Friday, February 26, 2010

Strange but true betting options

We've seen some strange betting options come through as bookmakers try to capture their share of the market. This one from Victor Chandler in the UK is high on the weird list: Will two players shake hands after the game?

Granted, not just any two players:

Victor Chandler have opened several markets on Chelsea v Man City at Stamford in the light of the continual spat between John Terry and Wayne Bridge. The firm make it a 5/2 shot that they shake hands on the pitch after the match, and spokesman Neal Wilkins admits that despite everything that has happened they might just do it.

“There appears to be no love lost between them, but a quick shake of the hands on a professional level is not out of the question. It might help both parties to make the effort so that they can move on. The alternative argument is that with Bridge now ruling himself out of the England squad he might feel it’s time for a few fireworks. It should be an interesting 90 minutes.”

The firm make it a 7/1 shot that both Terry and Bridge get booked in the same incident, and 33/1 that they both get sent off in the same incident. It’s a 11/2 chance that Bridge gets booked for a challenge on Terry and 13/2 the other way around.

Bridge & Terry to both get booked in same incident 7/1
Bridge & Terry to both get sent off in same incident 33/1
Bridge to be booked for challenge on Terry 11/2
Terry to be booked for challenge on Bridge 13/2
Bridge & Terry to shake hands after final whistle on pitch 5/2
Bridge to be sent off 22/1
Terry to be sent off 25/1
Terry to be booked 3/1
Bridge to be booked 5/2

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Australian Cup update

BIG BARBARICUS BET

Punters are expecting an improved showing from Barbaricus in this Saturday’s Futurity Stakes after the grey gelding was backed from $81 to $41 for the Australian Cup at Sportingbet Australia.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the money suggested the Caulfield Cup place getter could be ready to show a glimpse of his best form following two runs from a long spell with one punter backing him to win over $100,000.

“We took a bet of $120,000 to $1500 each way on him for the Australian Cup which would certainly suggest he is getting back to his best,” Sullivan said.

“He is up to the mile in the Futurity on Saturday and you’d think he would have to show something as this will be his final run before the Australian Cup.”

Heart of Dreams retains favouritism for the Australian Cup at $7.00, in Sportingbet’s market, ahead of Zipping at $8.50 and Our Aqaleem at $9.00 but Sullivan said some improved runs on Saturday had seen other contenders emerge.

“Melbourne Cup winner Shocking put in nice run on Saturday and has trimmed up to $11 while Viewed, Littorio and La Rocket all look contenders as well.”

2010 AUSTRALIAN CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Heart Of Dreams 7.00
Zipping 8.50
Our Aqaleem 9.00
Shocking 11.00
Speed Gifted 11.00
Miss Maren 11.00
Daffodil 11.00
Viewed 14.00
Master O’Reilly 14.00
Littorio 15.00
Sirmione 16.00
Changingoftheguard 17.00
Extra Zero 18.00
Zagreb 18.00
La Rocket 18.00
Zarita 23.00
Snipers Bullet 26.00
Joku 31.00
Growl 31.00
Divine Rebel 35.00
Tobique 35.00
Barbaricus 41.00
Moatize 81.00

Punters getting in early for Melbourne Cup

It seems punters are keen to invest in the Melbourne Cup market nice and early with some big speculation bets being placed:

PUNTER SMELLS THE PERFUME OF BART'S THIRTEENTH CUP VICTORY

One Sportingbet Australia punter is confident that Cups King Bart Cummings can win a thirteenth Melbourne Cup with Faint Perfume, backing the VRC Oaks winner to collect over $80,000.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Shamardal filly had shown plenty of staying potential as a three year old with Oaks winning fillies always fancied for the Cups.

“The punters had $2500 on Faint Perfume at $35 and we have now trimmed her up to $26,” said Sullivan.

“She got better in the spring as the distances got longer and the VRC Oaks winner is always well backed for the Cup, especially when they are trained by Bart Cummings.

“There’s a long way to go until November but it’s a fairly confident bet this far out.”

