Parramatta will be specials this weekend against an under-manned Manly outfit. The Eels are one of the few sides who will be able to match it with the Manly forwards, but their backline spearheaded by Hayne at fullback and Tahu in the centres look likely to be too strong.
I spoke to Timana Tahu on Monday and he said the only thing which had changed in league while he'd been away was the intensity around the rucks. He said gang tackling was more prominent which meant it was harder to create space. With that knowledge under his belt, the Eels might do what other sides are now doing by throwing the ball further into space to open up their talented backline.
While talking to Tahu, at the forefront of his mind was an Origin guernsey, so if you think he'll be taking the foot off the pedal, you'd be horribly wrong. Let's pen in the Eels as specials this weekend, and $1.40 is fair odds in the early market.
Meanwhile, here's the latest from Sportingbet on that game:
MANLY BLOW OUT THE GATE AS STEWART'S INJURY SOURS SEASON
Manly have blown out the gate in premiership betting following the news that Brett Stewart’s injury will keep him out of action for most of the season.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Sea Eagles had blown from $13 last week to $21 and now looked a real chance of missing the eight.
“We couldn’t find a punter to back Manly before Stewart’s injury and now not even the most ardent Sea Eagles fan could back them,” Sullivan said.
“They showed last year they couldn’t win without Stewart and that could be exacerbated by the absence of an experienced half following Matt Orford’s departure.
“Manly had been as short as $7.00 in premiership markets before Orford left and this is as big a drift you will see in premiership markets after just one round.”
Sportingbet Australia have Manly $2.90 outsiders for their clash with the Eels at Parramatta Stadium on Sunday.
PARRAMATTA V MANLY
Sportingbet Australia Market
Parramatta 1.40
Manly 2.90
NRL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Melbourne Storm 6.50
Parramatta Eels 6.50
St George Dragons 7.50
Canterbury Bulldogs 8.00
Gold Coast Titans 11.00
Wests Tigers 11.00
Penrith Panthers 15.00
South Sydney Rabbitohs 15.00
Brisbane Broncos 17.00
Sydney Roosters 17.00
Manly Sea Eagles 21.00
North Qld Cowboys 23.00
New Zealand Warriors 34.00
Newcastle Knights 34.00
Canberra Raiders 51.00
Cronulla Sharks 51.00
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
Tiger Woods favourite for Masters
Bookies have been quick this morning to place Tiger Woods at the top of their lines for the Masters. They would have lost a heap to those willing to back that Woods would return for the event. Now, it seems, they'll be willing to take him on against a strong field.
Woods will no doubt be keen to get back on the golf course, and if he can make the cut, he's as good a chance as any to take out the tournament. Anybody who's played much sport will dismiss any theory that he might be a bit rusty. All the psychology will be firmly in his favour.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
GOLF: TIGER INSTALLED FAVOURITE FOR US MASTERS
Tiger Woods has been instantly installed as favourite for the US Masters after announcing he would return to golf at Augusta in April.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Woods’ dominance over the past decade meant he had to be favourite despite being out of the game for months.
“We are posting Tiger as a $4.50 favourite for the Masters and I am sure punters will be keen to back him,” Sullivan said.
“Woods was a $3.00 favourite for last year’s Masters so the time out has had an effect on his price.
“Tiger has the biggest following of any sportsmen among punters because he has looked after them so many times in the past and I am sure they will back him here.
“There is no doubt he will start the tournament as favourite and it would be a brave man to say he couldn’t win.”
Woods will no doubt be keen to get back on the golf course, and if he can make the cut, he's as good a chance as any to take out the tournament. Anybody who's played much sport will dismiss any theory that he might be a bit rusty. All the psychology will be firmly in his favour.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
GOLF: TIGER INSTALLED FAVOURITE FOR US MASTERS
Tiger Woods has been instantly installed as favourite for the US Masters after announcing he would return to golf at Augusta in April.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Woods’ dominance over the past decade meant he had to be favourite despite being out of the game for months.
“We are posting Tiger as a $4.50 favourite for the Masters and I am sure punters will be keen to back him,” Sullivan said.
“Woods was a $3.00 favourite for last year’s Masters so the time out has had an effect on his price.
“Tiger has the biggest following of any sportsmen among punters because he has looked after them so many times in the past and I am sure they will back him here.
“There is no doubt he will start the tournament as favourite and it would be a brave man to say he couldn’t win.”
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Golden Slipper attracts Star Witness
There has been a lot of publicity and talk about Star Witness in the media lately. The horse cost $150,000 and is now worth in excess of $6 million - a good investment by any standards.
But it is open to debate whether the publicity is leading to the betting plunge, or actual ability of the horse. No doubt it is a quality nag. History will tell whether it's worth following the punters though.
BIG SLIPPER PLUNGE ON STAR WITNESS
Blue Diamond winner Star Witness has been the subject of a betting plunge shortening from $10 to $6.50 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he had taken bets to take out over $250,000 on the colt and he was now his worst result for the Slipper.
“We took two bets of $90,000 to $10,000 and we took another bet of $5000 as the price tumbled in as well,” Sullivan said.
“He has clearly been the best backed runner since connections changed their mind about coming to Sydney.
“His Blue Diamond win was outstanding and with the pace sure to be on in the Slipper, his pattern of sitting off the speed should suit.”
Sullivan said punters were looking away from the Sydney form at the moment.
“We have been best price Beneteau and Chance Bye who look to have the some of the best Sydney form away from Solar Charged and we can’t find a punter to back them.
“Magic Millions winner Military Rose has been the other runner they have come for in the last week with bets to take out over $50,000 arriving for her.”
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 4.20
Star Witness (nn) 6.50
Crystal Lily (nn) 7.50
Military Rose 11.00
Chance Bye 13.00
Elimbari 13.00
Beneteau 13.00
Hinchinbrook 13.00
Zutara 13.00
Ambers Waltz 15.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Psychologist 17.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
My Amelia 23.00
Shrapnel 23.00
Divorces 26.00
Skilled 31.00
Brightexpectations 31.00
Hiatus 35.00
Maules Creek 35.00
Mafia Miss 35.00
Evidentia 35.00
Intertidal 35.00
But it is open to debate whether the publicity is leading to the betting plunge, or actual ability of the horse. No doubt it is a quality nag. History will tell whether it's worth following the punters though.
BIG SLIPPER PLUNGE ON STAR WITNESS
Blue Diamond winner Star Witness has been the subject of a betting plunge shortening from $10 to $6.50 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said he had taken bets to take out over $250,000 on the colt and he was now his worst result for the Slipper.
“We took two bets of $90,000 to $10,000 and we took another bet of $5000 as the price tumbled in as well,” Sullivan said.
“He has clearly been the best backed runner since connections changed their mind about coming to Sydney.
“His Blue Diamond win was outstanding and with the pace sure to be on in the Slipper, his pattern of sitting off the speed should suit.”
Sullivan said punters were looking away from the Sydney form at the moment.
“We have been best price Beneteau and Chance Bye who look to have the some of the best Sydney form away from Solar Charged and we can’t find a punter to back them.
“Magic Millions winner Military Rose has been the other runner they have come for in the last week with bets to take out over $50,000 arriving for her.”
