This seems like a good thing to follow. Statement comes from Sportingbet.
SNITZEL'S HALF BROTHER WELL BACKED AT RANDWICK
Some big money has arrived at Sportingbet Australia for Gerard Ryan’s half brother to Snitzel, Hinchinbrook, to win on debut at Randwick tomorrow.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the son of Fastnet Rock had been backed in from $3.10 to $2.50.
“We’ve taken a string of bets on this bloke including one of $10,000 at the $3.10,” said Sullivan.
“By all accounts he was ultra impressive at his latest trial and the money suggests he’ll be hard to beat tomorrow.”
Sullivan said there had also been a nibble on the horse to win the Golden Slipper.
“He’s been backed from $34 to $17 with us so you’d have to think it has its fair share of ability,” he said.
Friday, February 12, 2010
Tiger Woods to surface in Augusta
This is a prime example of how bookmakers are diversifying their markets. They're asking whether Tiger Woods will play at the season's first major. Origin reports said he'd take 12 months off.
Here's the word from Sportsbet.com:
Following recent reports that Tiger Woods may play at the Accenture Match Play Championship next week, Sportsbet.com.au were quickly swamped by punters wishing to bet that Tiger would be a no-show.
“We put up $1.55 on Tiger not playing at the Accenture Match Play Championship, which was quickly smashed into $1.30,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Given Accenture was one of the first companies to drop Tiger it would surprise if he made his comeback at this event.”
Talk has now focused on whether or not Tiger will tee it up at this year’s first Major - The US Masters - which begins on April 8 at Augusta.
“We think Tiger will make it back for the Masters and have installed him as a $1.35 favourite to play at Augusta, with $3.05 available on Tiger not to play the year’s first Major,” said Lane.
All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.
Will Tiger play in the 2010 Masters at Augusta?
$1.35 Yes
$3.05 No
Which Major will Tiger win next?
$3.50 2010 US Masters
$5 2010 US Open
$6 2010 British Masters
$10 2010 US PGA
$13 2011 US Masters
$19 2011 US Open
$26 2011 British Open
$51 2011 US PGA
Here's the word from Sportsbet.com:
Following recent reports that Tiger Woods may play at the Accenture Match Play Championship next week, Sportsbet.com.au were quickly swamped by punters wishing to bet that Tiger would be a no-show.
“We put up $1.55 on Tiger not playing at the Accenture Match Play Championship, which was quickly smashed into $1.30,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Given Accenture was one of the first companies to drop Tiger it would surprise if he made his comeback at this event.”
Talk has now focused on whether or not Tiger will tee it up at this year’s first Major - The US Masters - which begins on April 8 at Augusta.
“We think Tiger will make it back for the Masters and have installed him as a $1.35 favourite to play at Augusta, with $3.05 available on Tiger not to play the year’s first Major,” said Lane.
All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.
Will Tiger play in the 2010 Masters at Augusta?
$1.35 Yes
$3.05 No
Which Major will Tiger win next?
$3.50 2010 US Masters
$5 2010 US Open
$6 2010 British Masters
$10 2010 US PGA
$13 2011 US Masters
$19 2011 US Open
$26 2011 British Open
$51 2011 US PGA
Tasmanian election on a knife edge
Usually, punters have a fairly good idea of how an election might pan out. The Tasmanian state election is an exception. If the odds are any indication, it could be a cliffhanger.
LABOR SLIGHT FAVOURITE BUT PHOTO FINISH EXPECTED
Labor has been posted as a slight favourite, at Sportingbet Australia, to be returned in Tasmania after Premier David Bartlett called a state election for March 20.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Labor were in real danger of losing government but retained favouritism at this stage.
“Labor are $1.80 favourites but I wouldn’t be surprised to see support come from punters for the Liberals here,” Sullivan said.
“The Liberals are $2.00 outsiders but that could well change before March 20.
“The Greens will also be a major factor here in Tasmania again and could potentially hold the balance of power.”
Sportingbet Australia’s market pays on the party that provides the Premier so any deal with the Greens could be very influential.
TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.80
Liberal 2.00
LABOR SLIGHT FAVOURITE BUT PHOTO FINISH EXPECTED
Labor has been posted as a slight favourite, at Sportingbet Australia, to be returned in Tasmania after Premier David Bartlett called a state election for March 20.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Labor were in real danger of losing government but retained favouritism at this stage.
“Labor are $1.80 favourites but I wouldn’t be surprised to see support come from punters for the Liberals here,” Sullivan said.
“The Liberals are $2.00 outsiders but that could well change before March 20.
“The Greens will also be a major factor here in Tasmania again and could potentially hold the balance of power.”
Sportingbet Australia’s market pays on the party that provides the Premier so any deal with the Greens could be very influential.
TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.80
Liberal 2.00
William Reid Stakes market fluctuations
More news on the William Reid Stakes, this time from Centrebet:
PUNTERS CAUTIOUS AHEAD OF WILLIAM REID STAKES
Punters are treading warily ahead of the Group 1 William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley following Thursday’s downpour according to leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.
“A few of the big punters have said they will wait and see how the track is faring on race day before they step up,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The early scratching of Black Caviar has really opened up the market. At this stage Nicconi has been the best backed, while Shellscrape, who loves the sting out of the ground, has been backed from $5 into $4.20.”
Market courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.
2010 William Reid Stakes
$3.20 Nicconi
$3.60 Wanted
$4.20 Shellscrape
$7 Light Fantastic
$10 Turffontein
$12 Sniper’s Bullet
$26 Mentality
$151 Master O’Rielly
PUNTERS CAUTIOUS AHEAD OF WILLIAM REID STAKES
Punters are treading warily ahead of the Group 1 William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley following Thursday’s downpour according to leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.
“A few of the big punters have said they will wait and see how the track is faring on race day before they step up,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The early scratching of Black Caviar has really opened up the market. At this stage Nicconi has been the best backed, while Shellscrape, who loves the sting out of the ground, has been backed from $5 into $4.20.”
