I note from the release below that Australia is $101. If you're that keen on the Socceroos, you'll get up to $175 on an Aussie victory.
"What's the difference?" you might ask. After all, they're both good odds on a long shot. A friend told me the other day he had been given $67 at the local TAB.
The answer to that is easy. You're only having a bet if you think they are a legitimate chance, in which case, the winnings will be your money. For a simple $10 bet, the difference in return from the two bookmakers is $750. The TAB odds are more than $1100 behind the pace!
That should be reason enough to shop around.
In the meantime, here's the latest from Sportingbet:
PUNTERS KEEN ON SPAIN'S ODDS FOR WORLD CUP WIN
Spain are the clear favourites for the 2010 World Cup with good bets at Sportingbet Australia bringing their odds in from $5.50 to $4.75.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said bets including one of $10,000 and another of $5000 had arrived over the past week.
“Spain is the only side the punters want prior to the tournament kicking off,” said Sullivan.
“We’ve taken bets including one of $10,000, another of $5000 and plenty of other four figure sums over the past week.
“The return of star front man Fernando Torres from injury has convinced punters and they’re expected to cruise past Switzerland and Honduras with only Chile providing any opposition in the group stages.”
Spain are ranked second in the World and are current European Champions but the best they have done in previous World Cups is a fourth place in 1950. They must also overcome the hoodoo that no European side has ever won a World Cup held outside of Europe.
2010 FIFA World Cup
Sportingbet Australia Market
Spain 4.75
Brazil 5.50
Argentina 7.50
England 8.50
Netherlands 11.00
Germany 13.00
Italy 15.00
France 21.00
Portugal 29.00
Ivory Coast 41.00
Paraguay 67.00
Ghana 67.00
Serbia 67.00
Mexico 67.00
Chile 67.00
USA 67.00
Australia 101.00
Uruguay 101.00
Nigeria 101.00
Cameroon 101.00
Denmark 101.00
Others 151.00 Plus
Friday, June 11, 2010
Latin News into Stradbroke Handicap field
SWIFT ALLIANCE SCRATCHING GOOD NEWS FOR LATIN NEWS BACKERS
Punters who’ve backed Latin News to win the Stradbroke will be buoyed by the news that Swift Alliance has been scratched giving the Bart Cummings trained colt a start in the race.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michal Sullivan said Latin News was well supported yesterday.
“He was backed in from $11 to $8.50 before the scratching with bets including one of $5000,” said Sullivan.
“He is now into $7.00 second favouritism and we’re expecting more support following his luckless run last week.”
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.20
Latin News 7.00
Melito 7.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
Punters who’ve backed Latin News to win the Stradbroke will be buoyed by the news that Swift Alliance has been scratched giving the Bart Cummings trained colt a start in the race.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michal Sullivan said Latin News was well supported yesterday.
“He was backed in from $11 to $8.50 before the scratching with bets including one of $5000,” said Sullivan.
“He is now into $7.00 second favouritism and we’re expecting more support following his luckless run last week.”
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.20
Latin News 7.00
Melito 7.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
Stradbroke Handicap update
PUNTERS KEEN ON KAVANAGH'S SECOND STRADBROKE STRING
QTC Cup winner Catapulted has been heavily backed for the Stradbroke shortening from $11 to $9.00 in the past 24 hours at Sportingbet Australia.
The Mark Kavanagh trained gelding was already a bad result for bookies after he was heavily backed at big odds before he even arrived in Queensland.
“Whobegotyou might be a dominant favourite but it is Kav’s other runner that punters have settled on this week,” said Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan.
“We took two bets to take out $20,000 and that was the start of an avalanche of money for him.
“He was already a bad result for us after we took some big bets at $26 following his big win at Flemington in mid May.”
Sullivan said there had been money for a number of horses at big odds in what was a very open Stradbroke away from Whobegotyou.
“Latin News has shortened from $11 to $8.50 and he looks a real chance if he can get a run,” Sullivan said.
