If the English team is half passionate, then the 25-1 on shedding tears on the pitch is great value for mine. First, they'd have to lose. Second, they'd have to care that they lost. Pretty good odds, I'd think, unless of course there's some small print I haven't seen.
Victor Chandler make it a 9/4 chance that Fabio Capello picks the same starting line up against Germany that he did against Slovenia.
“There is a worry that Wayne Rooney’s injury could rule him out of contention” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “But the rumours suggest it doesn’t seem serious. Another issue is whether Matthew Upson retains his place over Jamie Carragher after an impressive display, and of course, there is every chance that Capello throws in a curve ball with a team selection we are not expecting.”
Joe Cole is 7/4 to start against Germany, a bigger price than he was to start against Slovenia.
Cole incurred the wrath of Fabio Capello in the latter stages of the Slovenia match when he gave away possession instead of playing keep ball, and this might have a bearing on Capello’s decision. The firm also make it a 25/1 chance that an England player sheds tears on the pitch during the game as Gazza did in 1990.
“It’s unlikely to happen, but it’ll be a highly charged atmosphere on Sunday so we could see a few sniffles from someone.” Wilkins added.
England starting line-up same as Slovenia…….9/4
Joe Cole to start 7/4
Not to start 2/5
England player shedding tears on pitch 25/1
Thursday, June 24, 2010
Wimbledon's longest match ... how long will it last?
You'd have to think that as players return to the court fresh, that under 123 games would be the go, but these guys have already defied the odds. They've done some remarkable stuff.
WIMBLEDON MARATHON - HOW LONG CAN ONE MATCH LAST?
John Isner and Nicolas Mahut will enter the 11th hour of their first round match at Wimbledon tonight and Sportingbet Australia have posted a market on how much longer the marathon clash will last.
The match is already a world record with the fifth and final set locked at 59 all and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were backing the game to keep going for some time yet.
“We have posted a market on how much further the record will be extended and punters are backing Isner and Mahut to go over 123.5,” Sullivan said.
“You would think both players would have to be completely knackered and a result may come quickly but both players have an enormous serve so a break will be hard to come by as obviously has been the case so far.
“It’s incredible to watch a game of tennis that has the scoreboard unable to keep track with the number of games played.”
Sportingbet has Isner as a slight favourite at $1.87 to finally win the match with Mahut as the $1.95 outsider.
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Total Games
Sportingbet Australia Market
Over 123.5 Games $1.87
Under 123.5 Games $1.93
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Winner
Sportingbet Australia Market
John Isner $1.87
Nicolas Mahut $1.95
WIMBLEDON MARATHON - HOW LONG CAN ONE MATCH LAST?
John Isner and Nicolas Mahut will enter the 11th hour of their first round match at Wimbledon tonight and Sportingbet Australia have posted a market on how much longer the marathon clash will last.
The match is already a world record with the fifth and final set locked at 59 all and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were backing the game to keep going for some time yet.
“We have posted a market on how much further the record will be extended and punters are backing Isner and Mahut to go over 123.5,” Sullivan said.
“You would think both players would have to be completely knackered and a result may come quickly but both players have an enormous serve so a break will be hard to come by as obviously has been the case so far.
“It’s incredible to watch a game of tennis that has the scoreboard unable to keep track with the number of games played.”
Sportingbet has Isner as a slight favourite at $1.87 to finally win the match with Mahut as the $1.95 outsider.
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Total Games
Sportingbet Australia Market
Over 123.5 Games $1.87
Under 123.5 Games $1.93
John Isner v Nicolas Mahut - Winner
Sportingbet Australia Market
John Isner $1.87
Nicolas Mahut $1.95
Labels:
59-59,
John Isner,
Nicolas Mahut,
wimbledon longest match
Bookie says fair's fair for unlucky Socceroos punters
Online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au has pledged to refund bets on the Socceroos after their heroic performance against Serbia left them just short of progressing in the tournament.
The bookie will refund more than $50,000 in bets on the Socceroos to qualify for the Round of 16 and to win the World Cup.
“The Socceroos were heroic and have been very unlucky, so we think it’s only fair we refund punters who have placed their hard-earned on them,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The lads put in a great effort today against Serbia but were cruelled by dubious red cards earlier in the tournament.”
The Socceroos are short-priced favourites at $1.25 to qualify for the 2014 World Cup, and are $151 to hold the trophy aloft in Brazil.
Socceroos to qualify for 2014 World Cup
$1.25 Yes, the Socceroos will qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$3.75 No, the Socceroos will not qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$151 Socceroos to win the 2014 World Cup
The bookie will refund more than $50,000 in bets on the Socceroos to qualify for the Round of 16 and to win the World Cup.
“The Socceroos were heroic and have been very unlucky, so we think it’s only fair we refund punters who have placed their hard-earned on them,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The lads put in a great effort today against Serbia but were cruelled by dubious red cards earlier in the tournament.”
The Socceroos are short-priced favourites at $1.25 to qualify for the 2014 World Cup, and are $151 to hold the trophy aloft in Brazil.
Socceroos to qualify for 2014 World Cup
$1.25 Yes, the Socceroos will qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$3.75 No, the Socceroos will not qualify for the 2014 World Cup
$151 Socceroos to win the 2014 World Cup
Labels:
socceroos,
socceroos world cup
Labor firms with news of Julia Gillard as first woman PM
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan reported a series of big bets on Labor at $1.70 shortly after Gillard’s intention to challenge became public.
“We took one bet of $10,000 and three of $5000 as Labor shortened from $1.70 to $1.55 late last night,” Sullivan said.
“We shortened Labor up further to $1.50 this morning following the confirmation that Gillard would lead them to the election.
“There is no doubt Kevin Rudd was on the nose with the electorate and Gillard has the chance to improve Labor’s standing in the polls almost immediately.”
Sullivan said Labor had been as short as $1.15 for the election in November last year but had blown out dramatically as Rudd’s popularity dwindled.
“We hadn’t seen any money at all for Labor in the past couple of months and it was only when punters realised that Gillard would be leader that the money rolled in,” Sullivan said.
“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Labor shorten up even further particularly if Gillard enjoys a similar honeymoon period to Rudd or Tony Abbott.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.50
Coalition 2.50
“We took one bet of $10,000 and three of $5000 as Labor shortened from $1.70 to $1.55 late last night,” Sullivan said.