Market courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.
2010 William Reid Stakes
$3.20 Nicconi
$3.60 Wanted
$4.20 Shellscrape
$7 Light Fantastic
$10 Turffontein
$12 Sniper’s Bullet
$26 Mentality
$151 Master O’Rielly
Big bets for Offloaded in Alistair Clark Stakes
It's always nice to know where the money's going ...
PUNTERS UNLOAD ON OFFLOADED
All the talk may have centered around Extra Zero and Linton but punters have decided Lohnro gelding Offhanded is the horse to beat in tomorrow’s Alistair Clark Stakes at Moonee Valley.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Darley galloper had been backed in from $4.60 to $4.00 in the space of an hour.
“The phones rang hot on Friday morning with punters wanting to back the Sydney visitor,” said Sullivan.
“Offhanded hit the line hard last time ay Randwick and has an outstanding record with the sting out of the ground.”
Sullivan said he would not be surprised to see Offhanded firm into favouritism with doubts over his two major challengers.
“Linton was impressive at Cranbourne but this is a fair step up from maiden company, while Extra Zero has shown plenty but has an ordinary strike rate.”
“I would not be surprised in the least if the money doesn’t ease up for Offhanded.”
ALISTAIR CLARK STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Linton 3.80
Extra Zero 4.00
Offhanded 4.00
Rake The Rap 10.00
Eraset 11.00
At The Heads 12.00
Viking Hero 12.00
Cosmocrat 15.00
Prost 101.00
Full Metal Jacket 101.00
PUNTERS UNLOAD ON OFFLOADED
All the talk may have centered around Extra Zero and Linton but punters have decided Lohnro gelding Offhanded is the horse to beat in tomorrow’s Alistair Clark Stakes at Moonee Valley.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Darley galloper had been backed in from $4.60 to $4.00 in the space of an hour.
“The phones rang hot on Friday morning with punters wanting to back the Sydney visitor,” said Sullivan.
“Offhanded hit the line hard last time ay Randwick and has an outstanding record with the sting out of the ground.”
Sullivan said he would not be surprised to see Offhanded firm into favouritism with doubts over his two major challengers.
“Linton was impressive at Cranbourne but this is a fair step up from maiden company, while Extra Zero has shown plenty but has an ordinary strike rate.”
“I would not be surprised in the least if the money doesn’t ease up for Offhanded.”
ALISTAIR CLARK STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Linton 3.80
Extra Zero 4.00
Offhanded 4.00
Rake The Rap 10.00
Eraset 11.00
At The Heads 12.00
Viking Hero 12.00
Cosmocrat 15.00
Prost 101.00
Full Metal Jacket 101.00
Thursday, February 11, 2010
William Reid Stakes
Plenty of news coming through on the William Reid Stakes. First, from IASbet:
TOP FILLY SCRATCHING GIVES NEW LIFE TO WILLIAM REID STAKES
Betting for the Group 1 William Reid Stakes has been turned on its head following the scratching of hot favourite Black Caviar reports IASbet.com's John Hartnett.
"It's a wide open race now without the champion filly," said Hartnett. "The three place getters of the Lightning Stakes are now the top three in the market in Nicconi ($5.50 into $3.20), Wanted ($6.50 into $3.40), and Shellscrape ($11.00 into $4.50)."
"I think Shellscrape finds his right race here. He hasn't raced at the Valley, although he is very suited to the 1200m and he likes the cut out of the ground."
IASbet.com has a range of head to head markets available on the William Reid Stakes, including Nicconi ($1.80) vs Wanted ($1.90), Shellscrape ($1.70) vs Light Fantastic ($2.15), Turffontein ($1.70) vs Snipers Bullet ($2.15), and Master OReilly ($2.75) vs Mentality ($1.45).
And from Sportingbet:
NICCONI NEW WILLIAM REID FAVOURITE
The David Hayes trained Nicconi is Sportingbet Australia’s new William Reid favourite following the shock withdrawl of odds on favourite Black Caviar.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Nicconi’s better record at WFA entitled him to be a slight favourite ahead of Black Caviar’s stablemate Wanted.
“Nicconi deserves the slight edge in the odds but we’re more than prepared to lay him at the $3.20,” said Sullivan.
“There had been strong support for Nicconi even before Black Caviar’s withdrawal as it shortened from $6.50 to $5.50 and I expect to see the money keep coming.
“The scratching of the favourite has done him no favours with the Chris Waller trained Shellscrape now likely to get a soft lead in the race.”
WILLIAM REID STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Nicconi 3.20
Wanted 3.30
Shellscrape 4.80
Light Fantastic 6.00
Sniper’s Bullet 9.00
Turffontein 11.00
Mentality 21.00
Master O’Reilly 101.00
TOP FILLY SCRATCHING GIVES NEW LIFE TO WILLIAM REID STAKES
Betting for the Group 1 William Reid Stakes has been turned on its head following the scratching of hot favourite Black Caviar reports IASbet.com's John Hartnett.
"It's a wide open race now without the champion filly," said Hartnett. "The three place getters of the Lightning Stakes are now the top three in the market in Nicconi ($5.50 into $3.20), Wanted ($6.50 into $3.40), and Shellscrape ($11.00 into $4.50)."
"I think Shellscrape finds his right race here. He hasn't raced at the Valley, although he is very suited to the 1200m and he likes the cut out of the ground."
IASbet.com has a range of head to head markets available on the William Reid Stakes, including Nicconi ($1.80) vs Wanted ($1.90), Shellscrape ($1.70) vs Light Fantastic ($2.15), Turffontein ($1.70) vs Snipers Bullet ($2.15), and Master OReilly ($2.75) vs Mentality ($1.45).