“There has also been good money for roughies with bets to win $30,000 and $20,000 struck on Shellscrape at $41 and good money for Black Piranha and Mic Mac also.”
Catapulted must defy history to win the Stradbroke as no QTC Cup winner has backed up to win the race the following week.
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.00
Melito 7.50
Latin News 8.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
QTC Cup winner Catapulted has been heavily backed for the Stradbroke shortening from $11 to $9.00 in the past 24 hours at Sportingbet Australia.
The Mark Kavanagh trained gelding was already a bad result for bookies after he was heavily backed at big odds before he even arrived in Queensland.
“Whobegotyou might be a dominant favourite but it is Kav’s other runner that punters have settled on this week,” said Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan.
“We took two bets to take out $20,000 and that was the start of an avalanche of money for him.
“He was already a bad result for us after we took some big bets at $26 following his big win at Flemington in mid May.”
Sullivan said there had been money for a number of horses at big odds in what was a very open Stradbroke away from Whobegotyou.
“Latin News has shortened from $11 to $8.50 and he looks a real chance if he can get a run,” Sullivan said.
“There has also been good money for roughies with bets to win $30,000 and $20,000 struck on Shellscrape at $41 and good money for Black Piranha and Mic Mac also.”
Catapulted must defy history to win the Stradbroke as no QTC Cup winner has backed up to win the race the following week.
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.00
Melito 7.50
Latin News 8.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
World Cup red cards
There are likely to be many novelty bets for the World Cup over the next couple of weeks. We'll try to keep you up to date with them as we hear.
CARD SHARKS?
Victor Chandler report that they have seen money for a few of their World Cup card markets. In a market involving the Time of the Fastest Red Card in the finals, the firm report that all the money has been for it being over 15 minutes.
“We were 11/8 about the earliest red card being after 15 minutes and we had a lot of money for it.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “It looks like we got that one wrong, although we are still hopeful that someone has a rush of blood early on.”
The fastest World Cup sending off was in 1986 when Uruguayian axeman Jose Batista had an early bath after just 56 seconds against Scotland. The firm also say that they have taken money for there not to be a booking in the 1st minute of any World Cup match in the finals.
“It doesn’t happen often so we dangled a bit of a carrot with the initial price of 10/1.” added Wilkins. “We have had to cut it to 5/1. It still sounds tempting, but the stats tell us that it is still unlikely.”
What time will the fastest red card be shown?
Under 10 minutes 12/5
10 – 15 minutes 3/1
Over 15 minutes 8/11
Will there be a booking in the 1st minute in the Finals?
Yes 5/1
No 1/10
SEEING RED?
Victor Chandler make it an even money chance that England go through the World Cup finals without getting a player sent off.
The firm make it a 13/8 that there is just one red card, 9/2 that there are two flashed and 10/1 that there are 3 or more shown. VC spokesman Neal Wilkins explains that the stats suggest the England lads will behave themselves this time around.
“In 1986 one was shown, in 1990 no red cards were shown. The next finals were in 1998and there was just one when Becks got his marching orders against Argentina.
In 2002 there were none, but in 2006 Wayne Rooney got a red, so in the scheme of things we should see no reds for our boys this time around. But as we know the stats can make us look rather stupid at times.”
How many England players will get sent off in the World Cup Finals?
None Evs
One 13/8
Two 9/2
Three or more 10/1
CARD SHARKS?
Victor Chandler report that they have seen money for a few of their World Cup card markets. In a market involving the Time of the Fastest Red Card in the finals, the firm report that all the money has been for it being over 15 minutes.
“We were 11/8 about the earliest red card being after 15 minutes and we had a lot of money for it.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “It looks like we got that one wrong, although we are still hopeful that someone has a rush of blood early on.”
The fastest World Cup sending off was in 1986 when Uruguayian axeman Jose Batista had an early bath after just 56 seconds against Scotland. The firm also say that they have taken money for there not to be a booking in the 1st minute of any World Cup match in the finals.
