Thursday, January 14, 2010

Brian Laws at 9/1 to leave

Wigan to concede the most goals seems like value. Here's the latest press release from Victor Chandler:

Victor Chandler have installed Brian Laws at 9/1 to be the next Premier League manager to leave his post, and just 5/2 that they finish bottom this season after he was given the nod as Burnley’s new boss, and the firm admit that it was an appointment that took them by surprise.

“This seems a bizarre selection and we fear for the club during the rest of the season.” said VC spokesman Dave Jenkins.

“It seems that everything that Coyle had built up could collapse and we really feel they’ll struggle to adapt. Laws is not renowned for his passing football. I hope the Clarets fans have their neck braces ready because it won’t be pretty from now on. This could well end in tears.”

The firm also make Burnley the 7/4 favourites now to concede the most goals this season. They have conceded 40 goals so far closely followed in the betting by Hull City (42) at 2/1 and by Wigan (44) at 5/2.

Burnley to finish bottom
Yes 5/2
No 1/4

Brian Laws to be the Next Premier Manager to leave post 9/1

Who will Concede Most Goals This Season?
Burnley (40) 7/4
Hull City (42 2/1
Wigan (44) 5/2
West Ham (37) 6/1
Blackburn (39) 7/1

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Australia vs Pakistan in Hobart

Below is a release from Sportingbet Australia.

The draw might well indeed be well backed, but it's difficult not to see Australia making it a 3-0 whitewash of the series.

With all the turmoil in the Pakistan team surrounding the selection, or non-selection as the case might well turn out to be, of Kamran Akhmal, the Pakistan temperament could go one of two ways. They could self-destruct (which is the most likely scenario) or they could perform out of their skin.

For mine, they had their chance in Sydney and blew it. My advice: Stay well clear of this betting market due to its unpredictability, but if you really must bet, Australia at $1.72 is the best option.

And remember, rain sometimes enhances the likelihood of a result, particularly if it manages to affect the wicket. Players might need only two hours on each of the last three days to secure a result.


Pakistan’s improved performance in the second Test and the threat of rain has seen punters swarm to back the draw for the third test starting tomorrow in Hobart.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the draw had been backed from $3.65 to $3.30 in the last 24 hours with long range forecasts predicting rain over the last three days.

“The draw has been the only option punters have wanted to back with a number of good bets including one of $4000 at $3.65,” said Sullivan.

“With a prediction of an 80 percent chance of rain for each of the last three days punters are willing to risk Pakistan lasting the first two days without any major damage.”

Australia remain ruling $1.72 favourites at Sportingbet Australia following their miraculous come from behind win in Sydney.

“The win in Sydney could well have smashed the confidence of Pakistan, who really snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, so Australia will remain favourites unless the rain really threatens to disrupt play in a big way,” Sullivan said

THIRD TEST – AUSTRALIA V PAKISTAN
Sportingbet Australia Market
Australia 1.72
Draw 3.30
Pakistan 5.50

Football tip: Get on Manchester City

If you're looking for a longer term investment, Manchester City is a fantastic bet.

A great win at the weekend might mean they're finally putting early-season criticism behind them to produce the results everybody was expecting.

Yes, it does take time for a team to gel. It might just be starting to happen, and with 8.5 points start, it's a great bet.

I'm not as convinced about Everton or Tottenham.


Victor Chandler have opened up several season handicap match bets featuring some old city rivals in the Premier League. They have matched up Man United with Man City, Liverpool with Everton and Arsenal with Tottenham. VC’s spokesman Neal Wilkins thinks that the underdogs in the bets will be the most popular.

“We suspect that we’ll be laying Man City, Everton and Tottenham. City look quite menacing at the moment whereas United seem to be floundering a bit, Everton are slowly getting their act together and Tottenham look like they are only going to improve as the season goes on.”

Man City are getting a handicap of +8.5 points over United, Everton are getting +19.5 points against their city rivals, and Tottenham receive +11.5 against their arch enemies.

Premier League Season Match Bets

Man City (+8.5) 5/6
Man United (-8.5) 5/6

Everton (+19.5) 5/6
Liverpool (-19.5) 5/6

Tottenham (+11.5) 5/6
Arsenal (-11.5) 5/6

Premier League goal scores

If someone said at the beginning of the season that they'd give you better than even money on Chelsea scoring most goals this season - oh, and they'd give you eight goals head start - you'd probably take it.

The same scenario exists now, and we're well into the season. I intentionally don't edit many press releases, so here's the latest from Victor Chandler:


Man City are now 7/1 to be the Premier League highest scorers with Victor Chandler after bagging four goals in last night’s convincing victory over Blackburn. City have now hit the net 42 times in the Premier League so far this season, but are still some way behind the leaders Arsenal who have netted 53.

“The Gunners are clear favourites with 53 goals, but the pack are quite capable of mounting a challenge.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “It only takes a couple of big wins and the whole complexion changes.”

Man United are currently in second place with 46 goals, closely followed by Chelsea on 45. Man City and Tottenham are next best on 42, with Liverpool on 37.

Who will score the most goals in the Premier League this season

Arsenal (53) 11/8
Chelsea (45) 7/4
Man United (46) 2/1
Man City (42) 7/1
Tottenham (42) 10/1
Liverpool (37) 16/1

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Australian Open tennis start list

There is no doubt that Roger Federer and Raphael Nadal will start favourites for the Australian Open.

It's interesting to see that Juan Martin Del Potro is currently nestled between the two in terms of favouritism stakes.

Granted, it's always hard to go past a champion and you'll be getting better than even money on Federer. The media are much more quiet than they were last year when the Fed's pre-event results were just as poor as they are this year.

I guess they're not quite as keen to have mud on their face in case he again finishes the year as the world's top-ranked player.

But let's look at form. Del Potro is fresh from a big win but hasn't played the traditional warm up events. That makes him somewhat of an unknown quantity and difficult to back.

Slide down the list to Nikolay Davydenko. He's the form player, coming from his masters win late last year and his win in last week's warm up event, where he came back from a bagel down in the first set to defeat Raffa.

It's always difficult to bet on Davydenko. In the big money events, he's likely to come out and surprise everyone, yet he's equally able to "throw" - whether intentional or not - his first round match. But at 10/1, he's worth a small investment.

The other one is Robin Soderling. The Swede broke a 12-match losing streak against Federer in Abu Dhabi and has beaten Nadal two out of their last three encounters. He's not yet at the point where he'll consistently win Grand Slams and word is he's not overly liked by the players. But he is erratically capable of anything.

At 25/1, Soderling is a tall man with a big serve and he likes the Melbourne surface. At the odds, he's well worth an investment.

In the women's event, Kim Clijsters (3/1) looks hard to beat, especially if Justine Henin is ruled out. It's not smart to totally eliminate the Williams sisters, particularly Serena who as world number 1 will start favourite to win the event.

But Clijsters is the form player - looking fit and happy.

For those looking for an outsider, Elena Dementieva fires up at 14/1. There was a time last year when she strung together more than 10 games on the trot and was the world's form player, until she fell heavily to American giant killer Melanie Oudin.

Postponed Premier League matches turns weekend sour

There's good news and bad news.

The good news is we haven't lost any money.

The bad news is that each of Neal Wilkins' tips for the weekend were on matches postponed by Premier League officials due to the weather.

Guest tipsters will be back this Friday, with Neal Wilkins to have another crack. We'll also have another surprise celebrity from the sporting world.

So, balance after week 1 remains at $100.