And from Sportingbet:
NICCONI NEW WILLIAM REID FAVOURITE
The David Hayes trained Nicconi is Sportingbet Australia’s new William Reid favourite following the shock withdrawl of odds on favourite Black Caviar.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Nicconi’s better record at WFA entitled him to be a slight favourite ahead of Black Caviar’s stablemate Wanted.
“Nicconi deserves the slight edge in the odds but we’re more than prepared to lay him at the $3.20,” said Sullivan.
“There had been strong support for Nicconi even before Black Caviar’s withdrawal as it shortened from $6.50 to $5.50 and I expect to see the money keep coming.
“The scratching of the favourite has done him no favours with the Chris Waller trained Shellscrape now likely to get a soft lead in the race.”
WILLIAM REID STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Nicconi 3.20
Wanted 3.30
Shellscrape 4.80
Light Fantastic 6.00
Sniper’s Bullet 9.00
Turffontein 11.00
Mentality 21.00
Master O’Reilly 101.00
Gold Logie betting opens
Latest statement from Sportingbet:
STONE THE FLAMIING CROWS - COULD ALF GET THE GOLD LOGIE?
Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on the 2010 Gold Logie.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he expected veteran actress Rebecca Gibney to repeat last year’s success.
“Gibney is the lead actress in Australia’s most popular drama and has always been popular with Australian viewers,” said Sullivan.
“While perennial favourites such as Rove McManus and Adam Hills have to be respected, she looks the winner.”
Sullivan said he was wary of a repeat of last year’s Ian Smith campaign repeating with Home And Away veteran Ray Meagher.
“We have Meagher safe in the market at $7.50 after hearing whispers that there could be a vote for Alf campaign,” Sullivan said.
“There’s no doubt he’d be a popular winner and must be respected as the longest serving actor in any serial all over the world.”
2010 GOLD LOGIE WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rebecca Gibney 2.50
Rove McManus 4.50
Adam Hills 5.50
Ray Meagher 7.50
Natalie Bassingthwaighte 9.00
Rodger Corser 11.00
Joelene Anderson 11.00
Sonia Kruger 14.00
Daniel MacPherson 17.00
Eddie McGuire 21.00
Michael Caton 26.00
Grant Denyer 31.00
Others Quoted
STONE THE FLAMIING CROWS - COULD ALF GET THE GOLD LOGIE?
Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on the 2010 Gold Logie.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he expected veteran actress Rebecca Gibney to repeat last year’s success.
“Gibney is the lead actress in Australia’s most popular drama and has always been popular with Australian viewers,” said Sullivan.
“While perennial favourites such as Rove McManus and Adam Hills have to be respected, she looks the winner.”
Sullivan said he was wary of a repeat of last year’s Ian Smith campaign repeating with Home And Away veteran Ray Meagher.
“We have Meagher safe in the market at $7.50 after hearing whispers that there could be a vote for Alf campaign,” Sullivan said.
“There’s no doubt he’d be a popular winner and must be respected as the longest serving actor in any serial all over the world.”
2010 GOLD LOGIE WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rebecca Gibney 2.50
Rove McManus 4.50
Adam Hills 5.50
Ray Meagher 7.50
Natalie Bassingthwaighte 9.00
Rodger Corser 11.00
Joelene Anderson 11.00
Sonia Kruger 14.00
Daniel MacPherson 17.00
Eddie McGuire 21.00
Michael Caton 26.00
Grant Denyer 31.00
Others Quoted
Friday, February 5, 2010
Breaking news: Friday afternoon plunge
Press statement from Sportingbet:
PUNTERS UNLOAD ON KAVANAGH COLT
Sportingbet Australia punters have stepped into boom Mark Kavanagh trained colt We’re Gonna Rock for this afternoon’s Clayton RSL Handicap at Moonee Valley.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said after days of ignoring the star 3yo punters had struck in a big way over the past hour.
“We’ve taken some good bets on We’re Gonna Rock including a Best Fluctuation bet of $22,500.”
“Sportingbet Australia punters have unloaded and it looks like this colt will be one of our biggest stands of the weekend.”
PUNTERS UNLOAD ON KAVANAGH COLT
Sportingbet Australia punters have stepped into boom Mark Kavanagh trained colt We’re Gonna Rock for this afternoon’s Clayton RSL Handicap at Moonee Valley.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said after days of ignoring the star 3yo punters had struck in a big way over the past hour.
“We’ve taken some good bets on We’re Gonna Rock including a Best Fluctuation bet of $22,500.”
“Sportingbet Australia punters have unloaded and it looks like this colt will be one of our biggest stands of the weekend.”
An educated coin flip
I don't usually tout offers, but this is a seriously good one: A coin flip with the advantage of knowledge - call it an educated coin flip:
Victor Chandler are offering EVENS both sides of the handicap in all Six Nations matches!
Applies to all bets pre-event and in-running up to the start of the 2nd half. Internet & telephone bets only.
Victor Chandler are offering EVENS both sides of the handicap in all Six Nations matches!
Applies to all bets pre-event and in-running up to the start of the 2nd half. Internet & telephone bets only.
Thursday, February 4, 2010
Good value in CF Orr Stakes at Caulfield
Quite often if the bookmakers are willing to take on a favourite, we should be too. And there are some top chances at good odds here. Don't totally discard Zipping.
TRACY ALL THE RAGE FOR SPORTINGBET ORR STAKES
The Peter Moody juggernaut looks set to continue with the exciting Typhoon Tracy an early $1.75 for Saturday’s Group One Sportingbet C F Orr Stakes at Caulfield.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he was expecting to see mountains of money for the Red Ransom mare.
“Typhoon Tracy may be at short odds but gee she looks tough to beat,” said Sullivan.
“I’m expecting the phone lines to run hot all the way through to Saturday.”
Sullivan said he was prepared to take the favourite on with the field full of quality gallopers.
“The likes of Shocking and Viewed are capable of running well fresh and could cause an upset, ” said Sullivan.
