Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Damn those Gold Coast Titans rumours

Then comes Four Corners or some other current affairs silhouette-type cloak and dagger interview, and off we go again!

WOODEN SPOON MARKET REOPENED WITH TITANS AT $21

Sportingbet Australia has reopened their wooden spoon market with the Gold Coast Titans as $21 chances after the NRL informed them there was no current investigation regarding the salary cap.

Sportingbet suspended betting on the wooden spoon yesterday morning after a flurry of bets came for the Titans as soon as the market was opened.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the NRL’s statement came after Sportingbet had reported the transactions but as they had clearly stated there was no investigation underway, he was completely confident in reposting the market.

“The market back is up now for punters to bet on with the Titans still at $21, “ Sullivan said.

“I am sure if yesterday morning is any indication we will be taking plenty of bets on them but we have full confidence in the market now given the NRL’s statement.

“We had no choice but to suspend the market yesterday morning given the unprecedented run of bets for a side currently sitting fourth.”

Sportingbet Australia currently has the Cowboys as $3.00 favourites for the Spoon, without Melbourne Storm in the betting, ahead of Cronulla at $4.00 and the Knights at $5.00.

NRL – WOODEN SPOON
Sportingbet Australia Market
North Qld Cowboys 3.00
Cronulla Sharks 4.00
Newcastle Knights 5.00
Canberra Raiders 6.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 11.00
New Zealand Warriors 15.00
Sydney Roosters 21.00
Parramatta Eels 21.00
Gold Coast Titans 21.00
Brisbane Broncos 34.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 34.00
Wests Tigers 51.00
Penrith Panthers 51.00
Manly Sea Eagles 51.00
St George Dragons 51.00

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Roy Hodgson favourite for Liverpool FC manager job

One for Premier League fans. If anyone gets the heads up, let us know.

The imminent departure of Fulham manager Roy Hodgson to Liverpool later this week has left a vacancy to fill at Craven Cottage, and bookies Victor Chandler had made Alan Curbishley the 5/2 favourite to bag the position. But that was before he was backed this morning and the firm now are as short as 5/4.

“It didn’t take long for the 5/2 to be snapped up, and we had to take evasive action.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “We felt he’d be the favourite to get the job, but we didn’t know how short to be. It seems the 5/2 might be a decent price now.”

There were strong rumours about Sven Goran Eriksson taking over at Craven Cottage, and the firm make him the third favourite at 6/1. Mark Hughes is sandwiched between them at 4/1. Other names in the hat include Glenn Hoddle, Slaven Bilic and Manuel Pelligrini. The job will appeal to many managers as Hodgson has built a terrific platform for the future and Fulham’s future looks reasonably bright.

“The one dilemma I suppose for potential managers is that Roy Hodgson will be a hard act to follow, and some might sit this one out.” added Wilkins.

Next Permanent Fulham Manager
Alan Curbishley 5/4
Mark Hughes 4/1
Sven Goran Eriksson 6/1
Glenn Hoddle 8/1
Slaven Bilic 8/1
Manuel Pelligrini 9/1
Gareth Southgate 11/1
Dave Jones 14/1
Paulo Sousa 14/1
Kevin Keegan 16/1
Steve McClaren 16/1
Phil Scolari 16/1
Stuart Pearce 18/1
Tony Mowbray 18/1
Marcelo Lippi 20/1
Martin Jol 22/1
Sean O'Driscoll 25/1
Paul Jewell 25/1
Paul Ince 25/1
Otto Rehhagel 25/1
Gerard Houllier 25/1
Paul Le Guen 40/1

Gold Coast Titans rumours spark betting plunge

Whether it's a rumour or not, the rugby league administration is a joke. That's about all I can say.

NRL: BETS ON TITANS SUSPENDS SPOON BETTING

Sportingbet Australia suspended betting on their new Wooden Spoon market this morning after a series of bets were taken on the fourth placed Gold Coast Titans.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the market, which excluded the pointless Melbourne Storm, was up for less than five minutes when three bets were struck on the Titans.

“This is very similar to what led us to suspend Spoon betting initially when we saw bets come for Melbourne although we reacted a lot faster this time to suspend betting,” Sullivan said.

