The punters usually have a fair idea when it comes to forecasting leadership issues. It might not come as soon as Monday, but it looks like Joe Hockey is a good thing to take the Liberals to the next election.
Below is a press release issued today by Sportingbet:
As the Coalition leadership hangs in the balance, punters have unequivocally backed Joe Hockey to lead the Coalition to the next election.
Embattled incumbent Malcolm Turnbull meanwhile languishes in third place in the Sportingbet Australia market – a devastating judgement by punters that is sure to compound his current woes.
With Hockey suddenly shortened to $1.80 and Turnbull drifting out to an improbable $3.50, the instigator Tony Abbott is enjoying a resurgence in the eyes of punters, shortening into $2.75.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that the market had been completely upended by today’s events, but that he expects some wise punters will be happy they backed Joe Hockey come Monday.
“Over the last six months, Hockey has paying upwards of $3 for most of the time as he has not been keen to make a grab at the leadership – and wisely so,” said Mr Sullivan.
“Now punters are getting behind him as it seems that Turnbull’s day is done and Abbott will keep his powder dry – for now at least,” he said.
Meanwhile other leadership contenders in the Sportingbet Australia market are Andrew Robb ($17), Peter Dutton ($21) and Julie Bishop ($21).
Who will lead Liberals at next Federal election?
Sportingbet Australia Market
Hockey $1.80
Abbott $2.75
Turnbull $3.50
Robb $17
Dutton $21
Bishop $21
Any Other $7
Friday, November 27, 2009
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Brisbane test cricket novelty bet
Isn't it interesting how bookmakers now must follow the news? It's a great way of getting people interested in their product.
The latest "gimmick" (I couldn't find a better word) is based on comments from the West Indies coach that fast bowler Jerome Taylor has the better of Ricky Ponting.
Yes, Taylor has gotten Ponting out a couple of times. But will the mind games fool the punters?
Given that the Australians are only likely to bat once, it really is a matter of "will he or won't he?".
Sportingbet Australia is offering odds on how many times Jerome Taylor can pick up the scalp of Ricky Ponting in the First Test after West Indies coach David Williams claimed his opening bowler had the Aussie skipper’s measure.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the option of no times was the favourite despite Taylor’s recent statistical dominance.
“We have no dismissals at $1.45, One at $2.65 and Two as a $9.00 outsider given that there’s every chance the Windies won’t even bowl twice,” said Sullivan.
“Ponting is a class act and while Taylor has got him eight times, we’ll back him in a head to head on home soil any day.”
TAYLOR v PONTING
Sportingbet Australia Market
Taylor does not dismiss Ponting 1.45
Taylor dismisses Ponting Once 2.65
Taylor dismisses Ponting Twice 9.00
The latest "gimmick" (I couldn't find a better word) is based on comments from the West Indies coach that fast bowler Jerome Taylor has the better of Ricky Ponting.
Yes, Taylor has gotten Ponting out a couple of times. But will the mind games fool the punters?
Given that the Australians are only likely to bat once, it really is a matter of "will he or won't he?".
Sportingbet Australia is offering odds on how many times Jerome Taylor can pick up the scalp of Ricky Ponting in the First Test after West Indies coach David Williams claimed his opening bowler had the Aussie skipper’s measure.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the option of no times was the favourite despite Taylor’s recent statistical dominance.
“We have no dismissals at $1.45, One at $2.65 and Two as a $9.00 outsider given that there’s every chance the Windies won’t even bowl twice,” said Sullivan.
“Ponting is a class act and while Taylor has got him eight times, we’ll back him in a head to head on home soil any day.”
TAYLOR v PONTING
Sportingbet Australia Market
Taylor does not dismiss Ponting 1.45
Taylor dismisses Ponting Once 2.65
Taylor dismisses Ponting Twice 9.00
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Australia unbackable in Brisbane cricket test
The following press release got me thinking. Just what is "unbackable odds"? Is there such a thing?
There was an article in one of the daily newspapers this week which spoke of mug punters: people who'll take 1% return in the run, only to lose it with a freakish touchdown inside the last minute.
But is $1.26 really unbackable? The bottom line: It is if you don't think Australia can win four tests in a row against the West Indies.
Sportingbet Australia punters don’t expect the First Test against the West Indies to last until Sunday.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had decided the value in this Test was on the match duration.