Alcopop is just favourite for the Cup at Sportingbet at $22 just ahead of Shocking at $23 and a host of horses at $26.

“There has been strong support the obvious contenders such as Shocking and Efficient while there has also been some big bets struck on some of the new blood such as Linton,” Sullivan said.

2010 MELBOURNE CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Alcopop 22.00
Shocking 23.00
Changingoftheguard 26.00
Viewed 26.00
Speed Gifted 26.00
Monaco Consul 26.00
Faint Perfume 26.00
So You Think 26.00
Linton 28.00
Shamoline Warrior 31.00
Valdemoro 31.00
Mourilyan 31.00
Efficient 35.00
Vigor 35.00
Hanks 35.00
Trusting 35.00
Oken Bruce Lee 35.00
Profound Beauty 41.00
Purple 41.00
Daffodil 41.00
Metal Bender 41.00
Scouting Wide 41.00
Passchendaele 41.00
Divine Rebel 41.00
Master O'Reilly 51.00
Crime Scene 51.00
My Scotsgrey 51.00
Viking Legend 51.00
Think Money 61.00
Predatory Pricer 61.00
Rebel Raider 61.00
Hume 71.00
Roman Emperor 71.00
Basaltico 71.00
Hissing Sid 71.00
Spacecraft 71.00
Driffield Gold 71.00
Miss Maren 71.00
Whobegotyou 71.00
My Bentley 71.00
Others 81.00 Plus

Update on Futurity Stakes

Update from the bookies on the Futurity Stakes:

LINTON DECISION ROCKS GROUP 1 MARKETS

Betting markets for this Saturday’s Futurity Stakes and next week’s Australian Guineas have been shaken up with Lloyd Williams bypassing the Futurity with exciting colt Linton in favour of taking on Denman in the Guineas.

“With Linton out of the Futurity, Typhoon Tracy is now the hot favourite at $1.60 to beat the boys yet again at Group 1 level,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“Linton has been installed a $5 second favourite for the Guineas. We’ve eased Denman out from $1.45 to $1.55 and former Guineas second favourite Set For Fame from $4.20 to $5.50.”

All Markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

2010 Futurity Stakes – Final Field
$1.60 Typhoon Tracy
$4.60 Dao Dao
$6 Sniper’s Bullet
$15 Joku
$19 Lord Tavistock
$101 Barbaricus

2010 Australian Guineas
$1.55 Denman
$5 Linton (not nominated)
$5.50 Set For Fame
$12 Manhattan Rain
$21 Hanks
$21 Irish Lights
$26 Spacecraft
$31 Aloha
$31 Carrara
$31 Extra Zero
$41 Most Immediate
$41 Rockferry
$61 Guru Bob
$81 Rock Classic
Others quoted

Friday, February 19, 2010

Tiger Woods comeback odds

I wish I had the inside on this, but I don't. The Tiger Woods saga has got to be one of the more fun novelty bets in the market.

WHERE WILL TIGER MAKE HIS COMEBACK?

Ahead of Tiger Woods’ highly anticipated press conference at 3am Saturday AEDT, leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has opened a market on where Tiger will make his long awaited return to golf.

The Masters is favourite at $1.55, followed by the Arnold Palmer Invitational at $2.25. He is listed at $101 to announce his retirement from golf.

“It’s really anyone’s guess, although we think the two most likely events are the Masters or the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he is the defending champion,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

Which event will Tiger make his comeback in?
$51 Phoenix Open, February 25-28
$41 The Honda Classic, March 4-7
$3.75 World Golf Championships – CA Championship, March 11-14
$17 Transitions Championship, March 18-21
$2.25 Arnold Palmer Invitational, March 25-28
$26 Shell Houston Open, April 1-4
$1.55 Augusta Masters, April 8-11
$7.50 Any other PGA Tournament
$101 To retire

Will Tiger play in the 2010 Masters at Augusta?
$1.35 Yes
$3.05 No

Which Major will Tiger win next?
$3.50 2010 US Masters
$5 2010 US Open
$6 2010 British Masters
$10 2010 US PGA
$13 2011 US Masters
$19 2011 US Open
$26 2011 British Open
$51 2011 US PGA
$3.25 None of the above

William Reid Stakes update

So, IASBet reckons Benetau will win, yet they're prepared to return win bets which lose to the favourite. Interesting concept!

