Michael Barlow the Brownlow bolter

There will be a few people sitting around, saying quite simply: "Wish I'd got him at 1000-1!"

BARLOW POISED TO CAUSE BIGGEST BROWNLOW SHOCK OF ALL TIME

First season player Michael Barlow continues to be the surprise packet of the season with the Docker now into third pick at $11 for the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.

Barlow wasn’t even in Sportingbet’s Brownlow market before the season but punters have been knocking down the door to back him since round two.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said a first season player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest shocks he had seen in his years as a bookie.

“He would have been at least $1001 before the season but to be truthful we hadn’t even heard of him,” Sullivan said.

“After round two we put him in the market at $151 and punters have been knocking each other over to get on.

“He was $15 last week and after another brilliant game on the weekend, we have seen plenty of smart money come for him again this week and we have had to shorten him up again.

“He is only behind Gary Ablett and Luke Hodge in our market and ahead of blokes like Brendon Goddard, Chris Judd, Dane Swan and Jimmy Bartel.

“A first year player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest upsets I can think of but he looks a genuine chance.”

Ablett retains favouritism in Sportingbet’s market at $4.00 ahead of Hodge at $9.00 and Barlow at $11.

2010 Brownlow Medal
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 4.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 9.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 11.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 12.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 15.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 15.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 17.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 21.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 21.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 34.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 51.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus

Brownlow medal update

Given that Jonathan Brown is off to a flyer, guaranteed at least 5 points from his first two games, $8 are not bad odds.

The other one who seems to be good value this year is Nick Reiwoldt, at $17. Active forwards showed last year that they can poll well, and they're pretty much dominating the league at the moment in terms of their impact on results.

Looking through the list, it is an interesting exercise to look for some early vote winners in the search for value. My few would be Matthew Boyd at $29, Aaron Sandilands at $51, and Ryan O'Keefe at $101. O'Keefe is likely to have polled in both his opening games and will play a key role for the Swans as they perform above expectations.

Sportingbet Australia odds:
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 6.00
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 8.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 13.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 15.00
Sam Mitchell [HAW] 15.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 19.00
Joel Selwood [GEEL] 19.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 23.00
Marc Murphy [CARL] 23.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 26.00
Simon Black [BRIS] 26.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 29.00
Leigh Montagna [STK] 29.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 29.00
Bryce Gibbs [CARL] 31.00
Alan Didak [COLL] 34.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 34.00
Nicholas Naitanui [WCE] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Kane Cornes [PORT] 41.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 41.00
Shaun Higgins [WBD] 41.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 51.00
Lance Franklin [HAW] 51.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 67.00
Steve Johnson [GEEL] 67.00
Bernie Vince [ADEL] 81.00
Brad Sewell [HAW] 101.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 101.00
Brent Stanton [ESS] 101.00
Brock Mclean [CARL] 101.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 101.00
Daniel Rich [BRIS] 101.00
Luke Ball [COLL] 101.00
Luke Power [BRIS] 101.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 101.00
Ryan Griffen [WBD] 101.00
Ryan Okeefe [SYD] 101.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 101.00