Showing posts with label horse racing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label horse racing. Show all posts

Friday, April 16, 2010

Weekend racing tips

Here's a few tips courtesy of the New South Wales TAB experts:

Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 16th April
Harold Park Race 5 - 8:30pm
No.9 - LADY LEXUS

Saturday 17th April
Randwick Race 6 - 3:35pm
No.16 - PALACIO DE CRISTAL

Saturday 17th April
Wentworth Park Race 5 - 8:50pm
No.2 - DID I ENTERTAIN

Friday, February 19, 2010

William Reid Stakes update

So, IASBet reckons Benetau will win, yet they're prepared to return win bets which lose to the favourite. Interesting concept!

TOP FILLY SCRATCHING GIVES NEW LIFE TO WILLIAM REID STAKES

IASbet.com's John Hartnett gives punters his thoughts on Saturday's Blue Diamond and Oakleigh Plate at Caulfield.

"Preludes are the best form guide for the Blue Diamond, and both Benetau ($3.70 into $3.20) and Psychologist ($8) were very impressive. Given Psychologist must start from the outside gate, it looks like the colt will be very hard to beat now."

"The Oakleigh Plate is a wide open affair and really is anyone's race. Here de Angels ($7.00) ran a track record last start, Peter Moody has four runners (Wanted $5.50, Headway $15, Avenue $21 and Tickets $17) each with good chances, while Weekend Hussler ($15.00) is the query runner and would not surprise first up. For mine, I think Starspangledbanner ($7.00) is a good each-way bet. He won second up at the 1100m last time in and is drawn to get the gun run".

Iasbet.com has a range of special markets and a money back specials available on the Blue Diamond Stakes:

Money Back Special
Place a win only bet (CITY SuperPrice) on the Blue Diamond Stakes and if your bet selection comes 2nd to BENETEAU, we'll refund your bet up to $200.

And here's sportsbet's take on the show:

MONEY COMES FOR BOOM COLT

Blue Diamond hot-favourite Beneteau has been backed off the map according to leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.

“Eight in every 10 bets we’ve taken today have been on Beneteau, including one of $30,000 at $3.50 on the star Sydney colt,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“Star Witness, who was plunged on at $17 in early markets, is also a very bad result. However, both he and the filly Psychologist have been unwanted since their poor draws.”

Market courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

2010 BLUE DIAMOND FINAL FIELD
$3.50 Beneteau
$7.50 Star Witness
$7.50 Psychologist
$8.50 Crystal Lily
$10 Secsession
$11 Shaaheq
$19 Evidentia
$21 Sweet Cheeks
$21 Legalistic
$21 Willow Creek
$21 General Truce
$26 She’s Got Gears
$41 Roulettes
$121 Spirit Cent
$121 Bit Of A Dude

Thursday, January 21, 2010

Horse racing: Black Caviar odds

I personally don't understand why you'd take the novelty odds when you can all up on two races for the same return. Trainers are always keen to squeeze "one more" race out of a champion horse ... which just decreases your chances of a novelty 7-1 return.

It's a nice option, but our advice: Feel free to get on Black Caviar early, but ignore the novelty bet.

Here's the latest from Sportingbet:


The wraps on boom filly Black Caviar have been that big that Sportingbet Australia have posted her as a $7.00 chance to go through her entire preparation unbeaten.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the reports of Black Caviar’s work going into Friday night’s Australia Stakes had seen punters wanting to get on her in every way possible.

“She is $1.40 for the Australia Stakes which may well be overs, if the early money is anything to go by, as punters are knocking down the door to get on her,” Sullivan said.

“There has been good money for her in the Newmarket as well with her price shortening for $6.00 to $5.50 in the past 24 hours.

“We have her $7.50 to go through the preparation undefeated and I think punters will come for that as it is likely to be only the three starts in the Australia Stakes and William Reid, where she will be very short, and then the Newmarket.”

“If she dominates those two races like everyone is expecting, then she is going to be pretty short in the Newmarket and the $7.50 will look very good all of a sudden.”

