If the government is talking about an August election, which they are, it August 21 and August 28 must be the most likely dates. But that doesn't necessarily mean that that's what's going to happen. When they sit down and realise they haven't finalised pre-selection for a number of seats, they might realise that September 4 would be a far better date.
There will be a few superstitious types who'll worry about the "Crash"-type headlines if it was to be September 11. The only other realistic result is that the August call is a bluff, which means a date after November 27 is the next best bet.
Australia will be heading to the polls on August 28 according to punters betting at Sportingbet Australia with the date backed into ruling favourite at $2.75.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had zeroed in on dates in August but all the big money had been for the 28th.
“We have taken a number of good bets which has seen the 28th shorten from $3.50 to $2.75 in the past twenty four hours,” Sullivan said.
“Julia Gillard’s promotion to PM has certainly seen the polls move in Labor’s favour and punters are convinced that will lead to an early election.
“If the mining tax negotiations are well received, I think it looks a certainty we will be heading to the polls by the end of August.”
Labor continues to firm to win the election with Gillard as leader, shortening from $1.55 when Kevin Rudd was leader to $1.40 currently with Sportingbet.
“The money has all been one way since Julia Gillard became Prime Minister with punters very confident she can beat Tony Abbott,” Sullivan said.
“This is in complete contrast to when Rudd was leader when all the money was for Abbott but his odds have now blown out to $2.85 after being as short as $2.40 last Wednesday.”
Federal Election Date
Sportingbet Australia market
Saturday, July 31 2010 $26.00
Saturday, August 7 2010 $13.00
Saturday, August 14 2010 $13.00
Saturday, August 21 2010 $7.50
Saturday, August 28 2010 $2.75
Saturday, September 4 2010 $6.00
Saturday, September 11 2010 $10.00
Saturday, September 18 2010 $13.00
Saturday, September 25 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 2 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 9 2010 $21.00
Saturday, October 16 2010 $13.00
Saturday, October 23 2010 $13.00
Saturday, October 30 2010 $17.00
Saturday, November 6 2010 $17.00
Saturday, November 13 2010 $21.00
Saturday, November 20 2010 $21.00
Saturday, November 27 2010 $34.00
Any Date after November 27, 2010 $6.50
Showing posts with label federal election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label federal election. Show all posts
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Thursday, June 24, 2010
Labor firms with news of Julia Gillard as first woman PM
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan reported a series of big bets on Labor at $1.70 shortly after Gillard’s intention to challenge became public.
“We took one bet of $10,000 and three of $5000 as Labor shortened from $1.70 to $1.55 late last night,” Sullivan said.
“We shortened Labor up further to $1.50 this morning following the confirmation that Gillard would lead them to the election.
“There is no doubt Kevin Rudd was on the nose with the electorate and Gillard has the chance to improve Labor’s standing in the polls almost immediately.”
Sullivan said Labor had been as short as $1.15 for the election in November last year but had blown out dramatically as Rudd’s popularity dwindled.
“We hadn’t seen any money at all for Labor in the past couple of months and it was only when punters realised that Gillard would be leader that the money rolled in,” Sullivan said.
“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Labor shorten up even further particularly if Gillard enjoys a similar honeymoon period to Rudd or Tony Abbott.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.50
Coalition 2.50
“We took one bet of $10,000 and three of $5000 as Labor shortened from $1.70 to $1.55 late last night,” Sullivan said.
“We shortened Labor up further to $1.50 this morning following the confirmation that Gillard would lead them to the election.
“There is no doubt Kevin Rudd was on the nose with the electorate and Gillard has the chance to improve Labor’s standing in the polls almost immediately.”
Sullivan said Labor had been as short as $1.15 for the election in November last year but had blown out dramatically as Rudd’s popularity dwindled.
“We hadn’t seen any money at all for Labor in the past couple of months and it was only when punters realised that Gillard would be leader that the money rolled in,” Sullivan said.
“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Labor shorten up even further particularly if Gillard enjoys a similar honeymoon period to Rudd or Tony Abbott.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.50
Coalition 2.50
Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Coalition firms further as polls indicate victory
If you're keen on the Coalition to win the next election, and many now are, now would be the time to get on. Only one warning, however: Never underestimate the power of incumbency.