“We shortened Labor up further to $1.50 this morning following the confirmation that Gillard would lead them to the election.
“There is no doubt Kevin Rudd was on the nose with the electorate and Gillard has the chance to improve Labor’s standing in the polls almost immediately.”
Sullivan said Labor had been as short as $1.15 for the election in November last year but had blown out dramatically as Rudd’s popularity dwindled.
“We hadn’t seen any money at all for Labor in the past couple of months and it was only when punters realised that Gillard would be leader that the money rolled in,” Sullivan said.
“I wouldn’t be surprised to see Labor shorten up even further particularly if Gillard enjoys a similar honeymoon period to Rudd or Tony Abbott.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.50
Coalition 2.50
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Michael Barlow the Brownlow bolter
There will be a few people sitting around, saying quite simply: "Wish I'd got him at 1000-1!"
BARLOW POISED TO CAUSE BIGGEST BROWNLOW SHOCK OF ALL TIME
First season player Michael Barlow continues to be the surprise packet of the season with the Docker now into third pick at $11 for the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.
Barlow wasn’t even in Sportingbet’s Brownlow market before the season but punters have been knocking down the door to back him since round two.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said a first season player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest shocks he had seen in his years as a bookie.
“He would have been at least $1001 before the season but to be truthful we hadn’t even heard of him,” Sullivan said.
“After round two we put him in the market at $151 and punters have been knocking each other over to get on.
“He was $15 last week and after another brilliant game on the weekend, we have seen plenty of smart money come for him again this week and we have had to shorten him up again.
“He is only behind Gary Ablett and Luke Hodge in our market and ahead of blokes like Brendon Goddard, Chris Judd, Dane Swan and Jimmy Bartel.
“A first year player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest upsets I can think of but he looks a genuine chance.”
Ablett retains favouritism in Sportingbet’s market at $4.00 ahead of Hodge at $9.00 and Barlow at $11.
2010 Brownlow Medal
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 4.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 9.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 11.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 12.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 15.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 15.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 17.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 21.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 21.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 34.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 51.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus
BARLOW POISED TO CAUSE BIGGEST BROWNLOW SHOCK OF ALL TIME
First season player Michael Barlow continues to be the surprise packet of the season with the Docker now into third pick at $11 for the Brownlow Medal at Sportingbet Australia.
Barlow wasn’t even in Sportingbet’s Brownlow market before the season but punters have been knocking down the door to back him since round two.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said a first season player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest shocks he had seen in his years as a bookie.
“He would have been at least $1001 before the season but to be truthful we hadn’t even heard of him,” Sullivan said.
“After round two we put him in the market at $151 and punters have been knocking each other over to get on.
“He was $15 last week and after another brilliant game on the weekend, we have seen plenty of smart money come for him again this week and we have had to shorten him up again.
“He is only behind Gary Ablett and Luke Hodge in our market and ahead of blokes like Brendon Goddard, Chris Judd, Dane Swan and Jimmy Bartel.
“A first year player winning the Brownlow would be up there with the greatest upsets I can think of but he looks a genuine chance.”
Ablett retains favouritism in Sportingbet’s market at $4.00 ahead of Hodge at $9.00 and Barlow at $11.
2010 Brownlow Medal
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gary Ablett [GEEL] 4.00
Luke Hodge [HAW] 9.00
Michael Barlow [FREM] 11.00
Brendon Goddard [STK] 12.00
Aaron Sandilands [FREM] 15.00
Chris Judd [CARL] 15.00
Dane Swan [COLL] 17.00
Jimmy Bartel [GEEL] 17.00
Adam Cooney [WBD] 21.00
Lenny Hayes [STK] 21.00
Matthew Pavlich [FREM] 34.00
Nick Dal Santo [STK] 34.00
Scott Pendlebury [COLL] 34.00
Paul Chapman [GEEL] 41.00
Adam Goodes [SYD] 51.00
Brent Harvey [NTH] 51.00
Matthew Boyd [WBD] 51.00
Others 67.00 Plus
Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Anyone a Masterchef expert?
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe the State of Origin achieved around 3.8 million viewers. Given that the non-league playing states - ie, Victoria, SA and WA - will take an interest in Masterchef, you'd have to think the number would be slightly higher.
There's a reason the bookies have bunched together the figures between 4.5 and 5 million. Get it right, and the odds are enticing.
WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE THROUGH THE ROOF?
Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on how the Masterchef Finale will rate in 2010.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the market allowed punters keen to bet on Masterchef’s outcome an alternative as its ratings success had created tremendous speculation.
“We’ve had plenty of punters asking us to bet on the outcome of this show but its pre recorded nature makes this impossible,” said Sullivan
“With Masterchef’s ratings success causing plenty of discussion we thought odds on the final’s ratings would make a good alternative.
Last year 3.7 million Australian’s watched the series one final and with series two ratings going through the roof, several pundits have predicted the final could break the five million viewer mark, so it will be interesting to see which option the punters come for.”
Sportingbet Australia bookmakers are predicting the final will rate between 3.91 and 4 million viewers, installing that option as a $5.50 favourite.
HOW WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE?
Sportingbet Australia Market
3.91 Million To 4 Milllion 5.50
3.81 Million to 3.9 Million 6.00
5.1 Million or More 6.00
4.1 Million to 4.2 Million 7.00
4.21 Million to 4.3 Million 7.50
4.31 Million To 4.4 Million 8.50
4.41 Million to 4.5 Million 9.00
3.71 Million To 3.8 Million 9.00
Less Than 3.5 Million 10.00
4.51 Million to 4.6 Million 11.00
4.61 Million to 4.7 Million 11.00
4.71 Million to 4.8 Million 12.00
4.81 Million to 4.9 Million 12.00
4.91 Million to 5 Million 13.00
3.61 Million to 3.7 Million 14.00
3.5 Million to 3.6 Million 17.00
There's a reason the bookies have bunched together the figures between 4.5 and 5 million. Get it right, and the odds are enticing.
WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE THROUGH THE ROOF?
Sportingbet Australia has opened betting on how the Masterchef Finale will rate in 2010.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the market allowed punters keen to bet on Masterchef’s outcome an alternative as its ratings success had created tremendous speculation.