“We can’t write a bet on the Windies and the $1.26 about Australia has the punters looking for some other options,” said Sullivan.
“The match ending on Saturday’s third day has been backed in from $4.50 to $4.00 with nobody expecting the visitors to provide any opposition.”
FIRST TEST – AUSTRALIA v WEST INDIES – MATCH DURATION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Days 1&2 21.00
Day 3 4.00
Day 4 2.00
Day 5 3.00
FIRST TEST – AUSTRALIA v WEST INDIES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Australia 1.26
Draw 5.35
West Indies 12.00
There was an article in one of the daily newspapers this week which spoke of mug punters: people who'll take 1% return in the run, only to lose it with a freakish touchdown inside the last minute.
But is $1.26 really unbackable? The bottom line: It is if you don't think Australia can win four tests in a row against the West Indies.
Sportingbet Australia punters don’t expect the First Test against the West Indies to last until Sunday.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had decided the value in this Test was on the match duration.
“We can’t write a bet on the Windies and the $1.26 about Australia has the punters looking for some other options,” said Sullivan.
“The match ending on Saturday’s third day has been backed in from $4.50 to $4.00 with nobody expecting the visitors to provide any opposition.”
FIRST TEST – AUSTRALIA v WEST INDIES – MATCH DURATION
Sportingbet Australia Market
Days 1&2 21.00
Day 3 4.00
Day 4 2.00
Day 5 3.00
FIRST TEST – AUSTRALIA v WEST INDIES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Australia 1.26
Draw 5.35
West Indies 12.00
Academy Awards winners tough to pick
According to early markets, the Academy Awards is a wide open market. Now, if only we could watch them all to judge. And therein lies the biggest problem with punting on such markets - most of us need to do it on heresay, rather than acute knowledge.
Bookmakers rate Abbie Cornish as Australia’s best chance to pick up an Oscar at the 2010 Academy Awards.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Cornish was right in contention for her role as 19th century poet John Keats’ love interest Fanny Brawne.
“Abbie Cornish has already been nominated in the Best Actress category at the British Independent Film Awards and looks a shoe in to earn an Oscar nomination,” said Sullivan.
“But she faces stiff opposition to win from the likes of Carey Mulligan, Gabby Sidibe and veterans Meryl Streep and Helen Mirren and we have her at backable odds of $9.00 as a result.”
Up In The Air and Invictus are joint $4.50 favourites in what looks a wide open Best Picture Market while Colin Firth is a $2.50 favourite to score the Best Actor Oscar.
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST ACTRESS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Carey Mulligan - An Education 2.00
Gabby Sidibe - Precious 2.50
Meryl Streep - Julie & Julia 2.50
Helen Mirren - The Last Station 5.50
Abbie Cornish - Bright Star 9.00
Saoirse Ronan - The Lovely Bones 12.00
Penelope Cruz - Broken Embraces 26.00
Marion Cotillard - Nine 31.00
Vera Farmiga - Up In The Air 41.00
Sandra Bullock - The Blind Side 41.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST ACTOR
Sportingbet Australia Market
Colin Firth - A Single Man 2.50
George Clooney - Up In The Air 2.75
Jeff Bridges - Crazy Heart 3.50
Morgan Freeman - Invictus 5.00
Daniel Day-Lewis - Nine 5.50
Viggo Mortensen - The Road 10.00
Jeremy Renner - The Hurt Locker 10.00
Matt Damon - The Informant 26.00
Robert De Niro – Everything’s Fine 26.00
Sharlto Copley - District Nine 34.00
Christopher Plummer - The Last Station 34.00
Michael Stuhlberg - A Serious Man 41.00
Sam Rockwell - Moon 41.00
Nicholas Cage - Bad Lieutenant: Port Of Call New Orleans 51.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST PICTURE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Up In The Air 4.50
Invictus 4.50
The Hurt Locker 4.75
Precious 5.00
Nine 6.00
Up 7.50
An Education 10.00
Inglorious Basterds 10.00
The Lovely Bones 11.00
A Serious Man 11.00
Avatar 16.00
The Road 21.00
Julie & Julia 31.00
A Single Man 31.00
The Last Station 41.00
The Messenger 51.00
The White Ribbon 51.00
Where The Wild Things Are 67.00
District 9 67.00
Crazy Heart 67.00
Bright Star 67.00
Star Trek 101.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST DIRECTOR
Sportingbet Australia Market
Jason Reitman - Up In The Air 2.00
Kathryn Bigelow - The Hurt Locker 3.50
Clint Eastwood - Invictus 4.00
Lee Daniels - Precious 4.50
James Cameron - Avatar 7.50
Rob Marshall - Nine 9.00
Quentin Tarantino - Inglorious Basterds 11.00
Lone Scherfig - An Education 14.00
Peter Jackson - The Lovely Bones 14.00
Ethan & Joel Coen - A Serious Man 21.00
Pete Docter & Bob Peterson - Up 31.00
Tom Ford - A Single Man 31.00
Bookmakers rate Abbie Cornish as Australia’s best chance to pick up an Oscar at the 2010 Academy Awards.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Cornish was right in contention for her role as 19th century poet John Keats’ love interest Fanny Brawne.
