cristal is in from $13 to $12 with bets including one of $3000 at the $13.00,” said Sullivan.
“Punters seem to be looking for the swoopers with wide draws for the likes of Theseo and Typhoon Tracy looking to ensure a good tempo.”
Typhoon Tracy retains Doncaster favouritism at $3.20 with Rangirandoo now a $5.50 second favourite ahead of Danleigh at $6.00.
EMIRATES DONCASTER MILE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Typhoon Tracy 3.20
Rangirangdoo 5.50
Danleigh 6.00
Palacio De Cristal 12.00
Theseo 16.00
Brilliant Light 19.00
Black Piranha 23.00
Road To Rock 23.00
Wall Street 23.00
Snapy Halo 26.00
Triple Honour 31.00
Centennial Park 35.00
Prima Nova 35.00
Mentality 35.00
Tobique 41.00
Allez Wonder 51.00
Walking Or Dancing 51.00
Vision And Power 61.00
Drumbeats 71.00
Miss Marielle 81.00
Recoup De Fortune 81.00
RANGIRANGDOO AND PALACIO DE CRISTAL ATTRACT EARLY DONCASTER BETS
Rangirangdoo and Palacio De Cristal have been the subject of good early bets at Sportingbet Australia since Tuesday’s Doncaster barrier draw.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said both gallopers had been the early firmers.
Rangirangdoo has firmed from $7.00 to $5.50 with bets including one of $6600 at $7.00, while Palacio De Cristal is in from $13 to $12 with bets including one of $3000 at the $13.00,” said Sullivan.
“Punters seem to be looking for the swoopers with wide draws for the likes of Theseo and Typhoon Tracy looking to ensure a good tempo.”
Typhoon Tracy retains Doncaster favouritism at $3.20 with Rangirandoo now a $5.50 second favourite ahead of Danleigh at $6.00.
EMIRATES DONCASTER MILE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Typhoon Tracy 3.20
Rangirangdoo 5.50
Danleigh 6.00
Palacio De Cristal 12.00
Theseo 16.00
Brilliant Light 19.00
Black Piranha 23.00
Road To Rock 23.00
Wall Street 23.00
Snapy Halo 26.00
Triple Honour 31.00
Centennial Park 35.00
Prima Nova 35.00
Mentality 35.00
Tobique 41.00
Allez Wonder 51.00
Walking Or Dancing 51.00
Vision And Power 61.00
Drumbeats 71.00
Miss Marielle 81.00
Recoup De Fortune 81.00
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
More markets on Richmond's woes
Sportingbet was offering $8. Either the market has tumbled in a couple of hours, or Sportsbet is a little ahead of its time with the $5 line for Richmond to remain winless.
Either way, here's their statement:
RICHMOND $5 TO GO WINLESS IN 2010
Leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au says Richmond is a $5 chance to go winless throughout the 2010 AFL Premiership Season.
“Given their current form it’s hard to see where the Tigers are going to find an easy kill this year,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“We’re offering odds of $5 to punters who think Richmond will not win a match in 2010.”
With at least four omissions from the side that lost to Sydney by 55 points, Richmond has had little support ahead of their Round 4 fixture against Melbourne.
“We cannot lay a bet on the Tigers to beat the Demons this week, which they would normally pencil in as a possible victory,” said Lane.
“They’ve drifted from $2.55 out to $3.35 to defeat the Dees, while Melbourne has firmed from $1.52 into $1.33.”
Richmond has also firmed as the outright favourite in betting for the dreaded Wooden Spoon.
“The Tigers were $5 in pre-season betting for the wooden spoon, now they’re the hot favourite at $1.45,” said Lane.
“We have taken bets of $5000 at $3.75, $3000 at $3.50 and $10,000 at $3.25 on the Tigers for the spoon.”
Either way, here's their statement:
RICHMOND $5 TO GO WINLESS IN 2010
Leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au says Richmond is a $5 chance to go winless throughout the 2010 AFL Premiership Season.
“Given their current form it’s hard to see where the Tigers are going to find an easy kill this year,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“We’re offering odds of $5 to punters who think Richmond will not win a match in 2010.”