“We’ve had plenty of punters asking us to bet on the outcome of this show but its pre recorded nature makes this impossible,” said Sullivan
“With Masterchef’s ratings success causing plenty of discussion we thought odds on the final’s ratings would make a good alternative.
Last year 3.7 million Australian’s watched the series one final and with series two ratings going through the roof, several pundits have predicted the final could break the five million viewer mark, so it will be interesting to see which option the punters come for.”
Sportingbet Australia bookmakers are predicting the final will rate between 3.91 and 4 million viewers, installing that option as a $5.50 favourite.
HOW WILL THE MASTERCHEF FINAL RATE?
Sportingbet Australia Market
3.91 Million To 4 Milllion 5.50
3.81 Million to 3.9 Million 6.00
5.1 Million or More 6.00
4.1 Million to 4.2 Million 7.00
4.21 Million to 4.3 Million 7.50
4.31 Million To 4.4 Million 8.50
4.41 Million to 4.5 Million 9.00
3.71 Million To 3.8 Million 9.00
Less Than 3.5 Million 10.00
4.51 Million to 4.6 Million 11.00
4.61 Million to 4.7 Million 11.00
4.71 Million to 4.8 Million 12.00
4.81 Million to 4.9 Million 12.00
4.91 Million to 5 Million 13.00
3.61 Million to 3.7 Million 14.00
3.5 Million to 3.6 Million 17.00
Labels:
Masterchef,
masterchef ratings,
mastherchef odds
World Cup novelty bets for England
Here are some novelty bets on England's next World Cup game. They're interesting, if not overly enticing!
COLE, ROONEY AND TERRY SPECIAL WITH VICTOR CHANDLER
As the tension mounts in the lead up to the England v Slovenia match, Victor Chandler have opened a market on Joe Cole being England’s hero on Wednesday. The firm go 16/1 that Joe Cole starts the match, scores a goal and then bags the FIFA Man of the Match award.
“The English public has made it quite clear that they would like to see Joe Cole in the line up.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “And let’s face it England need a hero at the moment and Joe could be the man.”
VC also have a number of markets which might interest those who feel that England will struggle to qualify on Wednesday afternoon. They make it a 20/1 chance that any England players square up in an on-field bust up and 4/1 that a player shows dissent to Fabio Capello when he is substituted. It’s a 5/1 shot that John Terry gets substituted and 11/4 that Wayne Rooney returns to the bench.
Any England players to have an on-field bust up with one another 20/1
Any England player to show dissent when substituted 4/1
Joe Cole to start, score and win FIFA Man of the Match 16/1
John Terry to be substituted against Slovenia 5/1
Wayne Rooney to be substituted against Slovenia 11/4
COLE, ROONEY AND TERRY SPECIAL WITH VICTOR CHANDLER
As the tension mounts in the lead up to the England v Slovenia match, Victor Chandler have opened a market on Joe Cole being England’s hero on Wednesday. The firm go 16/1 that Joe Cole starts the match, scores a goal and then bags the FIFA Man of the Match award.
“The English public has made it quite clear that they would like to see Joe Cole in the line up.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “And let’s face it England need a hero at the moment and Joe could be the man.”
VC also have a number of markets which might interest those who feel that England will struggle to qualify on Wednesday afternoon. They make it a 20/1 chance that any England players square up in an on-field bust up and 4/1 that a player shows dissent to Fabio Capello when he is substituted. It’s a 5/1 shot that John Terry gets substituted and 11/4 that Wayne Rooney returns to the bench.
Any England players to have an on-field bust up with one another 20/1
Any England player to show dissent when substituted 4/1
Joe Cole to start, score and win FIFA Man of the Match 16/1
John Terry to be substituted against Slovenia 5/1
Wayne Rooney to be substituted against Slovenia 11/4
Harry Kewell bet a nice stunt
The World Cup is a competitive market, so bookmakers look for every edge they can to get their name in lights. To frame a market on whether Harry Kewell will play in four years time is nothing short of a stunt - granted, a good one, but a stunt nevertheless. Who in their right mind will put hard-earned on a $1.05 future bet.
I have a friend who often says: "Better than bank interest" when he wins a bet on a short-priced favourite. He wouldn't be saying it on this occasion!
KEWELL LONG ODDS TO PLAY IN NEXT WORLD CUP
Leading online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au rates Harry Kewell only an outside chance to play in the 2014 World Cup.
The bookie has priced Kewell at $8 to play in Brazil, while only offering $1.05 on Harry not to play.
“Harry would be almost 36 before the next World Cup and his body has to stand up to another four tough years of football,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Let’s hope all the planets align and we can go deep into this World Cup because it would be a shame for Harry to bow out after a dubious red card decision.
“It seems unlikely he’ll be there in four years time but as Aussies we’d love to be proven wrong.”
In other World Cup betting news, Australia are rated a $4 chance to beat Serbia, but are paying $11 to make it past the group stage.
Brazil and Argentina have been the best backed teams to win the World Cup, while one punter clearly has a crystal ball as he placed $10 on Portugal to win 7-0 against North Korea overnight at the odds of $401 for a $4,000 win!
All markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Will Harry Kewell play in the 2014 World Cup?
$8.00 Harry Kewell to play in the 2014 World Cup
$1.05 Harry Kewell not to play in the 2014 World Cup
Australia vs Serbia
$4.00 Australia
$3.75 Draw
$1.83 Serbia
$11 Australia to make the Round of 16
2010 World Cup Winner
$5 Brazil
$5.50 Argentina
$5.50 Spain
$9 Holland
$11 Germany
$11 England
$21 Italy
$23 Portugal
$751 Australia
$1001 New Zealand
I have a friend who often says: "Better than bank interest" when he wins a bet on a short-priced favourite. He wouldn't be saying it on this occasion!
KEWELL LONG ODDS TO PLAY IN NEXT WORLD CUP
Leading online bookmaker sportsbet.com.au rates Harry Kewell only an outside chance to play in the 2014 World Cup.
The bookie has priced Kewell at $8 to play in Brazil, while only offering $1.05 on Harry not to play.
“Harry would be almost 36 before the next World Cup and his body has to stand up to another four tough years of football,” said sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“Let’s hope all the planets align and we can go deep into this World Cup because it would be a shame for Harry to bow out after a dubious red card decision.
“It seems unlikely he’ll be there in four years time but as Aussies we’d love to be proven wrong.”