“While gallopers such as Sniper’s Bullet and Danzylum may just have a fitness edge at the last part of 1400 metres and Heart Of Dreams has to be respected.
“We’ll be laying Typhoon Tracy all day, then sitting back and hoping for an upset.”
2010 SPORTINGBET C F ORR STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Typhoon Tracy 1.75
Heart Of Dreams 4.50
Sniper’s Bullet 7.50
Raffaello 10.00
Viewed 17.00
Danzylum 17.00
Shocking 26.00
Zipping 26.00
Sirmione 61.00
Littorio 61.00
TRACY ALL THE RAGE FOR SPORTINGBET ORR STAKES
The Peter Moody juggernaut looks set to continue with the exciting Typhoon Tracy an early $1.75 for Saturday’s Group One Sportingbet C F Orr Stakes at Caulfield.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he was expecting to see mountains of money for the Red Ransom mare.
“Typhoon Tracy may be at short odds but gee she looks tough to beat,” said Sullivan.
“I’m expecting the phone lines to run hot all the way through to Saturday.”
Sullivan said he was prepared to take the favourite on with the field full of quality gallopers.
“The likes of Shocking and Viewed are capable of running well fresh and could cause an upset, ” said Sullivan.
“While gallopers such as Sniper’s Bullet and Danzylum may just have a fitness edge at the last part of 1400 metres and Heart Of Dreams has to be respected.
“We’ll be laying Typhoon Tracy all day, then sitting back and hoping for an upset.”
2010 SPORTINGBET C F ORR STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Typhoon Tracy 1.75
Heart Of Dreams 4.50
Sniper’s Bullet 7.50
Raffaello 10.00
Viewed 17.00
Danzylum 17.00
Shocking 26.00
Zipping 26.00
Sirmione 61.00
Littorio 61.00
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Early odds for Newmarket horse racing
Sportingbet has been busy today. Another one geared primarily towards Australian punters. It shows early odds for the Newmarket. Unless you've got an inside tip, I'd be leaving it well alone until acceptances:
COMMON INTEREST BACKED TO WIN NEWMARKET
The Lee Freedman trained colt Common Interest has been well backed a big odds for the Newmarket, shortening from $81 to $41 at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he had been well supported since his good third when resuming in the Kensington Stakes.
“We took one bet of $80,000 to $1000 on Common Interest and there was more good money for him at $71 and $61,” Sullivan said.
“The Newmarket is obviously a steep rise in class but he has a great winning strike rate and the money suggests he will continue to improve through the preparation.”
Sullivan also reported good support for Tollesprit who has shortened from $61 to $26 following his impressive win on Saturday.
“We shortened him to $41 following his win on Saturday but the money came for immediately with one bet to win $20,000,” Sullivan said.
“Shane Fliedner suggested the horse still had a lot of improvement in him from that win so he certainly looks like one to follow.”
2010 NEWMARKET HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Black Caviar 5.25
All Silent 6.00
Nicconi 11.00
Weekend Hussler 13.00
Typhoon Tracy 14.00
Wanted 14.00
Starspangledbanner 14.00
Avenue 15.00
Trusting 16.00
Shellscrape 16.00
We're Gonna Rock 18.00
Eagle Falls 20.00
Headway 21.00
Light Fantastic 23.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Burdekin Blues 26.00
Bank Robber 26.00
Irish Lights 26.00
Tickets 26.00
Tollesprit 26.00
Denman 31.00
Danleigh 31.00
Hay List 31.00
Demerit 31.00
Manhattan Rain 31.00
King Pulse 35.00
Turffontein 35.00
Duporth 41.00
Court 41.00
Rarefied 41.00
Captain Coltish 41.00
Common Interest 41.00
Eight Bills 41.00
Cannonball 51.00
Dreamscape 51.00
El Segundo 51.00
Chasm 51.00
Occurrence 51.00
Gold Trail 51.00
Gran Sasso 61.00
Secret Flyer 61.00
Royal Ida 61.00
Arinos 61.00
Keano 61.00
Kroner 61.00
Governance 71.00
Huxssen 71.00
Velocitea 71.00
Others 81.00 Plus
COMMON INTEREST BACKED TO WIN NEWMARKET
The Lee Freedman trained colt Common Interest has been well backed a big odds for the Newmarket, shortening from $81 to $41 at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he had been well supported since his good third when resuming in the Kensington Stakes.
“We took one bet of $80,000 to $1000 on Common Interest and there was more good money for him at $71 and $61,” Sullivan said.
“The Newmarket is obviously a steep rise in class but he has a great winning strike rate and the money suggests he will continue to improve through the preparation.”
Sullivan also reported good support for Tollesprit who has shortened from $61 to $26 following his impressive win on Saturday.
“We shortened him to $41 following his win on Saturday but the money came for immediately with one bet to win $20,000,” Sullivan said.
“Shane Fliedner suggested the horse still had a lot of improvement in him from that win so he certainly looks like one to follow.”
2010 NEWMARKET HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Black Caviar 5.25
All Silent 6.00
Nicconi 11.00
Weekend Hussler 13.00
Typhoon Tracy 14.00
Wanted 14.00
Starspangledbanner 14.00
Avenue 15.00
Trusting 16.00
Shellscrape 16.00
We're Gonna Rock 18.00
Eagle Falls 20.00
Headway 21.00
Light Fantastic 23.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Burdekin Blues 26.00
Bank Robber 26.00
Irish Lights 26.00
Tickets 26.00
Tollesprit 26.00
Denman 31.00
Danleigh 31.00
Hay List 31.00
Demerit 31.00
Manhattan Rain 31.00
King Pulse 35.00
Turffontein 35.00
Duporth 41.00
Court 41.00
Rarefied 41.00
Captain Coltish 41.00
Common Interest 41.00
Eight Bills 41.00
Cannonball 51.00
Dreamscape 51.00
El Segundo 51.00
Chasm 51.00
Occurrence 51.00
Gold Trail 51.00
Gran Sasso 61.00
Secret Flyer 61.00
Royal Ida 61.00
Arinos 61.00
Keano 61.00
Kroner 61.00
Governance 71.00
Huxssen 71.00
Velocitea 71.00
Others 81.00 Plus
A tip to tell the grandchildren about
For those willing to back the rank outsider, perhaps looking for a fairytale story to tell the grandchildren, this might be the one.