Here De Angels is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet for the Australia Stakes at $3.00 with the early scratching of Heart of Dreams meaning Royal Ida is third favourite at $15.00.

“At this stage we haven’t seen any money for the other contenders and I think Black Caviar can probably only get beaten if she muddles the start and finds trouble,” Sullivan said.

WILL BLACK CAVIAR WIN EVERY START THIS PREPARATION?
Sportingbet Australia Market
YES, Black Caviar Wins Every Start This Preparation 7.00
NO, Black Caviar Does Not Win Every Start This Prep 1.11

AUSTRALIA STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Black Caviar 1.40
Here De Angels 3.00
Royal Ida 15.00
La Rocket 41.00
Ferocia 201.00

Friday, January 8, 2010

Magic Millions 2yo classic

And from the same bookmaker, here's the market movements for the Magic Millions 2-year-old race at the Gold Coast, Australia:

Unbeaten Queensland filly Military Rose is set to challenge the John O‘Shea trained Ambers Waltz for favouritism in the Magic Millions classic according to Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan who reported a mountain of money arriving for her.

Sullivan said Military Rose seemed to be the pick of big punters nationwide and had shortened from $7.50 to $5.50 on the back of some big bets this week.

“She is clearly the one the punters want to be on and why not given her unbeaten record from three starts ,” Sullivan said.

“We took a bet of $6000 at $5.50 on Friday afternoon and that was after we had already taken a series of bets of around $2000 and $3000.

“The way the money is coming, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if she challenged Ambers Waltz for favouritism in the lead up to the race.”

Sullivan said Amber’s Waltz retained favouritism after running an unlucky second at her last start in Sydney.

“We did take a bet of $10,000 on Amber’s Waltz but that has really been the extent of the support for her,” Sullivan said.

“She was unlucky last start but she probably had her chance over the final 200m and didn’t really let down, so I am keen to take her on if she remains these odds.”

There has also been good money for Brightexpectations ($13 into $10), while Startsmeup was well supported on all-on markets at odds as big as $126.

MAGIC MILLIONS 2YO CLASSIC
Sportingbet Australia Market
Amber’s Waltz 4.40
Military Rose 5.50
Spirit Of Boom 6.50
Brightexpectations 10.00
Marking Time 11.00
Demanding Miss 11.00
Triple Crown 13.00
Startsmeup 14.00
Red Belly Black 18.00
Ringa Ringa Rosie 21.00
Extreme Mover 21.00
Ebony Rock 31.00
Wandering Star 31.00
Mundi Gully 51.00
Jantzen 61.00
Cuddles For Naara 61.00
Tough Luck 61.00
Tricarico 101.00
Paris Blu 101.00
Mr De Lago 101.00
Power Of Ed 101.00

Love Conquers All is Magic Millions favourite

Following is a statement from Sportingbet Australia with the latest market movements for the Magic Millions on the Gold Coast, Sydney, Australia, this weekend:

The Hawkes trained Love Conquers All has clearly been the best backed runner for the Magic Millions 3YO Trophy shortening from $5 to $4.20 at Sportingbet Australia.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the last start Sydney winner was the only horse punters had been interested in backing in the last 24 hours.

“They have jumped out of trees to back him since he drew perfectly and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him start even shorter,” Sullivan said.

“We are taking more bets on him than the rest of the field combined with bets of $10,000 and $5000 among a string of four figure bets placed on him.”

Sullivan said the only other horse to come in for support so far was Deer Valley who had shortened from $7.00 to $6.50 at Sportingbet.

“We took one bet of $60,000 to $10,000 on Deer Valley after being luckless last start,” Sullivan said.

MAGIC MILLIONS 3YO TROPHY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Love Conquers All 4.20
Shoot Out 5.50
Graceful Anna 6.00
Deer Valley 6.50
Choistar 11.00
Latin News 14.00
Temple Of Boom 17.00
Doubtful Jack 17.00
Tallow 21.00
Princess Qualo 31.00
Fast Lover 31.00
Knot Out 41.00
Spot On Target 51.00
Captain Sonador 51.00
Fantastic Blue 51.00
Ourkohinoor 51.00
Emma’s Heart 61.00
Femina Fashion 61.00
Moonlight Hussey 101.00
Surf’s Up 101.00
Double Heart 126.00

Friday, November 20, 2009

Gold Salute a hot tip at Flemington

If you fancy Gold Salute, the advice from Sportingbet is to get in quick. I'm tipping the odds will be a little easier on the Tote.

