We can dig deep into analysis of this game, but it’s a case of the under-performing knowns (Carlton) up against the under-performing unknowns (Richmond).
That might at first sound like some sort of cellar science experiment, but the theory is really simple. Carlton has a solid lineup which should now be consolidating a place in the finals.
But it look seriously like 2010 will be another season teetering on the edge of the top 8. It might be that if they win tonight, they’ll sneak into the finals. If they lose, after just one round, their season is almost gone.
Waite, Scotland, Thornton, Murphy, Simpson, McLean, Kreuzer, O’Hailpin. This list is an accomplished one and should pull the Blues through the game without the services of star performer Chris Judd. The absence of Judd probably accounts for the generous $1.45 being paid by some bookmakers.
Richmond on the other hand has a list still unknown to most AFL watchers. All eyes will be on star draft pick Dustin Martin. Mitchell Farmer is another one. Ben Cousins is always an unknown and given he’s been suffering flu symptoms, that just increases the mystery. Nahas, Morton, and others have had games and performed okay in the big-stage environment. But will they stand up enough to win games?
The bottom line here: Expect a bold showing from the Tigers, but Carlton – even without Judd, should be able to find enough cohesion to take the points, by 20.
Fantasy team bargain: Watch for Mitch Robinson to pick up a mountain of possession, drawing from last year’s experience to become a key player in the Blues lineup.
Thursday, March 25, 2010
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