TOP FILLY SCRATCHING GIVES NEW LIFE TO WILLIAM REID STAKES

IASbet.com's John Hartnett gives punters his thoughts on Saturday's Blue Diamond and Oakleigh Plate at Caulfield.

"Preludes are the best form guide for the Blue Diamond, and both Benetau ($3.70 into $3.20) and Psychologist ($8) were very impressive. Given Psychologist must start from the outside gate, it looks like the colt will be very hard to beat now."

"The Oakleigh Plate is a wide open affair and really is anyone's race. Here de Angels ($7.00) ran a track record last start, Peter Moody has four runners (Wanted $5.50, Headway $15, Avenue $21 and Tickets $17) each with good chances, while Weekend Hussler ($15.00) is the query runner and would not surprise first up. For mine, I think Starspangledbanner ($7.00) is a good each-way bet. He won second up at the 1100m last time in and is drawn to get the gun run".

Iasbet.com has a range of special markets and a money back specials available on the Blue Diamond Stakes:

Money Back Special
Place a win only bet (CITY SuperPrice) on the Blue Diamond Stakes and if your bet selection comes 2nd to BENETEAU, we'll refund your bet up to $200.

And here's sportsbet's take on the show:

MONEY COMES FOR BOOM COLT

Blue Diamond hot-favourite Beneteau has been backed off the map according to leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.

“Eight in every 10 bets we’ve taken today have been on Beneteau, including one of $30,000 at $3.50 on the star Sydney colt,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“Star Witness, who was plunged on at $17 in early markets, is also a very bad result. However, both he and the filly Psychologist have been unwanted since their poor draws.”

Market courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

2010 BLUE DIAMOND FINAL FIELD
$3.50 Beneteau
$7.50 Star Witness
$7.50 Psychologist
$8.50 Crystal Lily
$10 Secsession
$11 Shaaheq
$19 Evidentia
$21 Sweet Cheeks
$21 Legalistic
$21 Willow Creek
$21 General Truce
$26 She’s Got Gears
$41 Roulettes
$121 Spirit Cent
$121 Bit Of A Dude

Friday, February 12, 2010

Special for Randwick tomorrow

This seems like a good thing to follow. Statement comes from Sportingbet.

SNITZEL'S HALF BROTHER WELL BACKED AT RANDWICK

Some big money has arrived at Sportingbet Australia for Gerard Ryan’s half brother to Snitzel, Hinchinbrook, to win on debut at Randwick tomorrow.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the son of Fastnet Rock had been backed in from $3.10 to $2.50.

“We’ve taken a string of bets on this bloke including one of $10,000 at the $3.10,” said Sullivan.

“By all accounts he was ultra impressive at his latest trial and the money suggests he’ll be hard to beat tomorrow.”

Sullivan said there had also been a nibble on the horse to win the Golden Slipper.

“He’s been backed from $34 to $17 with us so you’d have to think it has its fair share of ability,” he said.

Tiger Woods to surface in Augusta

This is a prime example of how bookmakers are diversifying their markets. They're asking whether Tiger Woods will play at the season's first major. Origin reports said he'd take 12 months off.

Here's the word from Sportsbet.com:


Following recent reports that Tiger Woods may play at the Accenture Match Play Championship next week, Sportsbet.com.au were quickly swamped by punters wishing to bet that Tiger would be a no-show.

“We put up $1.55 on Tiger not playing at the Accenture Match Play Championship, which was quickly smashed into $1.30,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“Given Accenture was one of the first companies to drop Tiger it would surprise if he made his comeback at this event.”