“Abbie Cornish has already been nominated in the Best Actress category at the British Independent Film Awards and looks a shoe in to earn an Oscar nomination,” said Sullivan.
“But she faces stiff opposition to win from the likes of Carey Mulligan, Gabby Sidibe and veterans Meryl Streep and Helen Mirren and we have her at backable odds of $9.00 as a result.”
Up In The Air and Invictus are joint $4.50 favourites in what looks a wide open Best Picture Market while Colin Firth is a $2.50 favourite to score the Best Actor Oscar.
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST ACTRESS
Sportingbet Australia Market
Carey Mulligan - An Education 2.00
Gabby Sidibe - Precious 2.50
Meryl Streep - Julie & Julia 2.50
Helen Mirren - The Last Station 5.50
Abbie Cornish - Bright Star 9.00
Saoirse Ronan - The Lovely Bones 12.00
Penelope Cruz - Broken Embraces 26.00
Marion Cotillard - Nine 31.00
Vera Farmiga - Up In The Air 41.00
Sandra Bullock - The Blind Side 41.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST ACTOR
Sportingbet Australia Market
Colin Firth - A Single Man 2.50
George Clooney - Up In The Air 2.75
Jeff Bridges - Crazy Heart 3.50
Morgan Freeman - Invictus 5.00
Daniel Day-Lewis - Nine 5.50
Viggo Mortensen - The Road 10.00
Jeremy Renner - The Hurt Locker 10.00
Matt Damon - The Informant 26.00
Robert De Niro – Everything’s Fine 26.00
Sharlto Copley - District Nine 34.00
Christopher Plummer - The Last Station 34.00
Michael Stuhlberg - A Serious Man 41.00
Sam Rockwell - Moon 41.00
Nicholas Cage - Bad Lieutenant: Port Of Call New Orleans 51.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST PICTURE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Up In The Air 4.50
Invictus 4.50
The Hurt Locker 4.75
Precious 5.00
Nine 6.00
Up 7.50
An Education 10.00
Inglorious Basterds 10.00
The Lovely Bones 11.00
A Serious Man 11.00
Avatar 16.00
The Road 21.00
Julie & Julia 31.00
A Single Man 31.00
The Last Station 41.00
The Messenger 51.00
The White Ribbon 51.00
Where The Wild Things Are 67.00
District 9 67.00
Crazy Heart 67.00
Bright Star 67.00
Star Trek 101.00
2010 ACADEMY AWARDS – BEST DIRECTOR
Sportingbet Australia Market
Jason Reitman - Up In The Air 2.00
Kathryn Bigelow - The Hurt Locker 3.50
Clint Eastwood - Invictus 4.00
Lee Daniels - Precious 4.50
James Cameron - Avatar 7.50
Rob Marshall - Nine 9.00
Quentin Tarantino - Inglorious Basterds 11.00
Lone Scherfig - An Education 14.00
Peter Jackson - The Lovely Bones 14.00
Ethan & Joel Coen - A Serious Man 21.00
Pete Docter & Bob Peterson - Up 31.00
Tom Ford - A Single Man 31.00
Friday, November 20, 2009
Gold Salute a hot tip at Flemington
If you fancy Gold Salute, the advice from Sportingbet is to get in quick. I'm tipping the odds will be a little easier on the Tote.
The betting plunge on Victorian raider Gold Salute in the Railway Stakes has continued with some huge bets written at Sportingbet Australia.
The Mark Riley trained gelding shortened from $4.20 to $3.20 in the last 24 hours and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the money was still coming for him.