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 4.20
Star Witness (nn) 6.50
Crystal Lily (nn) 7.50
Military Rose 11.00
Chance Bye 13.00
Elimbari 13.00
Beneteau 13.00
Hinchinbrook 13.00
Zutara 13.00
Ambers Waltz 15.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Psychologist 17.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
My Amelia 23.00
Shrapnel 23.00
Divorces 26.00
Skilled 31.00
Brightexpectations 31.00
Hiatus 35.00
Maules Creek 35.00
Mafia Miss 35.00
Evidentia 35.00
Intertidal 35.00
Friday, March 12, 2010
Australia Cup horse racing update
We expect a bold showing from Zipping ... just when some might least expect it.
ZARITA BACKED FOR AUSTRALIAN CUP
Sportingbet Australia punters are looking past the favourites in the Australian Cup with the best early money coming for Pat Hyland’s stable star Zarita.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said bets on Zarita included one of $2000 each way at $15 while Heart Of Dreams was proving hard to lay.
“We’ve had a little bit of money for Shocking but punters just aren’t interested in the favourite at this stage.”
“But punters definitely think Zarita can repeat her Sunline Stakes win and have been keen to snap up the $15 about her.”
AUSTRALIAN CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Heart Of Dreams 6.00
Zipping 7.00
Shocking 8.00
Sirmione 8.00
Miss Maren 9.00
Barbaricus 10.00
Extra Zero 13.00
Zagreb 15.00
Zarita 15.00
Littorio 16.00
Master O’Reilly 17.00
Tobique 21.00
Divine Rebel 41.00
Growl 51.00
Moatize 61.00
ZARITA BACKED FOR AUSTRALIAN CUP
Sportingbet Australia punters are looking past the favourites in the Australian Cup with the best early money coming for Pat Hyland’s stable star Zarita.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said bets on Zarita included one of $2000 each way at $15 while Heart Of Dreams was proving hard to lay.
“We’ve had a little bit of money for Shocking but punters just aren’t interested in the favourite at this stage.”
“But punters definitely think Zarita can repeat her Sunline Stakes win and have been keen to snap up the $15 about her.”
AUSTRALIAN CUP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Heart Of Dreams 6.00
Zipping 7.00
Shocking 8.00
Sirmione 8.00
Miss Maren 9.00
Barbaricus 10.00
Extra Zero 13.00
Zagreb 15.00
Zarita 15.00
Littorio 16.00
Master O’Reilly 17.00
Tobique 21.00
Divine Rebel 41.00
Growl 51.00
Moatize 61.00
Clarke to be next Australian cricket captain
This is a no-brainer. Of course Michael Clarke will succeed Ricky Ponting, unless he's injured in the meantime. It's as solid an investment as there is at $1.25 - that is, if you can wait long enough for Ricky Ponting to retire in order to collect your dividend.
Credit to Shane Watson for his recent performances with bat and ball, but he's got about as much chance of becoming Australian test captain as my mother.
WHO WILL BE AUSTRALIA’S NEXT TEST CAPTAIN?
Sportingbet Australia has opened a market on who will be succeed Ricky Ponting as Test captain following the controversy over Michael Clarke’s departure from the tour of New Zealand.
Despite the controversy surrounding Clarke, he has been installed $1.25 favourite to take over from Ponting.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there appeared to be a lack of serious contenders to the incumbent vice-captain.
“Michael Clarke would have been $1.01 had we put this market up a few weeks ago and while he still looks the next captain, he isn’t the certainty he once was,” Sullivan said.
“Some have suggested Cameron White but, while he has outstanding leadership credentials, the fact remains he appears to be behind Steve Smith for a spot in the side.
“Simon Katich and Michael Hussey have longevity issues while there’d have to be some doubt about the suitability of both Brad Haddin or Shane Watson for the role when they don’t even captain their state sides.
“Michael Clarke remains favourite essentially by default in the current side and unless Ponting lasts another four or five years, he looks the only choice.”
Sullivan revealed there had been some backing for Shane Watson with his odds shortening from $41.00 to $31.00 in the last twenty-four hours.
NEXT AUSTRALIAN TEST CAPTAIN
Sportingbet Australia Market
Michael Clarke 1.25
Michael Hussey 6.00
Cameron White 7.00
Simon Katich 9.00
Brad Haddin 12.00
Shane Watson 31.00
Marcus North 67.00
George Bailey 101.00
Any Other 21.00
Credit to Shane Watson for his recent performances with bat and ball, but he's got about as much chance of becoming Australian test captain as my mother.
WHO WILL BE AUSTRALIA’S NEXT TEST CAPTAIN?
Sportingbet Australia has opened a market on who will be succeed Ricky Ponting as Test captain following the controversy over Michael Clarke’s departure from the tour of New Zealand.
Despite the controversy surrounding Clarke, he has been installed $1.25 favourite to take over from Ponting.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said there appeared to be a lack of serious contenders to the incumbent vice-captain.
“Michael Clarke would have been $1.01 had we put this market up a few weeks ago and while he still looks the next captain, he isn’t the certainty he once was,” Sullivan said.
“Some have suggested Cameron White but, while he has outstanding leadership credentials, the fact remains he appears to be behind Steve Smith for a spot in the side.
“Simon Katich and Michael Hussey have longevity issues while there’d have to be some doubt about the suitability of both Brad Haddin or Shane Watson for the role when they don’t even captain their state sides.
“Michael Clarke remains favourite essentially by default in the current side and unless Ponting lasts another four or five years, he looks the only choice.”
Sullivan revealed there had been some backing for Shane Watson with his odds shortening from $41.00 to $31.00 in the last twenty-four hours.
NEXT AUSTRALIAN TEST CAPTAIN
Sportingbet Australia Market
Michael Clarke 1.25
Michael Hussey 6.00
Cameron White 7.00
Simon Katich 9.00
Brad Haddin 12.00
Shane Watson 31.00
Marcus North 67.00
George Bailey 101.00
Any Other 21.00
So You Think You Can Dance
Public vote tends to be rather fickle, particularly early in the competition. If you can identify some good value among the outsiders, now is the time to get on.
Essentially, you're looking for someone who could make an impression three or four weeks out from the final. Easier said than done, I know!
ROBBIE IS THE ONLY DANCER PUNTERS WANT
After weeks of chopping and changing favourites at Sportingbet Australia the SYTYCD market has finally sorted itself out with Sydney contemporary dancer Robbie a dominant $2.50 favourite.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Robbie was the only dancer punters wanted to be on.
“Robbie started out as a $13.00 chance in the competition with several punters smart enough to take those odds,” said Sullivan.
“His confidence has grown since he’s been partnered with Ivy and punters have backed him into his current price with several on to win $2000.”
Another Sydney dancer in Hip Hopper Jess S is second favourite at $8.00 ahead of Melbourne Ballroom dancer Kieran at $9.00.
SYTYCD - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Robbie 2.50
Jess.S 8.00
Kieran 9.00
Nick 10.00
Heath 10.00
Ivy 11.00
Renee 12.00
Jessica.P 14.00
Carly 14.00
Jessie H 17.00
Matt 21.00
Philipe 41.00
Essentially, you're looking for someone who could make an impression three or four weeks out from the final. Easier said than done, I know!
ROBBIE IS THE ONLY DANCER PUNTERS WANT
After weeks of chopping and changing favourites at Sportingbet Australia the SYTYCD market has finally sorted itself out with Sydney contemporary dancer Robbie a dominant $2.50 favourite.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Robbie was the only dancer punters wanted to be on.