Talk has now focused on whether or not Tiger will tee it up at this year’s first Major - The US Masters - which begins on April 8 at Augusta.

“We think Tiger will make it back for the Masters and have installed him as a $1.35 favourite to play at Augusta, with $3.05 available on Tiger not to play the year’s first Major,” said Lane.

All markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

Will Tiger play in the 2010 Masters at Augusta?
$1.35 Yes
$3.05 No

Which Major will Tiger win next?
$3.50 2010 US Masters
$5 2010 US Open
$6 2010 British Masters
$10 2010 US PGA
$13 2011 US Masters
$19 2011 US Open
$26 2011 British Open
$51 2011 US PGA

Tasmanian election on a knife edge

Usually, punters have a fairly good idea of how an election might pan out. The Tasmanian state election is an exception. If the odds are any indication, it could be a cliffhanger.

LABOR SLIGHT FAVOURITE BUT PHOTO FINISH EXPECTED

Labor has been posted as a slight favourite, at Sportingbet Australia, to be returned in Tasmania after Premier David Bartlett called a state election for March 20.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Labor were in real danger of losing government but retained favouritism at this stage.

“Labor are $1.80 favourites but I wouldn’t be surprised to see support come from punters for the Liberals here,” Sullivan said.

“The Liberals are $2.00 outsiders but that could well change before March 20.

“The Greens will also be a major factor here in Tasmania again and could potentially hold the balance of power.”

Sportingbet Australia’s market pays on the party that provides the Premier so any deal with the Greens could be very influential.

TASMANIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.80
Liberal 2.00

William Reid Stakes market fluctuations

More news on the William Reid Stakes, this time from Centrebet:

PUNTERS CAUTIOUS AHEAD OF WILLIAM REID STAKES

Punters are treading warily ahead of the Group 1 William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley following Thursday’s downpour according to leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.

“A few of the big punters have said they will wait and see how the track is faring on race day before they step up,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“The early scratching of Black Caviar has really opened up the market. At this stage Nicconi has been the best backed, while Shellscrape, who loves the sting out of the ground, has been backed from $5 into $4.20.”

Market courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au. Prices are subject to fluctuation.

2010 William Reid Stakes
$3.20 Nicconi
$3.60 Wanted
$4.20 Shellscrape
$7 Light Fantastic
$10 Turffontein
$12 Sniper’s Bullet
$26 Mentality
$151 Master O’Rielly

Big bets for Offloaded in Alistair Clark Stakes

It's always nice to know where the money's going ...

PUNTERS UNLOAD ON OFFLOADED

All the talk may have centered around Extra Zero and Linton but punters have decided Lohnro gelding Offhanded is the horse to beat in tomorrow’s Alistair Clark Stakes at Moonee Valley.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Darley galloper had been backed in from $4.60 to $4.00 in the space of an hour.

“The phones rang hot on Friday morning with punters wanting to back the Sydney visitor,” said Sullivan.

“Offhanded hit the line hard last time ay Randwick and has an outstanding record with the sting out of the ground.”

Sullivan said he would not be surprised to see Offhanded firm into favouritism with doubts over his two major challengers.

“Linton was impressive at Cranbourne but this is a fair step up from maiden company, while Extra Zero has shown plenty but has an ordinary strike rate.”

“I would not be surprised in the least if the money doesn’t ease up for Offhanded.”

ALISTAIR CLARK STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Linton 3.80
Extra Zero 4.00
Offhanded 4.00
Rake The Rap 10.00
Eraset 11.00
At The Heads 12.00
Viking Hero 12.00
Cosmocrat 15.00
Prost 101.00
Full Metal Jacket 101.00

Thursday, February 11, 2010

William Reid Stakes

Plenty of news coming through on the William Reid Stakes. First, from IASbet:

TOP FILLY SCRATCHING GIVES NEW LIFE TO WILLIAM REID STAKES

Betting for the Group 1 William Reid Stakes has been turned on its head following the scratching of hot favourite Black Caviar reports IASbet.com's John Hartnett.