“The move started with a bet of $25,000 each way at $4.20 yesterday afternoon and since then punters have just kept loading up into him,” Sullivan said.
“We took a string of big bets after that at odds between $3.40 and $3.80 as punters declared him the one to beat.
“His placings in the Toorak and Emirates suggest he will be hard to hold out here but I am happy to take him on at these odds.”
2009 RAILWAY STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gold Salute 3.20
All American 6.00
Ortensia 7.50
Grand Nirvana 8.00
Tarzi 13.00
Megatic 15.00
Eliotto 15.00
Snipers Bullet 17.00
Spirited One 17.00
Largo Lad 18.00
Famous Roman 21.00
Keytomoney 21.00
Colour Correct 31.00
Lords Ransom 31.00
Lambton Castle 61.00
Oroya Gold 71.00
Coconut Grove 126.00
The betting plunge on Victorian raider Gold Salute in the Railway Stakes has continued with some huge bets written at Sportingbet Australia.
The Mark Riley trained gelding shortened from $4.20 to $3.20 in the last 24 hours and Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the money was still coming for him.
“The move started with a bet of $25,000 each way at $4.20 yesterday afternoon and since then punters have just kept loading up into him,” Sullivan said.
“We took a string of big bets after that at odds between $3.40 and $3.80 as punters declared him the one to beat.
“His placings in the Toorak and Emirates suggest he will be hard to hold out here but I am happy to take him on at these odds.”
2009 RAILWAY STAKES
Sportingbet Australia Market
Gold Salute 3.20
All American 6.00
Ortensia 7.50
Grand Nirvana 8.00
Tarzi 13.00
Megatic 15.00
Eliotto 15.00
Snipers Bullet 17.00
Spirited One 17.00
Largo Lad 18.00
Famous Roman 21.00
Keytomoney 21.00
Colour Correct 31.00
Lords Ransom 31.00
Lambton Castle 61.00
Oroya Gold 71.00
Coconut Grove 126.00
Thursday, November 19, 2009
Hayley still a good bet in Australian Idol
Following is a press release from Sportingbet. Maybe I've got it wrong, and plenty evidently think I have, but I said a long time ago in the competition it would be a battle between Stan and someone else.
Given that it's a game of demographics as much as it is talent, I still have Hayley an even money chance, which makes the $4.50 a good bet.
Gold Coast soul singer Stan Walker is a raging $1.18 favourite to be the new Australian Idol after another impressive display on Sunday night.
Walker is in a head to head battle with Sydney’s Hayley Warner who is a $4.50 outsider at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said weight of money had ensured Walker would go into next week’s finale as a clear favourite.
“The punters have spoken with all the big money going on Walker over the past couple of weeks shortening his price right up to $1.18,” Sullivan said.
“He does deserve to be favourite but Hayley has been brilliant as well and I am more than happy to be on her to cause an upset.
“Her single was arguably better than Stan’s and the contestant with the best single has generally gone onto win so the $4.50 is clearly the value for punters.”
Given that it's a game of demographics as much as it is talent, I still have Hayley an even money chance, which makes the $4.50 a good bet.
Gold Coast soul singer Stan Walker is a raging $1.18 favourite to be the new Australian Idol after another impressive display on Sunday night.
Walker is in a head to head battle with Sydney’s Hayley Warner who is a $4.50 outsider at Sportingbet Australia.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said weight of money had ensured Walker would go into next week’s finale as a clear favourite.
“The punters have spoken with all the big money going on Walker over the past couple of weeks shortening his price right up to $1.18,” Sullivan said.
“He does deserve to be favourite but Hayley has been brilliant as well and I am more than happy to be on her to cause an upset.
“Her single was arguably better than Stan’s and the contestant with the best single has generally gone onto win so the $4.50 is clearly the value for punters.”
Rees gets support from Aussie punters
An interesting view of New South Wales state politics, which evidently gives some support to Nathan Rees:
The government of Nathan Rees was given a boost today from punters, following a series of ‘shock and awe’ tactics by the Premier on the floor of the ALP’s state conference.
Labor’s odds to retain government at the next election shortened from $4.00 to $3.80 after a number of bets were placed on them at Sportingbet Australia.
The controversial moves, which saw Rees ridding his cabinet of Joe Tripodi and Ian Macdonald, has been seen as an effort to ‘stop the rot’ and also has the Premier’s odds shorten to lead the party to the next election.