In other World Cup betting news, Australia are rated a $4 chance to beat Serbia, but are paying $11 to make it past the group stage.
Brazil and Argentina have been the best backed teams to win the World Cup, while one punter clearly has a crystal ball as he placed $10 on Portugal to win 7-0 against North Korea overnight at the odds of $401 for a $4,000 win!
All markets courtesy of sportsbet.com.au
Will Harry Kewell play in the 2014 World Cup?
$8.00 Harry Kewell to play in the 2014 World Cup
$1.05 Harry Kewell not to play in the 2014 World Cup
Australia vs Serbia
$4.00 Australia
$3.75 Draw
$1.83 Serbia
$11 Australia to make the Round of 16
2010 World Cup Winner
$5 Brazil
$5.50 Argentina
$5.50 Spain
$9 Holland
$11 Germany
$11 England
$21 Italy
$23 Portugal
$751 Australia
$1001 New Zealand
Coalition firms further as polls indicate victory
If you're keen on the Coalition to win the next election, and many now are, now would be the time to get on. Only one warning, however: Never underestimate the power of incumbency.
ELECTION: COALITION BACKED TO TAKE OUT NEARLY $100,000
A string of big bets has been placed on Tony Abbott to be Australia’s next Prime Minister with the Coalition shortening from $2.75 to $2.40 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
The Coalition has been backed to take out nearly $100,000 at Sportingbet in the past month and CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been next to no money for Kevin Rudd and Labor during the same period.
“We took one bet of $15,000 at $2.60 on the Coalition as well as multiple bets of $5000 and a huge amount of smaller bets,” Sullivan said.
“There is only one side punters want to back and at this rate it might not be too long before Tony Abbott is favourite to move into the Lodge.
“We can’t write a bet on Labor and they have drifted out to $1.55 after being as short as $1.15 in November last year.
“I can’t see us writing a decent bet on them until they start to turn things around.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.55
Coalition 2.40
ELECTION: COALITION BACKED TO TAKE OUT NEARLY $100,000
A string of big bets has been placed on Tony Abbott to be Australia’s next Prime Minister with the Coalition shortening from $2.75 to $2.40 in the past week at Sportingbet Australia.
The Coalition has been backed to take out nearly $100,000 at Sportingbet in the past month and CEO Michael Sullivan said there had been next to no money for Kevin Rudd and Labor during the same period.
“We took one bet of $15,000 at $2.60 on the Coalition as well as multiple bets of $5000 and a huge amount of smaller bets,” Sullivan said.
“There is only one side punters want to back and at this rate it might not be too long before Tony Abbott is favourite to move into the Lodge.
“We can’t write a bet on Labor and they have drifted out to $1.55 after being as short as $1.15 in November last year.
“I can’t see us writing a decent bet on them until they start to turn things around.”
Australian Federal Election
Sportingbet Australia market
Labor 1.55
Coalition 2.40
Friday, June 11, 2010
Compare World Cup odds before betting
I note from the release below that Australia is $101. If you're that keen on the Socceroos, you'll get up to $175 on an Aussie victory.
"What's the difference?" you might ask. After all, they're both good odds on a long shot. A friend told me the other day he had been given $67 at the local TAB.
The answer to that is easy. You're only having a bet if you think they are a legitimate chance, in which case, the winnings will be your money. For a simple $10 bet, the difference in return from the two bookmakers is $750. The TAB odds are more than $1100 behind the pace!
That should be reason enough to shop around.
In the meantime, here's the latest from Sportingbet:
PUNTERS KEEN ON SPAIN'S ODDS FOR WORLD CUP WIN
Spain are the clear favourites for the 2010 World Cup with good bets at Sportingbet Australia bringing their odds in from $5.50 to $4.75.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said bets including one of $10,000 and another of $5000 had arrived over the past week.
“Spain is the only side the punters want prior to the tournament kicking off,” said Sullivan.
“We’ve taken bets including one of $10,000, another of $5000 and plenty of other four figure sums over the past week.
“The return of star front man Fernando Torres from injury has convinced punters and they’re expected to cruise past Switzerland and Honduras with only Chile providing any opposition in the group stages.”
Spain are ranked second in the World and are current European Champions but the best they have done in previous World Cups is a fourth place in 1950. They must also overcome the hoodoo that no European side has ever won a World Cup held outside of Europe.
2010 FIFA World Cup
Sportingbet Australia Market
Spain 4.75
Brazil 5.50
Argentina 7.50
England 8.50
Netherlands 11.00
Germany 13.00
Italy 15.00
France 21.00
Portugal 29.00
Ivory Coast 41.00
Paraguay 67.00
Ghana 67.00
Serbia 67.00
Mexico 67.00
Chile 67.00
USA 67.00
Australia 101.00
Uruguay 101.00
Nigeria 101.00
Cameroon 101.00
Denmark 101.00
Others 151.00 Plus
"What's the difference?" you might ask. After all, they're both good odds on a long shot. A friend told me the other day he had been given $67 at the local TAB.
The answer to that is easy. You're only having a bet if you think they are a legitimate chance, in which case, the winnings will be your money. For a simple $10 bet, the difference in return from the two bookmakers is $750. The TAB odds are more than $1100 behind the pace!
That should be reason enough to shop around.
In the meantime, here's the latest from Sportingbet:
PUNTERS KEEN ON SPAIN'S ODDS FOR WORLD CUP WIN
Spain are the clear favourites for the 2010 World Cup with good bets at Sportingbet Australia bringing their odds in from $5.50 to $4.75.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said bets including one of $10,000 and another of $5000 had arrived over the past week.
“Spain is the only side the punters want prior to the tournament kicking off,” said Sullivan.
“We’ve taken bets including one of $10,000, another of $5000 and plenty of other four figure sums over the past week.
“The return of star front man Fernando Torres from injury has convinced punters and they’re expected to cruise past Switzerland and Honduras with only Chile providing any opposition in the group stages.”
Spain are ranked second in the World and are current European Champions but the best they have done in previous World Cups is a fourth place in 1950. They must also overcome the hoodoo that no European side has ever won a World Cup held outside of Europe.