It's the latest news from Sportingbet, geared primarily towards Australian punters.
BOLTER BACKED TO WIN DONCASTER
The Kerry Parker trained gelding Brilliant Light has been backed at long odds to win the Doncaster following a breakthrough campaign in the Spring.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the horse would need to improve markedly from his three wins on the trot last year but one punter had backed the 4yo gelding to win $100,000.
“There’s certainly been a bit of a nibble with Brilliant Light’s price firming from $401 to $251 in early betting,” said Sullivan.
“If there’s as much improvement in the horse as last time in it could prove to be money well spent.
“It is obviously a massive leap in class but we took a bet of $100,000 to $250 which would certainly suggest the horse is primed for a big campaign.”
2010 DONCASTER MILE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 9.00
Rangirangdoo 11.00
So You Think 12.00
Denman 14.00
More Joyous 15.00
Manhattan Rain 15.00
Typhoon Tracy 15.00
Trusting 16.00
Heart Of Dreams 16.00
Rock Kingdom 18.00
Weekend Hussler 19.00
Theseo 19.00
Kidnapped 21.00
Black Piranha 23.00
Drumbeats 26.00
Irish Lights 26.00
Were Gonna Rock 26.00
Dealer Principal 31.00
Olonhro 31.00
All Silent 31.00
Black Caviar 31.00
Neroli 31.00
Danleigh 35.00
Demerit 35.00
Hot Danish 35.00
Road To Rock 35.00
Melito 41.00
Sister Madly 41.00
Governance 41.00
Mcclintock 41.00
Snipers Bullet 41.00
Vision And Power 41.00
Wall Street 41.00
Duporth 51.00
Katie Lee 51.00
Raffaello 51.00
Set For Fame 51.00
Vigor 51.00
Alcopop 51.00
Dao Dao 51.00
Palacio De Cristal 51.00
Shellscrape 51.00
Speed Gifted 51.00
Tickets 51.00
Walking Or Dancing 51.00
Wanted 51.00
Daffodil 61.00
Jellylorum 61.00
Lodge The Deeds 61.00
Others 71.00 Plus
Brilliant Light 251.00
It's the latest news from Sportingbet, geared primarily towards Australian punters.
BOLTER BACKED TO WIN DONCASTER
The Kerry Parker trained gelding Brilliant Light has been backed at long odds to win the Doncaster following a breakthrough campaign in the Spring.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the horse would need to improve markedly from his three wins on the trot last year but one punter had backed the 4yo gelding to win $100,000.
“There’s certainly been a bit of a nibble with Brilliant Light’s price firming from $401 to $251 in early betting,” said Sullivan.
“If there’s as much improvement in the horse as last time in it could prove to be money well spent.
“It is obviously a massive leap in class but we took a bet of $100,000 to $250 which would certainly suggest the horse is primed for a big campaign.”
2010 DONCASTER MILE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 9.00
Rangirangdoo 11.00
So You Think 12.00
Denman 14.00
More Joyous 15.00
Manhattan Rain 15.00
Typhoon Tracy 15.00
Trusting 16.00
Heart Of Dreams 16.00
Rock Kingdom 18.00
Weekend Hussler 19.00
Theseo 19.00
Kidnapped 21.00
Black Piranha 23.00
Drumbeats 26.00
Irish Lights 26.00
Were Gonna Rock 26.00
Dealer Principal 31.00
Olonhro 31.00
All Silent 31.00
Black Caviar 31.00
Neroli 31.00
Danleigh 35.00
Demerit 35.00
Hot Danish 35.00
Road To Rock 35.00
Melito 41.00
Sister Madly 41.00
Governance 41.00
Mcclintock 41.00
Snipers Bullet 41.00
Vision And Power 41.00
Wall Street 41.00
Duporth 51.00
Katie Lee 51.00
Raffaello 51.00
Set For Fame 51.00
Vigor 51.00
Alcopop 51.00
Dao Dao 51.00
Palacio De Cristal 51.00
Shellscrape 51.00
Speed Gifted 51.00
Tickets 51.00
Walking Or Dancing 51.00
Wanted 51.00
Daffodil 61.00
Jellylorum 61.00
Lodge The Deeds 61.00
Others 71.00 Plus
Brilliant Light 251.00
Rudd in trouble
Punters are usually very good when it comes to tipping elections. If that's the case, we are starting to see the slide of the government. Albeit still at long odds, maybe Rudd is a little on the nose.
I won't be joining those who consider Abbott to be a good bet, though.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet Australia:
PUNTERS SAY RUDD GOVERNMENT IN FOR A FIGHT
Punters have moved with today’s Newspoll, getting behind the opposition of Tony Abbott as the figures show this parliamentary season will be no cakewalk for the Rudd Government.
The Opposition have shortened from $4.25 into $4.00 in Sportingbet Australia’s federal election market following today’s polling which shows the Coalition edging ahead in the primary vote 41-40.
While Kevin Rudd’s Government retains an election-winning lead of four points in two-party preferred, their slide from a ten-point lead has seen them drift in betting from $1.20 out to $1.25.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Tony Abbott’s pugilistic style seems to have cut through on complex issues like emissions trading, where the Government is having trouble articulating its policies.
“In boxing, leading with your chin is always a dangerous strategy, but Tony Abbott has made a career out of it – and punters get it,” said Mr Sullivan.
“This is the first time since the 2007 election when we have been taking more bets on the Coalition than the Government.