“We had the Titans in the market at $21 and I can’t see punters wanting to take that price for the fourth placed side unless they thought they knew something.

“The bets we took were only to win a few thousand but the fact they came on top of each so soon after we put the market up, meant we had to suspend immediately as punters were trying to get onto win a lot more.’

Sportingbet currently has the Titans as $17 chances for the Premiership.

Esther Anderson gets Dancing with the Stars early vote

I liked Wirra myself, but what would I know?

Home and Away star Esther Anderson is Sportingbet Australia’s $3.00 favourite to win series ten of Dancing with the Stars following Sunday night’s first show.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Anderson showed enough talent on the dance floor to say her soapie fans would not be disappointed.

“Esther Anderson looked fairly natural on the dance floor and this coupled with her fan base makes her favourite,” said Sullivan.

Sullivan said Anderson was closely followed by Blair McDonough ($4.50), Tamara Jaber ($4.50) and Rob Palmer ($6.00).

“McDonough was very good and looms as an early dark horse while Palmer was personality plus even if he did dance like a carpenter,” Sullivan said.

“Tamara Jaber was clearly the best dancer on the night and if the show was won purely on dance ability would be an odds on favourite.

“But her husband, Kyle Sandilands, is such a ‘love him ‘or ‘hate him’ character that it makes it hard to judge the effect on her public vote “

Meanwhile, there’s a strong AFL flavour in the elimination market with David Wirrpanda and Alex Fevola favourites to be drop punted from the show.

“Wirrpanda may have won Goal of the Year a few seasons back with his left foot but he unfortunately had two of them on the dance floor,” said Sullivan.

“Alex Fevola looked as pretty as a picture but obviously suffered badly from nerves.”

DWTS - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Esther Anderson 3.00
Blair McDonough 4.50
Tamara Jaber 4.50
Rob Palmer 6.50
Rachel Finch 8.00
George Houvardas 9.00
Melinda Schneider 9.00
Jason Stevens 12.00
Jo Beth Taylor 14.00
Alex Fevola 17.00
David Wirrpanda 21.00




DWTS – ELIMINATION 4 JULY

Sportingbet Australia Market

David Wirrpanda 2.25

Alex Fevola 2.75

Jo Beth Taylor 5.50

Jason Stevens 8.00

Melinda Schneider 8.00

Rachael Finch 10.00

George Houvardas 12.00

Tamara Jaber 12.00

Rob Palmer 17.00

Blair McDonough 17.00

Esther Anderson 21.00

August 28 election likely

If the government is talking about an August election, which they are, it August 21 and August 28 must be the most likely dates. But that doesn't necessarily mean that that's what's going to happen. When they sit down and realise they haven't finalised pre-selection for a number of seats, they might realise that September 4 would be a far better date.

There will be a few superstitious types who'll worry about the "Crash"-type headlines if it was to be September 11. The only other realistic result is that the August call is a bluff, which means a date after November 27 is the next best bet.


Australia will be heading to the polls on August 28 according to punters betting at Sportingbet Australia with the date backed into ruling favourite at $2.75.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had zeroed in on dates in August but all the big money had been for the 28th.

“We have taken a number of good bets which has seen the 28th shorten from $3.50 to $2.75 in the past twenty four hours,” Sullivan said.

“Julia Gillard’s promotion to PM has certainly seen the polls move in Labor’s favour and punters are convinced that will lead to an early election.

“If the mining tax negotiations are well received, I think it looks a certainty we will be heading to the polls by the end of August.”

Labor continues to firm to win the election with Gillard as leader, shortening from $1.55 when Kevin Rudd was leader to $1.40 currently with Sportingbet.

“The money has all been one way since Julia Gillard became Prime Minister with punters very confident she can beat Tony Abbott,” Sullivan said.

“This is in complete contrast to when Rudd was leader when all the money was for Abbott but his odds have now blown out to $2.85 after being as short as $2.40 last Wednesday.”