2010 FIFA World Cup
Sportingbet Australia Market
Spain 4.75
Brazil 5.50
Argentina 7.50
England 8.50
Netherlands 11.00
Germany 13.00
Italy 15.00
France 21.00
Portugal 29.00
Ivory Coast 41.00
Paraguay 67.00
Ghana 67.00
Serbia 67.00
Mexico 67.00
Chile 67.00
USA 67.00
Australia 101.00
Uruguay 101.00
Nigeria 101.00
Cameroon 101.00
Denmark 101.00
Others 151.00 Plus
Latin News into Stradbroke Handicap field
SWIFT ALLIANCE SCRATCHING GOOD NEWS FOR LATIN NEWS BACKERS
Punters who’ve backed Latin News to win the Stradbroke will be buoyed by the news that Swift Alliance has been scratched giving the Bart Cummings trained colt a start in the race.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michal Sullivan said Latin News was well supported yesterday.
“He was backed in from $11 to $8.50 before the scratching with bets including one of $5000,” said Sullivan.
“He is now into $7.00 second favouritism and we’re expecting more support following his luckless run last week.”
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.20
Latin News 7.00
Melito 7.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
Punters who’ve backed Latin News to win the Stradbroke will be buoyed by the news that Swift Alliance has been scratched giving the Bart Cummings trained colt a start in the race.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michal Sullivan said Latin News was well supported yesterday.
“He was backed in from $11 to $8.50 before the scratching with bets including one of $5000,” said Sullivan.
“He is now into $7.00 second favouritism and we’re expecting more support following his luckless run last week.”
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.20
Latin News 7.00
Melito 7.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
Stradbroke Handicap update
PUNTERS KEEN ON KAVANAGH'S SECOND STRADBROKE STRING
QTC Cup winner Catapulted has been heavily backed for the Stradbroke shortening from $11 to $9.00 in the past 24 hours at Sportingbet Australia.
The Mark Kavanagh trained gelding was already a bad result for bookies after he was heavily backed at big odds before he even arrived in Queensland.
“Whobegotyou might be a dominant favourite but it is Kav’s other runner that punters have settled on this week,” said Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan.
“We took two bets to take out $20,000 and that was the start of an avalanche of money for him.
“He was already a bad result for us after we took some big bets at $26 following his big win at Flemington in mid May.”
Sullivan said there had been money for a number of horses at big odds in what was a very open Stradbroke away from Whobegotyou.
“Latin News has shortened from $11 to $8.50 and he looks a real chance if he can get a run,” Sullivan said.
“There has also been good money for roughies with bets to win $30,000 and $20,000 struck on Shellscrape at $41 and good money for Black Piranha and Mic Mac also.”
Catapulted must defy history to win the Stradbroke as no QTC Cup winner has backed up to win the race the following week.
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.00
Melito 7.50
Latin News 8.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
QTC Cup winner Catapulted has been heavily backed for the Stradbroke shortening from $11 to $9.00 in the past 24 hours at Sportingbet Australia.
The Mark Kavanagh trained gelding was already a bad result for bookies after he was heavily backed at big odds before he even arrived in Queensland.
“Whobegotyou might be a dominant favourite but it is Kav’s other runner that punters have settled on this week,” said Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan.
“We took two bets to take out $20,000 and that was the start of an avalanche of money for him.
“He was already a bad result for us after we took some big bets at $26 following his big win at Flemington in mid May.”
Sullivan said there had been money for a number of horses at big odds in what was a very open Stradbroke away from Whobegotyou.
“Latin News has shortened from $11 to $8.50 and he looks a real chance if he can get a run,” Sullivan said.
“There has also been good money for roughies with bets to win $30,000 and $20,000 struck on Shellscrape at $41 and good money for Black Piranha and Mic Mac also.”
Catapulted must defy history to win the Stradbroke as no QTC Cup winner has backed up to win the race the following week.
STRABROKE HANDICAP
Sportingbet Australia Market
Whobegotyou 3.00
Melito 7.50
Latin News 8.50
Catapulted 9.00
Black Piranha 12.00
Ortensia 12.00
Graceful Anna 12.00
Beaded 17.00
Albert The Fat 21.00
Mic Mac 21.00
Swift Alliance 23.00
Phelan Ready 26.00
Mr Baritone 31.00
Russeting 31.00
Stryker 31.00
Ghetto Blaster 31.00
Others 41.00 Plus
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
World Cup red cards
There are likely to be many novelty bets for the World Cup over the next couple of weeks. We'll try to keep you up to date with them as we hear.
CARD SHARKS?
Victor Chandler report that they have seen money for a few of their World Cup card markets. In a market involving the Time of the Fastest Red Card in the finals, the firm report that all the money has been for it being over 15 minutes.
“We were 11/8 about the earliest red card being after 15 minutes and we had a lot of money for it.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “It looks like we got that one wrong, although we are still hopeful that someone has a rush of blood early on.”
The fastest World Cup sending off was in 1986 when Uruguayian axeman Jose Batista had an early bath after just 56 seconds against Scotland. The firm also say that they have taken money for there not to be a booking in the 1st minute of any World Cup match in the finals.
“It doesn’t happen often so we dangled a bit of a carrot with the initial price of 10/1.” added Wilkins. “We have had to cut it to 5/1. It still sounds tempting, but the stats tell us that it is still unlikely.”
What time will the fastest red card be shown?
Under 10 minutes 12/5
10 – 15 minutes 3/1
Over 15 minutes 8/11
Will there be a booking in the 1st minute in the Finals?
Yes 5/1
No 1/10
SEEING RED?
Victor Chandler make it an even money chance that England go through the World Cup finals without getting a player sent off.
The firm make it a 13/8 that there is just one red card, 9/2 that there are two flashed and 10/1 that there are 3 or more shown. VC spokesman Neal Wilkins explains that the stats suggest the England lads will behave themselves this time around.
“In 1986 one was shown, in 1990 no red cards were shown. The next finals were in 1998and there was just one when Becks got his marching orders against Argentina.
In 2002 there were none, but in 2006 Wayne Rooney got a red, so in the scheme of things we should see no reds for our boys this time around. But as we know the stats can make us look rather stupid at times.”
How many England players will get sent off in the World Cup Finals?
None Evs
One 13/8
Two 9/2
Three or more 10/1
CARD SHARKS?
Victor Chandler report that they have seen money for a few of their World Cup card markets. In a market involving the Time of the Fastest Red Card in the finals, the firm report that all the money has been for it being over 15 minutes.