"It's a wide open race now without the champion filly," said Hartnett. "The three place getters of the Lightning Stakes are now the top three in the market in Nicconi ($5.50 into $3.20), Wanted ($6.50 into $3.40), and Shellscrape ($11.00 into $4.50)."

"I think Shellscrape finds his right race here. He hasn't raced at the Valley, although he is very suited to the 1200m and he likes the cut out of the ground."

IASbet.com has a range of head to head markets available on the William Reid Stakes, including Nicconi ($1.80) vs Wanted ($1.90), Shellscrape ($1.70) vs Light Fantastic ($2.15), Turffontein ($1.70) vs Snipers Bullet ($2.15), and Master OReilly ($2.75) vs Mentality ($1.45).

And from Sportingbet:

NICCONI NEW WILLIAM REID FAVOURITE

The David Hayes trained Nicconi is Sportingbet Australia’s new William Reid favourite following the shock withdrawl of odds on favourite Black Caviar.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Nicconi’s better record at WFA entitled him to be a slight favourite ahead of Black Caviar’s stablemate Wanted.

“Nicconi deserves the slight edge in the odds but we’re more than prepared to lay him at the $3.20,” said Sullivan.

“There had been strong support for Nicconi even before Black Caviar’s withdrawal as it shortened from $6.50 to $5.50 and I expect to see the money keep coming.

“The scratching of the favourite has done him no favours with the Chris Waller trained Shellscrape now likely to get a soft lead in the race.”

WILLIAM REID STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Nicconi 3.20
Wanted 3.30
Shellscrape 4.80
Light Fantastic 6.00
Sniper’s Bullet 9.00
Turffontein 11.00
Mentality 21.00
Master O’Reilly 101.00

Gold Logie betting opens

Latest statement from Sportingbet:

STONE THE FLAMIING CROWS - COULD ALF GET THE GOLD LOGIE?

Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on the 2010 Gold Logie.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he expected veteran actress Rebecca Gibney to repeat last year’s success.

“Gibney is the lead actress in Australia’s most popular drama and has always been popular with Australian viewers,” said Sullivan.

“While perennial favourites such as Rove McManus and Adam Hills have to be respected, she looks the winner.”

Sullivan said he was wary of a repeat of last year’s Ian Smith campaign repeating with Home And Away veteran Ray Meagher.

“We have Meagher safe in the market at $7.50 after hearing whispers that there could be a vote for Alf campaign,” Sullivan said.

“There’s no doubt he’d be a popular winner and must be respected as the longest serving actor in any serial all over the world.”

2010 GOLD LOGIE WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Rebecca Gibney 2.50
Rove McManus 4.50
Adam Hills 5.50
Ray Meagher 7.50
Natalie Bassingthwaighte 9.00
Rodger Corser 11.00
Joelene Anderson 11.00
Sonia Kruger 14.00
Daniel MacPherson 17.00
Eddie McGuire 21.00
Michael Caton 26.00
Grant Denyer 31.00
Others Quoted

Friday, February 5, 2010

Breaking news: Friday afternoon plunge

Press statement from Sportingbet:

PUNTERS UNLOAD ON KAVANAGH COLT

Sportingbet Australia punters have stepped into boom Mark Kavanagh trained colt We’re Gonna Rock for this afternoon’s Clayton RSL Handicap at Moonee Valley.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said after days of ignoring the star 3yo punters had struck in a big way over the past hour.

“We’ve taken some good bets on We’re Gonna Rock including a Best Fluctuation bet of $22,500.”

“Sportingbet Australia punters have unloaded and it looks like this colt will be one of our biggest stands of the weekend.”

An educated coin flip

I don't usually tout offers, but this is a seriously good one: A coin flip with the advantage of knowledge - call it an educated coin flip:

Victor Chandler are offering EVENS both sides of the handicap in all Six Nations matches!

Applies to all bets pre-event and in-running up to the start of the 2nd half. Internet & telephone bets only.