With at least four omissions from the side that lost to Sydney by 55 points, Richmond has had little support ahead of their Round 4 fixture against Melbourne.
“We cannot lay a bet on the Tigers to beat the Demons this week, which they would normally pencil in as a possible victory,” said Lane.
“They’ve drifted from $2.55 out to $3.35 to defeat the Dees, while Melbourne has firmed from $1.52 into $1.33.”
Richmond has also firmed as the outright favourite in betting for the dreaded Wooden Spoon.
“The Tigers were $5 in pre-season betting for the wooden spoon, now they’re the hot favourite at $1.45,” said Lane.
“We have taken bets of $5000 at $3.75, $3000 at $3.50 and $10,000 at $3.25 on the Tigers for the spoon.”
Richmond to remain winless for AFL season
On form, the $8 might be well worth an investment. However, remember Melbourne last year, and their late-season surge of form to win two games.
TOOTHLESS TIGERS BACKED TO REMAIN WINLESS IN 2010
Richmond’s terrible side to the season has led Sportingbet Australia to open a market on when the Tigers will win their first game in 2010, if in fact they do win one.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the majority of early money had been for the Tiger’s to go through the season without recording a win.
“There have been no huge bets yet but punters are certainly keen to take the $8.00 about a winless season at Tigerland,” Sullivan said.
“They have really struggled to compete in any of their games and it is a little hard to see where a win is coming from.”
Sullivan said the favourite in the market was this weekend’s clash against fellow strugglers Melbourne at $3.10.
“Melbourne have been much improved over the past fortnight with the heartbreaker to Collingwood and the win over Adelaide, so Richmond will certainly need to lift if they are to break their duck,” he said.
“The danger for the Demons might be coming down from the high of that win and backing up for consecutive victories is not something they have a good record of in recent times.
“But punters have already backed the Dees in from $1.50 to $1.33 after Richmond suspended four players after their Sydney hotel shenanigans.”
RICHMOND’S FIRST WIN OF 2010
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rnd 4 vs Melbourne 3.10
Rnd 5 vs Fremantle 4.00
Rnd 7 v Adelaide 7.00
Richmond Remain Winless For 2010 Season 8.00
Rnd 9 vs Essendon 11.00
Rnd 8 vs Hawthorn 13.00
Rnd 6 vs Geelong 18.00
Rnd 10 vs Port Adelaide 18.00
Rnd 15 vs Fremantle 19.00
Rnd 12 vs West Coast 23.00
Rnd 19 vs Melbourne 26.00
Rnd 16 vs North Melbourne 31.00
Rnd 14 vs Sydney 41.00
Rnd 11 vs St Kilda 51.00
Rnd 13 vs Brisbane 61.00
Rnd 18 vs Adelaide 101.00
Rnd 17 vs Collingwood 126.00
Rnd 22 vs Port Adelaide 151.00
Rnd 20 vs Carlton 201.00
Rnd 21 vs St Kilda 501.00
TOOTHLESS TIGERS BACKED TO REMAIN WINLESS IN 2010
Richmond’s terrible side to the season has led Sportingbet Australia to open a market on when the Tigers will win their first game in 2010, if in fact they do win one.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the majority of early money had been for the Tiger’s to go through the season without recording a win.
“There have been no huge bets yet but punters are certainly keen to take the $8.00 about a winless season at Tigerland,” Sullivan said.
“They have really struggled to compete in any of their games and it is a little hard to see where a win is coming from.”
Sullivan said the favourite in the market was this weekend’s clash against fellow strugglers Melbourne at $3.10.
“Melbourne have been much improved over the past fortnight with the heartbreaker to Collingwood and the win over Adelaide, so Richmond will certainly need to lift if they are to break their duck,” he said.
“The danger for the Demons might be coming down from the high of that win and backing up for consecutive victories is not something they have a good record of in recent times.
“But punters have already backed the Dees in from $1.50 to $1.33 after Richmond suspended four players after their Sydney hotel shenanigans.”