“It doesn’t happen often so we dangled a bit of a carrot with the initial price of 10/1.” added Wilkins. “We have had to cut it to 5/1. It still sounds tempting, but the stats tell us that it is still unlikely.”
What time will the fastest red card be shown?
Under 10 minutes 12/5
10 – 15 minutes 3/1
Over 15 minutes 8/11
Will there be a booking in the 1st minute in the Finals?
Yes 5/1
No 1/10
SEEING RED?
Victor Chandler make it an even money chance that England go through the World Cup finals without getting a player sent off.
The firm make it a 13/8 that there is just one red card, 9/2 that there are two flashed and 10/1 that there are 3 or more shown. VC spokesman Neal Wilkins explains that the stats suggest the England lads will behave themselves this time around.
“In 1986 one was shown, in 1990 no red cards were shown. The next finals were in 1998and there was just one when Becks got his marching orders against Argentina.
In 2002 there were none, but in 2006 Wayne Rooney got a red, so in the scheme of things we should see no reds for our boys this time around. But as we know the stats can make us look rather stupid at times.”
How many England players will get sent off in the World Cup Finals?
None Evs
One 13/8
Two 9/2
Three or more 10/1
England well backed for World Cup
ANYONE BUT ENGLAND OR BRAZIL FOR VICTOR CHANDLER
Victor Chandler report that England are now by far and away the worst result for the firm after laying them heavily at 8/1 for the World Cup. They have already laid Brazil heavily and these two are now big losers in the outright book.
“We have had a lot of money for England and they are already a half a million loser for us. It wouldn’t surprise us now if they will be a seven figure loser for us at some point.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins.
“We have stuck our neck out at 8s and the punters have really come out of the woodwork. We’ve laid several decent five figure bets, and a multitude of four figure bets. At this moment it’s anyone but England and Brazil for us.”
Victor Chandler report that England are now by far and away the worst result for the firm after laying them heavily at 8/1 for the World Cup. They have already laid Brazil heavily and these two are now big losers in the outright book.
“We have had a lot of money for England and they are already a half a million loser for us. It wouldn’t surprise us now if they will be a seven figure loser for us at some point.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins.
“We have stuck our neck out at 8s and the punters have really come out of the woodwork. We’ve laid several decent five figure bets, and a multitude of four figure bets. At this moment it’s anyone but England and Brazil for us.”
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
Will Hayne defect from NRL to AFL?
It's no secret certain circles of the AFL have their eye on Jarryd Hayne, but would he go? And how many other big budgets are available. The price bar has been set fairly high.
This is a great market for the bookies, because chances are high that some no-name rugby league hack who played a little bit of AFL at school will be picked up on the cheap. After all, if the AFL can double the salary of someone with limited future in the NRL, why wouldn't they go? And the bookie cleans up!
WHO WILL DEFECT NEXT?
Greg Inglis is the $3.00 favourite in a Sportingbet Australia market to be the next NRL player to follow Karmichael Hunt and Israel Folau to AFL.
Inglis’ Storm teammate Billy Slater is on the second line of betting at $3.50 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Storm salary cap woes made them the two most obvious targets.
“Inglis and Slater are both freaks and would be brilliant at any sport so they are two obvious targets for AFL,” Sullivan said.
“The fact the Storm need to wipe around $1m off next season wages means they could very well be open to offers for one of their stars.”
Other players in Sportingbet market include, Jamal Idris, Jarryd Hayne, Josh Dugan and the Morris brothers, Brett and Josh.
“The AFL obviously have their sights set on the best young talent in the NRL, with Brad Scott the latest coach to target them and the list of players we came up with are the obvious targets,” Sullivan said.
“We are more than happy to quote prices on any other player and if no one defects by the end of 2011, we will refund all bets to punters.”
