Showing posts with label state of origin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label state of origin. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

State of Origin odds

How about Israel Folau or Willie Tonga for first try scorer? Here are a few more prices to consider:

MAROON INJURY CONCERNS SEES MONEY COME FOR THE BLUES IN ORIGIN OPENER

Cameron Smith’s withdrawal as well as an injury cloud over Queensland’s Greg Inglis has seen New South Wales backed to win tomorrow night’s Origin opener with online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au.

Queensland were $1.72 favourites while New South Wales were $2.12 outsiders when betting opened last week. A constant stream of bets for the Blues now sees each side paying $1.92.

“We haven’t taken any huge bets yet, the big punters will wait and see if there is any more news out of the camps before making a decision,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.

“It’s more the weight of small to mid-range bets since the weekend that has forced the change in odds.

“We’re currently taking two bets on the Blues for each bet written on the Maroons.”

The Blues’ Kurt Gidley and Jarryd Hayne have been the best-backed to date for the Man of the Match award.

Queensland remains the $1.80 favourite to win the series.

Markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au

STATE OF ORIGIN GAME 1 – Wednesday, 26 May
$1.92 New South Wales (in from $2.12)
$1.92 Queensland (out from $1.72)

GAME 1 MAN OF THE MATCH
$7 Jonathan Thurston
$8 Billy Slater
$10 Darren Lockyer
$10 Greg Inglis
$11 Brett Kimmorley
$13 Jarryd Hayne
$13 Jamie Lyon
$15 Kurt Gidley

Others quoted

SERIES WINNER
$1.80 Queensland
$2.00 New South Wales

SERIES RESULT
$2.85 Queensland 2-1
$2.85 New South Wales 2-1
$4 Queensland 3-0
$5.75 New South Wales 3-0

How can Blues be favourites?

I'm finding it very hard to understand how the Blues can be favourites to win the first game of State of Origin, yet underdogs to win the series. Anyone got any answers?

BLUES FAVOURITES FOLLOWING HEAVY BACKING

Sportingbet Australia punters have backed NSW in from $2.08 to $1.87 to take Game One of the state of Origin Series as Queensland continue to struggle with injury to key players.

Sportingbet Australia Michael Sullivan said punters had rallied for the Blues since Queensland confirmed Cameron Smith would miss the game.

“Cameron Smith is a huge out and the market has swung around since his absence was confirmed,” said Sullivan.

“We’ve taken bets on NSW including one of $15,000 at $1.91 and $10,000 at the plus two points and they’re all the rage with punters at the moment.”

Sullivan said he was still keen to take NSW on.

“"Queensland is still a better side on paper and look more dangerous across the park," Sullivan.

"The Maroons have won four series in a row and I am happy to be on them as outsiders as they always relish the underdog tag."

Despite losing the favourite tag for Game One, Queensland are still Series favourites at $1.80 with NSW $2.00 outsiders.

STATE OF ORIGIN – GAME ONE
Sportingbet Australia Market
NSW 1.87
Queensland 1.95

STATE OF ORIGIN – SERIES WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Queensland 1.80
NSW 2.00

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

State of Origin early tips

Remember how Tahu was asked to mark Idris and failed miserably? Look for Queensland to pepper that flank, no matter how big the New South Wales backs are.

And one further comment: Anyone who thinks Queensland will be too much worse off without Cameron Smith is kidding themselves. Payne and Ballin are both worthy replacements and perhaps could even be considered the form players.


QUEENSLAND ORIGIN FAVOURITES DESPITE BLUES HOME GROUND ADVANTAGE

Queensland have been posted as favourites to take the State of Origin series and game one despite the Blues enjoying home ground advantage.

Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Queensland’s star studded line up were $1.75 favourites for the series opener but with an injury concern over Cameron Smith, he was keen to take them on.

“On paper the Maroons have it all over them as New South Wales have made some strange selections that would have made the Queenslanders smile,” Sullivan said.

“However, I can’t see punters wanting to back the Maroons until Cameron Smith is cleared and while he is doubt, I will be taking Queensland on as he is enormously important to their side.”

Sullivan said it was unusual for a side to be favourite for the series when they had two away games but Queensland’s dominance in recent years would see them start as $1.70 favourites.

“The Blues have a big advantage with two games in Sydney but with the Maroons side going for five in a row, they have to be favourite,” he said.

“If NSW had of selected a different side, which included Jarryd Hayne at fullback, the prices may have been a lot closer together.”

STATE OF ORIGIN GAME ONE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Queensland $1.75
New South Wales $2.08

STATE OF ORIGIN SERIES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Queensland $1.70
New South Wales $2.10