Thursday, February 4, 2010

Good value in CF Orr Stakes at Caulfield

Quite often if the bookmakers are willing to take on a favourite, we should be too. And there are some top chances at good odds here. Don't totally discard Zipping.

TRACY ALL THE RAGE FOR SPORTINGBET ORR STAKES

The Peter Moody juggernaut looks set to continue with the exciting Typhoon Tracy an early $1.75 for Saturday’s Group One Sportingbet C F Orr Stakes at Caulfield.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he was expecting to see mountains of money for the Red Ransom mare.

“Typhoon Tracy may be at short odds but gee she looks tough to beat,” said Sullivan.

“I’m expecting the phone lines to run hot all the way through to Saturday.”

Sullivan said he was prepared to take the favourite on with the field full of quality gallopers.

“The likes of Shocking and Viewed are capable of running well fresh and could cause an upset, ” said Sullivan.

“While gallopers such as Sniper’s Bullet and Danzylum may just have a fitness edge at the last part of 1400 metres and Heart Of Dreams has to be respected.

“We’ll be laying Typhoon Tracy all day, then sitting back and hoping for an upset.”


2010 SPORTINGBET C F ORR STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Typhoon Tracy 1.75
Heart Of Dreams 4.50
Sniper’s Bullet 7.50
Raffaello 10.00
Viewed 17.00
Danzylum 17.00
Shocking 26.00
Zipping 26.00
Sirmione 61.00
Littorio 61.00

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Early odds for Newmarket horse racing

Sportingbet has been busy today. Another one geared primarily towards Australian punters. It shows early odds for the Newmarket. Unless you've got an inside tip, I'd be leaving it well alone until acceptances:

COMMON INTEREST BACKED TO WIN NEWMARKET

The Lee Freedman trained colt Common Interest has been well backed a big odds for the Newmarket, shortening from $81 to $41 at Sportingbet Australia.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he had been well supported since his good third when resuming in the Kensington Stakes.

“We took one bet of $80,000 to $1000 on Common Interest and there was more good money for him at $71 and $61,” Sullivan said.

“The Newmarket is obviously a steep rise in class but he has a great winning strike rate and the money suggests he will continue to improve through the preparation.”

Sullivan also reported good support for Tollesprit who has shortened from $61 to $26 following his impressive win on Saturday.

“We shortened him to $41 following his win on Saturday but the money came for immediately with one bet to win $20,000,” Sullivan said.

“Shane Fliedner suggested the horse still had a lot of improvement in him from that win so he certainly looks like one to follow.”


2010 NEWMARKET HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Black Caviar 5.25
All Silent 6.00
Nicconi 11.00
Weekend Hussler 13.00
Typhoon Tracy 14.00
Wanted 14.00
Starspangledbanner 14.00
Avenue 15.00
Trusting 16.00
Shellscrape 16.00
We're Gonna Rock 18.00
Eagle Falls 20.00
Headway 21.00
Light Fantastic 23.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Burdekin Blues 26.00
Bank Robber 26.00
Irish Lights 26.00
Tickets 26.00
Tollesprit 26.00
Denman 31.00
Danleigh 31.00
Hay List 31.00
Demerit 31.00
Manhattan Rain 31.00
King Pulse 35.00
Turffontein 35.00
Duporth 41.00
Court 41.00
Rarefied 41.00
Captain Coltish 41.00
Common Interest 41.00
Eight Bills 41.00
Cannonball 51.00
Dreamscape 51.00
El Segundo 51.00
Chasm 51.00
Occurrence 51.00
Gold Trail 51.00
Gran Sasso 61.00
Secret Flyer 61.00
Royal Ida 61.00
Arinos 61.00
Keano 61.00
Kroner 61.00
Governance 71.00
Huxssen 71.00
Velocitea 71.00
Others 81.00 Plus

A tip to tell the grandchildren about

For those willing to back the rank outsider, perhaps looking for a fairytale story to tell the grandchildren, this might be the one.