WHICH NRL PLAYER WILL BE NEXT TO DEFECT TO AFL
Sportingbet Australia Market
Greg Inglis 3.00
Billy Slater 3.50
Jamal Idris 8.00
Josh Morris 8.00
Brett Morris 8.00
Jarryd Hayne 9.00
Josh Dugan 11.00
Lachlan Coote 15.00
Darius Boyd 21.00
Michael Jennings 21.00
Todd Carney 26.00
Blake Ferguson 51.00
Manu Vatuvei 51.00
Fui Fui Moi Moi 101.00
This is a great market for the bookies, because chances are high that some no-name rugby league hack who played a little bit of AFL at school will be picked up on the cheap. After all, if the AFL can double the salary of someone with limited future in the NRL, why wouldn't they go? And the bookie cleans up!
WHO WILL DEFECT NEXT?
Greg Inglis is the $3.00 favourite in a Sportingbet Australia market to be the next NRL player to follow Karmichael Hunt and Israel Folau to AFL.
Inglis’ Storm teammate Billy Slater is on the second line of betting at $3.50 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Storm salary cap woes made them the two most obvious targets.
“Inglis and Slater are both freaks and would be brilliant at any sport so they are two obvious targets for AFL,” Sullivan said.
“The fact the Storm need to wipe around $1m off next season wages means they could very well be open to offers for one of their stars.”
Other players in Sportingbet market include, Jamal Idris, Jarryd Hayne, Josh Dugan and the Morris brothers, Brett and Josh.
“The AFL obviously have their sights set on the best young talent in the NRL, with Brad Scott the latest coach to target them and the list of players we came up with are the obvious targets,” Sullivan said.
“We are more than happy to quote prices on any other player and if no one defects by the end of 2011, we will refund all bets to punters.”
WHICH NRL PLAYER WILL BE NEXT TO DEFECT TO AFL
Sportingbet Australia Market
Greg Inglis 3.00
Billy Slater 3.50
Jamal Idris 8.00
Josh Morris 8.00
Brett Morris 8.00
Jarryd Hayne 9.00
Josh Dugan 11.00
Lachlan Coote 15.00
Darius Boyd 21.00
Michael Jennings 21.00
Todd Carney 26.00
Blake Ferguson 51.00
Manu Vatuvei 51.00
Fui Fui Moi Moi 101.00
Queensland Derby odds
There is at times comfort in knowing that somebody stands to lose more than we do if our pick crumbles. But Kutchinsky does look like a good thing.
RACING: $40,000 BET ON KUTCHINSKY
Derby favourite Kutchinsky has shortened again after some massive bets were struck on the Tony Noonan trained gelding at Sportingbet Australia.
The Grand Prix winner has shortened from $3.00 to $2.70 since Friday and Sportingbet CEO Michael Sullivan said he had been the only one punters had wanted to back.
“We took a bet of $40,000 at $3.00 and that started a rush of money with punters snapping up the $2.80 and $2.70 as well,” Sullivan said.
“He isn’t a horse that will be too adversely affected by a bad barrier either as he will get back anyway so I can only see him continuing to shorten until Saturday.”
Sullivan said some Sportingbet punters were sitting pretty after snapping up $16 about Kutchinsky early in May.
“We took one bet of $30,000 to $2000 and another to win $10,000 so those punters would be thrilled with the price they secured,” he said.
New Zealander The Hombre is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet at $5.00 ahead of the Bart Cummings trained Landlord at $5.50 and Fieldmaster at $6.00.
2010 Queensland Derby
Sportingbet Australia market
KUTCHINSKY 2.7
THE HOMBRE 5.00
LANDLORD 5.50
FIELDMASTER 6.00
SIR TIME KEEPER 10
DARIANA 10
MARHETA 12
MY KEEPSAKE 13
LET THEM HAVE IT 16
BLUEYS WAY 17
CABEZA 18
ROCKET TO RIO 19
SANDERSON 21
RACING: $40,000 BET ON KUTCHINSKY
Derby favourite Kutchinsky has shortened again after some massive bets were struck on the Tony Noonan trained gelding at Sportingbet Australia.