“In this session of parliament I think we’ll see the government on the back foot for the first time in three years and that could well see the Coalition’s odds trim up further.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.25
Coalition $4.00
I won't be joining those who consider Abbott to be a good bet, though.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet Australia:
PUNTERS SAY RUDD GOVERNMENT IN FOR A FIGHT
Punters have moved with today’s Newspoll, getting behind the opposition of Tony Abbott as the figures show this parliamentary season will be no cakewalk for the Rudd Government.
The Opposition have shortened from $4.25 into $4.00 in Sportingbet Australia’s federal election market following today’s polling which shows the Coalition edging ahead in the primary vote 41-40.
While Kevin Rudd’s Government retains an election-winning lead of four points in two-party preferred, their slide from a ten-point lead has seen them drift in betting from $1.20 out to $1.25.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Tony Abbott’s pugilistic style seems to have cut through on complex issues like emissions trading, where the Government is having trouble articulating its policies.
“In boxing, leading with your chin is always a dangerous strategy, but Tony Abbott has made a career out of it – and punters get it,” said Mr Sullivan.
“This is the first time since the 2007 election when we have been taking more bets on the Coalition than the Government.
“In this session of parliament I think we’ll see the government on the back foot for the first time in three years and that could well see the Coalition’s odds trim up further.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.25
Coalition $4.00
Sunday, January 31, 2010
Will Wayne Rooney score?
News from Victor Chandler:
ROO BEAUTY!
Sunday - Arsenal v Man Utd, Kick off 4.00pm, Live on Sky Sports 1
If WAYNE ROONEY scores at ANYTIME in the match Victor Chandler will refund all losing Correct Score and First Goalscorer bets as a free bet!
Maximum refund £50 per person. Applies to singles only placed prior to kick-off. Internet and telephone bets only. Free bets credited within 24 hours.
ROO BEAUTY!
Sunday - Arsenal v Man Utd, Kick off 4.00pm, Live on Sky Sports 1
If WAYNE ROONEY scores at ANYTIME in the match Victor Chandler will refund all losing Correct Score and First Goalscorer bets as a free bet!
Maximum refund £50 per person. Applies to singles only placed prior to kick-off. Internet and telephone bets only. Free bets credited within 24 hours.
Friday, January 29, 2010
Lightning Stakes novelty bets
Sometimes I find myself undecided between two horses, and the novelty bets help solve the dilemma. I've heard some - let's say more regular punters - say the novelty bets are for mugs.
Granted, they're there to increase bookmaker turnover, but I beg to differ in that they merely help open up the field to increase our chances of a win. That is, of course, if we can isolate the novelty bet which best suits our predictions.
Here's the latest from IASbet.com on the Lightning Stakes in Melbourne.
YOUNG OR OLD TO STRIKE IN THE LIGHTNING?
IASbet.com has a range of novelty markets for punters to choose from on the Lightning Stakes at Flemington.
Punters can pick whether the winner will be aged three or four and over, whether or not a Group 1 winning horse will win the race, and whether an odd or an even-numbered horse will take the winner's cheque home.
Will a three-year-old or an older horse win the Lightning Stakes?
$1.55 Any 3YO winner
$2.45 Any 4YO+ winner
Will a Group 1 winning horse win the Lightning Stakes?
$1.55 Group 1 winner to win
$2.45 Non-Group 1 winner to win
Will an even or an odd horse win the Lightning Stakes?
$1.90 Even-numbered horse
$1.90 Odd-numbered horse
Granted, they're there to increase bookmaker turnover, but I beg to differ in that they merely help open up the field to increase our chances of a win. That is, of course, if we can isolate the novelty bet which best suits our predictions.
Here's the latest from IASbet.com on the Lightning Stakes in Melbourne.
YOUNG OR OLD TO STRIKE IN THE LIGHTNING?
IASbet.com has a range of novelty markets for punters to choose from on the Lightning Stakes at Flemington.
Punters can pick whether the winner will be aged three or four and over, whether or not a Group 1 winning horse will win the race, and whether an odd or an even-numbered horse will take the winner's cheque home.
Will a three-year-old or an older horse win the Lightning Stakes?
$1.55 Any 3YO winner
$2.45 Any 4YO+ winner
Will a Group 1 winning horse win the Lightning Stakes?
$1.55 Group 1 winner to win
$2.45 Non-Group 1 winner to win
Will an even or an odd horse win the Lightning Stakes?
$1.90 Even-numbered horse
$1.90 Odd-numbered horse
Friday, January 22, 2010
Guest tipster Friday - free tips
It's Friday again, and although I'm a bit late in the day, we've gotten a hold of some free tips from TAB sportsbet in New South Wales.
The racing tips usually go fairly well and despite a bad week last week, we've scanned over the latest offering and figure they're okay.
The soccer tips are usually only for Australian soccer and the bloke tips more draws than I've ever seen. I saw a theory on a UK betting site which insisted betting all up combinations on the draw in every game was a profitable exercise. Perhaps that's the same theory this tipster works on.
Regardless, for international readers who are following the Friday guest tips, most Australian agencies will take bets on these tips.
They come from racing follower Andrew Bensley:
The first kicks off at the Harness Racing tonight. All races are quoted in Sydney time:
Harness
Friday 22nd January
Harold Park Race 5 - 9:00pm
No.3 - CLONTARF LADY
Gallops
Saturday 23rd January
Rosehill Race 5 - 3:50pm
No.9 - CHANCE BYE
Greyhounds
Saturday 23rd January
Wentworth Park Race 1 - 7:27pm
No.7 - WINSOME JOE
Our balance remains at $100 so we'll whack 10% of the stack on each race ... no half measures. All will be to come first past the post.
Good luck!
The racing tips usually go fairly well and despite a bad week last week, we've scanned over the latest offering and figure they're okay.
The soccer tips are usually only for Australian soccer and the bloke tips more draws than I've ever seen. I saw a theory on a UK betting site which insisted betting all up combinations on the draw in every game was a profitable exercise. Perhaps that's the same theory this tipster works on.