Without fickle ‘king-breaker’ Tripodi in Cabinet, punters have read this as a plus for the Premier, cutting his odds back to $3.25.
Carmel Tebbutt is seen as the obvious danger and is equal favourite alongside the Premier at $3.25
Meanwhile odds on previous favourite Kristina Keneally have blown out the gate following the unceremonious exit of her political patron, Tripodi. Keneally is now paying $5.00.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that the Premier’s decisive seizing of the Cabinet selection process and his crackdown on political fundraising have been interpreted as a sign that the government is willing to take risks and make sacrifices as it attempts to become electorally competitive.
“Punters seem to be telling us that they are considering taking the Rees Government seriously, after a long period of questioning who was really running the state,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We’ve certainly seen a few punters getting behind Rees and his team today,” he said.
“Some are even backing him to hold onto the leadership, which is a big call given he’s hung his enemies out to dry on the backbench, where they’ll be free to resume plotting his downfall.”
Meanwhile the Coalition’s odds to win the next state election have drifted slightly to $1.25 although they remain red hot favourites.
The government of Nathan Rees was given a boost today from punters, following a series of ‘shock and awe’ tactics by the Premier on the floor of the ALP’s state conference.
Labor’s odds to retain government at the next election shortened from $4.00 to $3.80 after a number of bets were placed on them at Sportingbet Australia.
The controversial moves, which saw Rees ridding his cabinet of Joe Tripodi and Ian Macdonald, has been seen as an effort to ‘stop the rot’ and also has the Premier’s odds shorten to lead the party to the next election.
Without fickle ‘king-breaker’ Tripodi in Cabinet, punters have read this as a plus for the Premier, cutting his odds back to $3.25.
Carmel Tebbutt is seen as the obvious danger and is equal favourite alongside the Premier at $3.25
Meanwhile odds on previous favourite Kristina Keneally have blown out the gate following the unceremonious exit of her political patron, Tripodi. Keneally is now paying $5.00.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said that the Premier’s decisive seizing of the Cabinet selection process and his crackdown on political fundraising have been interpreted as a sign that the government is willing to take risks and make sacrifices as it attempts to become electorally competitive.
“Punters seem to be telling us that they are considering taking the Rees Government seriously, after a long period of questioning who was really running the state,” said Mr Sullivan.
“We’ve certainly seen a few punters getting behind Rees and his team today,” he said.
“Some are even backing him to hold onto the leadership, which is a big call given he’s hung his enemies out to dry on the backbench, where they’ll be free to resume plotting his downfall.”
Meanwhile the Coalition’s odds to win the next state election have drifted slightly to $1.25 although they remain red hot favourites.
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Aussie odds plummet for first cricket test
The West Indies odds of causing an unlikely upset in the first Test at the Gabba next week have blown further following Chris Gayle’s departure for family reasons.
The Windies were already $10 outsiders for the match but have blown further to $11 at Sportingbet Australia while their odds of drawing the match have also drifted from $3.75 to $4.25.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said it was nearly impossible to see the West Indies causing an upset without their captain who looks an unlikely starter.
“Chris Gayle was their one real X Factor who could produce an innings that could turn the game,” Sullivan said.
“He could score a ton very quickly and his bowling will also be missed.
“With Gayle in the side, you could see them being competitive in games if he, Sarwan and Chanderpaul all fired but without him it looks like only weather could get in the Aussies way.”
Australia shortened from $1.40 to $1.35 for the opening Test and are red hot $1.22 favourites for the series at Sportingbet.
Australia vs West Indies - Test Series Winner
Australia 1.22
Drawn Series 5.00
West Indies 17.00
1st Test - Australia vs West Indies
Australia 1.35
Draw 4.25
West Indies 11.00
The Windies were already $10 outsiders for the match but have blown further to $11 at Sportingbet Australia while their odds of drawing the match have also drifted from $3.75 to $4.25.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said it was nearly impossible to see the West Indies causing an upset without their captain who looks an unlikely starter.
“Chris Gayle was their one real X Factor who could produce an innings that could turn the game,” Sullivan said.
“He could score a ton very quickly and his bowling will also be missed.
“With Gayle in the side, you could see them being competitive in games if he, Sarwan and Chanderpaul all fired but without him it looks like only weather could get in the Aussies way.”
Australia shortened from $1.40 to $1.35 for the opening Test and are red hot $1.22 favourites for the series at Sportingbet.
