Thursday, October 1, 2009

How will Fevola affect the markets?

It will be interesting to see how the trade of Brendon Fevola affects the long-term AFL betting markets. Just like the stock market, insider trading knowledge about next week's trading period would be handy.

St Kilda and Geelong, as traditionally happens after a grand final, will no doubt be sitting pretty as favourites to repeat the dose in 2010, both at $4.25.

But you can be sure that the team which secures big Fev will drop a couple of points. If it's the Western Bulldogs, as many presume, then they're $7 will probably come in to a similar line as the favourites.

If it's Collingwood, $14 will seem like strawberry jam to punters. Expect that to halve if the Pies can convince the bad boy to join the list of party animals in the black and white.

Sydney at $41 would also shorten, but their sights seem set on Josh Kennedy.

Others in the futures market are Adelaide ($9), Hawthorn ($10), Carlton ($15), Brisbane ($23), Essendon ($26), Port Adelaide ($41), West Coast ($41), Fremantle ($51), Richmond ($51), North Melbourne ($61) and Melbourne ($81).

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