The Grand Prix winner has shortened from $3.00 to $2.70 since Friday and Sportingbet CEO Michael Sullivan said he had been the only one punters had wanted to back.
“We took a bet of $40,000 at $3.00 and that started a rush of money with punters snapping up the $2.80 and $2.70 as well,” Sullivan said.
“He isn’t a horse that will be too adversely affected by a bad barrier either as he will get back anyway so I can only see him continuing to shorten until Saturday.”
Sullivan said some Sportingbet punters were sitting pretty after snapping up $16 about Kutchinsky early in May.
“We took one bet of $30,000 to $2000 and another to win $10,000 so those punters would be thrilled with the price they secured,” he said.
New Zealander The Hombre is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet at $5.00 ahead of the Bart Cummings trained Landlord at $5.50 and Fieldmaster at $6.00.
2010 Queensland Derby
Sportingbet Australia market
KUTCHINSKY 2.7
THE HOMBRE 5.00
LANDLORD 5.50
FIELDMASTER 6.00
SIR TIME KEEPER 10
DARIANA 10
MARHETA 12
MY KEEPSAKE 13
LET THEM HAVE IT 16
BLUEYS WAY 17
CABEZA 18
ROCKET TO RIO 19
SANDERSON 21
Monday, June 7, 2010
Federal election odds against Rudd
Incumbency can never be under-estimated, but people are clearly trying to send a message to the current government. If their tune doesn't change, the $2.60 looks very sweet.
RUDD SLIDE CONTINUES AS ABBOTT SHORTENS FURTHER
The Coalition has shortened into the tightest odds to win the 2010 election they have been since Kevin Rudd took power; now paying $2.60 down from $2.85 in Sportingbet Australia’s market.
This follows yet another terrible poll for Kevin Rudd’s Labor today, with a Herald/Nielsen poll delivering a 3-point kicking to the Government, who have seen their odds of re-election blow out from $1.40 to $1.47.
The poll showed that Tony Abbott’s Opposition is now leading the Government 53-47, which is enough to easily win government if the results were to be repeated on election day.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters have identified Kevin Rudd’s slumping personal vote as a problem for the government.
“Punters want no part of Rudd or Labor at the moment with 90% of the money in the last week being for the Coalition,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We shortened the Coalition from $2.85 to $2.70 on the back of the polls this morning but were immediately claimed with bets of $5000 and $3000 arriving for them,” he said.
“Labor’s odds have blown from $1.20 to $1.47 in recent months and I can’t see punters wanting to back them until Rudd’s appeal with the electorate improves.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.47
Coalition $2.60
RUDD SLIDE CONTINUES AS ABBOTT SHORTENS FURTHER
The Coalition has shortened into the tightest odds to win the 2010 election they have been since Kevin Rudd took power; now paying $2.60 down from $2.85 in Sportingbet Australia’s market.
This follows yet another terrible poll for Kevin Rudd’s Labor today, with a Herald/Nielsen poll delivering a 3-point kicking to the Government, who have seen their odds of re-election blow out from $1.40 to $1.47.
The poll showed that Tony Abbott’s Opposition is now leading the Government 53-47, which is enough to easily win government if the results were to be repeated on election day.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters have identified Kevin Rudd’s slumping personal vote as a problem for the government.
“Punters want no part of Rudd or Labor at the moment with 90% of the money in the last week being for the Coalition,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We shortened the Coalition from $2.85 to $2.70 on the back of the polls this morning but were immediately claimed with bets of $5000 and $3000 arriving for them,” he said.
“Labor’s odds have blown from $1.20 to $1.47 in recent months and I can’t see punters wanting to back them until Rudd’s appeal with the electorate improves.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.47
Coalition $2.60
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