“We were 11/8 about the earliest red card being after 15 minutes and we had a lot of money for it.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins. “It looks like we got that one wrong, although we are still hopeful that someone has a rush of blood early on.”
The fastest World Cup sending off was in 1986 when Uruguayian axeman Jose Batista had an early bath after just 56 seconds against Scotland. The firm also say that they have taken money for there not to be a booking in the 1st minute of any World Cup match in the finals.
“It doesn’t happen often so we dangled a bit of a carrot with the initial price of 10/1.” added Wilkins. “We have had to cut it to 5/1. It still sounds tempting, but the stats tell us that it is still unlikely.”
What time will the fastest red card be shown?
Under 10 minutes 12/5
10 – 15 minutes 3/1
Over 15 minutes 8/11
Will there be a booking in the 1st minute in the Finals?
Yes 5/1
No 1/10
SEEING RED?
Victor Chandler make it an even money chance that England go through the World Cup finals without getting a player sent off.
The firm make it a 13/8 that there is just one red card, 9/2 that there are two flashed and 10/1 that there are 3 or more shown. VC spokesman Neal Wilkins explains that the stats suggest the England lads will behave themselves this time around.
“In 1986 one was shown, in 1990 no red cards were shown. The next finals were in 1998and there was just one when Becks got his marching orders against Argentina.
In 2002 there were none, but in 2006 Wayne Rooney got a red, so in the scheme of things we should see no reds for our boys this time around. But as we know the stats can make us look rather stupid at times.”
How many England players will get sent off in the World Cup Finals?
None Evs
One 13/8
Two 9/2
Three or more 10/1
Labels:
soccer world cup,
soccer world cup betting
England well backed for World Cup
ANYONE BUT ENGLAND OR BRAZIL FOR VICTOR CHANDLER
Victor Chandler report that England are now by far and away the worst result for the firm after laying them heavily at 8/1 for the World Cup. They have already laid Brazil heavily and these two are now big losers in the outright book.
“We have had a lot of money for England and they are already a half a million loser for us. It wouldn’t surprise us now if they will be a seven figure loser for us at some point.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins.
“We have stuck our neck out at 8s and the punters have really come out of the woodwork. We’ve laid several decent five figure bets, and a multitude of four figure bets. At this moment it’s anyone but England and Brazil for us.”
Victor Chandler report that England are now by far and away the worst result for the firm after laying them heavily at 8/1 for the World Cup. They have already laid Brazil heavily and these two are now big losers in the outright book.
“We have had a lot of money for England and they are already a half a million loser for us. It wouldn’t surprise us now if they will be a seven figure loser for us at some point.” said VC spokesman Neal Wilkins.
“We have stuck our neck out at 8s and the punters have really come out of the woodwork. We’ve laid several decent five figure bets, and a multitude of four figure bets. At this moment it’s anyone but England and Brazil for us.”
Labels:
soccer world cup,
soccer world cup betting
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
Will Hayne defect from NRL to AFL?
It's no secret certain circles of the AFL have their eye on Jarryd Hayne, but would he go? And how many other big budgets are available. The price bar has been set fairly high.
This is a great market for the bookies, because chances are high that some no-name rugby league hack who played a little bit of AFL at school will be picked up on the cheap. After all, if the AFL can double the salary of someone with limited future in the NRL, why wouldn't they go? And the bookie cleans up!
WHO WILL DEFECT NEXT?
Greg Inglis is the $3.00 favourite in a Sportingbet Australia market to be the next NRL player to follow Karmichael Hunt and Israel Folau to AFL.
Inglis’ Storm teammate Billy Slater is on the second line of betting at $3.50 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Storm salary cap woes made them the two most obvious targets.
“Inglis and Slater are both freaks and would be brilliant at any sport so they are two obvious targets for AFL,” Sullivan said.
“The fact the Storm need to wipe around $1m off next season wages means they could very well be open to offers for one of their stars.”
Other players in Sportingbet market include, Jamal Idris, Jarryd Hayne, Josh Dugan and the Morris brothers, Brett and Josh.
“The AFL obviously have their sights set on the best young talent in the NRL, with Brad Scott the latest coach to target them and the list of players we came up with are the obvious targets,” Sullivan said.
“We are more than happy to quote prices on any other player and if no one defects by the end of 2011, we will refund all bets to punters.”
WHICH NRL PLAYER WILL BE NEXT TO DEFECT TO AFL
Sportingbet Australia Market
Greg Inglis 3.00
Billy Slater 3.50
Jamal Idris 8.00
Josh Morris 8.00
Brett Morris 8.00
Jarryd Hayne 9.00
Josh Dugan 11.00
Lachlan Coote 15.00
Darius Boyd 21.00
Michael Jennings 21.00
Todd Carney 26.00
Blake Ferguson 51.00
Manu Vatuvei 51.00
Fui Fui Moi Moi 101.00
This is a great market for the bookies, because chances are high that some no-name rugby league hack who played a little bit of AFL at school will be picked up on the cheap. After all, if the AFL can double the salary of someone with limited future in the NRL, why wouldn't they go? And the bookie cleans up!
WHO WILL DEFECT NEXT?
Greg Inglis is the $3.00 favourite in a Sportingbet Australia market to be the next NRL player to follow Karmichael Hunt and Israel Folau to AFL.
Inglis’ Storm teammate Billy Slater is on the second line of betting at $3.50 and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Storm salary cap woes made them the two most obvious targets.
“Inglis and Slater are both freaks and would be brilliant at any sport so they are two obvious targets for AFL,” Sullivan said.
“The fact the Storm need to wipe around $1m off next season wages means they could very well be open to offers for one of their stars.”
Other players in Sportingbet market include, Jamal Idris, Jarryd Hayne, Josh Dugan and the Morris brothers, Brett and Josh.
“The AFL obviously have their sights set on the best young talent in the NRL, with Brad Scott the latest coach to target them and the list of players we came up with are the obvious targets,” Sullivan said.
“We are more than happy to quote prices on any other player and if no one defects by the end of 2011, we will refund all bets to punters.”