Federal Election Date
Sportingbet Australia market
Saturday, July 31 2010 $26.00
Saturday, August 7 2010 $13.00
Saturday, August 14 2010 $13.00
Saturday, August 21 2010 $7.50
Saturday, August 28 2010 $2.75
Saturday, September 4 2010 $6.00
Saturday, September 11 2010 $10.00
Saturday, September 18 2010 $13.00
Saturday, September 25 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 2 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 9 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 16 2010 $13.00
Saturday, October 23 2010 $13.00
Saturday, October 30 2010 $17.00
Saturday, November 6 2010 $17.00
Saturday, November 13 2010 $21.00
Saturday, November 20 2010 $21.00
Saturday, November 27 2010 $34.00
Any Date after November 27, 2010 $6.50

Brisbane Broncos no longer under the radar

I've been saying it for a while now. With a fully fit side, which should be the case for the finals, the Broncos are an excellent unit: Yow Yeh, Folau, Hodges and Kemp is a backline we haven't seen for a while. Add that to Tronc who has returned, Parker, Lockyer, Wallace etc etc and they'll match it with anyone. A very good bet.

NRL: RESURGENT BRONCOS HORROR RESULT FOR BOOKIES

Six-time premiers Brisbane have bookmakers more than a little nervous after punters climbed on board at $67 several weeks ago when they looked more likely to be wooden spoon contenders than grand finalists.

But the Broncos are now into $8 third picks at Sportingbet Australia with their CEO Michael Sullivan saying they are by far his worst result with one client set to collect $268,000 should they go all the way.

“We took one bet of $264,000 to $4000 on them in April and we have laid them at every price on the way in,” Sullivan said.

“We took a bet of $55,000 to $5000 before Brisbane beat Parramatta on Saturday and we've slashed their quote to $8.00.

“They are our worst result for the Premiership by a long way.”

St George are the raging $3.25 favourites at Sportingbet and Sullivan said there looked to be only a few challengers capable of upsetting a drought breaking Premiership for the Dragons in October.

“The Dragons look a level above everyone else and if it wasn’t St George we were talking about, you'd almost declare them,” he said.

“The Panthers are second favourites at $5.50 and look short enough and then you go to the Broncos at $8.00 with Manly and Parramatta, sides some way off top form, both at $8.50.”

2010 NRL Premiership
Sportingbet Australia market
St George Dragons 3.25
Penrith Panthers 5.50
Brisbane Broncos 8.00
Manly Sea Eagles 8.50
Parramatta Eels 8.50
South Sydney Rabbitohs 9.00
Wests Tigers 13.00
Gold Coast Titans 17.00
Sydney Roosters 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
New Zealand Warriors 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 67.00
Cronulla Sharks 101.00
North Qld Cowboys 101.00

Penrith was a good bet

Punting is always a game of "should haves", "could haves", "might haves", "ifs" and "maybes". That said, it's always nice to see a punter who is on a good thing. For this person's sake, I say "Carn the Panthers".

Penrith have been the surprise packet of the NRL season and it has at least one punter smiling after he backed them to win everything but the Leagues club chook raffle pre season.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Panthers had been well backed to win the Premiership, the Minor Premiership and to make the top four at big odds pre season.

“We laid bets of $55,000 to $2500 at $23 for both the Premiership and Minor Premiership and a bet of $50,000 to $12,500 for them to make the top four,” Sullivan said.

“They are now sitting second on the ladder and we have slashed their odds to $5.50 for the Premiership and they look a genuine threat.

“They have been a real surprise packet to me but obviously this punter saw something most of us didn’t as he could potentially collect well over $150,000.

“Their current quote of $5.50 looks to be short enough to me but the way they are playing, they are one of only a few genuine Premiership hopes.”

St George are the current $3.25 favourites at Sportingbet ahead of the Panthers at $5.50 and the resurgent Broncos at $8.00.

2010 NRL Premiership
Sportingbet Australia market
St George Dragons 3.25
Penrith Panthers 5.50
Brisbane Broncos 8.00
Manly Sea Eagles 8.50
Parramatta Eels 8.50
South Sydney Rabbitohs 9.00
Wests Tigers 13.00
Gold Coast Titans 17.00
Sydney Roosters 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
New Zealand Warriors 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 67.00
Cronulla Sharks 101.00
North Qld Cowboys 101.00