Port Adelaide is under investigation over a $20 bet placed 14 months ago.
Surely, they can't be serious. While I understand the implications of match fixing, a multi-bet containing two Premier League games and an AFL match can hardly be regarded a serious breach.
Must be a slow news day.
Read about it here
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Punters turn to Liberals in Federal politics
... And the mud-slinging hasn't even started yet!
PUNTERS TURN TO COALITION AS POLLS STING LABOR
The Coalition’s odds for a shock election victory have been slashed from $3.40 to $3.00 at Sportingbet Australia after they hit the front in the two party preferred for the first time since the 2007 election.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been a series of bets placed on the Coalition at $3.40 and $3.20 since the poll and he expected the money to keep coming.
“Labor are still clear favourites at $1.36 but I can’t see punters rushing to back them following this poll,” Sullivan said.
“All the money has been for the Coalition this morning with punters thinking the $3.40 looked attractive given they were ahead in the poll.
“While this is probably a rogue poll, it would still be of concern to Kevin Rudd and punters will abandon him until he starts turning things around.”
Sullivan said Tony Abbott would need to convert many of those disillusioned with Rudd the if Coalition was to challenge for favouritism.
“Tony Abbott at least has clear positions on issues, in contrast to some of his predecessors and that makes him a more dangerous opponent for Rudd,” he said.
“The perception of him as a man of action is sure to help at this time too when many are complaining that the Prime Minister is the complete opposite.
“The fact the Coalition grabbed only three of the eight points Labor lost is a concern though and until he can turn those undecided voters to the Coalition, he will remain the outsider.”
FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.36
Coalition 3.00
PUNTERS TURN TO COALITION AS POLLS STING LABOR
The Coalition’s odds for a shock election victory have been slashed from $3.40 to $3.00 at Sportingbet Australia after they hit the front in the two party preferred for the first time since the 2007 election.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been a series of bets placed on the Coalition at $3.40 and $3.20 since the poll and he expected the money to keep coming.
“Labor are still clear favourites at $1.36 but I can’t see punters rushing to back them following this poll,” Sullivan said.
“All the money has been for the Coalition this morning with punters thinking the $3.40 looked attractive given they were ahead in the poll.
“While this is probably a rogue poll, it would still be of concern to Kevin Rudd and punters will abandon him until he starts turning things around.”
Sullivan said Tony Abbott would need to convert many of those disillusioned with Rudd the if Coalition was to challenge for favouritism.
“Tony Abbott at least has clear positions on issues, in contrast to some of his predecessors and that makes him a more dangerous opponent for Rudd,” he said.
“The perception of him as a man of action is sure to help at this time too when many are complaining that the Prime Minister is the complete opposite.
“The fact the Coalition grabbed only three of the eight points Labor lost is a concern though and until he can turn those undecided voters to the Coalition, he will remain the outsider.”
FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.36
Coalition 3.00
Australian wins world snooker championship 2010
Australian Neil Robertson has just secured the world snooker championship, defeating Scotland's Graeme Dott 18 frames to 13 in the final.
Robertson is the first non-British winner since 1980.
He finished the tournament to roars from his family and friends with an unbeatable break of 53.
More here.
Robertson is the first non-British winner since 1980.
He finished the tournament to roars from his family and friends with an unbeatable break of 53.
More here.
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
Billy Slater's future
NRL: MARKET ON SLATER TO LEAVE THE STORM
With speculation continuing about Billy Slater’s playing future, Sportingbet Australia have opened a market on which code the star fullback will be playing in 2011.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Storm remained a slight favourite to keep Slater as he is under contract for another year but the salary cap situation meant there were several other viable options.
“The Storm will be desperate to keep Slater as he is incredibly popular with the fans as well as been a tremendous player,” Sullivan said.
“He is $1.60 to stay at the Storm with the most obvious other option being a switch Rugby Union rivals, the Melbourne Rebels who would love to Slater to switch codes.
“It would be major coup for them and given they have no salary cap and money to spend, the $2.50 about a switch to the Rebels could be the value.”
The market also has an option on Slater following Karmichael Hunt and switching to AFL.
“He would be a sensation in AFL with his pace and creativity and there would be plenty of teams who would be keen to see how he goes,” Sullivan said.
“The Gold Coast or Western Sydney would also be keen on the publicity and interest he would bring from NRL fans.”
Where will Billy Slater Play in 2011
Sportingbet Australia market
Melbourne Storm 1.60
Melbourne Rebels 2.50
Any other NRL team 5.50
Any AFL team 6.50
Will not play 1st grade NRL, AFL or Super 14 in Australia 7.00
Any other Super 14 team 15.00
With speculation continuing about Billy Slater’s playing future, Sportingbet Australia have opened a market on which code the star fullback will be playing in 2011.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Storm remained a slight favourite to keep Slater as he is under contract for another year but the salary cap situation meant there were several other viable options.
“The Storm will be desperate to keep Slater as he is incredibly popular with the fans as well as been a tremendous player,” Sullivan said.
“He is $1.60 to stay at the Storm with the most obvious other option being a switch Rugby Union rivals, the Melbourne Rebels who would love to Slater to switch codes.
“It would be major coup for them and given they have no salary cap and money to spend, the $2.50 about a switch to the Rebels could be the value.”
The market also has an option on Slater following Karmichael Hunt and switching to AFL.
“He would be a sensation in AFL with his pace and creativity and there would be plenty of teams who would be keen to see how he goes,” Sullivan said.