The betting plunge on Victorian raider Gold Salute in the Railway Stakes has continued with some huge bets written at Sportingbet Australia.

The Mark Riley trained gelding shortened from $4.20 to $3.20 in the last 24 hours and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the money was still coming for him.

“The move started with a bet of $25,000 each way at $4.20 yesterday afternoon and since then punters have just kept loading up into him,” Sullivan said.

“We took a string of big bets after that at odds between $3.40 and $3.80 as punters declared him the one to beat.

“His placings in the Toorak and Emirates suggest he will be hard to hold out here but I am happy to take him on at these odds.”


2009 RAILWAY STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gold Salute 3.20
All American 6.00
Ortensia 7.50
Grand Nirvana 8.00
Tarzi 13.00
Megatic 15.00
Eliotto 15.00
Snipers Bullet 17.00
Spirited One 17.00
Largo Lad 18.00
Famous Roman 21.00
Keytomoney 21.00
Colour Correct 31.00
Lords Ransom 31.00
Lambton Castle 61.00
Oroya Gold 71.00
Coconut Grove 126.00

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Leading sire odds for 2009/10

There's a fair amount of the season to go, but the front runner looks a good thing to me. Feel free to differ:

Sportingbet Australia has installed boom sire Encosta De Lago as a $2.35 favourite to be leading sire by prizemoney for season 2009/10.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Encosta De Lago deserved his place at the head of the market despite presently trailing Street Cry by almost $2 Million.

“Encosta De Lago’s record speaks for itself, having topped the table for the last two seasons,” said Sullivan.

“Street Cry’s earnings have been inflated by Shocking’s Melbourne Cup victory and we think the incumbent champ can run him down.”

Street Cry is rated a $2.75 chance to hang on to his lead while, prolific sire of 2 year olds, More Than Ready looking good value at $10.00 with races such as the Golden Slipper still to come.

2009/10 LEADING SIRE BY PRIZEMONEY
Encosta De Lago 2.35
Street Cry 2.75
Redoutes Choice 5.50
Any Other Individual Sire 6.00
More Than Ready (usa) 10.00
Scenic 15.00
Lonhro 26.00

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

VRMA Personality of the year

Statement from Sportingbet:

Bart Cumming has been installed as $1.30 favourite to win the VRMA Personality of the year following another phenomenal Spring for the master trainer.

Cummings is clear favourite at Sportingbet Australia ahead of Melbourne Cup winning trainer Mark Kavanagh and Peter Moody.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Cummings had to be favourite after he trained the winner of the Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate and Oaks amongst others and provided punters with a few laughs.

“It was a vintage year for Cummings where he showed he is still the best trainer of stayers in the country and produced some classical one liners to show he has lost none of his wit at 82 years of age,” Sullivan said.

“For any trainer to have four Group 1 winners in the Spring is a sensational effort but when you look at them individually it gets even more impressive.

“He brought a three year old through to win a Cox Plate in just his fifth start and getting last year’s Melbourne Cup winner up to win the Caulfield Cup with top weight just shows how good a trainer he really is.”

Sullivan said last year’s winner, Kavanagh, could not be ruled out after his Spring contained some tremendous highs and lows.

“Mark Kavanagh really saw both sides of racing during the Carnival losing champion Maldivian and Derby favourite Shamoline Warrior to injury and the experiencing the ultimate high of training the Melbourne Cup winner,” Sullivan said.

“The way he handled himself during both the highs and the lows will surely see him attract a lot of support.”