“Robbie started out as a $13.00 chance in the competition with several punters smart enough to take those odds,” said Sullivan.
“His confidence has grown since he’s been partnered with Ivy and punters have backed him into his current price with several on to win $2000.”
Another Sydney dancer in Hip Hopper Jess S is second favourite at $8.00 ahead of Melbourne Ballroom dancer Kieran at $9.00.
SYTYCD - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Robbie 2.50
Jess.S 8.00
Kieran 9.00
Nick 10.00
Heath 10.00
Ivy 11.00
Renee 12.00
Jessica.P 14.00
Carly 14.00
Jessie H 17.00
Matt 21.00
Philipe 41.00
Randwick Guineas update
Update from the bookmakers:
GUINEAS BACKING FOR SHOOT OUT AND MONTON
Sportingbet Australia punters are banking on the Hobartville Stakes quinella being repeated in tomorrow’s Randwick Guineas with strong money coming for Shoot Out and Monton.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Shoot Out’s odds had been trimmed from $4.00 to $3.50 with Monton’s quote almost halved from $17 to $9.
“The money says these two will again be fighting out a feature race,” said Sullivan.
“All the early money was for Shoot Out before punters stepped in to Monton in a big way.
“They snapped up the $17, came again at $13 and are still not afraid to take the $9 on offer now.”
RANDWICK GUINEAS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Shoot Out 3.50
Hanks 8.00
Monton 9.00
Sir Halowell 9.50
Viking Legend 10.00
Kidnapped 11.00
Captain Sonador 12.00
Zabrasive 15.00
Indian Ocean 21.00
Cosmocrat 21.00
More Than Great 26.00
Leicester Square 26.00
Run For Naara 26.00
Delago Bolt 41.00
Gathering 91.00
Saint Encosta 126.00
GUINEAS BACKING FOR SHOOT OUT AND MONTON
Sportingbet Australia punters are banking on the Hobartville Stakes quinella being repeated in tomorrow’s Randwick Guineas with strong money coming for Shoot Out and Monton.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Shoot Out’s odds had been trimmed from $4.00 to $3.50 with Monton’s quote almost halved from $17 to $9.
“The money says these two will again be fighting out a feature race,” said Sullivan.
“All the early money was for Shoot Out before punters stepped in to Monton in a big way.
“They snapped up the $17, came again at $13 and are still not afraid to take the $9 on offer now.”
RANDWICK GUINEAS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Shoot Out 3.50
Hanks 8.00
Monton 9.00
Sir Halowell 9.50
Viking Legend 10.00
Kidnapped 11.00
Captain Sonador 12.00
Zabrasive 15.00
Indian Ocean 21.00
Cosmocrat 21.00
More Than Great 26.00
Leicester Square 26.00
Run For Naara 26.00
Delago Bolt 41.00
Gathering 91.00
Saint Encosta 126.00
Thursday, March 11, 2010
Big bets on Solar Charged into Typhoon Tracy
I love stories about big bets:
PUNTER ON TO WIN $360,000 ON BOOM FILLY DOUBLE
One Sportingbet Australia punter stands to win himself $360,000 after outlaying $10,000 on a feature double featuring the two boom females of Australian racing .
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the punter had backed Solar Charged to win the Golden Slipper and Typhoon Tracy to salute in the Doncaster.
“It’s a good bet and I can think of worse horses that you’d want to be on in these races,” said Sullivan.
“Solar Charged brained some other good fillies in the Kindergarten and Typhoon Tracy has dominated in Melbourne and showed the mile is no problem.
“With Solar Charged now a $4.20 favourite for the Slipper and Typhoon Tracy at $7.00 for the Doncaster this punter has got himself some pretty good value.”
Sullivan said Solar Charged continued to be well backed in Golden Slipper betting with punters keen to get on at the $4.20.
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 4.20
Star Witness (nn) 7.00
Beneteau 8.00
Chance Bye 10.00
Military Rose 10.00
Zutara 11.00
Elimbari 13.00
Ambers Waltz 14.00
Crystal Lily (nn) 15.00
Psychologist 17.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Divorces 18.00
Hinchinbrook 19.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
My Amelia 21.00
Others 23.00 Plus
PUNTER ON TO WIN $360,000 ON BOOM FILLY DOUBLE
One Sportingbet Australia punter stands to win himself $360,000 after outlaying $10,000 on a feature double featuring the two boom females of Australian racing .
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the punter had backed Solar Charged to win the Golden Slipper and Typhoon Tracy to salute in the Doncaster.
“It’s a good bet and I can think of worse horses that you’d want to be on in these races,” said Sullivan.
“Solar Charged brained some other good fillies in the Kindergarten and Typhoon Tracy has dominated in Melbourne and showed the mile is no problem.
“With Solar Charged now a $4.20 favourite for the Slipper and Typhoon Tracy at $7.00 for the Doncaster this punter has got himself some pretty good value.”
Sullivan said Solar Charged continued to be well backed in Golden Slipper betting with punters keen to get on at the $4.20.
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 4.20
Star Witness (nn) 7.00
Beneteau 8.00
Chance Bye 10.00
Military Rose 10.00
Zutara 11.00
Elimbari 13.00
Ambers Waltz 14.00
Crystal Lily (nn) 15.00
Psychologist 17.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Divorces 18.00
Hinchinbrook 19.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
My Amelia 21.00
Others 23.00 Plus
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
South Australian election result
It is very rare that punters get elections wrong. They're often a good way of cashing up. Bet on the upset if you dare, but we believe that to be unwise.
Here's the latest from the bookies on the South Australian election:
PUNTERS BACK REDMOND TO BEAT RANN
Isobel Redmond and the Liberals are certainly attracting the support of punters with a series of big bets seeing their South Australian state election odds slashed from $5.00 to $2.90 at Sportingbet Australia.
The Liberals were rank outsiders and given little chance by bookmakers a couple of months ago but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the tide had certainly turned and 95% of bets in the past week had been for the Liberals.
“Before the Mike Rann affair story broke, Labor looked a certainty to be returned in South Australia but he now faces a real fight with polls showing Isobel Redmond’s numbers continuing to improve,” Sullivan said.
“Labor still remain $1.40 favourites but we haven’t written a bet on them this week while there has been a number of big bets placed on the opposition.
“The party that firms in the betting market in the last couple of weeks of the campaign have a tremendous record of winning and I would expect to see the Liberals to continue to shorten.”
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.40
Liberals 2.90
Here's the latest from the bookies on the South Australian election:
PUNTERS BACK REDMOND TO BEAT RANN
Isobel Redmond and the Liberals are certainly attracting the support of punters with a series of big bets seeing their South Australian state election odds slashed from $5.00 to $2.90 at Sportingbet Australia.
The Liberals were rank outsiders and given little chance by bookmakers a couple of months ago but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the tide had certainly turned and 95% of bets in the past week had been for the Liberals.
“Before the Mike Rann affair story broke, Labor looked a certainty to be returned in South Australia but he now faces a real fight with polls showing Isobel Redmond’s numbers continuing to improve,” Sullivan said.
“Labor still remain $1.40 favourites but we haven’t written a bet on them this week while there has been a number of big bets placed on the opposition.