“The Gold Coast or Western Sydney would also be keen on the publicity and interest he would bring from NRL fans.”
Where will Billy Slater Play in 2011
Sportingbet Australia market
Melbourne Storm 1.60
Melbourne Rebels 2.50
Any other NRL team 5.50
Any AFL team 6.50
Will not play 1st grade NRL, AFL or Super 14 in Australia 7.00
Any other Super 14 team 15.00
Friday, April 23, 2010
Storm player "Premiers" tattoo removal offer
Nice gimmick:
BOOKIE OFFERS TO PAY FOR STORM TATTOO REMOVAL
Online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has offered to pay for the laser removal of premiership tattoos for Melbourne Storm players who played in the 2007 and 2009 Grand Final sides.
Many of the players now have permanent reminders of premierships which have now been erased from the record books.
“Some of the tattoos are pretty decent in size and some players may now regret putting the tattoo pen to skin,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“They say a clean break is always best and we’re happy to chip in if it helps these players erase this episode from their memories and get on with their careers.”
BOOKIE OFFERS TO PAY FOR STORM TATTOO REMOVAL
Online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has offered to pay for the laser removal of premiership tattoos for Melbourne Storm players who played in the 2007 and 2009 Grand Final sides.
Many of the players now have permanent reminders of premierships which have now been erased from the record books.
“Some of the tattoos are pretty decent in size and some players may now regret putting the tattoo pen to skin,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“They say a clean break is always best and we’re happy to chip in if it helps these players erase this episode from their memories and get on with their careers.”
AFL club implicated in Melbourne Storm drama?
The plot thickens:
AFL WOODEN SPOON BETTING SUSPENDED
Online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has suspended AFL Wooden Spoon betting amid speculation an AFL Club may be implicated in the Melbourne Storm salary cap saga.
Several punters placed bets on St Kilda to finish last in 2010 shortly before betting was suspended, with odds ranging from $5001 to $1001.
“One punter placed a bet of $110 on the Saints for the Wooden Spoon to win $110,000,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Like everyone we think and hope there is nothing in it, although as we’ve seen in the past 24 hours, stranger things have happened.”
St Kilda is currently second in AFL Premiership betting with Sportsbet.com.au at $4.50.
AFL WOODEN SPOON BETTING SUSPENDED
Online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has suspended AFL Wooden Spoon betting amid speculation an AFL Club may be implicated in the Melbourne Storm salary cap saga.
Several punters placed bets on St Kilda to finish last in 2010 shortly before betting was suspended, with odds ranging from $5001 to $1001.
“One punter placed a bet of $110 on the Saints for the Wooden Spoon to win $110,000,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Like everyone we think and hope there is nothing in it, although as we’ve seen in the past 24 hours, stranger things have happened.”
St Kilda is currently second in AFL Premiership betting with Sportsbet.com.au at $4.50.
Weekend racing tips
Tips from New South Wales TAB:
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 23rd April
Tabcorp Park Menangle Race 7 - 10:00pm
No.5 - WESTERN CAM
Saturday 24th April
Randwick Race 5 - 2:55pm
No.9 - MONACO CONSUL
Saturday 24th April
Wentworth Park Race 6 - 9:12pm
No.8 - ASHBY DEVIL
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 23rd April
Tabcorp Park Menangle Race 7 - 10:00pm
No.5 - WESTERN CAM
Saturday 24th April
Randwick Race 5 - 2:55pm
No.9 - MONACO CONSUL
Saturday 24th April
Wentworth Park Race 6 - 9:12pm
No.8 - ASHBY DEVIL
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Melbourne Storm fallout
And the fallout begins:
BIG PAYOUT ON WOODEN SPOON AS STORM STRIPPED OF POINTS
Sportingbet Australia will pay over $40,000 on the Wooden Spoon after Melbourne Storm were stripped of all their Premiership points.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said this would change the way Wooden Spoon betting would be done in the future.
“Melbourne has gone from $251 to no betting in the space of six hours which has to be the biggest shortener in betting history,” Sullivan said.
“We will look at the way we bet on the Wooden Spoon in the future as punters and bookmakers alike are betting without all the information.”
“We have refunded all Premiership bets on Melbourne as they are now out of calculations.”
Sullivan said the decision had an enormous impact on betting going forward in 2010 as well.
“This has consequences on match betting throughought the year, as what motivation do the Storm have if they can’t finish anywhere but last,” he said.
“We have suspended all markets on Melbourne’s game this weekend’s with the Warriors.
“St George are the new favourites for the Premiership at $4.50 ahead of Parramatta and Manly at $7.00.”
NRL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
St George Dragons 4.50
Manly Sea Eagles 6.50
Parramatta Eels 6.50
Wests Tigers 7.50
Penrith Panthers 9.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 11.00
Gold Coast Titans 11.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 11.00
Sydney Roosters 15.00
Brisbane Broncos 26.00
New Zealand Warriors 29.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
North Qld Cowboys 51.00
Cronulla Sharks 251.00
BIG PAYOUT ON WOODEN SPOON AS STORM STRIPPED OF POINTS
Sportingbet Australia will pay over $40,000 on the Wooden Spoon after Melbourne Storm were stripped of all their Premiership points.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said this would change the way Wooden Spoon betting would be done in the future.
“Melbourne has gone from $251 to no betting in the space of six hours which has to be the biggest shortener in betting history,” Sullivan said.