VRMA PERSONALITY OF THE YEAR
Bart Cummings 1.30
Mark Kavanagh 3.20
Peter Moody 7.00
Dan Morton 21.00
Robbie Laing 51.00

Friday, November 6, 2009

Emirates Stakes odds

Here are some novelty bets being offered by Sportsbet for the Emirates Stakes tomorrow at Flemington:

Will the Emirates Stakes winner have been previously placed at Flemington, or will it be a Headquarters virgin?

Virgins $1.62
Black Piranha, Sniper’s Bullet, King Mufhasa, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, So You Think, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Walking Or Dancing
Pros $2.30
Road to Rock, Vigor, Gold Salute, Red Lord, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero

How much weight will the Stakes winner have to bear?

Lightweights (53-54.5kgs) $1.58
Eagle Falls, Triple Honour, Rightfully Yours, So You Think, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Heavyweights (55kg+) $2.40
Black Piranha, Road To Rock, Sniper’s Bullet, Vigor, Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Sir Slick

See if you can pick the overall winning strike rate of the Stakes winner below:

Guns (win rate 41%+) $2.30
King Mufhasa, Eagle Falls, So You Think
Determined (win rate 35-40%) $3.20
Vigor, Gold Salute, Rightfully Yours
Cruisers (win rate 19-34%) $6.75
Sniper’s Bullet, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, Walking Or Dancing
Slackers (win rate 18% or less) $4.40
Black Piranha, Road To Rock, Red Lord, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Von Costa De Hero

From which class will the Stakes winner hail?

Filthy Rich ($1.5M+) $2.15
Black Piranha, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, So You Think
Posh ($801K - $1.49M) $5.25
Sniper’s Bullet, Vigor, King Mufhasa, Von Costa De Hero
Middle Class ($570K - $800K) $11.00
Road To Rock, Red Lord, All American, Chinchilla Rose
Paupers (under $570K) $2.75
Gold Salute, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Walking Or Dancing

Put your astrological mind into gear and pick the Stakes winner with the Zodiac bet:

Leo/Sagittarius $5.75
Black Piranha, Triple Honour, Chinchilla Rose, Road To Rock
Libra $3.85
Sniper’s Bullet, Sir Slick, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Virgo $2.75
Vigor, Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Eagle Falls, All American
Scorpio $3.05
So You Think

In each of the Alpha-Bet markets below, punters can select the group from which the Stakes winning horse will come from.

Group A $5.50
All American, Black Piranha, Chinchilla Rose, Eagle Falls
Group B $3.80
Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Rightfully Yours
Group C $2.20
Road To Rock, Sir Slick, Sniper’s Bullet, So You Think
Group D $4.60
Triple Honour, Vigor, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing

Jockey's surnames

Group A $1.92
Black Piranha, So You Think, All American, Walking Or Dancing
Group B $3.50
Vigor, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero
Group C $5.25
Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Sir Slick, Triple Honour
Group D $8.00
Road To Rock, Sniper’s Bullet, Red Lord, Chinchilla Rose

Maribyrnong Plate late mail

Sportingbet Australia punters are hoping that David Hayes can gain some consolation for a miserable Spring Carnival with Ebony Rock in Saturday’s Maribyrnong Plate.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Fastnet Rock colt had been backed in from $16.00 to $7.50.

“Punters snapped up the $16.00 as soon as we posted a market and there’s still solid support at the $7.50,” said Sullivan.

“The Hayes stable has pulled off plunges in this race before with the likes of Langoustine and Nadeem and punters seem pretty confident that history could well repeat.”


2009 MARIBYRNONG PLATE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Sweet Cheeks 3.00
Stirling Grove 3.30
Brightexpectations 4.00
She’s Got Gears 5.00
Ebony Rock 7.50
Marmaa 8.00
Sleepers 12.00
Tropic Thunder 14.00
Enzed Girl 16.00
Baribo 21.00
Excellence 21.00
General Truce 26.00
Forgiven 26.00
Like A Guest 41.00
Mr Chard 41.00
Indisputably 51.00
Onamissionfromgod 81.00

Smart punter cleans up in Melbourne Cup

One Sportingbet Australia punter has plenty of reason for celebration after landing a remarkable Melbourne Cup trifecta.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the punter snared himself a profit of $37,258 by outlaying only $24.