RICHMOND’S FIRST WIN OF 2010
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rnd 4 vs Melbourne 3.10
Rnd 5 vs Fremantle 4.00
Rnd 7 v Adelaide 7.00
Richmond Remain Winless For 2010 Season 8.00
Rnd 9 vs Essendon 11.00
Rnd 8 vs Hawthorn 13.00
Rnd 6 vs Geelong 18.00
Rnd 10 vs Port Adelaide 18.00
Rnd 15 vs Fremantle 19.00
Rnd 12 vs West Coast 23.00
Rnd 19 vs Melbourne 26.00
Rnd 16 vs North Melbourne 31.00
Rnd 14 vs Sydney 41.00
Rnd 11 vs St Kilda 51.00
Rnd 13 vs Brisbane 61.00
Rnd 18 vs Adelaide 101.00
Rnd 17 vs Collingwood 126.00
Rnd 22 vs Port Adelaide 151.00
Rnd 20 vs Carlton 201.00
Rnd 21 vs St Kilda 501.00
Monday, April 12, 2010
Brisbane Broncos premiership chances
Granted, there are some young players, but look at their performance in round 1 when they had Corey Parker, Israel Folau and Denan Kemp in the lineup and they were indeed a different side.
That in mind, this bet might have some justification:
NRL: BRONCOS BACKED TO WIN OVER $250,000
One punter certainly thinks the Broncos are set to kick off a massive form reversal against the Sharks this weekend, backing them to win over $250,000 at Sportingbet Australia.
The Broncos had drifted to $67 roughies for the Premiership after a fourth consecutive loss to the Dragons on Friday night but at least one punter certainly thinks they are still contenders.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Broncos cruel run of injuries would make it very hard for them to be genuine contenders though.
“We have shortened the Broncos from $67 to $41 after taking a bet of $264,000 to $4000 but realistically they will need luck to even make the finals,” Sullivan said.
“The Broncos are desperate for reinforcements but by the time the lies of Folau, Parker and Hodges get back on the park, they might be already too far gone.”
Sullivan said it was the biggest price he could remember the Broncos being at this stage of the season.
“If it was any other team, you would simply rule a line through their name and say they were no chance of making the eight,” he said.
“The Broncos have a history of coming back though and $67 is an enormous price for any side with the likes of Lockyer, Wallace, Thaiday in the side and hopefully Folau and Hodges to return.”
2010 NRL Premiership
Sportingbet Australia market
Melbourne Storm 4.50
St George Dragons 6.00
Wests Tigers 7.00
Parramatta Eels 9.00
Gold Coast Titans 11.00
Manly Sea Eagles 11.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 11.00
Penrith Panthers 15.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 21.00
Sydney Roosters 21.00
New Zealand Warriors 26.00
North Qld Cowboys 34.00
Brisbane Broncos 41.00
Canberra Raiders 101.00
Newcastle Knights 101.00
Cronulla Sharks 151.00
That in mind, this bet might have some justification:
NRL: BRONCOS BACKED TO WIN OVER $250,000
One punter certainly thinks the Broncos are set to kick off a massive form reversal against the Sharks this weekend, backing them to win over $250,000 at Sportingbet Australia.
The Broncos had drifted to $67 roughies for the Premiership after a fourth consecutive loss to the Dragons on Friday night but at least one punter certainly thinks they are still contenders.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Broncos cruel run of injuries would make it very hard for them to be genuine contenders though.
“We have shortened the Broncos from $67 to $41 after taking a bet of $264,000 to $4000 but realistically they will need luck to even make the finals,” Sullivan said.
“The Broncos are desperate for reinforcements but by the time the lies of Folau, Parker and Hodges get back on the park, they might be already too far gone.”
Sullivan said it was the biggest price he could remember the Broncos being at this stage of the season.
“If it was any other team, you would simply rule a line through their name and say they were no chance of making the eight,” he said.
“The Broncos have a history of coming back though and $67 is an enormous price for any side with the likes of Lockyer, Wallace, Thaiday in the side and hopefully Folau and Hodges to return.”