“We will look at the way we bet on the Wooden Spoon in the future as punters and bookmakers alike are betting without all the information.”
“We have refunded all Premiership bets on Melbourne as they are now out of calculations.”
Sullivan said the decision had an enormous impact on betting going forward in 2010 as well.
“This has consequences on match betting throughought the year, as what motivation do the Storm have if they can’t finish anywhere but last,” he said.
“We have suspended all markets on Melbourne’s game this weekend’s with the Warriors.
“St George are the new favourites for the Premiership at $4.50 ahead of Parramatta and Manly at $7.00.”
NRL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
St George Dragons 4.50
Manly Sea Eagles 6.50
Parramatta Eels 6.50
Wests Tigers 7.50
Penrith Panthers 9.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 11.00
Gold Coast Titans 11.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 11.00
Sydney Roosters 15.00
Brisbane Broncos 26.00
New Zealand Warriors 29.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
North Qld Cowboys 51.00
Cronulla Sharks 251.00
Melbourne Storm NRL statement in full
The National Rugby League has today stripped the Melbourne Storm of the 2007 and 2009 Telstra Premierships, the Minor Premierships of 2006-8 and of its 2010 competition points after confirming a series of salary cap breaches amounting to at least $1.7million over five years.
The club will lose all competition points earned to date in 2010 and also the right to accumulate points going forward in 2010 (competition tables will record wins and losses but the club will not be awarded competition points on the basis of any wins). These measures are effective as of today.
The club has furthermore been fined $500,000 and will be forced to return $1.1million in prize-money with the prize-money being distributed evenly among the other fifteen clubs.
Individual awards by players will continue to be recognised but records will be adjusted to show that the Premiership is not recognised even though the result cannot be overturned. Neither Manly nor Parramatta will assume the Premiership titles in their respective years.
The Storm’s Chairman and Chief Executive met with the NRL in Sydney today to confirm the extent of the breaches uncovered by NRL Salary Cap Auditor Ian Schubert and his audit team.
The investigations have revealed the Storm maintained a dual contract system and the club has today confirmed that side letters promising extra payments were stored in a secret file at the home of the Chief Executive.
The accounts were structured in such a way that it would appear the commitments were not apparent to either the Melbourne Storm Board or its owners.
The NRL has uncovered breaches estimated to be in excess of $1.7million over five years, around $400,000 in 2009 and with a projected breach of $700,000 in 2010.
“While the amount itself is cause for concern, the most damning indictment is the systematic attempt by persons within the club to conceal payments from the Salary Cap auditor and, it would now seem certain from the club’s Board and from its owners, on an ongoing basis,” Mr Gallop said.
"It was through this system that they were able to attract and retain some of the biggest names in Rugby League.
“In doing so they have let down the game, the players and the fans of the Melbourne Storm.
“Clearly there were some individuals who knew what was going on and perhaps many who did not.
“By nature, that means innocent parties will suffer as a result of this punishment but the persons responsible are those who constructed the scheme and anyone who knowingly signed a false statutory declaration to deceive the game.
“It would be unfair now on the players and fans of every other club in the competition to allow the Storm to enter this year’s finals series or to retain the titles they won.
“As a game we will do all we can to restore the faith of each of those parties but there is no alternative now but to deal with the situation that has been so deliberately engineered.
“As was the case with Canterbury after 2002, the only other instance in which we have seen such an elaborate and contrived set of accounts, there is the chance for the club to begin a rebuilding process with the fans and the game by the way it conducts itself in the weeks and months ahead.
“A significant step in that process has been the way the Melbourne Board has reacted to the information the Salary Cap team tabled this week.
“Rather than look to conceal the activities, the Board has cooperated fully and we have been informed that the club’s owners, News Limited, have now ordered a full forensic examination of all club accounts.
“It should be pointed out that, as owners of the club, News Limited has only been made aware of the investigation in recent days.
“Ian Schubert and his assistant Jamie L’Oste Brown have been collecting information in relation to this process for some time and their commitment to that process deserves considerable respect.
“Salary cap investigation is among the most difficult and in many ways least rewarding roles in the game but, despite the thoughts of some critics, there is universal acceptance of the importance of the cap and of the contribution it has made to the most successful era in the game’s history.
“In truth, this issue is not so much about the Salary Cap but the simple reality of cheating the rules as they stand at any time. Everyone knew the rules, particularly after 2002.
“This investigation has relied on detailed reviews of accounts as well as evidence from informants.
“It is a reminder to everyone who wishes to test the rules that there is every likelihood the truth will emerge in time and that the consequences will be severe at that point.”
The club will lose all competition points earned to date in 2010 and also the right to accumulate points going forward in 2010 (competition tables will record wins and losses but the club will not be awarded competition points on the basis of any wins). These measures are effective as of today.
The club has furthermore been fined $500,000 and will be forced to return $1.1million in prize-money with the prize-money being distributed evenly among the other fifteen clubs.
Individual awards by players will continue to be recognised but records will be adjusted to show that the Premiership is not recognised even though the result cannot be overturned. Neither Manly nor Parramatta will assume the Premiership titles in their respective years.
The Storm’s Chairman and Chief Executive met with the NRL in Sydney today to confirm the extent of the breaches uncovered by NRL Salary Cap Auditor Ian Schubert and his audit team.
The investigations have revealed the Storm maintained a dual contract system and the club has today confirmed that side letters promising extra payments were stored in a secret file at the home of the Chief Executive.
