Friday, December 4, 2009

Australian of the Year set to be Jon Dee

Seems Australian punters think political correctness will win out at the announcement of the top prize for 2010. The statement is from Sportingbet:

Bookmakers have installed Planet Ark founder Jon Dee as a $2.50 favourite to be named Australian Of The Year 2010.

Sportingbet Australia CE Michael Sullivan said the recycling champion looked the standout amongst a quality field of nominees.

“Jon Dee has been a champion of the environment, not just in Australia but Worldwide,” said Sullivan.

“Given the focus that is currently on environmental issues and the great work he has done, he looks very hard to beat for this honour.”

Others in betting contention include Mental Health expert Patrick McGorry ($4.00) and Alzheimer’s researcher Ralph Martins ($5.50).

2010 AUSTRALIAN OF THE YEAR
Sportingbet Australia Market
Jon Dee (NSW) Environmental Campaigner 2.50
Patrick McGorry (Vic) Mental Health 4.00
Ralph Martins (WA) Alzheimers Expert 5.50
Julian Burton (SA) Charity Founder 5.50
Bruce Englefield (Tas) Tasmanian Devil Advocate 7.50
Warwick Thornton (NT) Filmmaker 14.00
Patricia Easteal (ACT) Human Rights Advocate 17.00
Chris Sarra (Qld) Indigenous Educator 17.00

Who will score the most goals in the Premier League?

This is the latest release from Victor Chandler in the UK. Tottenham has to be value?

Victor Chandler have opened a market on who’ll score the most goals in the Premier League this season.

At the moment Chelsea and Arsenal are neck and neck on 36 goals a piece, and the firm feel it’s going to be between these two.

“We are making Chelsea the slight favourites but it’s difficult to call.” said VC Spokesman Neal Wilkins.

“Losing Van Persie is a big blow for Arsenal, but Chelsea will also lose players to the African Nations Cup so they might not be so prolific as they have been. That said it’s difficult to see anyone getting close to these two over the season.”

Man United are next in the betting at 5/1 with Liverpool on 10’s and Tottenham on 14’s. United have scored 30 goals so far, Liverpool are on 31 and Tottenham have netted a total of 33.

Who`ll score the most goals in the Premier League this season
Chelsea (36) 1/1
Arsenal (36) 5/4
Man United (30) 5/1
Liverpool (31) 10/1
Tottenham (33) 14/1
Man City (24) 25/1
West Ham (24) 40/1
Aston Villa (22) 66/1
Sunderland (21) 100/1
Burnley (19) 250/1
Fulham (18) 300/1
Hull City (17) 500/1
Blackburn (16) 500/1
Everton (17) 500/1
Bolton (16) 500/1
Wigan (15) 1000/1
Stoke City (13) 1000/1
Birmingham City (12) 1000/1
Wolves (12) 1000/1
Portsmouth (11) 1000/1
2009/2010 season Numbers in brackets are goals scored so far

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Nottingham Forest to finish third in Championship?

Odds released by Victor Chandler on who will finish (effectively) third in the Championship, without West Brom and Newcastle:

Nottingham Forest, currently in third place in the league are Victor Chandler’s 9/2 favourites in a highly competitive market, followed by Middlesbrough at 5/1 with Leicester, Cardiff & Sheff Utd all available at 7/1.

Further down in the market Blackpool, currently sitting sixth, only three points behind Forest are priced at 20/1.

Victor Chandler spokesman Neal Wilkins said: “West Brom and Newcastle are threatening to open up a gap in the Championship, but with only seven points separating the next 11 teams we thought a market without the top two would prove popular with the fans.

Nottingham Forest are on a great run and will be a tough team to catch, 9/2 looks a very fair price.”

Chandler’s have another reason to hope Nottingham Forest fail to catch the top two in the league.

Chairman Victor Chandler has offered to pay the season tickets of fans should the team, who are sponsored by the bookmaker, win the Championship. An offer that is estimated will cost £6m should it happen.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Hong Kong International Sprint odds

From Sportingbet Australia:

Scenic Blast has been well backed to take out the prestigious Hong Kong International Sprint on Sunday week.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said if he won the Danny Morton trained galloper looked like repeating the pain he inflicted on bookies by winning the King’s Stand earlier in the year.

“Scenic Blast took plenty from us when he won in England and looks like he could repeat the pain here,” said Sullivan.

“We’ve already written a bet of $10,000 at $8.50 and we’re expecting plenty more over the next week and a half.”

Scenic Blast is now into $7.00 with another Australian galloper All Silent the $4.60 favourite and Apache Cat at $8.00.


HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT
Sportingbet Australia Market
All Silent 4.60
Sacred Kingdom 4.80
Scenic Blast 7.00
California Flag 7.50
Apache Cat 8.00
Cannonball 14.00
Laurel Guerreiro 14.00
War Artist 15.00
Total Gallery 16.00
Inspiration 17.00
Borderlescott 21.00
Green Birdie 31.00
One World 34.00
Joy And Fun 51.00

Roy Jones Jnr a good chance to knock out Danny Green

I watched a documentary about the two fighters last night and you'd have to say Jones Jnr is a class above Green. If parochial bets are keeping the odds out somewhat, a Jones Jnr KO might offer good value.

Here's what one of the bookies has to say:

The heavy support for American Roy Jones Jnr to score a knockout victory over Danny Green continued overnight at Sportingbet Australia.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said some big overnight bets had forced the price of a Jones knockout in from $3.35 to $2.75.