2010 NRL Premiership
Sportingbet Australia market
Melbourne Storm 4.50
St George Dragons 6.00
Wests Tigers 7.00
Parramatta Eels 9.00
Gold Coast Titans 11.00
Manly Sea Eagles 11.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 11.00
Penrith Panthers 15.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 21.00
Sydney Roosters 21.00
New Zealand Warriors 26.00
North Qld Cowboys 34.00
Brisbane Broncos 41.00
Canberra Raiders 101.00
Newcastle Knights 101.00
Cronulla Sharks 151.00
Typhoon Tracy in Doncaster Mile
According to some well-versed racing writers I've spoken to over the past couple of weeks, Typhoon Tracy is the best mare in Australia right now.
This is one instance where a futures bet might pay dividends. She'll be shorter in the ring than the current $3.20, one would imagine.
RACING: BIG MONEY ALREADY ARRIVING FOR TYPHOON TRACY
The big money is already arriving for Typhoon Tracy to take Saturday’s Doncaster with the champion mare shortening from $3.70 to $3.20 at Sportingbet Australia.
The Peter Moody trained mare has been the subject of some massive wagers and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said she was clearly his worst result.
“We took a bet of $17,000 at $3.70 on the weekend which is a collect of over $60,000 and there had been plenty of support before that including a bet of $70,000 to $5000 way back in February,” Sullivan said.
“The $15 that punter secured certainly looks great value now as punters have taken $3.50 and $3.30 for good bets in the last 24 hours.
“If she draws well, I would say she will start even shorter and she does look terribly hard to beat.”
The Chris Waller trained pair, Danleigh and Rangirangdoo, are next in the market at $6.00 and $6.50 respectively.
“Both Danleigh and Rangirangdoo have been a little easy this week and I will certainly be looking to lay them before Saturday,” Sullivan said.
“The other interesting runner is of course Brilliant Light who has come from nowhere this preparation and is now $16 after we took a bet to win $100,000 at $401 shortly after markets were posted.”
2010 DONCASTER MILE
Sportingbet Australia market
Typhoon Tracy 3.20
Danleigh 6.00
Rangirangdoo 6.50
Palacio De Cristal 10.00
Black Piranha 14.00
Brilliant Light 16.00
Wall Street 19.00
Gold Water 20.00
Walking Or Dancing 21.00
Theseo 21.00
Road To Rock 26.00
Triple Honour 26.00
Snipers Bullet 31.00
Centennial Park 35.00
Snapy Halo 35.00
This is one instance where a futures bet might pay dividends. She'll be shorter in the ring than the current $3.20, one would imagine.
RACING: BIG MONEY ALREADY ARRIVING FOR TYPHOON TRACY
The big money is already arriving for Typhoon Tracy to take Saturday’s Doncaster with the champion mare shortening from $3.70 to $3.20 at Sportingbet Australia.
The Peter Moody trained mare has been the subject of some massive wagers and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said she was clearly his worst result.
“We took a bet of $17,000 at $3.70 on the weekend which is a collect of over $60,000 and there had been plenty of support before that including a bet of $70,000 to $5000 way back in February,” Sullivan said.
“The $15 that punter secured certainly looks great value now as punters have taken $3.50 and $3.30 for good bets in the last 24 hours.
“If she draws well, I would say she will start even shorter and she does look terribly hard to beat.”
The Chris Waller trained pair, Danleigh and Rangirangdoo, are next in the market at $6.00 and $6.50 respectively.
“Both Danleigh and Rangirangdoo have been a little easy this week and I will certainly be looking to lay them before Saturday,” Sullivan said.
“The other interesting runner is of course Brilliant Light who has come from nowhere this preparation and is now $16 after we took a bet to win $100,000 at $401 shortly after markets were posted.”
2010 DONCASTER MILE
Sportingbet Australia market
Typhoon Tracy 3.20
Danleigh 6.00
Rangirangdoo 6.50
Palacio De Cristal 10.00
Black Piranha 14.00
Brilliant Light 16.00
Wall Street 19.00
Gold Water 20.00
Walking Or Dancing 21.00
Theseo 21.00
Road To Rock 26.00
Triple Honour 26.00
Snipers Bullet 31.00
Centennial Park 35.00
Snapy Halo 35.00
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