“Usually people snare the Cup trifecta by boxing up several runners,” said Sullivan.

“But this fellow managed to isolate the three placegetters and took the trifecta four times.

“Congratulations to him, it’s a remarkable effort.”

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Faint Perfume the hot favourite for Crown Oaks

Faint Perfume has been backed to the exclusion of all other runners to continue Bart Cummings remarkable Spring and win tomorrow’s Crown Oaks.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Faint Perfume had shortened from $2.00 to $1.75 and it was impossible to write a bet on any other runner.

“All the money is for Faint Perfume including a bet of $150,000 at $1.85,” said Sullivan

“The class filly usually does win this race and the way she won on Saturday it’s hard to see anything jumping out of the pack.”

“We shortened her to $2.00 after she won the Wakeful but punters took that price immediately.”

Sullivan said despite the race looking like a one act affair he would still be taking on the favourite.

“We’ll be standing Faint Perfume for a fortune and we will be hoping the likes of Melito can cause a boilover,” Sullivan said.

2009 CROWN OAKS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Faint Perfume 1.75
Valdemoro 8.00
Silent Surround 8.50
Livia 11.00
Miss With Attitude 13.00
Melito 15.00
Well Rounded 19.00
Zapurb 26.00
Savsbelle 26.00
Princess Rage 51.00
Money Angel 61.00
Perfect Rithymn 101.00
Rhiannon’s Joy 101.00

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Novelty bets for Melbourne Cup

Some people like to hedge their bets by putting money on multiple horses for the Melbourne Cup. Some bookies are providing options which might make far more sense.

Here are some of the novelty bets being put up by Sportsbet. Some might of course have changed since this morning's scratching:

Can Bart Cummings continue his golden run and win his thirteenth Melbourne Cup?
Bart Cummings to train the 2009 Melbourne Cup winner $2.90

Pick the star sign of the Melbourne Cup winner, based on their foaling date.
Aquarius/Pisces/Aries/Taurus $5.30 Basaltico, Changingoftheguard, Crime Scene, Mourilyan, Munsef, Warringah
Leo/Virgo $4.10 Allez Wonder, Daffodil, Fiumicino, Kibbutz, Leica Ding, Shocking
Libra $2.65 Capecover, C’est La Gueere, Gallions Reach, Harris Tweed, Ista Kareem, Roman Emperor, Viewed
Scorpio/Sagittarius $3.30 Alcopop, Master O’Rielly, Newport, Spin Around, Zavite

Will the Melbourne Cup winner be posh, middle class or a pauper? Based on career earnings to date.
Posh ($1.1M+ career earnings) $2.60 Fiumicino, Ista Kareem, Master O’Rielly, Roman Emperor, Spin Around, Viewed
Middle Class ($500,000 - $1.099M) $4.80 Allez Wonder, C’est La Guerre, Crime Scene, Daffodil, Gallions Reach, Kibbutz, Munsef, Newport, Zavite
Paupers (less than $500,000) $2 Alcopop, Basaltico, Capecover, Changingoftheguard, Harris Tweed, Leica Ding, Mourilyan, Shocking, Warringah

Will the Melbourne Cup winner have placed at Headquarters before or will it be a Flemington virgin?
Virgins $1.67 Fiumicino, Basaltico, Mourilyan, Roman Emperor, Crime Scene, Munsef, Alcopop, Harris Tweed, Warringah, Gallions Reach, Spin Around, Daffodil, Changingoftheguard, Leica Ding
Pros $2.20 Viewed, C’est La Guerre, Master O’Reilly, Ista Kareem, Zavite, Kibbutz, Newport, Capecover, Shocking, Allez Wonder

Can you pick the age of the Melbourne Cup winner?
4YO $2.80
5YO $3.10
6YO $3.75
7YO+ $6.00

Can you pick where the Melbourne Cup winner will start from?
Barriers 1-8 $5.80
Barriers 9-16 $1.45
Barriers 17-24 $4.30