The accounts were structured in such a way that it would appear the commitments were not apparent to either the Melbourne Storm Board or its owners.
The NRL has uncovered breaches estimated to be in excess of $1.7million over five years, around $400,000 in 2009 and with a projected breach of $700,000 in 2010.
“While the amount itself is cause for concern, the most damning indictment is the systematic attempt by persons within the club to conceal payments from the Salary Cap auditor and, it would now seem certain from the club’s Board and from its owners, on an ongoing basis,” Mr Gallop said.
"It was through this system that they were able to attract and retain some of the biggest names in Rugby League.
“In doing so they have let down the game, the players and the fans of the Melbourne Storm.
“Clearly there were some individuals who knew what was going on and perhaps many who did not.
“By nature, that means innocent parties will suffer as a result of this punishment but the persons responsible are those who constructed the scheme and anyone who knowingly signed a false statutory declaration to deceive the game.
“It would be unfair now on the players and fans of every other club in the competition to allow the Storm to enter this year’s finals series or to retain the titles they won.
“As a game we will do all we can to restore the faith of each of those parties but there is no alternative now but to deal with the situation that has been so deliberately engineered.
“As was the case with Canterbury after 2002, the only other instance in which we have seen such an elaborate and contrived set of accounts, there is the chance for the club to begin a rebuilding process with the fans and the game by the way it conducts itself in the weeks and months ahead.
“A significant step in that process has been the way the Melbourne Board has reacted to the information the Salary Cap team tabled this week.
“Rather than look to conceal the activities, the Board has cooperated fully and we have been informed that the club’s owners, News Limited, have now ordered a full forensic examination of all club accounts.
“It should be pointed out that, as owners of the club, News Limited has only been made aware of the investigation in recent days.
“Ian Schubert and his assistant Jamie L’Oste Brown have been collecting information in relation to this process for some time and their commitment to that process deserves considerable respect.
“Salary cap investigation is among the most difficult and in many ways least rewarding roles in the game but, despite the thoughts of some critics, there is universal acceptance of the importance of the cap and of the contribution it has made to the most successful era in the game’s history.
“In truth, this issue is not so much about the Salary Cap but the simple reality of cheating the rules as they stand at any time. Everyone knew the rules, particularly after 2002.
“This investigation has relied on detailed reviews of accounts as well as evidence from informants.
“It is a reminder to everyone who wishes to test the rules that there is every likelihood the truth will emerge in time and that the consequences will be severe at that point.”
NRL Melbourne Storm betting suspended
CONTROVERSY LOOMS - WOODEN SPOON BETTING SUSPENDED AS STORM WELL BACKED
Betting on the NRL Wooden Spoon has been suspended after a string of bets were taken on the Melbourne Storm at $251 with Sportingbet Australia this morning.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the move set off alarm bells as the Storm are favourites for the Premiership and look no hope of winning the Spoon.
“We took three bets to win $10,000 and another to win $8000 on the Storm for the Wooden Spoon all within 10 minutes of each other this morning,” Sullivan said.
“You don’t take a series of bets like that unless someone knows something or think they know something and we have suspended betting on the Wooden Spoon as a result.
“Melbourne is now our worst result for the Wooden Spoon despite the fact they are Premiership favourites.”
The Storm are still $5.00 with Sportingbet Australia for the Premiership ahead of St George at $5.50.
NRL WOODEN SPOON (BEFORE BETTING SUSPENDED)
Sportingbet Australia Market
Cronulla Sharks 1.67
Brisbane Broncos 8.00
Canberra Raiders 9.00
Newcastle Knights 9.00
North Queensland Cowboys 9.00
New Zealand Warriors 17.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 34.00
Parramatta Eels 34.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 51.00
Sydney Roosters 51.00
Gold Coast Titans 67.00
Penrith Panthers 101.00
Wests Tigers 101.00
Manly Sea Eagles 151.00
Melbourne Storm 251.00
St George Dragons 251.00
NRL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Melbourne Storm 5.00
St George Dragons 5.50
Parramatta Eels 8.50
Manly Sea Eagles 9.00
Wests Tigers 9.00
Penrith Panthers 12.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 13.00
Gold Coast Titans 13.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 13.00
Sydney Roosters 18.00
Brisbane Broncos 29.00
New Zealand Warriors 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
North Qld Cowboys 51.00
Cronulla Sharks 251.00
Betting on the NRL Wooden Spoon has been suspended after a string of bets were taken on the Melbourne Storm at $251 with Sportingbet Australia this morning.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the move set off alarm bells as the Storm are favourites for the Premiership and look no hope of winning the Spoon.
“We took three bets to win $10,000 and another to win $8000 on the Storm for the Wooden Spoon all within 10 minutes of each other this morning,” Sullivan said.
“You don’t take a series of bets like that unless someone knows something or think they know something and we have suspended betting on the Wooden Spoon as a result.
“Melbourne is now our worst result for the Wooden Spoon despite the fact they are Premiership favourites.”
The Storm are still $5.00 with Sportingbet Australia for the Premiership ahead of St George at $5.50.