“The party that firms in the betting market in the last couple of weeks of the campaign have a tremendous record of winning and I would expect to see the Liberals to continue to shorten.”
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN STATE ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor 1.40
Liberals 2.90
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
Western Bulldogs not worth $50,000
This one's a brave bet, given that the Doggies looked quite vulnerable on their way to the pre-season final. Yes, winning form is promising, but do they have what it takes to carry through the entire season?
People at times forget St Kilda and Geelong are still in the running, and Collingwood's midfield is every bit as good as the Dogs this year. Barry Hall could make a difference, but he'll have to kick 80-100 goals for the season to make a true impact in my book.
Here's the latest from sportingbet:
PUNTER BACKS BULLDOG FLAG TO WIN $275,000
The Western Bulldogs may have only won one premiership in eighty-five years of AFL/VFL but one Sportingbet Australia punter is confident that Barry Hall can help provide them with a second after outlaying $50,000 on them at $6.50.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said it was a massive vote of confidence in the Cinderella team.
“We’ve got used to writing these kind of bets on the likes of Geelong, St Kilda and Hawthorn in the last few seasons but $275,000 to $50,000 is by far the biggest flag bet we’ve ever written on the Doggies,” said Sullivan.
“While they’ve fallen short at the penultimate hurdle each of the last two years punters are certainly in agreement with Jason Akermanis that 2010 is their best chance of winning the big one.
“While most of Australia wouldn’t begrudge a smiling Brad Johnson holding the premiership cup aloft it’s looking like costing Sportingbet Australia plenty.”
The Bulldogs are now into $5.50 with last year’s Grand Finalists Geelong and St Kilda heading betting at $4.00 and $4.75 respectively.
2010 AFL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
St Kilda 4.00
Geelong 4.75
Western Bulldogs 5.50
Adelaide 9.00
Hawthorn 9.00
Collingwood 11.00
Brisbane 13.00
Carlton 26.00
Essendon 41.00
Sydney 51.00
Port Adelaide 67.00
West Coast 67.00
Fremantle 81.00
North Melbourne 101.00
Melbourne 126.00
Richmond 151.00
People at times forget St Kilda and Geelong are still in the running, and Collingwood's midfield is every bit as good as the Dogs this year. Barry Hall could make a difference, but he'll have to kick 80-100 goals for the season to make a true impact in my book.
Here's the latest from sportingbet:
PUNTER BACKS BULLDOG FLAG TO WIN $275,000
The Western Bulldogs may have only won one premiership in eighty-five years of AFL/VFL but one Sportingbet Australia punter is confident that Barry Hall can help provide them with a second after outlaying $50,000 on them at $6.50.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said it was a massive vote of confidence in the Cinderella team.
“We’ve got used to writing these kind of bets on the likes of Geelong, St Kilda and Hawthorn in the last few seasons but $275,000 to $50,000 is by far the biggest flag bet we’ve ever written on the Doggies,” said Sullivan.
“While they’ve fallen short at the penultimate hurdle each of the last two years punters are certainly in agreement with Jason Akermanis that 2010 is their best chance of winning the big one.
“While most of Australia wouldn’t begrudge a smiling Brad Johnson holding the premiership cup aloft it’s looking like costing Sportingbet Australia plenty.”
The Bulldogs are now into $5.50 with last year’s Grand Finalists Geelong and St Kilda heading betting at $4.00 and $4.75 respectively.
2010 AFL PREMIERSHIP
Sportingbet Australia Market
St Kilda 4.00
Geelong 4.75
Western Bulldogs 5.50
Adelaide 9.00
Hawthorn 9.00
Collingwood 11.00
Brisbane 13.00
Carlton 26.00
Essendon 41.00
Sydney 51.00
Port Adelaide 67.00
West Coast 67.00
Fremantle 81.00
North Melbourne 101.00
Melbourne 126.00
Richmond 151.00
Saturday, March 6, 2010
The Hurt Locker to win Oscars
Bookmakers are seeing a plunge for The Hurt Locker leading into the Academy Awards, and with good reason.
As good as Avatar might have been - and it will go down in history alongside the likes of Star Wars - it's not the type of film usually adopted by the Academy suits. They seem to like it real, and that's what punters are banking on.
But while the last round of awards saw The Hurt Locker take ascendency, don't forget the Golden Globes as a key indicator, where Avatar was the winner.
Here at Aussiepunt, we're tipping Avatar to walk away with three gongs.
Meanwhile, here's Sportingbet's take:
PUNTERS DESERT AVATAR
Sportingbet Australia punters have shunned box office smash Avatar ahead of Monday morning’s (Australian Time) Academy Awards ceremony.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the James Cameron blockbuster had drifted from $1.66 to $2.25 over the past two weeks.
“Avatar had all the momentum two weeks ago with us taking several four figure bets at the $1.66,” said Sullivan.
“But with The Hurt Locker picking up the last couple of lead in awards the betting has been turned on its head.”
Sullivan said The Hurt Locker had firmed from $2.25 to $1.75 in the same period with some big bets being written.
“It’s been all The Hurt Locker recently with bets including one of $3000 at $1.75,” Sullivan said.”
“Despite enjoying only moderate success at the box office this film has all the momentum in the race for Best Picture.”
Sportingbet Australia is also offering betting on how many Oscars Avatar picks up with five the favourite at $3.00.
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST PICTURE
Sportingbet Australia Market
The Hurt Locker 1.75
Avatar 2.25
Inglorious Basterds 15.00
Up In The Air 41.00
Up 41.00
Precious 67.00
The Blind Side 101.00
An Education 151.00
District 9 151.00
A Serious Man 201.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – HOW MANY OSCARS FOR AVATAR?
Sportingbet Australia Market
Five 3.00
Six 4.25
Four 4.50
Three 5.50
Seven 6.50
Eight 9.00
Two 12.00
Nine 26.00
One 51.00
None 101.00
As good as Avatar might have been - and it will go down in history alongside the likes of Star Wars - it's not the type of film usually adopted by the Academy suits. They seem to like it real, and that's what punters are banking on.
But while the last round of awards saw The Hurt Locker take ascendency, don't forget the Golden Globes as a key indicator, where Avatar was the winner.
Here at Aussiepunt, we're tipping Avatar to walk away with three gongs.
Meanwhile, here's Sportingbet's take:
PUNTERS DESERT AVATAR
Sportingbet Australia punters have shunned box office smash Avatar ahead of Monday morning’s (Australian Time) Academy Awards ceremony.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the James Cameron blockbuster had drifted from $1.66 to $2.25 over the past two weeks.
“Avatar had all the momentum two weeks ago with us taking several four figure bets at the $1.66,” said Sullivan.
“But with The Hurt Locker picking up the last couple of lead in awards the betting has been turned on its head.”
Sullivan said The Hurt Locker had firmed from $2.25 to $1.75 in the same period with some big bets being written.
“It’s been all The Hurt Locker recently with bets including one of $3000 at $1.75,” Sullivan said.”
“Despite enjoying only moderate success at the box office this film has all the momentum in the race for Best Picture.”
Sportingbet Australia is also offering betting on how many Oscars Avatar picks up with five the favourite at $3.00.
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST PICTURE
Sportingbet Australia Market
The Hurt Locker 1.75
Avatar 2.25
Inglorious Basterds 15.00
Up In The Air 41.00
Up 41.00
Precious 67.00
The Blind Side 101.00
An Education 151.00
District 9 151.00
A Serious Man 201.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – HOW MANY OSCARS FOR AVATAR?
