Thursday, January 21, 2010

Horse racing: Black Caviar odds

I personally don't understand why you'd take the novelty odds when you can all up on two races for the same return. Trainers are always keen to squeeze "one more" race out of a champion horse ... which just decreases your chances of a novelty 7-1 return.

It's a nice option, but our advice: Feel free to get on Black Caviar early, but ignore the novelty bet.

Here's the latest from Sportingbet:


The wraps on boom filly Black Caviar have been that big that Sportingbet Australia have posted her as a $7.00 chance to go through her entire preparation unbeaten.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the reports of Black Caviar’s work going into Friday night’s Australia Stakes had seen punters wanting to get on her in every way possible.

“She is $1.40 for the Australia Stakes which may well be overs, if the early money is anything to go by, as punters are knocking down the door to get on her,” Sullivan said.

“There has been good money for her in the Newmarket as well with her price shortening for $6.00 to $5.50 in the past 24 hours.

“We have her $7.50 to go through the preparation undefeated and I think punters will come for that as it is likely to be only the three starts in the Australia Stakes and William Reid, where she will be very short, and then the Newmarket.”

“If she dominates those two races like everyone is expecting, then she is going to be pretty short in the Newmarket and the $7.50 will look very good all of a sudden.”

Here De Angels is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet for the Australia Stakes at $3.00 with the early scratching of Heart of Dreams meaning Royal Ida is third favourite at $15.00.

“At this stage we haven’t seen any money for the other contenders and I think Black Caviar can probably only get beaten if she muddles the start and finds trouble,” Sullivan said.

WILL BLACK CAVIAR WIN EVERY START THIS PREPARATION?
Sportingbet Australia Market
YES, Black Caviar Wins Every Start This Preparation 7.00
NO, Black Caviar Does Not Win Every Start This Prep 1.11

AUSTRALIA STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Black Caviar 1.40
Here De Angels 3.00
Royal Ida 15.00
La Rocket 41.00
Ferocia 201.00

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