NRL WOODEN SPOON (BEFORE BETTING SUSPENDED)
Sportingbet Australia Market
Cronulla Sharks 1.67
Brisbane Broncos 8.00
Canberra Raiders 9.00
Newcastle Knights 9.00
North Queensland Cowboys 9.00
New Zealand Warriors 17.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 34.00
Parramatta Eels 34.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 51.00
Sydney Roosters 51.00
Gold Coast Titans 67.00
Penrith Panthers 101.00
Wests Tigers 101.00
Manly Sea Eagles 151.00
Melbourne Storm 251.00
St George Dragons 251.00
NRL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Melbourne Storm 5.00
St George Dragons 5.50
Parramatta Eels 8.50
Manly Sea Eagles 9.00
Wests Tigers 9.00
Penrith Panthers 12.00
Canterbury Bulldogs 13.00
Gold Coast Titans 13.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 13.00
Sydney Roosters 18.00
Brisbane Broncos 29.00
New Zealand Warriors 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
Newcastle Knights 51.00
North Qld Cowboys 51.00
Cronulla Sharks 251.00
So you think you can dance result
DANCE WINNER LANDS PUNTERS A WINDFALL
Sportingbet Australia punters cleaned up when Sydney contemporary dancer Robbie was crowned Australia’s favourite dancer on the So You Think You Can Dance Grand Final.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Robbie was an odds on favourite for much of the competition after starting it at odds as long as $13.00.
“We had several punters clever enough to find the $13 with the good odds based on our initial feeling that Robbie might struggle with lifting some of his taller partners,” said Sullivan.
“But it became apparent by week five that Robbie was the one to beat and he spent most of the show as the shortest priced favourite in So You Think You Can Dance history.”
Robbie started the final as the $1.60 favourite with runner up Jessie H at $3.00.
Sportingbet Australia punters cleaned up when Sydney contemporary dancer Robbie was crowned Australia’s favourite dancer on the So You Think You Can Dance Grand Final.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Robbie was an odds on favourite for much of the competition after starting it at odds as long as $13.00.
“We had several punters clever enough to find the $13 with the good odds based on our initial feeling that Robbie might struggle with lifting some of his taller partners,” said Sullivan.
“But it became apparent by week five that Robbie was the one to beat and he spent most of the show as the shortest priced favourite in So You Think You Can Dance history.”
Robbie started the final as the $1.60 favourite with runner up Jessie H at $3.00.
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Sydney Cup update
After its last run, it's difficult to see how Precedence can be favourite. Jessicabeel is a good price for mine.
MOATIZE TO PROVIDE A SPARK FOR BART
Sportingbet Australia punters think Moatize can give master trainer Bart Cummings a spark up by taking Saturday’s Sydney Cup at Randwick.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the five year old gelding had been well supported in betting.
“ We bet as much as $16 about Moatize early with one punter getting on to win over $20,000,” said Sullivan.
“And he’s been $11 into $8.50 since we put up odds on the final field with another getting on to win $20,000.
“Bart has followed the tried and trusted route of getting miles into Moatize’s legs and the JRA Plate run suggests he’s right on target for the Cup.”
Stablemate Precedence is a $6.60 favourite in a wide open Sydney Cup.
SYDNEY CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Precedence 6.60
Jessicabeel 7.50
Zavite 8.00
No wine No Song 8.00
Littorio 8.00
Moatize 8.50
Harris Tweed 9.00
Capecover 11.00
Booming 12.00
Divine Rebel 17.00
Spin Around 26.00
Get Up Jude 51.00
MOATIZE TO PROVIDE A SPARK FOR BART
Sportingbet Australia punters think Moatize can give master trainer Bart Cummings a spark up by taking Saturday’s Sydney Cup at Randwick.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the five year old gelding had been well supported in betting.
“ We bet as much as $16 about Moatize early with one punter getting on to win over $20,000,” said Sullivan.
“And he’s been $11 into $8.50 since we put up odds on the final field with another getting on to win $20,000.
“Bart has followed the tried and trusted route of getting miles into Moatize’s legs and the JRA Plate run suggests he’s right on target for the Cup.”
Stablemate Precedence is a $6.60 favourite in a wide open Sydney Cup.
SYDNEY CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Precedence 6.60
Jessicabeel 7.50
Zavite 8.00
No wine No Song 8.00
Littorio 8.00
Moatize 8.50
Harris Tweed 9.00
Capecover 11.00
Booming 12.00
Divine Rebel 17.00
Spin Around 26.00
Get Up Jude 51.00
Monday, April 19, 2010
NRL Melbourne vs Manly preview
For anybody who thinks Manly is a chance against Melbourne tonight, it seems you are not alone. At least one other person agrees with you.
I had a look at the "Last Man Standing" competition on Sportingbet, of the 1000 or so people still remaining out of an initial 10,000+, 291 of them are sweating on a Melbourne victory.
A solitary one wants Manly to win.
By that reckoning, you could safely say the $3.25 on offer for a Manly win is slightly under the odds. Likewise, it's probably safe to say that the bookies will be cheering on Jamie Lyon and his crew.
I had a look at the "Last Man Standing" competition on Sportingbet, of the 1000 or so people still remaining out of an initial 10,000+, 291 of them are sweating on a Melbourne victory.
A solitary one wants Manly to win.
By that reckoning, you could safely say the $3.25 on offer for a Manly win is slightly under the odds. Likewise, it's probably safe to say that the bookies will be cheering on Jamie Lyon and his crew.
Apology from a tipster
Most tipping sites brag about their wins. Rarely do they mention their losses. It's bad for business.
Given that I rely on my own tips and any inside information I can get from the industry, I feel I am in a position to bite the bullet, take the plunge, run the gauntlet, buck the trend, and all those other cliches I've heard while listening to ABC Grandstand at the weekend.
