Wallabies a value bet for tonight

Those who followed yesterday's tips will be basking in the glory of a St Kilda win.

Our value bet on the Gold Coast in the rugby league wasn't so flash, but we should have picked up the 35% return for our key bet on the Saints.

I must say though, I thought the Saints were lucky. There were three umpiring decisions which gave them a distinct advantage over the valiant Dogs.

First, there was the free kick at the top of the third quarter. Very soft indeed. Then there was the rushed behind which, after looking at replays, I thought should have been a goal. And the final goal by Nick Riewoldt, for mine, cannot have been anything else but touched.

Regardless, we'll take the collect and move on.

I don't have a certain bet for tonight, and refuse to touch the AFL game given my loyalty to the Pies.

But a forgotten match seems to be the rugby union. Australia is fresh from a morale-boosting win against tri-nations champions South Africa, and the All Blacks have made wholesale changes (5 in total) to their side after losing to the Springboks.

I wouldn't be staking too much of your bankroll on it, but at $2.70, the Wallabies are a terrific value bet. With nothing but pride on the line, the green and gold boys seem to have much more to lose than the All Blacks.

If you feel you've spotted a good bet, be sure to let me know and we'll analyse it for all to see.

Next week, I'll ask everybody for their advice about which bookmaker deal we should take and we'll kick off a $100 bankroll, and we'll ride it together.