Sportingbet Australia Market
Five 3.00
Six 4.25
Four 4.50
Three 5.50
Seven 6.50
Eight 9.00
Two 12.00
Nine 26.00
One 51.00
None 101.00
Friday, March 5, 2010
Golden slipper betting
Sportingbet has taken some big bets on Solar Charged, but we wouldn't be jumping on the bandwagon quite yet.
John O'Shea seems to have a happy knack of getting horses up for this time of year, but let's just wait to see how the horse fares in the Kindergarten Stakes before making a solid call.
SOLID BACKING FOR SOLAR CHARGED
The John O’Shea trained Solar Charged has been heavily backed for the Golden Slipper at Sportingbet Australia ahead of return to racing in the Kindergarten Stakes on Saturday.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Solar Charged was now a clear Golden Slipper favourite after another two big bets arrived for her this week.
“She has been backed from $8.50 to $7.00 this week after we took bets to win $30,000 and another to win $25,000,” Sullivan said.
“We all saw how impressive she was in the trial and she should be very hard to beat in the Kindergarten on Saturday.”
Solar Charged is currently a $1.85 at Sportingbet for the Kindergarten ahead of impressive last start winners Elimbari and Georgette Silk at $5.00.
“The trial was very impressive but a few of the others have won well already this preparation and I will definitely be looking to lay here at $1.85,” Sullivan said.
KINDERGARTEN STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 1.85
Elimbari 5.00
Georgette Silk 5.00
Agister 14.00
Triple Crown 15.00
Top Drop 17.00
Gold Arena 26.00
Manahara 26.00
Howdiddydoit 61.00
Hour Of Peril 126.00
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 7.00
Chance Bye 8.00
Beneteau 9.00
Military Rose 12.00
Zutara 12.00
Psychologist 15.00
Ambers Waltz 15.00
Elimbari 16.00
Hinchinbrook 17.00
Divorces 18.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
Shaaheq 21.00
My Amelia 21.00
Run For Wilson 23.00
Maules Creek 26.00
Others 35.00 Plus
John O'Shea seems to have a happy knack of getting horses up for this time of year, but let's just wait to see how the horse fares in the Kindergarten Stakes before making a solid call.
SOLID BACKING FOR SOLAR CHARGED
The John O’Shea trained Solar Charged has been heavily backed for the Golden Slipper at Sportingbet Australia ahead of return to racing in the Kindergarten Stakes on Saturday.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Solar Charged was now a clear Golden Slipper favourite after another two big bets arrived for her this week.
“She has been backed from $8.50 to $7.00 this week after we took bets to win $30,000 and another to win $25,000,” Sullivan said.
“We all saw how impressive she was in the trial and she should be very hard to beat in the Kindergarten on Saturday.”
Solar Charged is currently a $1.85 at Sportingbet for the Kindergarten ahead of impressive last start winners Elimbari and Georgette Silk at $5.00.
“The trial was very impressive but a few of the others have won well already this preparation and I will definitely be looking to lay here at $1.85,” Sullivan said.
KINDERGARTEN STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 1.85
Elimbari 5.00
Georgette Silk 5.00
Agister 14.00
Triple Crown 15.00
Top Drop 17.00
Gold Arena 26.00
Manahara 26.00
Howdiddydoit 61.00
Hour Of Peril 126.00
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Solar Charged 7.00
Chance Bye 8.00
Beneteau 9.00
Military Rose 12.00
Zutara 12.00
Psychologist 15.00
Ambers Waltz 15.00
Elimbari 16.00
Hinchinbrook 17.00
Divorces 18.00
Georgette Silk 20.00
Shaaheq 21.00
My Amelia 21.00
Run For Wilson 23.00
Maules Creek 26.00
Others 35.00 Plus
So You Think You Can Dance elimination shock
If you can pick the winner of this one, there's some value to be had!
SHOCK ELIMINATIONS CAUSE MARKET RESHUFFLE
The shock elimination of one time favourite Grace and Doug from So You Think You Can Dance has caused a market reshuffle at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said this year’s voting was proving tough for both punters and bookies.
“We probably would have bet 200/1 if you’d wanted to back the combinations that landed in the bottom three on Thursday evening,” said Sullivan.
“We were shocked about all of them with the possible exception of Doug and Jess and so were our punters who had heavily backed Don and Issi to get the chop.”
NSW contemporary dancer Robbie heads the market at $6.50.
SYTYCD - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Robbie 6.50
Heath 8.00
Nick 8.50
Renee 9.00
Keiran 9.00
Jess.S 10.00
Ivy 12.00
Carly 12.00
Jessica.P 14.00
Jessie H 17.00
Matt 21.00
Don 26.00
Philipe 34.00
Issi 34.00
SHOCK ELIMINATIONS CAUSE MARKET RESHUFFLE
The shock elimination of one time favourite Grace and Doug from So You Think You Can Dance has caused a market reshuffle at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said this year’s voting was proving tough for both punters and bookies.
“We probably would have bet 200/1 if you’d wanted to back the combinations that landed in the bottom three on Thursday evening,” said Sullivan.
“We were shocked about all of them with the possible exception of Doug and Jess and so were our punters who had heavily backed Don and Issi to get the chop.”
NSW contemporary dancer Robbie heads the market at $6.50.
SYTYCD - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Robbie 6.50
Heath 8.00
Nick 8.50
Renee 9.00
Keiran 9.00
Jess.S 10.00
Ivy 12.00
Carly 12.00
Jessica.P 14.00
Jessie H 17.00
Matt 21.00
Don 26.00
Philipe 34.00
Issi 34.00
Newmarket horse racing field
Latest Newmarket odds from Sportingbet:
PUNTERS STILL RIGHT ON THE PULSE
The Michael Moroney trained King Pulse continues to be backed to cause a first up surprise in the Newmarket shortening to $12 at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the gelding has shortened from $15 to $12 in the past 24 hours as a number of big bets were written.
“One client has had $10,000 each way at $15 so he stands to collect nearly $200,000 alone,” Sullivan said.
“He showed tremendous promise in his three runs in the Spring and this level of support certainly suggest he is flying on the track.
“It is a massive step up to the Newmarket but there is obviously a degree of confidence that he can take the next step.”
All Silent retains favouritism in a very open Newmarket at Sportingbet at $5.50 ahead of Starspangledbanner at $7.50 and Eagle Falls and Nicconi at $9.00.
“The favourites have actually been a little easy here with punters betting very wide, we have laid every horse in the race,” Sullivan said.
“There has also been good money for Turffontein, Wanted and Tollesprit who are all big odds.”
NEWMARKET HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
All Silent 6.00
Starspangledbanner 7.50
Nicconi 9.00
Eagle Falls 9.00
King Pulse 12.00
Wanted 14.00
Turffontein 17.00
Gran Sasso 17.00
Headway 17.00
Tollesprit 17.00
Tickets 18.00
Trusting 18.00
El Segundo 19.00
Duporth 21.00
Arinos 21.00
Shellscrape 26.00
Light Fantastic 31.00
Cannonball 61.00
Five Card Stud 81.00
PUNTERS STILL RIGHT ON THE PULSE
The Michael Moroney trained King Pulse continues to be backed to cause a first up surprise in the Newmarket shortening to $12 at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the gelding has shortened from $15 to $12 in the past 24 hours as a number of big bets were written.