ELECTION: COALITION BACKED TO TAKE OUT NEARLY $100,000
A string of big bets has been placed on Tony Abbott to be Australia’s next Prime Minister with the Coalition shortening from $2.75 to $2.40 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
The Coalition has been backed to take out nearly $100,000 at Sportingbet in the past month and CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been next to no money for Kevin Rudd and Labor during the same period.
“We took one bet of $15,000 at $2.60 on the Coalition as well as multiple bets of $5000 and a huge amount of smaller bets,” Sullivan said.
“There is only one side punters want to back and at this rate it might not be too long before Tony Abbott is favourite to move into the Lodge.
“We can’t write a bet on Labor and they have drifted out to $1.55 after being as short as $1.15 in November last year.
“I can’t see us writing a decent bet on them until they start to turn things around.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.55
Coalition 2.40
ELECTION: COALITION BACKED TO TAKE OUT NEARLY $100,000
A string of big bets has been placed on Tony Abbott to be Australia’s next Prime Minister with the Coalition shortening from $2.75 to $2.40 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
The Coalition has been backed to take out nearly $100,000 at Sportingbet in the past month and CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been next to no money for Kevin Rudd and Labor during the same period.
“We took one bet of $15,000 at $2.60 on the Coalition as well as multiple bets of $5000 and a huge amount of smaller bets,” Sullivan said.
“There is only one side punters want to back and at this rate it might not be too long before Tony Abbott is favourite to move into the Lodge.
“We can’t write a bet on Labor and they have drifted out to $1.55 after being as short as $1.15 in November last year.
“I can’t see us writing a decent bet on them until they start to turn things around.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.55
Coalition 2.40
Monday, June 7, 2010
Federal election odds against Rudd
Incumbency can never be under-estimated, but people are clearly trying to send a message to the current government. If their tune doesn't change, the $2.60 looks very sweet.
RUDD SLIDE CONTINUES AS ABBOTT SHORTENS FURTHER
The Coalition has shortened into the tightest odds to win the 2010 election they have been since Kevin Rudd took power; now paying $2.60 down from $2.85 in Sportingbet Australia’s market.
This follows yet another terrible poll for Kevin Rudd’s Labor today, with a Herald/Nielsen poll delivering a 3-point kicking to the Government, who have seen their odds of re-election blow out from $1.40 to $1.47.
The poll showed that Tony Abbott’s Opposition is now leading the Government 53-47, which is enough to easily win government if the results were to be repeated on election day.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters have identified Kevin Rudd’s slumping personal vote as a problem for the government.
“Punters want no part of Rudd or Labor at the moment with 90% of the money in the last week being for the Coalition,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We shortened the Coalition from $2.85 to $2.70 on the back of the polls this morning but were immediately claimed with bets of $5000 and $3000 arriving for them,” he said.
“Labor’s odds have blown from $1.20 to $1.47 in recent months and I can’t see punters wanting to back them until Rudd’s appeal with the electorate improves.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.47
Coalition $2.60
RUDD SLIDE CONTINUES AS ABBOTT SHORTENS FURTHER
The Coalition has shortened into the tightest odds to win the 2010 election they have been since Kevin Rudd took power; now paying $2.60 down from $2.85 in Sportingbet Australia’s market.
This follows yet another terrible poll for Kevin Rudd’s Labor today, with a Herald/Nielsen poll delivering a 3-point kicking to the Government, who have seen their odds of re-election blow out from $1.40 to $1.47.
The poll showed that Tony Abbott’s Opposition is now leading the Government 53-47, which is enough to easily win government if the results were to be repeated on election day.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters have identified Kevin Rudd’s slumping personal vote as a problem for the government.
“Punters want no part of Rudd or Labor at the moment with 90% of the money in the last week being for the Coalition,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We shortened the Coalition from $2.85 to $2.70 on the back of the polls this morning but were immediately claimed with bets of $5000 and $3000 arriving for them,” he said.
“Labor’s odds have blown from $1.20 to $1.47 in recent months and I can’t see punters wanting to back them until Rudd’s appeal with the electorate improves.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.47
Coalition $2.60
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