“We thought the Jones knockout support would end with yesterday’s $10,000 at $3.50,” said Sullivan.

“But another client had a further $10,000 at $3.35 and followed up with $5000 at $3.00 as soon as the price shortened further.

“Still, with Green never been knocked out in his career, we’re more than happy to accommodate the punters.”

Jones is still a dominant $1.30 favourite to win the fight with punters uninterested in backing Green at $3.50.

Rees loses support in NSW

Press statement from Sportingbet:


Punters have responded to rumours of leadership moves on NSW Premier Nathan Rees in the Sportingbet Australia leadership market, blowing him back out to $3.75 from a short stint as favourite at $3.25.

Amid furious betting on the federal election markets in the wake of Tony Abbott’s ascension, a number of bets on the NSW ALP leadership market have pushed long-time aspirant and former planning minister Frank Sartor to the fore.

Sartor has shortened considerably from $5.00 into $3.75.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that it has been a good day for political punters, who have also been energised by the speculation about the NSW ALP leadership.

“Just when Nathan Rees thought he was safe, the knives seem to be back out,” said Mr Sullivan.

“Punters are telling us that they take the rumours seriously – and this time Rees won’t have the option of sacking Tripodi,” he said.

“Meanwhile the Carmel Tebbutt and Kristina Kenneally options have been exhausted and they look unlikely to run, leaving them to drift in the betting.”

“This leaves Sartor, who we expect will continue to shorten in our leadership market.”

Tebbutt and Kenneally have both drifted to $4.20 and $5.50 respectively.


ALP LEADER AT NEXT NSW STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market.
Nathan Rees $3.75
Frank Sartor $3.75
Carmel Tebbutt $4.20
Kristina Kenneally $5.50
Any Other $6.50
Michael Daley $10.00
John Robertson $13.00
Verity Firth $26.00

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Roy Jones Jnr to knock out Danny Green

A points decision is still the favoured result, in the favour of Roy Jones Jnr, but punters seem keen to bet he'll knock out his Australian opponent tomorrow night.

Jones has been backed from $3.50 to $3.35 with Sportingbet Australia to knock out Danny Green.

Sportingbet CEO Michael Sullivan said one punter had placed $10,000 on a Jones knockout victory at $3.50.

“It’s a very confident bet to say Green will have the lights turned off for the first time in his career,” said Sullivan.

“A Jones win by knockout has clearly been the most popular option with punters with plenty of other good sized bets placed on top of the $25,000 to $10,000.”

Jones is a hot $1.33 favourite to win the fight at Sportingbet with Green a $3.30 outsider.

Media a bunch of sheep

What a difference a day makes.

And what a bunch of sheep my peers in the media can be.

Here's how it works:

Step 1: Journalist catches wind of a rumour that Joe Hockey will stab his mate Malcolm Turnbull in the back. And because that's good enough for a change, Tony Abbott pulls himself from the challenge.

Step 2: Journalist number 2 hears the report of said rumour and doesn't want to be seen missing out on the news. Rumour 2 reported as fact in ensuing commentary.

Step 3: Repeat Step 2 until Hockey is a sure thing to win the leadership - almost to the point his own party believes it.

Step 4: Punters are sure they are on a good thing and back Hockey into $1.20, and Abbott out to more than $5 to lead the Liberals to the next election. At no point was there any real evidence aside from media hype to support the move.

Step 5: Liberals go the way they had planned all along and install Abbott to the leadership. Abbott firms to $1.15 to lead the Liberals to the next election and Hockey moves to more than $5 in the market.

Those laughing loudest at the political circus which is now the Liberal Party must surely be the bookmakers.

I also note that the Labor Party has today moved out from $1.15 to $1.20 in the market to win the next election.

I don't get it. If the rumours were so hot yesterday that there was to be a change in Liberal leadership, why didn't the move happen at that point?

Monday, November 30, 2009

Turnbull says he has Hockey's support

A press statement from Malcolm Turnbull only moments ago told everybody he's sure he has the support of Joe Hockey. If he can be believed, punters might have been a little premature to back Hockey to be Liberal leader at the next election.

The media likes to latch on to rumours, and it's a pretty big tip that Hockey will tomorrow contest the leadership.

If Turnbull can be believed: It's a big "if".

The Coalition leadership market has become a one-horse race following heavy betting behind Joe Hockey over the weekend at Sportingbet Australia.

Dropping to a near-unbackable $1.20 to lead the Coalition to the next election, Mr Hockey enjoys the absolute support of punters to seize control in tomorrow morning’s leadership ballot.

He has pulled well ahead of conservative candidate Tony Abbott, who now languishes at $5.00, and the apparently outgoing leader Malcolm Turnbull, who has slid out to an unlikely $7.00 in the betting.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that after a tumultuous weekend for the leadership market, punters have crowded around Hockey.

“I’d say Hockey’s visit to John Howard finalised the issue in the minds of punters,” said Mr Sullivan.

“Turnbull seems to have run out of friends and Abbott has the slight issue of his unelectability to overcome,” he said.

Meanwhile other leadership contenders in the Sportingbet Australia market are Andrew Robb ($17), Peter Dutton ($21) and Julie Bishop, who has blown out to $34.

FEDERAL OPPOSITION LEADERSHIP AT THE NEXT FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market

Hockey $1.20
Abbott $5
Turnbull $7
Robb $17
Dutton $21
Bishop $34
Any Other $11