Regardless, for international readers who are following the Friday guest tips, most Australian agencies will take bets on these tips.
They come from racing follower Andrew Bensley:
The first kicks off at the Harness Racing tonight. All races are quoted in Sydney time:
Harness
Friday 22nd January
Harold Park Race 5 - 9:00pm
No.3 - CLONTARF LADY
Gallops
Saturday 23rd January
Rosehill Race 5 - 3:50pm
No.9 - CHANCE BYE
Greyhounds
Saturday 23rd January
Wentworth Park Race 1 - 7:27pm
No.7 - WINSOME JOE
Our balance remains at $100 so we'll whack 10% of the stack on each race ... no half measures. All will be to come first past the post.
Good luck!
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Horse racing: Black Caviar odds
I personally don't understand why you'd take the novelty odds when you can all up on two races for the same return. Trainers are always keen to squeeze "one more" race out of a champion horse ... which just decreases your chances of a novelty 7-1 return.
It's a nice option, but our advice: Feel free to get on Black Caviar early, but ignore the novelty bet.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
The wraps on boom filly Black Caviar have been that big that Sportingbet Australia have posted her as a $7.00 chance to go through her entire preparation unbeaten.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the reports of Black Caviar’s work going into Friday night’s Australia Stakes had seen punters wanting to get on her in every way possible.
“She is $1.40 for the Australia Stakes which may well be overs, if the early money is anything to go by, as punters are knocking down the door to get on her,” Sullivan said.
“There has been good money for her in the Newmarket as well with her price shortening for $6.00 to $5.50 in the past 24 hours.
“We have her $7.50 to go through the preparation undefeated and I think punters will come for that as it is likely to be only the three starts in the Australia Stakes and William Reid, where she will be very short, and then the Newmarket.”
“If she dominates those two races like everyone is expecting, then she is going to be pretty short in the Newmarket and the $7.50 will look very good all of a sudden.”
Here De Angels is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet for the Australia Stakes at $3.00 with the early scratching of Heart of Dreams meaning Royal Ida is third favourite at $15.00.
“At this stage we haven’t seen any money for the other contenders and I think Black Caviar can probably only get beaten if she muddles the start and finds trouble,” Sullivan said.
WILL BLACK CAVIAR WIN EVERY START THIS PREPARATION?
Sportingbet Australia Market
YES, Black Caviar Wins Every Start This Preparation 7.00
NO, Black Caviar Does Not Win Every Start This Prep 1.11
AUSTRALIA STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Black Caviar 1.40
Here De Angels 3.00
Royal Ida 15.00
La Rocket 41.00
Ferocia 201.00
It's a nice option, but our advice: Feel free to get on Black Caviar early, but ignore the novelty bet.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
The wraps on boom filly Black Caviar have been that big that Sportingbet Australia have posted her as a $7.00 chance to go through her entire preparation unbeaten.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the reports of Black Caviar’s work going into Friday night’s Australia Stakes had seen punters wanting to get on her in every way possible.
“She is $1.40 for the Australia Stakes which may well be overs, if the early money is anything to go by, as punters are knocking down the door to get on her,” Sullivan said.
“There has been good money for her in the Newmarket as well with her price shortening for $6.00 to $5.50 in the past 24 hours.
“We have her $7.50 to go through the preparation undefeated and I think punters will come for that as it is likely to be only the three starts in the Australia Stakes and William Reid, where she will be very short, and then the Newmarket.”
“If she dominates those two races like everyone is expecting, then she is going to be pretty short in the Newmarket and the $7.50 will look very good all of a sudden.”
Here De Angels is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet for the Australia Stakes at $3.00 with the early scratching of Heart of Dreams meaning Royal Ida is third favourite at $15.00.
“At this stage we haven’t seen any money for the other contenders and I think Black Caviar can probably only get beaten if she muddles the start and finds trouble,” Sullivan said.
WILL BLACK CAVIAR WIN EVERY START THIS PREPARATION?
Sportingbet Australia Market
YES, Black Caviar Wins Every Start This Preparation 7.00
NO, Black Caviar Does Not Win Every Start This Prep 1.11
AUSTRALIA STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Black Caviar 1.40
Here De Angels 3.00
Royal Ida 15.00
La Rocket 41.00
Ferocia 201.00
Australian Open tennis tips Thursday
Well, we almost got it right with a huge upset in the tennis last night, tipping that Bernard Tomic would be a real show. He lasted the five sets before going down to the far more experienced Marin Cilic.
Our bet of the day, however, did get up ... just.
Forent Serra overcame Jarkko Nieminen in another five setter.
Today's tip of the day is for Tipsarevic to overcome veteran Tommy Haas. Tipper, as I like to call him, is at $2.15 or thereabouts which is a great return.
Our bet of the day, however, did get up ... just.
Forent Serra overcame Jarkko Nieminen in another five setter.
Today's tip of the day is for Tipsarevic to overcome veteran Tommy Haas. Tipper, as I like to call him, is at $2.15 or thereabouts which is a great return.
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Australian Open tips
One of our outsider tips to win the Australian Open was upset in the first round - Robin Soderling. He seems to do well against the better players but has a mind explosion against lower ranked opponents. We'll have to live and learn from that experience.
But two others, Russians Davydenko and Dementieva, are still there. Should one of those win their respective tournaments, we've done quite well.
The following press release was from the weekend, which means it's a little outdated. It does, however, show that there's been plenty of money floating around. It also shows for whom.
For today's matches, there's not a lot of value around. But Bernard Tomic is at $6.70 to beat Marin Cilic. Ignore the rankings. Tomic is at 289 in the world, while Cilic is 14th. But Tomic has had good wins in the last month, including the scalps of Novak Djokovic and Radek Stepanek in warm up tournaments. He's not without a chance, particularly with the home crowd behind him.