Take this as an apology, a confession if you like. For, as I packed up the family for a weekend away, I rushed through a few tips - genuine tips; tips I backed myself before putting my foot on the accelerator and spending time with the wife and children.
There were 12 of them altogether. Two were successful. Yes, as embarrassing as it is to admit it, I've let everybody down - and seemingly I hexed all whose name was uttered in tipsterville.
Daniel Kerr did a hamstring when he was well ahead of trio opponents in the fantasy challenge; Reimers twisted an ankle in similar circumstances; Matthew Boyd missed a stack of the game with an injury.
To them, I apologise. To you, I apologise. To myself, well, it's back on the horse, so to speak.
A quick poll shows we're still ahead over three weeks of fantasy tips, so we'll shelve this one as a lost cause and keep cracking the whip.
Until then, good luck and happy punting.
Given that I rely on my own tips and any inside information I can get from the industry, I feel I am in a position to bite the bullet, take the plunge, run the gauntlet, buck the trend, and all those other cliches I've heard while listening to ABC Grandstand at the weekend.
Take this as an apology, a confession if you like. For, as I packed up the family for a weekend away, I rushed through a few tips - genuine tips; tips I backed myself before putting my foot on the accelerator and spending time with the wife and children.
There were 12 of them altogether. Two were successful. Yes, as embarrassing as it is to admit it, I've let everybody down - and seemingly I hexed all whose name was uttered in tipsterville.
Daniel Kerr did a hamstring when he was well ahead of trio opponents in the fantasy challenge; Reimers twisted an ankle in similar circumstances; Matthew Boyd missed a stack of the game with an injury.
To them, I apologise. To you, I apologise. To myself, well, it's back on the horse, so to speak.
A quick poll shows we're still ahead over three weeks of fantasy tips, so we'll shelve this one as a lost cause and keep cracking the whip.
Until then, good luck and happy punting.
Richmond already wins wooden spoon
Good news if you're a punter - tragic if you're a Tigers fan.
BOOKIE PAYS OUT ON RICHMOND FOR THE SPOON AFTER ONLY FOUR ROUNDS!
Online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has paid out on Richmond to collect the wooden spoon after only four rounds.
With 18 rounds to go in the 2010 AFL Premiership Season, the bookie has paid out more than $100,000 to punters who backed Richmond to finish on the bottom of the ladder.
“Unfortunately for Richmond fans we think we’ll be paying out on the Tigers at the end of the season, so our punters may as well collect their cash now,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“There are 18 rounds to go so it’s a definite gamble.”
Richmond, who were paying as much as $5 in early Wooden Spoon markets, are now $1.25 favourites to take home the dreaded prize.
The payout applies to all bets placed before 12noon Monday 19th April.
Sportsbet.com.au is also offering odds of $5 on Richmond not winning a game this season, although one big punter has faith and has placed $10,000 at $1.16 on the Tigers winning at least one match this season.
Sportsbet.com.au is generating a reputation for paying out early on big sporting competitions. In November last year, the bookie paid out early on Tiger Woods to win the Australian Masters after two rounds when he was three strokes ahead. Woods faltered in the third round to share the lead with two others, before he shot clear on the final day to win the tournament.
Updated Wooden Spoon Market
$1.25 Richmond
$7 North Melbourne
$12 Adelaide
$17 Melbourne
$17 West Coast
$26 Essendon
$41 Port Adelaide
BOOKIE PAYS OUT ON RICHMOND FOR THE SPOON AFTER ONLY FOUR ROUNDS!
Online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has paid out on Richmond to collect the wooden spoon after only four rounds.
With 18 rounds to go in the 2010 AFL Premiership Season, the bookie has paid out more than $100,000 to punters who backed Richmond to finish on the bottom of the ladder.
“Unfortunately for Richmond fans we think we’ll be paying out on the Tigers at the end of the season, so our punters may as well collect their cash now,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“There are 18 rounds to go so it’s a definite gamble.”
Richmond, who were paying as much as $5 in early Wooden Spoon markets, are now $1.25 favourites to take home the dreaded prize.
The payout applies to all bets placed before 12noon Monday 19th April.
Sportsbet.com.au is also offering odds of $5 on Richmond not winning a game this season, although one big punter has faith and has placed $10,000 at $1.16 on the Tigers winning at least one match this season.
Sportsbet.com.au is generating a reputation for paying out early on big sporting competitions. In November last year, the bookie paid out early on Tiger Woods to win the Australian Masters after two rounds when he was three strokes ahead. Woods faltered in the third round to share the lead with two others, before he shot clear on the final day to win the tournament.
Updated Wooden Spoon Market
$1.25 Richmond
$7 North Melbourne
$12 Adelaide
$17 Melbourne
$17 West Coast
$26 Essendon
$41 Port Adelaide
Friday, April 16, 2010
AFL Saturday fantasy trio tips
I'll be away from the computer, but here's a few selections for Saturday:
Collingwood vs Hawthorn
Swan vs Mitchell vs Hodge
Tip: Luke Hodge. Form of more than 100 points in three games is terrific, and he's a big game player.
Davis vs Rioli vs Ellis
Tip: Cyril Rioli: Scored 130 points last week and should be even better for the run.
Pendlebury vs Didak vs Ball
Tip: Luke Ball: Seems to have finally found his feet in the Magpies midfield.
Adelaide vs Carlton
Gibbs vs Murphy vs Vince
Tip: Bryce Gibbs: Had a shocker last week and will be out for redemption.
