Sorry folks, I've been away for the last week, so there's a stack of media statements from bookies which I'm about to post on the site. After watching the Golden Globes on Monday, it seems there is some credence to this one.
It looks to be one of the most open contests for "best film" at this year's Academy Awards we've had for a long while. This means there could be some value.
It will take some courage, however, to run with an outsider. The best value I can see is "Precious" at 17-1 given that it seems to have all the politically correct attributes which the academy likes, but "Up in the air" could be a strong showing.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
WE BET AVATAR DOESN'T WIN
Sportingbet Australia bookmakers are prepared to risk boom movie Avatar repeating it’s Golden Globe success at March’s Academy Awards and are betting over the odds at $1.80.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Avatar has history against it winning an Oscar.
“Avatar is a serious contender after taking out its category at the Golden Globes,” said Sullivan.
“But to put things into perspective The Hangover also won its category and would be 500/1 to win a Best Picture Oscar.
“ Add to that the fact that no Science Fiction film, including ET, has ever taken out an Oscar for Best Picture and I just don’t think Avatar should be odds on.”
Sullivan rates second favourite The Hurt Locker ($2.75) a massive chance and also gives Up In The Air ($3.50) and roughie Inglorious Basterds ($13.00) solid hopes of upsetting the favourite.
ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST PICTURE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Avatar 1.80
The Hurt Locker 2.75
Up In The Air 3.50
Inglorious Basterds 13.00
A Serious Man 13.00
Precious 17.00
Nine 21.00
An Education 21.00
Julie & Julia 31.00
The White Ribbon 31.00
Invictus 34.00
Up 41.00
The Road 41.00
The Last Station 41.00
The Lovely Bones 51.00
The Messenger 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
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