Got a thing for even or odd numbers? Cheer for 12 horses in the Melbourne Cup.
Odd number $1.60
Even number $2.35

In the Alpha-Bet market below, punters can select the group from which the winning horse will come from.
Group A $2.75 Alcopop, Allez Wonder, Basaltico, Capecover, C’est La Guree
Group B $9 Crime Scene, Daffodil, Fiumicino, Gallions Reach, Harris Tweed, Ista Kareem
Group C $5 Kibbutz, Leica Ding, Master O’Rielly, Munsef, Newport
Group D $2.25 Roman Emperor, Shocking, Spin Around, Viewed, Warringah, Zavite

Fancy one nag over another? Take your pick in the following Head to Head markets.

VIEWED VS ALCOPOP
Viewed $1.90
Alcopop $1.90

CRIME SCENE VS BASALTICO
Crime Scene $2.70
Basaltico $1.45

VIEWED VS ROMAN EMPEROR
Viewed $1.50
Roman Emperor $2.55

Alcopop into Melbourne Cup favouritism

Straight from the bookies, this latest release came five minutes ago:

Alcopop has been backed into $5.00 outright favourite at Sportingbet Australia after some huge wagers were placed on the fairytale story of this year’s Cup.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Alcopop had been backed into $5.00 while last year’s Cup winner, Viewed, had drifted out to $5.50.

“Alcopop has been the only one they have wanted in the past 24 hours and we have taken bets of $120,000 and $35,000 on him,” Sullivan said.

“The money has dried up a little for Viewed but I am sure the Bart Cummings factor will see that change before jump time.

“Alcopop is clearly our worst result at the moment while AJC Oaks winner Daffodil is also nasty after some big bets including one of $300,000 to $20,000 were placed on her.”


2009 MELBOURNE CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Alcopop 5.00
Viewed 5.50
Roman Emperor 8,50
Shocking 10.00
Master O’Reilly 12.00
Daffodil 14.00
Leica Ding 21.00
Basaltico 21.00
Mourilyan 21.00
Allez Wonder 31.00
Warringah 31.00
C’est La Guerre 31.00
Newport 41.00
Crime Scene 41.00
Munsef 51.00
Fiumicino 71.00
Kibbutz 71.00
Ista Kareem 81.00
Zavite 81.00
Capecover 81.00
Harris Tweed 126.00
Spin Around 201.00
Gallion’s Reach 251.00

Monday, November 2, 2009

Read tips Roman Emperor in Melbourne Cup

This year's Melbourne Cup shapes as one of the most memorable in years if the buildup is anything to go by, says IASbet's Mark Read.

"At the top of the market there's the people's hero from the bush in Alcopop ($5) and the returning champ from the people's trainer Bart Cummings in Viewed ($5)," he said.

"Shocking ($10) put in a most eye-catching run in the Lexus on Derby Day, and has been very well backed since he snuck into the field. Mark Kavanagh's luck of late has been just that Shocking and hopefully this horse can erase some of the bad memories over the past few weeks."

"I think Roman Emperor ($9) represents great value in this year's Cup. His last run was a solid second to Viewed in the Caulfield Cup, who had the sort of run that jockeys and punters dream of.

"He's an AJC Derby winner, is bred to get the trip, and has the man of the moment in his corner.

"Looking to the other races on the day for winners, Ortensia ($2.10) looks almost unbeatable in the Herald Sun Stakes over 1400m. Back to her own sex, Williams should give her the gun run and she should be too strong for these."

"Another shortie is Mark Kavanagh's Defintely Ready ($1.40) in the Schweppes Tonic 1000. His three career runs have all been dominant wins and he is simply in another class to his rivals.

Because of the short quotes on offer, perhaps have the Ortensia/Definitely Ready running double and then use that money to bet later on the Cup."

$35K bet for Alcopop in Melbourne Cup

The big punters are warming to fairytale horse Alcopop for the Melbourne Cup with some huge bets arriving for the gelding at Sportingbet Australia.