Simpson vs Judd vs Thompson
Tip: Chris Judd: No form in first game back, but hard to tip against a champion who'll be hungry for the ball.
Scotland vs Edwards vs Goodwin
Tip: Heath Scotland: Has form in a high-possession team.
Brisbane vs Bulldogs
Boyd vs Brown vs Cross
Tip: Matt Boyd: Hard to go against the man who should dominate the midfield.
Power vs Cooney vs Higgins
Tip: Higgins: While others are marked, Higgins usually gets a fair whack of the ball.
Sherman vs Drummond vs Giansiracusa
Tip: Justin Sherman: I don't have great confidence here, but his scores have been the best of the 3.
Collingwood vs Hawthorn
Swan vs Mitchell vs Hodge
Tip: Luke Hodge. Form of more than 100 points in three games is terrific, and he's a big game player.
Davis vs Rioli vs Ellis
Tip: Cyril Rioli: Scored 130 points last week and should be even better for the run.
Pendlebury vs Didak vs Ball
Tip: Luke Ball: Seems to have finally found his feet in the Magpies midfield.
Adelaide vs Carlton
Gibbs vs Murphy vs Vince
Tip: Bryce Gibbs: Had a shocker last week and will be out for redemption.
Simpson vs Judd vs Thompson
Tip: Chris Judd: No form in first game back, but hard to tip against a champion who'll be hungry for the ball.
Scotland vs Edwards vs Goodwin
Tip: Heath Scotland: Has form in a high-possession team.
Brisbane vs Bulldogs
Boyd vs Brown vs Cross
Tip: Matt Boyd: Hard to go against the man who should dominate the midfield.
Power vs Cooney vs Higgins
Tip: Higgins: While others are marked, Higgins usually gets a fair whack of the ball.
Sherman vs Drummond vs Giansiracusa
Tip: Justin Sherman: I don't have great confidence here, but his scores have been the best of the 3.
AFL preview North Melbourne vs Sydney
The Kangaroos lifted last week, largely led by Boomer Harvey but the Swans are in terrific form and play well as a team - they should be far too tough for North Melbourne in this one. Swans by 32.
Fantasy trios on Sportsbet:
Anthony vs O'Keefe vs Goodes
Tip: Liam Anthony
If the Kangaroos are to be at all competitive in this game, Anthony has to get plenty of the ball. And he has to be as intense as he was in the first game, when he registered 9 tackles. O'Keefe is a premier player, as is Goodes, but I'm working on the theory that Anthony consistently gets big fantasy scores, and that the Swans will share it around moreso than the Roos.
Harvey vs Swallow vs Jude Bolton
Tip: Swallow
Each of these three lifted last week, but the consisent performer has been Swallow, who has 99 and 119 points over the past fortnight. One would think that after 44 possessions last week, Harvey will cop a hard tag, and that's something Sydney do well. Bolton ran loose last week with 115 points, but Swallow is the one for mine.
Kennedy vs Kennelly vs Ziebell
Tip: Josh Kennedy
On the surface, the midfielder here (Ziebell) might seem the logical pick, but Kennedy is getting plenty of run off half back and scored 92 and 101 points the previous two weeks. Ziebell lifted last week but still only managed 85 points after a dismall 34 the week before. Irishman Kennelly has been good with 108, 59 and 82 over the past three weeks, but we'll tip Kennedy on current form.
Fantasy trios on Sportsbet:
Anthony vs O'Keefe vs Goodes
Tip: Liam Anthony
If the Kangaroos are to be at all competitive in this game, Anthony has to get plenty of the ball. And he has to be as intense as he was in the first game, when he registered 9 tackles. O'Keefe is a premier player, as is Goodes, but I'm working on the theory that Anthony consistently gets big fantasy scores, and that the Swans will share it around moreso than the Roos.
Harvey vs Swallow vs Jude Bolton
Tip: Swallow
Each of these three lifted last week, but the consisent performer has been Swallow, who has 99 and 119 points over the past fortnight. One would think that after 44 possessions last week, Harvey will cop a hard tag, and that's something Sydney do well. Bolton ran loose last week with 115 points, but Swallow is the one for mine.
Kennedy vs Kennelly vs Ziebell
Tip: Josh Kennedy
On the surface, the midfielder here (Ziebell) might seem the logical pick, but Kennedy is getting plenty of run off half back and scored 92 and 101 points the previous two weeks. Ziebell lifted last week but still only managed 85 points after a dismall 34 the week before. Irishman Kennelly has been good with 108, 59 and 82 over the past three weeks, but we'll tip Kennedy on current form.
AFL preview West Coast vs Essendon
Essendon is the form side. Some pundits are tipping the West Coast for the reason they're at home, and that they're "due". Not good enough for mine: Bombers by 12.
Fantasy options with Sportsbet:
Le Cras vs Kerr vs Kennedy
Tip: Kerr
Occasionally the bookies throw in a curly one which basically equates to which player will find form first. Le Cras has kicked some goals, but his possession count is low and his intensity is also in question. Kerr has been, by his lofty standards, terrible. Kennedy has defeated Kerr all three weeks so far, but with fantasy scores of 78, 73 and 63. I'd expect Kerr to lift for a must-win game.
Embley vs Ebert vs Rosa
Tip: Embley
Rosa blasted into the team last week with a mountain of possessions, and 120 points, but Embley has been gathering momentum and must continue to perform. He scored 83 points in round 1, but followed up with 102 and 111 last week. Ebert has also been good, but if the Eagles are to improve, I believe a lot of responsibility will be on the shoulders of Embley to lead the charge.