“One client has had $10,000 each way at $15 so he stands to collect nearly $200,000 alone,” Sullivan said.
“He showed tremendous promise in his three runs in the Spring and this level of support certainly suggest he is flying on the track.
“It is a massive step up to the Newmarket but there is obviously a degree of confidence that he can take the next step.”
All Silent retains favouritism in a very open Newmarket at Sportingbet at $5.50 ahead of Starspangledbanner at $7.50 and Eagle Falls and Nicconi at $9.00.
“The favourites have actually been a little easy here with punters betting very wide, we have laid every horse in the race,” Sullivan said.
“There has also been good money for Turffontein, Wanted and Tollesprit who are all big odds.”
NEWMARKET HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
All Silent 6.00
Starspangledbanner 7.50
Nicconi 9.00
Eagle Falls 9.00
King Pulse 12.00
Wanted 14.00
Turffontein 17.00
Gran Sasso 17.00
Headway 17.00
Tollesprit 17.00
Tickets 18.00
Trusting 18.00
El Segundo 19.00
Duporth 21.00
Arinos 21.00
Shellscrape 26.00
Light Fantastic 31.00
Cannonball 61.00
Five Card Stud 81.00
Thursday, March 4, 2010
Lay against Denman in Australian Guineas
This statement came from IASbet in an effort to attract money for Denman. But if you believe the argument - and there's plenty of substance to it - rather than trying to find another pick to back, the wise thing to do would be to lay Denman with Betfair.
That way, you've got the field covered, especially if Denman is indeed to struggle in the wet from the outside barrier.
IASbet.com take on Denman
Form analysts at IASbet.com believe that the Peter Snowden trained superstar Denman is vulnerable in Saturdays Group One Australian Guineas and are prepared to take him on. While other bookmakers and the TAB have him between $1.55 and $1.65, IASbet.com is willing and able to lay him at $1.80. Its not a foregone conclusion, there is rain forecast and the race may well be set up for horses to run over him. I expect Denman to lead from his outside barrier and it may not be an advantage to be on the rail said IASBets John Dow. The son of Lonhro has won nine of his last ten with his only defeat being at the same distance in the Caulfield Guineas. I think history is about to repeat itself. said Dow.
That way, you've got the field covered, especially if Denman is indeed to struggle in the wet from the outside barrier.
IASbet.com take on Denman
Form analysts at IASbet.com believe that the Peter Snowden trained superstar Denman is vulnerable in Saturdays Group One Australian Guineas and are prepared to take him on. While other bookmakers and the TAB have him between $1.55 and $1.65, IASbet.com is willing and able to lay him at $1.80. Its not a foregone conclusion, there is rain forecast and the race may well be set up for horses to run over him. I expect Denman to lead from his outside barrier and it may not be an advantage to be on the rail said IASBets John Dow. The son of Lonhro has won nine of his last ten with his only defeat being at the same distance in the Caulfield Guineas. I think history is about to repeat itself. said Dow.
Wednesday, March 3, 2010
AFL NAB Cup tips
To some, it might be the "Who Cares Cup", but with the pre-season AFL competition at the pointy end, the sides might just be starting to give a damn.
I've watched a number of the games, and Freo have been more impressive than the $9.50 which punters have them at to win the competition. If they can sneak past St Kilda (who have had two one-point wins so far), they'll firm to favourites.
A lot of questions remain unanswered for the Bulldogs, particularly with a new structure featuring Barry Hall at full forward. What happens when their new focal point loses some of his effectiveness? At this point, I'd be more inclined to bet against them than with them.
And after a horror end to their 2009 season, Port will have a lot to prove.
My advice: Ignore the odds and go with your gut. The Saints are rightly favourites, but we'd have the other three on an equal second line of betting.
Here's Sportingbet's take:
PUNTERS WANT SAINTS AND DOGS
Sportingbet Australia punters think favourites St Kilda and the Western Bulldogs will each earn a spot in the NAB Cup Grand Final.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the two top four sides from last season had each been well backed to win the pre season cup.
“There hasn’t been a great deal for the Saints this week, with their odds into $2.30 but we’ve written bets to take out $15,000 and $10,000 along the way,” said Sullivan.
“Punters chimed in with $2000 at $2.75 and another $2000 at $2.65 for the Doggies over the weekend as well as one who outlaid $1000 at the good odds of $10 before the competition began.”
Sullivan said while both non Victorian clubs would start outsiders in their Semi Final matches there had been a couple of punters who managed to get on at big odds pre tournament.
“We have one punter who stands to win them self $5000 by having what would have seemed a brave $200 on the Dockers at $26,” Sullivan said.
“But an even better story is the punter who placed $200 on Port at the massive odds of $51 and stands to win $10,000 if they can win their next two matches.”
NAB CUP - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
St Kilda 2.30
Western Bulldogs 2.60
Port Adelaide 5.50
Fremantle 9.50
I've watched a number of the games, and Freo have been more impressive than the $9.50 which punters have them at to win the competition. If they can sneak past St Kilda (who have had two one-point wins so far), they'll firm to favourites.
A lot of questions remain unanswered for the Bulldogs, particularly with a new structure featuring Barry Hall at full forward. What happens when their new focal point loses some of his effectiveness? At this point, I'd be more inclined to bet against them than with them.
And after a horror end to their 2009 season, Port will have a lot to prove.
My advice: Ignore the odds and go with your gut. The Saints are rightly favourites, but we'd have the other three on an equal second line of betting.
Here's Sportingbet's take:
PUNTERS WANT SAINTS AND DOGS
Sportingbet Australia punters think favourites St Kilda and the Western Bulldogs will each earn a spot in the NAB Cup Grand Final.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the two top four sides from last season had each been well backed to win the pre season cup.
“There hasn’t been a great deal for the Saints this week, with their odds into $2.30 but we’ve written bets to take out $15,000 and $10,000 along the way,” said Sullivan.
“Punters chimed in with $2000 at $2.75 and another $2000 at $2.65 for the Doggies over the weekend as well as one who outlaid $1000 at the good odds of $10 before the competition began.”
Sullivan said while both non Victorian clubs would start outsiders in their Semi Final matches there had been a couple of punters who managed to get on at big odds pre tournament.
“We have one punter who stands to win them self $5000 by having what would have seemed a brave $200 on the Dockers at $26,” Sullivan said.
“But an even better story is the punter who placed $200 on Port at the massive odds of $51 and stands to win $10,000 if they can win their next two matches.”
NAB CUP - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
St Kilda 2.30
Western Bulldogs 2.60
Port Adelaide 5.50
Fremantle 9.50
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
Australia Cup tips
There seems to be plenty of action in early Australia Cup betting.
But there is one horse which starred last Spring in the leadup to the Melbourne Cup, yet has fallen out of favour with punters - Speed Gifted.
The horse, if we remember rightly, didn't quite step up to the two mile despite being well backed prior to the Melbourne Cup. It did, however, cover the ground over 2000m extremely well. With maturity on its side, we won't be minding an each way dabble on the promising stayer.