Alcopop is $5.50 second favourite behind Viewed at $5.00 but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said some big bets are seeing him challenge for favouritism.

“We took a bet of $35,000 at $5.50 this morning so that punter stands to collect nearly $200,000 and he has clearly been the best backed since the barrier draw,” Sullivan said.

“I always expected the Bart Cummings factor would ensure Viewed ran favourite but the money we are seeing come for Alcopop could well change that.

“Shocking’s win on Saturday really stamped his form and punters could still make him one of the most unlikely Cup favourites ever.”

Latest Melbourne Cup betting action

At least one punter is confident Daffodil can improve for the Melbourne Cup. They've unloaded $20K on the result. Below is the Sportingbet release:

PUNTERS UNLOAD ON DAFFODIL

Big money has arrived for AJC Oaks winner Daffodil to win the Melbourne Cup with one massive bet struck at Sportingbet Australia.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Daffodil shortened from $18 to $14 since the barrier draw on Saturday night as punters warmed to the mare.

“We took a bet of $300,000 to $20,000 on Daffodil along with a number of other good bets on the way in,” Sullivan said.

“Her win in the Oaks showed she is up to this class and her run in the Caulfield Cup suggests the 3200m will suit.

“She is certainly one of the top chances just below favourites Viewed and Alcopop.”

Viewed remains favourite at Sportingbet at $5.00 ahead of Alcopop at $5.50 and Roman Emperor at $9.00.


2009 MELBOURNE CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Viewed 5.00
Alcopop 5.50
Roman Emperor 9.00
Shocking 11.00
Master O’Reilly 13.00
Daffodil 14.00
Leica Ding 17.00
Changingoftheguard 18.00
Basaltico 21.00
Mourilyan 21.00
Allez Wonder 26.00
Warringah 26.00
C’est La Guerre 26.00
Newport 35.00
Munsef 51.00
Crime Scene 51.00
Fiumicino 61.00
Kibbutz 71.00
Ista Kareem 71.00
Zavite 71.00
Capecover 81.00
Harris Tweed 101.00
Gallion’s Reach 201.00
Spin Around 201.00

Sunday, November 1, 2009

Not a great weekend

As we always say, we'll tell it warts at all at Aussiepunt, and Derby Day wasn't that great for us.

We backed Rockferry to win the Victoria Derby which wasn't a terrific choice. But we've lost 7% of our bankroll, and it's time to move on - get back on the horse, as they say.

Tuesday is the biggest race day on the calendar and we'll be spending a portion of tomorrow trying to find some winners for everybody.

We'll give you all the news from corporate bookmakers to see where the money's going for the Melbourne Cup. Shocking is no doubt firming after a good run at the weekend. Expect Viewed to start favourite over Alcopop. Value will be with Master O'Reilly and Mourilyan.

But rest assured, we won't be forgetting the other races on the card.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Victoria Derby opens up

Interesting to note that what many thought was a two-horse race, all of a sudden opens up when the favourite is scratched.

Shamoline Warrior is out, and the other fancy Rockferry is steady at $5 or so.

But according to the betting, Onemorenomore, Viking Legend and Monaco Consul have all come into contention. All three are at the $5-6 mark.

Extra Zero is on the next line of betting.

I still like Rockferry, but follow the betting.

Friday, October 30, 2009

Roughie backed to win the Wakeful

This might be a decent tip for those who like value:

The Brian Smith trained Moncalieri has been backed at big odds to upset the applecart of Oaks favourites Run For Naara and Faint Perfume in Saturday’s Wakeful Stakes.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been solid backing for the daughter of Encosta De Lago.

“There’s been separate bets to win $60,000 and $20,000 on Moncalieri at $61 with little interest so far for either of the favourites,” said Sullivan.

“There’s plenty to say she can run a big race at big odds.”

2009 WAKEFUL STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Run For Naara 2.50
Faint Perfume 4.20
Melito 5.50
Jolie Brise 9.00
Silent Surround 11.00
Mont Fleuri 13.00
Formalite 23.00
Moncalieri 41.00
Savsbelle 51.00
Flotercher 201.00