It's the latest news from Sportingbet, geared primarily towards Australian punters.


BOLTER BACKED TO WIN DONCASTER

The Kerry Parker trained gelding Brilliant Light has been backed at long odds to win the Doncaster following a breakthrough campaign in the Spring.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the horse would need to improve markedly from his three wins on the trot last year but one punter had backed the 4yo gelding to win $100,000.

“There’s certainly been a bit of a nibble with Brilliant Light’s price firming from $401 to $251 in early betting,” said Sullivan.

“If there’s as much improvement in the horse as last time in it could prove to be money well spent.

“It is obviously a massive leap in class but we took a bet of $100,000 to $250 which would certainly suggest the horse is primed for a big campaign.”


2010 DONCASTER MILE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 9.00
Rangirangdoo 11.00
So You Think 12.00
Denman 14.00
More Joyous 15.00
Manhattan Rain 15.00
Typhoon Tracy 15.00
Trusting 16.00
Heart Of Dreams 16.00
Rock Kingdom 18.00
Weekend Hussler 19.00
Theseo 19.00
Kidnapped 21.00
Black Piranha 23.00
Drumbeats 26.00
Irish Lights 26.00
Were Gonna Rock 26.00
Dealer Principal 31.00
Olonhro 31.00
All Silent 31.00
Black Caviar 31.00
Neroli 31.00
Danleigh 35.00
Demerit 35.00
Hot Danish 35.00
Road To Rock 35.00
Melito 41.00
Sister Madly 41.00
Governance 41.00
Mcclintock 41.00
Snipers Bullet 41.00
Vision And Power 41.00
Wall Street 41.00
Duporth 51.00
Katie Lee 51.00
Raffaello 51.00
Set For Fame 51.00
Vigor 51.00
Alcopop 51.00
Dao Dao 51.00
Palacio De Cristal 51.00
Shellscrape 51.00
Speed Gifted 51.00
Tickets 51.00
Walking Or Dancing 51.00
Wanted 51.00
Daffodil 61.00
Jellylorum 61.00
Lodge The Deeds 61.00
Others 71.00 Plus
Brilliant Light 251.00

Rudd in trouble

Punters are usually very good when it comes to tipping elections. If that's the case, we are starting to see the slide of the government. Albeit still at long odds, maybe Rudd is a little on the nose.

I won't be joining those who consider Abbott to be a good bet, though.

Here's the latest from Sportingbet Australia:

PUNTERS SAY RUDD GOVERNMENT IN FOR A FIGHT

Punters have moved with today’s Newspoll, getting behind the opposition of Tony Abbott as the figures show this parliamentary season will be no cakewalk for the Rudd Government.

The Opposition have shortened from $4.25 into $4.00 in Sportingbet Australia’s federal election market following today’s polling which shows the Coalition edging ahead in the primary vote 41-40.

While Kevin Rudd’s Government retains an election-winning lead of four points in two-party preferred, their slide from a ten-point lead has seen them drift in betting from $1.20 out to $1.25.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Tony Abbott’s pugilistic style seems to have cut through on complex issues like emissions trading, where the Government is having trouble articulating its policies.

“In boxing, leading with your chin is always a dangerous strategy, but Tony Abbott has made a career out of it – and punters get it,” said Mr Sullivan.

“This is the first time since the 2007 election when we have been taking more bets on the Coalition than the Government.

“In this session of parliament I think we’ll see the government on the back foot for the first time in three years and that could well see the Coalition’s odds trim up further.”

AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.25
Coalition $4.00

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Will Wayne Rooney score?

News from Victor Chandler:

ROO BEAUTY!
Sunday - Arsenal v Man Utd, Kick off 4.00pm, Live on Sky Sports 1
If WAYNE ROONEY scores at ANYTIME in the match Victor Chandler will refund all losing Correct Score and First Goalscorer bets as a free bet!
Maximum refund £50 per person. Applies to singles only placed prior to kick-off. Internet and telephone bets only. Free bets credited within 24 hours.