WHICH NRL PLAYER WILL BE NEXT TO DEFECT TO AFL
Sportingbet Australia Market
Greg Inglis 3.00
Billy Slater 3.50
Jamal Idris 8.00
Josh Morris 8.00
Brett Morris 8.00
Jarryd Hayne 9.00
Josh Dugan 11.00
Lachlan Coote 15.00
Darius Boyd 21.00
Michael Jennings 21.00
Todd Carney 26.00
Blake Ferguson 51.00
Manu Vatuvei 51.00
Fui Fui Moi Moi 101.00
Labels:
afl betting,
AFL draft,
nrl betting
Queensland Derby odds
There is at times comfort in knowing that somebody stands to lose more than we do if our pick crumbles. But Kutchinsky does look like a good thing.
RACING: $40,000 BET ON KUTCHINSKY
Derby favourite Kutchinsky has shortened again after some massive bets were struck on the Tony Noonan trained gelding at Sportingbet Australia.
The Grand Prix winner has shortened from $3.00 to $2.70 since Friday and Sportingbet CEO Michael Sullivan said he had been the only one punters had wanted to back.
“We took a bet of $40,000 at $3.00 and that started a rush of money with punters snapping up the $2.80 and $2.70 as well,” Sullivan said.
“He isn’t a horse that will be too adversely affected by a bad barrier either as he will get back anyway so I can only see him continuing to shorten until Saturday.”
Sullivan said some Sportingbet punters were sitting pretty after snapping up $16 about Kutchinsky early in May.
“We took one bet of $30,000 to $2000 and another to win $10,000 so those punters would be thrilled with the price they secured,” he said.
New Zealander The Hombre is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet at $5.00 ahead of the Bart Cummings trained Landlord at $5.50 and Fieldmaster at $6.00.
2010 Queensland Derby
Sportingbet Australia market
KUTCHINSKY 2.7
THE HOMBRE 5.00
LANDLORD 5.50
FIELDMASTER 6.00
SIR TIME KEEPER 10
DARIANA 10
MARHETA 12
MY KEEPSAKE 13
LET THEM HAVE IT 16
BLUEYS WAY 17
CABEZA 18
ROCKET TO RIO 19
SANDERSON 21
RACING: $40,000 BET ON KUTCHINSKY
Derby favourite Kutchinsky has shortened again after some massive bets were struck on the Tony Noonan trained gelding at Sportingbet Australia.
The Grand Prix winner has shortened from $3.00 to $2.70 since Friday and Sportingbet CEO Michael Sullivan said he had been the only one punters had wanted to back.
“We took a bet of $40,000 at $3.00 and that started a rush of money with punters snapping up the $2.80 and $2.70 as well,” Sullivan said.
“He isn’t a horse that will be too adversely affected by a bad barrier either as he will get back anyway so I can only see him continuing to shorten until Saturday.”
Sullivan said some Sportingbet punters were sitting pretty after snapping up $16 about Kutchinsky early in May.
“We took one bet of $30,000 to $2000 and another to win $10,000 so those punters would be thrilled with the price they secured,” he said.
New Zealander The Hombre is on the second line of betting at Sportingbet at $5.00 ahead of the Bart Cummings trained Landlord at $5.50 and Fieldmaster at $6.00.
2010 Queensland Derby
Sportingbet Australia market
KUTCHINSKY 2.7
THE HOMBRE 5.00
LANDLORD 5.50
FIELDMASTER 6.00
SIR TIME KEEPER 10
DARIANA 10
MARHETA 12
MY KEEPSAKE 13
LET THEM HAVE IT 16
BLUEYS WAY 17
CABEZA 18
ROCKET TO RIO 19
SANDERSON 21
Labels:
horse racing news,
horse racing tips
Monday, June 7, 2010
Federal election odds against Rudd
Incumbency can never be under-estimated, but people are clearly trying to send a message to the current government. If their tune doesn't change, the $2.60 looks very sweet.
RUDD SLIDE CONTINUES AS ABBOTT SHORTENS FURTHER
The Coalition has shortened into the tightest odds to win the 2010 election they have been since Kevin Rudd took power; now paying $2.60 down from $2.85 in Sportingbet Australia’s market.
This follows yet another terrible poll for Kevin Rudd’s Labor today, with a Herald/Nielsen poll delivering a 3-point kicking to the Government, who have seen their odds of re-election blow out from $1.40 to $1.47.
The poll showed that Tony Abbott’s Opposition is now leading the Government 53-47, which is enough to easily win government if the results were to be repeated on election day.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters have identified Kevin Rudd’s slumping personal vote as a problem for the government.
“Punters want no part of Rudd or Labor at the moment with 90% of the money in the last week being for the Coalition,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We shortened the Coalition from $2.85 to $2.70 on the back of the polls this morning but were immediately claimed with bets of $5000 and $3000 arriving for them,” he said.
“Labor’s odds have blown from $1.20 to $1.47 in recent months and I can’t see punters wanting to back them until Rudd’s appeal with the electorate improves.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.47
Coalition $2.60
RUDD SLIDE CONTINUES AS ABBOTT SHORTENS FURTHER
The Coalition has shortened into the tightest odds to win the 2010 election they have been since Kevin Rudd took power; now paying $2.60 down from $2.85 in Sportingbet Australia’s market.
This follows yet another terrible poll for Kevin Rudd’s Labor today, with a Herald/Nielsen poll delivering a 3-point kicking to the Government, who have seen their odds of re-election blow out from $1.40 to $1.47.
The poll showed that Tony Abbott’s Opposition is now leading the Government 53-47, which is enough to easily win government if the results were to be repeated on election day.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that punters have identified Kevin Rudd’s slumping personal vote as a problem for the government.
“Punters want no part of Rudd or Labor at the moment with 90% of the money in the last week being for the Coalition,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We shortened the Coalition from $2.85 to $2.70 on the back of the polls this morning but were immediately claimed with bets of $5000 and $3000 arriving for them,” he said.
“Labor’s odds have blown from $1.20 to $1.47 in recent months and I can’t see punters wanting to back them until Rudd’s appeal with the electorate improves.”
AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL ELECTION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Labor $1.47
Coalition $2.60
Labels:
federal election,
labor government
Friday, May 28, 2010
Racing tips from the TAB
Harness Gallops Greyhounds
Friday 28th May
Harold Park Race 3 - 7:30pm
No.2 - MY HIGH EXPECTATIONS USA
Saturday 29th May
Doomben Race 7 - 4:00pm
No.10 - HOT DANISH
Saturday 29th May
Wentworth Park Race 5 - 8:50pm
No.1 - DID I ENTERTAIN
Friday 28th May
Harold Park Race 3 - 7:30pm
No.2 - MY HIGH EXPECTATIONS USA
Saturday 29th May
Doomben Race 7 - 4:00pm
No.10 - HOT DANISH
Saturday 29th May
Wentworth Park Race 5 - 8:50pm
No.1 - DID I ENTERTAIN
Labels:
horse racing tips
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
State of Origin odds
How about Israel Folau or Willie Tonga for first try scorer? Here are a few more prices to consider:
MAROON INJURY CONCERNS SEES MONEY COME FOR THE BLUES IN ORIGIN OPENER
Cameron Smith’s withdrawal as well as an injury cloud over Queensland’s Greg Inglis has seen New South Wales backed to win tomorrow night’s Origin opener with online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.
Queensland were $1.72 favourites while New South Wales were $2.12 outsiders when betting opened last week. A constant stream of bets for the Blues now sees each side paying $1.92.
“We haven’t taken any huge bets yet, the big punters will wait and see if there is any more news out of the camps before making a decision,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“It’s more the weight of small to mid-range bets since the weekend that has forced the change in odds.
“We’re currently taking two bets on the Blues for each bet written on the Maroons.”
The Blues’ Kurt Gidley and Jarryd Hayne have been the best-backed to date for the Man of the Match award.
Queensland remains the $1.80 favourite to win the series.
Markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au
STATE OF ORIGIN GAME 1 – Wednesday, 26 May
$1.92 New South Wales (in from $2.12)
$1.92 Queensland (out from $1.72)
GAME 1 MAN OF THE MATCH
$7 Jonathan Thurston
$8 Billy Slater
$10 Darren Lockyer
$10 Greg Inglis
$11 Brett Kimmorley
$13 Jarryd Hayne
$13 Jamie Lyon
$15 Kurt Gidley
Others quoted
SERIES WINNER
$1.80 Queensland
$2.00 New South Wales
SERIES RESULT
$2.85 Queensland 2-1
$2.85 New South Wales 2-1
$4 Queensland 3-0
$5.75 New South Wales 3-0
MAROON INJURY CONCERNS SEES MONEY COME FOR THE BLUES IN ORIGIN OPENER
Cameron Smith’s withdrawal as well as an injury cloud over Queensland’s Greg Inglis has seen New South Wales backed to win tomorrow night’s Origin opener with online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.
Queensland were $1.72 favourites while New South Wales were $2.12 outsiders when betting opened last week. A constant stream of bets for the Blues now sees each side paying $1.92.
“We haven’t taken any huge bets yet, the big punters will wait and see if there is any more news out of the camps before making a decision,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“It’s more the weight of small to mid-range bets since the weekend that has forced the change in odds.
“We’re currently taking two bets on the Blues for each bet written on the Maroons.”
The Blues’ Kurt Gidley and Jarryd Hayne have been the best-backed to date for the Man of the Match award.
Queensland remains the $1.80 favourite to win the series.
Markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au
STATE OF ORIGIN GAME 1 – Wednesday, 26 May
$1.92 New South Wales (in from $2.12)
$1.92 Queensland (out from $1.72)
GAME 1 MAN OF THE MATCH
$7 Jonathan Thurston
$8 Billy Slater
$10 Darren Lockyer
$10 Greg Inglis
$11 Brett Kimmorley
$13 Jarryd Hayne
$13 Jamie Lyon
$15 Kurt Gidley
Others quoted
SERIES WINNER
$1.80 Queensland
$2.00 New South Wales
SERIES RESULT
$2.85 Queensland 2-1
$2.85 New South Wales 2-1
$4 Queensland 3-0
$5.75 New South Wales 3-0
Labels:
state of origin
How can Blues be favourites?
I'm finding it very hard to understand how the Blues can be favourites to win the first game of State of Origin, yet underdogs to win the series. Anyone got any answers?
BLUES FAVOURITES FOLLOWING HEAVY BACKING
Sportingbet Australia punters have backed NSW in from $2.08 to $1.87 to take Game One of the state of Origin Series as Queensland continue to struggle with injury to key players.
Sportingbet Australia Michael Sullivan said punters had rallied for the Blues since Queensland confirmed Cameron Smith would miss the game.
“Cameron Smith is a huge out and the market has swung around since his absence was confirmed,” said Sullivan.
“We’ve taken bets on NSW including one of $15,000 at $1.91 and $10,000 at the plus two points and they’re all the rage with punters at the moment.”
Sullivan said he was still keen to take NSW on.
“"Queensland is still a better side on paper and look more dangerous across the park," Sullivan.
"The Maroons have won four series in a row and I am happy to be on them as outsiders as they always relish the underdog tag."
Despite losing the favourite tag for Game One, Queensland are still Series favourites at $1.80 with NSW $2.00 outsiders.
STATE OF ORIGIN – GAME ONE
Sportingbet Australia Market
NSW 1.87
Queensland 1.95
STATE OF ORIGIN – SERIES WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Queensland 1.80
NSW 2.00
BLUES FAVOURITES FOLLOWING HEAVY BACKING
Sportingbet Australia punters have backed NSW in from $2.08 to $1.87 to take Game One of the state of Origin Series as Queensland continue to struggle with injury to key players.
Sportingbet Australia Michael Sullivan said punters had rallied for the Blues since Queensland confirmed Cameron Smith would miss the game.
“Cameron Smith is a huge out and the market has swung around since his absence was confirmed,” said Sullivan.
“We’ve taken bets on NSW including one of $15,000 at $1.91 and $10,000 at the plus two points and they’re all the rage with punters at the moment.”
Sullivan said he was still keen to take NSW on.
“"Queensland is still a better side on paper and look more dangerous across the park," Sullivan.
"The Maroons have won four series in a row and I am happy to be on them as outsiders as they always relish the underdog tag."
Despite losing the favourite tag for Game One, Queensland are still Series favourites at $1.80 with NSW $2.00 outsiders.
STATE OF ORIGIN – GAME ONE
Sportingbet Australia Market
NSW 1.87
Queensland 1.95
STATE OF ORIGIN – SERIES WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Queensland 1.80
NSW 2.00
Labels:
state of origin
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