Meanwhile, here's the latest from Sportingbet:
EXTRA ZERO BACKED TO WIN AUSTRALIAN CUP
Punters are questioning the strength of the older horses in the Australian Cup with three year old, Extra Zero clearly the best backed runner this week at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the David Hayes trained colt had been backed from $18 to $13 since his win at Caulfield on Saturday.
“In the 48 hours since we reposted the market, he has been the only one punters have wanted,” Sullivan said.
“We took a bet to win $20,000 and a couple of others to win $10,000 and there is still strong support coming for him.
“There aren’t many genuine group one weight for age horse entered so the pull in the weights as the only three year old entered could be a huge advantage for Extra Zero.”
Heart Of Dreams and Zipping still head the Sportingbet market at $7.00 and $7.50 respectively.
“They are the obvious two, especially Zipping who is a dual Cox Plate place getter and has been aimed at this race,” Sullivan said.
AUSTRALIAN CUP – ALL IN
Sportingbet Australia Market
Heart Of Dreams 7.00
Zipping 7.50
Shocking 8.00
Our Aqaleem 10.00
Extra Zero 11.00
Speed Gifted 12.00
Miss Maren 12.00
Master O’Reilly 14.00
Littorio 15.00
Sirmione 16.00
Zagreb 17.00
Snipers Bullet 19.00
Changingoftheguard 19.00
Zarita 21.00
Divine Rebel 35.00
Barbaricus 35.00
Tobique 35.00
Joku 51.00
Growl 71.00
Moatize 101.00
But there is one horse which starred last Spring in the leadup to the Melbourne Cup, yet has fallen out of favour with punters - Speed Gifted.
The horse, if we remember rightly, didn't quite step up to the two mile despite being well backed prior to the Melbourne Cup. It did, however, cover the ground over 2000m extremely well. With maturity on its side, we won't be minding an each way dabble on the promising stayer.
Meanwhile, here's the latest from Sportingbet:
EXTRA ZERO BACKED TO WIN AUSTRALIAN CUP
Punters are questioning the strength of the older horses in the Australian Cup with three year old, Extra Zero clearly the best backed runner this week at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the David Hayes trained colt had been backed from $18 to $13 since his win at Caulfield on Saturday.
“In the 48 hours since we reposted the market, he has been the only one punters have wanted,” Sullivan said.
“We took a bet to win $20,000 and a couple of others to win $10,000 and there is still strong support coming for him.
“There aren’t many genuine group one weight for age horse entered so the pull in the weights as the only three year old entered could be a huge advantage for Extra Zero.”
Heart Of Dreams and Zipping still head the Sportingbet market at $7.00 and $7.50 respectively.
“They are the obvious two, especially Zipping who is a dual Cox Plate place getter and has been aimed at this race,” Sullivan said.
AUSTRALIAN CUP – ALL IN
Sportingbet Australia Market
Heart Of Dreams 7.00
Zipping 7.50
Shocking 8.00
Our Aqaleem 10.00
Extra Zero 11.00
Speed Gifted 12.00
Miss Maren 12.00
Master O’Reilly 14.00
Littorio 15.00
Sirmione 16.00
Zagreb 17.00
Snipers Bullet 19.00
Changingoftheguard 19.00
Zarita 21.00
Divine Rebel 35.00
Barbaricus 35.00
Tobique 35.00
Joku 51.00
Growl 71.00
Moatize 101.00
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Barry Hall backed for Coleman medal
When we look at those full forwards who can score a high number of goals, for mine it's a contest between Fevola, Franklin (albeit still struggling for form) and Hall. Lecras might be an outside chance along with Bradshaw and Riewoldt.
But in essence, the price is definitely right for Big Bad Barry.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
Former Sydney Swans bad boy Barry Hall is into $13 to win the Coleman Medal after a more than impressive debut for the Western Bulldogs in last night’s NAB Cup demolition of Hawthorn.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Hall had already been well backed at odds of $21 and $15,
“The punters came for Hall at $21 at the start of the week with one punter on to win over $4000,” said Sullivan.
“And he was well backed at $15 immediately after last night’s match.”
Sullivan said Hall’s chance of winning the medal depended on his ability to keep his mind and body together for the bulk of the season.
“Hall’s disciplinary problems have been well publicised and at thirty three he must be a little susceptible to soft tissue injury,” Sullivan said.
“But if he can keep it all together the big bloke must be salivating at the prospect of having the pill delivered by the likes of Cooney, Murphy, Gilbee and co.”
Gun Brisbane recruit Brendan Fevola is $3.75 favourite to win the Coleman ahead of Lance Franklin at $4.50.
COLEMAN MEDAL - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Brendan Fevola [BRIS] 3.75
Lance Franklin [HAW] 4.50
Matthew Pavlich [FRE] 11.00
Daniel Bradshaw [SYD] 13.00
Barry Hall [WBD] 13.00
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 13.00
Jarryd Roughead [HAW] 15.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 15.00
Kurt Tippett [ADL] 19.00
Mark Lecras [WCE] 23.00
Jason Porplyzia [ADL] 34.00
Daniel Motlop [POR] 34.00
Justin Koschitzke [STK] 34.00
John Anthony [COL] 34.00
Jesse White [SYD] 34.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 41.00
Mark Williams [ESS] 41.00
Others 51.00 Plus
But in essence, the price is definitely right for Big Bad Barry.
Here's the latest from Sportingbet:
Former Sydney Swans bad boy Barry Hall is into $13 to win the Coleman Medal after a more than impressive debut for the Western Bulldogs in last night’s NAB Cup demolition of Hawthorn.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Hall had already been well backed at odds of $21 and $15,
“The punters came for Hall at $21 at the start of the week with one punter on to win over $4000,” said Sullivan.
“And he was well backed at $15 immediately after last night’s match.”
Sullivan said Hall’s chance of winning the medal depended on his ability to keep his mind and body together for the bulk of the season.
“Hall’s disciplinary problems have been well publicised and at thirty three he must be a little susceptible to soft tissue injury,” Sullivan said.
“But if he can keep it all together the big bloke must be salivating at the prospect of having the pill delivered by the likes of Cooney, Murphy, Gilbee and co.”
Gun Brisbane recruit Brendan Fevola is $3.75 favourite to win the Coleman ahead of Lance Franklin at $4.50.
COLEMAN MEDAL - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Brendan Fevola [BRIS] 3.75
Lance Franklin [HAW] 4.50
Matthew Pavlich [FRE] 11.00
Daniel Bradshaw [SYD] 13.00
Barry Hall [WBD] 13.00
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 13.00
Jarryd Roughead [HAW] 15.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 15.00
Kurt Tippett [ADL] 19.00
Mark Lecras [WCE] 23.00
Jason Porplyzia [ADL] 34.00
Daniel Motlop [POR] 34.00
Justin Koschitzke [STK] 34.00
John Anthony [COL] 34.00
Jesse White [SYD] 34.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 41.00
Mark Williams [ESS] 41.00
Others 51.00 Plus
Early Brownlow Medal tips
It's still in the pre-season, but some punters are already lodging speculators on the Brownlow medal, at least one which stands to make someone a millionaire.
The first is from Sporsbet:
One punter is hoping AFL number one draft pick Tom Scully will have a standout debut season – and then some.
Scully has been backed to win more than a million dollars to win the Brownlow Medal with leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.