In other games, Viktor Troicki is a player rising in the rankings and comes up against Florian Mayer who comes off the back of a 2 sets to love comeback win in the first round. Troicki is at $1.47 and should win, regardless of how pumped Mayer is.
Bet of the day for mine is Florent Serra to beat Jarkko Nieminen at $1.68. It's better than bank interest, that one! Serra has a 4-1 record against Nieminen who seems to have struggled to get past the first round of most tournaments of late, accounting for his falling world ranking.
TENNIS: BAGHDATIS BACKED FROM $151 TO $51
Marcos Baghdatis has been heavily backed to enjoy another good run at this year’s Australian Open following his win in Sydney.
Baghdatis, who opens his campaign on Tuesday against Paolo Lorenzi, has shortened from $151 last week to $51 at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Cypriot was very popular with punters in Sydney last week and the money had also arrived for a shock Australian Open win.
“Baghdatis was well backed against Lleyton Hewitt in the quarters in Sydney and punters rallied behind him in his semi final and final win as well,” Sullivan said.
“We did bet as much as $331 when markets were posted a couple of months ago but the real interest has come since he showed he was in top form in Sydney.”
“We took one bet of $66,000 to $1000 and he has been as popular as any other player.”
Sullivan said all the punter interest had been away from pre tournament favourites Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Andy Murray.
“Punters are certainly looking for value with many thinking the big three are still some way off top form,” he said.
“There has been good money for Novak Djokovic who has shortened from $9.00 to $6.50 and for US Open winner Juan Martin Del Potro.
“Of the roughies, there has been good money for Fernando Verdasco, Marin Cilic and Robin Soderling.”
But two others, Russians Davydenko and Dementieva, are still there. Should one of those win their respective tournaments, we've done quite well.
The following press release was from the weekend, which means it's a little outdated. It does, however, show that there's been plenty of money floating around. It also shows for whom.
For today's matches, there's not a lot of value around. But Bernard Tomic is at $6.70 to beat Marin Cilic. Ignore the rankings. Tomic is at 289 in the world, while Cilic is 14th. But Tomic has had good wins in the last month, including the scalps of Novak Djokovic and Radek Stepanek in warm up tournaments. He's not without a chance, particularly with the home crowd behind him.
In other games, Viktor Troicki is a player rising in the rankings and comes up against Florian Mayer who comes off the back of a 2 sets to love comeback win in the first round. Troicki is at $1.47 and should win, regardless of how pumped Mayer is.
Bet of the day for mine is Florent Serra to beat Jarkko Nieminen at $1.68. It's better than bank interest, that one! Serra has a 4-1 record against Nieminen who seems to have struggled to get past the first round of most tournaments of late, accounting for his falling world ranking.
TENNIS: BAGHDATIS BACKED FROM $151 TO $51
Marcos Baghdatis has been heavily backed to enjoy another good run at this year’s Australian Open following his win in Sydney.
Baghdatis, who opens his campaign on Tuesday against Paolo Lorenzi, has shortened from $151 last week to $51 at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Cypriot was very popular with punters in Sydney last week and the money had also arrived for a shock Australian Open win.
“Baghdatis was well backed against Lleyton Hewitt in the quarters in Sydney and punters rallied behind him in his semi final and final win as well,” Sullivan said.
“We did bet as much as $331 when markets were posted a couple of months ago but the real interest has come since he showed he was in top form in Sydney.”
“We took one bet of $66,000 to $1000 and he has been as popular as any other player.”
Sullivan said all the punter interest had been away from pre tournament favourites Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Andy Murray.
“Punters are certainly looking for value with many thinking the big three are still some way off top form,” he said.
“There has been good money for Novak Djokovic who has shortened from $9.00 to $6.50 and for US Open winner Juan Martin Del Potro.
“Of the roughies, there has been good money for Fernando Verdasco, Marin Cilic and Robin Soderling.”
Gianfranco Zola to stay at West Ham
Here's some latest markets in the English Premier League. The 40% return for Zola could be worth taking, but as regular followers of this blog will know, we rarely advise that people take any odds under $1.50.
THE STAR OF DAVIDS?
Victor Chandler make it a 2/5 shot that Gianfranco Zola is still the West Ham manager on June 1st after David Sullivan and David Gold gave the Italian their backing as they took over the East End club today. The firm go 7/4 that he gets the bullet.
“It’s a well worn joke that when the chairman gives a manager his backing it means the exact opposite, but we feel that the two David’s are sincere in their wish to see Zola succeed at Upton Park.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins.
“That said Zola still has to do the business on the park, and if the Hammers don’t start climbing the table soon then Gold and Sullivan might have no option but to change things.”
The firm also make it a 5/6 shot that the Hammers get over 20.5 Premier League points from now until the end of the season, and the same price that they don’t manage that points tally.
Gianfranco Zola to be West Ham manager on June 1st 2010
Yes 2/5
No 7/4
West Ham Points with Sullivan & Gold in charge (2009/2010 season)
Under 20.5 points 5/6
Over 20.5 points 5/6
THE STAR OF DAVIDS?
Victor Chandler make it a 2/5 shot that Gianfranco Zola is still the West Ham manager on June 1st after David Sullivan and David Gold gave the Italian their backing as they took over the East End club today. The firm go 7/4 that he gets the bullet.
“It’s a well worn joke that when the chairman gives a manager his backing it means the exact opposite, but we feel that the two David’s are sincere in their wish to see Zola succeed at Upton Park.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins.
“That said Zola still has to do the business on the park, and if the Hammers don’t start climbing the table soon then Gold and Sullivan might have no option but to change things.”
The firm also make it a 5/6 shot that the Hammers get over 20.5 Premier League points from now until the end of the season, and the same price that they don’t manage that points tally.
Gianfranco Zola to be West Ham manager on June 1st 2010
Yes 2/5
No 7/4
West Ham Points with Sullivan & Gold in charge (2009/2010 season)
Under 20.5 points 5/6
Over 20.5 points 5/6
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