Winderlich vs Reimers vs Dalziell
Tip: Reimers
Reimers at forward has scored 80 in Round 1 and 114 last week. He's getting plenty of the ball and kicking goals. Winderlich had a good pre-season, but scores of 58, 82 and 73 are nothing to write home about. Dalziell had his first game for the year last week with 61 points and is hard to consider. Reimers is the special for mine.
Fantasy options with Sportsbet:
Le Cras vs Kerr vs Kennedy
Tip: Kerr
Occasionally the bookies throw in a curly one which basically equates to which player will find form first. Le Cras has kicked some goals, but his possession count is low and his intensity is also in question. Kerr has been, by his lofty standards, terrible. Kennedy has defeated Kerr all three weeks so far, but with fantasy scores of 78, 73 and 63. I'd expect Kerr to lift for a must-win game.
Embley vs Ebert vs Rosa
Tip: Embley
Rosa blasted into the team last week with a mountain of possessions, and 120 points, but Embley has been gathering momentum and must continue to perform. He scored 83 points in round 1, but followed up with 102 and 111 last week. Ebert has also been good, but if the Eagles are to improve, I believe a lot of responsibility will be on the shoulders of Embley to lead the charge.
Winderlich vs Reimers vs Dalziell
Tip: Reimers
Reimers at forward has scored 80 in Round 1 and 114 last week. He's getting plenty of the ball and kicking goals. Winderlich had a good pre-season, but scores of 58, 82 and 73 are nothing to write home about. Dalziell had his first game for the year last week with 61 points and is hard to consider. Reimers is the special for mine.
James Boag Galaxy update
Sorry I don't have much to say on this one, but thought it worth sending through for those who want the latest market movements:
GOOD BACKING FOR GALAXY ROUGHIES
Punters are struggling to sort out tomorrow’s Galaxy with good money for several horses at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while favourite Ortensia had been heavily backed there was also good money for De Lightning Ridge and roughies Motspur and Mount Verde.
“Ortensia got crunched in from $4.60 to $3.70 as soon as we started betting on the event but there’s been a fair bit of money to say the other three can upset her,” said Sullivan.
“De Lightning Ridge has attracted enough money to have her odds slashed from $8.00 to $7.50, Mount Verde is in from $81 to $71 with one punter on to collect over $50,000 and Motspur has been the subject of a good plunge which has seen the price plummet from $41 to $17.
Sullivan said there was no money for Swift Alliance which has drifted from $6 to $7 despite a strong win in the Star Kingdom.
“We’re struggling to write a ticket on Swift Alliance despite one of the best strike rates in the field.”
“We’re sure we’d lay him if the race was at Rosehill but he has been beaten a couple of times here and in this type of company.”
THE JAMES BOAG GALAXY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Ortensia 3.70
Definitely Ready 4.60
Swift Alliance 7.00
De Lightning Ridge 7.50
Dorf Command 11.00
Rostova 14.00
Stryker 15.00
Motspur 17.00
Gold Trail 21.00
Shellscrape 26.00
Typhoon Zed 41.00
The Mikado 51.00
Friday Creek 51.00
Mount Verde 71.00
Seeking Attention 151.00
GOOD BACKING FOR GALAXY ROUGHIES
Punters are struggling to sort out tomorrow’s Galaxy with good money for several horses at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while favourite Ortensia had been heavily backed there was also good money for De Lightning Ridge and roughies Motspur and Mount Verde.
“Ortensia got crunched in from $4.60 to $3.70 as soon as we started betting on the event but there’s been a fair bit of money to say the other three can upset her,” said Sullivan.
“De Lightning Ridge has attracted enough money to have her odds slashed from $8.00 to $7.50, Mount Verde is in from $81 to $71 with one punter on to collect over $50,000 and Motspur has been the subject of a good plunge which has seen the price plummet from $41 to $17.
Sullivan said there was no money for Swift Alliance which has drifted from $6 to $7 despite a strong win in the Star Kingdom.
“We’re struggling to write a ticket on Swift Alliance despite one of the best strike rates in the field.”
“We’re sure we’d lay him if the race was at Rosehill but he has been beaten a couple of times here and in this type of company.”
THE JAMES BOAG GALAXY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Ortensia 3.70
Definitely Ready 4.60
Swift Alliance 7.00
De Lightning Ridge 7.50
Dorf Command 11.00
Rostova 14.00
Stryker 15.00
Motspur 17.00
Gold Trail 21.00
Shellscrape 26.00
Typhoon Zed 41.00
The Mikado 51.00
Friday Creek 51.00
Mount Verde 71.00
Seeking Attention 151.00
Weekend racing tips
Here's a few tips courtesy of the New South Wales TAB experts:
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 16th April
Harold Park Race 5 - 8:30pm
No.9 - LADY LEXUS
Saturday 17th April
Randwick Race 6 - 3:35pm
No.16 - PALACIO DE CRISTAL
Saturday 17th April
Wentworth Park Race 5 - 8:50pm
No.2 - DID I ENTERTAIN
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 16th April
Harold Park Race 5 - 8:30pm
No.9 - LADY LEXUS
Saturday 17th April
Randwick Race 6 - 3:35pm
No.16 - PALACIO DE CRISTAL
Saturday 17th April
Wentworth Park Race 5 - 8:50pm
No.2 - DID I ENTERTAIN
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