Monday, March 22, 2010

Military Rose run fantastic

Military Rose has shot in more than 5 points with most bookies, and it was on the back of a very impressive run on Saturday.

But you'd swear the Golden Slipper was a two-horse race. If it was, it would seem almost certain that Military Rose has the measure of Solar Charged, and the odds would be warranted.

But now that the favourite has been backed so short, let's be sure to take a look at the other top chances in the field. Forget Star Witness, its run on Saturday was appalling.

Masquerader, however, had a fantastic run. And there are four or five other top chances likely to race this weekend.

My advice: Don't get caught up in the media hype, rather take a deep breath and look at each chance on its merit and form. Military Rose is a good horse and deserves to be the top chance, but 5 points is ridiculous.

MILITARY ROSE NEW SLIPPER FAVOURITE AS FANCY’S FLOP

Military Rose has stamped herself as a dominant Golden Slipper favourite after easily accounting for former favourite, Solar Charged, in the Riesling Stakes.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Magic Millions winning filly’s odds had been slashed too $3.40 and she looked a bullet proof type who would be very hard to beat in the Slipper.

“She is a clear favourite now with the second pick being Crystal Lily who isn’t even nominated yet,” Sullivan said.

“The fillies certainly look to have an edge this year with fairytale horse Chance Bye on the third line of betting.

“Hinchinbrook is the first of the colts and geldings at $9.00 alongside Todman winner Masquerader who is another not nominated at this stage.”

Sullivan said Solar Charged and Star Witness had been the big drifters in Slipper betting following disappointing runs.

“Solar Charged drifted from $4 to $11 and while you wouldn’t write her off, it is hard to see her turning the tables on Military Rose,” Sullivan said.

“Star Witness went from $6.50 to $17 and given he isn’t nominated, it would have to be unlikely for him to pay up now.”

GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Military Rose 3.40
Crystal Lily (nn) 5.00
Chance Bye 8.50
Hinchinbrook 9.00
Masquerader (nn) 9.00
Solar Charged 11.00
Decision Time (nn) 14.00
Beneteau 16.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Zutara 17.00
Star Witness (nn) 17.00
Psychologist 18.00
Shrapnel 23.00
Georgette Silk 23.00
Elimbari 31.00
Skilled 31.00
Divorces 31.00
Obsequious 31.00
Mafia Miss 35.00
Needs Further 41.00
Evidentia 41.00
My Amelia 41.00
Dove Lake 41.00
Brightexpectations 41.00
Skorost 41.00
More Strawberries 41.00
Legalistic 51.00
Maules Creek 51.00
Legally 51.00
Eucumbene 51.00
Hautto 51.00
Blue Lotus 51.00
Pressday 51.00
Military Blonde 51.00
Snap Dragons 51.00
Toorak Toff (nn) 51.00

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