“We’ve just taken a bet of $700 on Tom Scully to win the Brownlow at the astronomical odds of $1501 to win $1,050,000,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“There’s no doubt he’s a star and will get plenty of game time in Melbourne’s midfield, although it’s a pretty big ask to take Charlie home in your first season.
“We’re still happy to take him on, yet we’ve had to shorten him into $501 on the back of this bet.”
Another youngster to shorten in Brownlow betting is West Coast’s Nic Naitanui, who has tightened from $301 into $81 following his best on ground performance in the NAB Cup opener.
The big move for Scully follows a bet of $1000 to win $500,000 on 28-year old rookie James Podsiadly to win this year’s Coleman Medal.
The next is from Sportingbet and focuses on young superstar Nick Natanui. While he'll be part of my supercoach team, I can't see him doing quite enough to pick up the prized gong.
Take a sneaky look, however, at a couple on the $67 line, notably Brad Sewell and Scott Pendlebury:
NATANUI BACKED FOR BROWNLOW
Exciting West Coast Eagles youngster Nick Natanui has been backed to win the Brownlow Medal at big odds to win the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Natanui represented one of the worst results in the book at this stage.
“There was solid support for him at odds as long as $251 before Friday night’s best on ground performance and there’s been steady support at $101 since,” said Sullivan.
“We have several punters on to win over $10,000 and it’s fair to say he’s generating plenty of interest with us holding more money on him than we are on favourite Gary Ablett.”
2010 BROWNLOW MEDAL
Sportingbet Australia Market
Chris Judd [CARL] 10.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 13.00
Sam Mitchell [HAW] 14.00
Joel Selwood [GEEL] 19.00
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 19.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 19.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 23.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 23.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 23.00
Lance Franklin [HAW] 26.00
Simon Black [BRIS] 26.00
Marc Murphy [CARL] 31.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 34.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 34.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 34.00
Alan Didak [COLL] 41.00
Leigh Montagna [STK] 41.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Steve Johnson [GEEL] 41.00
Bryce Gibbs [CARL] 51.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 51.00
Daniel Kerr [WCE] 51.00
Daniel Rich [BRIS] 51.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 51.00
Bernie Vince [ADEL] 67.00
Brad Sewell [HAW] 67.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 67.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 101.00
Ben Cousins [RICH] 101.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 101.00
Brent Stanton [ESS] 101.00
Brett Deledio [RICH] 101.00
Dean Cox [WCE] 101.00
Justin Koschitzke [STK] 101.00
Leon Davis [COLL] 101.00
Nicholas Naitanui [WCE] 101.00
Paddy Ryder [ESS] 101.00
Ryan Griffen [WBD] 101.00
Ryan Okeefe [SYD] 101.00
Shaun Higgins [WBD] 101.00
Others 126.00 Plus
The first is from Sporsbet:
One punter is hoping AFL number one draft pick Tom Scully will have a standout debut season – and then some.
Scully has been backed to win more than a million dollars to win the Brownlow Medal with leading online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.
“We’ve just taken a bet of $700 on Tom Scully to win the Brownlow at the astronomical odds of $1501 to win $1,050,000,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“There’s no doubt he’s a star and will get plenty of game time in Melbourne’s midfield, although it’s a pretty big ask to take Charlie home in your first season.
“We’re still happy to take him on, yet we’ve had to shorten him into $501 on the back of this bet.”
Another youngster to shorten in Brownlow betting is West Coast’s Nic Naitanui, who has tightened from $301 into $81 following his best on ground performance in the NAB Cup opener.
The big move for Scully follows a bet of $1000 to win $500,000 on 28-year old rookie James Podsiadly to win this year’s Coleman Medal.
The next is from Sportingbet and focuses on young superstar Nick Natanui. While he'll be part of my supercoach team, I can't see him doing quite enough to pick up the prized gong.
Take a sneaky look, however, at a couple on the $67 line, notably Brad Sewell and Scott Pendlebury:
NATANUI BACKED FOR BROWNLOW
Exciting West Coast Eagles youngster Nick Natanui has been backed to win the Brownlow Medal at big odds to win the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Natanui represented one of the worst results in the book at this stage.
“There was solid support for him at odds as long as $251 before Friday night’s best on ground performance and there’s been steady support at $101 since,” said Sullivan.
“We have several punters on to win over $10,000 and it’s fair to say he’s generating plenty of interest with us holding more money on him than we are on favourite Gary Ablett.”
2010 BROWNLOW MEDAL
Sportingbet Australia Market
Chris Judd [CARL] 10.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 13.00
Sam Mitchell [HAW] 14.00
Joel Selwood [GEEL] 19.00
Jonathan Brown [BRIS] 19.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 19.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 23.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 23.00
Nick Riewoldt [STK] 23.00
Lance Franklin [HAW] 26.00
Simon Black [BRIS] 26.00
Marc Murphy [CARL] 31.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 34.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 34.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 34.00
Alan Didak [COLL] 41.00
Leigh Montagna [STK] 41.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Steve Johnson [GEEL] 41.00
Bryce Gibbs [CARL] 51.00
Cyril Rioli [HAW] 51.00
Daniel Kerr [WCE] 51.00
Daniel Rich [BRIS] 51.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 51.00
Bernie Vince [ADEL] 67.00
Brad Sewell [HAW] 67.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 67.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 101.00
Ben Cousins [RICH] 101.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 101.00
Brent Stanton [ESS] 101.00
Brett Deledio [RICH] 101.00
Dean Cox [WCE] 101.00
Justin Koschitzke [STK] 101.00
Leon Davis [COLL] 101.00
Nicholas Naitanui [WCE] 101.00
Paddy Ryder [ESS] 101.00
Ryan Griffen [WBD] 101.00
Ryan Okeefe [SYD] 101.00
Shaun Higgins [WBD] 101.00
Others 126.00 Plus
Friday, February 26, 2010
So You Think You Can Dance odds Australia
KEIRAN NEW DANCE FAVOURITE
Melbourne ballroom dancer Keiran is Sportingbet Australia’s new favourite to take out season three of So You Think You Can Dance.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while bookies were finding it hard to sort out favouritism Keiran had impressed with his consistency.
“Keiran is our third different favourite in three weeks of betting,” said Sullivan.
“While some of the other fancies have struggled with injury and consistency this youngster has been right on the money every time he steps up to dance.”
SYTYCD - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Keiran 7.00
Grace 7.50
Heath 7.50
Nick 8.00
Robbie 9.00
Renee 11.00
Jessica.P 11.00
Carly 12.00
Jessie H 14.00
Jess.S 14.00
Matt 15.00
Don 17.00
Issi 17.00
Doug 21.00
Ivy 26.00
Philipe 34.00
Melbourne ballroom dancer Keiran is Sportingbet Australia’s new favourite to take out season three of So You Think You Can Dance.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while bookies were finding it hard to sort out favouritism Keiran had impressed with his consistency.
“Keiran is our third different favourite in three weeks of betting,” said Sullivan.
“While some of the other fancies have struggled with injury and consistency this youngster has been right on the money every time he steps up to dance.”
SYTYCD - WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Keiran 7.00
Grace 7.50
Heath 7.50
Nick 8.00
Robbie 9.00
Renee 11.00
Jessica.P 11.00
Carly 12.00
Jessie H 14.00
Jess.S 14.00
Matt 15.00
Don 17.00
Issi 17.00
Doug 21.00
Ivy 26.00
Philipe 34.00
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