Australia vs West Indies - Test Series Winner
Australia 1.22
Drawn Series 5.00
West Indies 17.00
1st Test - Australia vs West Indies
Australia 1.35
Draw 4.25
West Indies 11.00
Friday, November 13, 2009
Bookies give up on Tiger Woods
I've never heard of bookies giving up before.
If there's a chance of them keeping their money, they'll usually have everything crossed - fingers, toes, whatever.
But the homepage of Centrebet reads thus:
Sportsbet has decided Tiger Woods is a moral and has paid out early regardless of whether he wins or loses. Applies to all outright wagers placed before 5:30pm Fri 13th.
Put it in the "strange, but true" category.
If there's a chance of them keeping their money, they'll usually have everything crossed - fingers, toes, whatever.
But the homepage of Centrebet reads thus:
Sportsbet has decided Tiger Woods is a moral and has paid out early regardless of whether he wins or loses. Applies to all outright wagers placed before 5:30pm Fri 13th.
Put it in the "strange, but true" category.
Thursday, November 12, 2009
Tiger Woods firms in the betting
Following Tiger Woods’ 6-under round of 66 in the first round of the Australian Masters, Sportsbet.com.au has framed a market on Tiger’s total score for the tournament.
“From Tiger’s display today, we think around the low minus 20’s is about right,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
Tiger’s total score in the 2009 Australian Masters
-15 or worse $11.00
-16 to -18 $4.25
-19 to -21 $3.75
-22 to -24 $3.00
-25 or better $4.00
In overall betting, Tiger has been $2.60 into $1.70 today following his blistering first round.
“Tiger has been well supported since markets opened, and we took a $50,000 bet on Tiger at $1.70 today during his round,” said Lane.
“Tiger is obviously the standout, although we think there’s great value to be had elsewhere as the greens will firm up over the weekend and it will be tough for everyone.”
Other sportsbooks have Tiger as short as $1.55 to win the tournament.
“From Tiger’s display today, we think around the low minus 20’s is about right,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
Tiger’s total score in the 2009 Australian Masters
-15 or worse $11.00
-16 to -18 $4.25
-19 to -21 $3.75
-22 to -24 $3.00
-25 or better $4.00
In overall betting, Tiger has been $2.60 into $1.70 today following his blistering first round.
“Tiger has been well supported since markets opened, and we took a $50,000 bet on Tiger at $1.70 today during his round,” said Lane.
“Tiger is obviously the standout, although we think there’s great value to be had elsewhere as the greens will firm up over the weekend and it will be tough for everyone.”
Other sportsbooks have Tiger as short as $1.55 to win the tournament.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Leading sire odds for 2009/10
There's a fair amount of the season to go, but the front runner looks a good thing to me. Feel free to differ:
Sportingbet Australia has installed boom sire Encosta De Lago as a $2.35 favourite to be leading sire by prizemoney for season 2009/10.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Encosta De Lago deserved his place at the head of the market despite presently trailing Street Cry by almost $2 Million.
“Encosta De Lago’s record speaks for itself, having topped the table for the last two seasons,” said Sullivan.
“Street Cry’s earnings have been inflated by Shocking’s Melbourne Cup victory and we think the incumbent champ can run him down.”
Street Cry is rated a $2.75 chance to hang on to his lead while, prolific sire of 2 year olds, More Than Ready looking good value at $10.00 with races such as the Golden Slipper still to come.
2009/10 LEADING SIRE BY PRIZEMONEY
Encosta De Lago 2.35
Street Cry 2.75
Redoutes Choice 5.50
Any Other Individual Sire 6.00
More Than Ready (usa) 10.00
Scenic 15.00
Lonhro 26.00
Sportingbet Australia has installed boom sire Encosta De Lago as a $2.35 favourite to be leading sire by prizemoney for season 2009/10.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Encosta De Lago deserved his place at the head of the market despite presently trailing Street Cry by almost $2 Million.
“Encosta De Lago’s record speaks for itself, having topped the table for the last two seasons,” said Sullivan.
“Street Cry’s earnings have been inflated by Shocking’s Melbourne Cup victory and we think the incumbent champ can run him down.”
Street Cry is rated a $2.75 chance to hang on to his lead while, prolific sire of 2 year olds, More Than Ready looking good value at $10.00 with races such as the Golden Slipper still to come.
2009/10 LEADING SIRE BY PRIZEMONEY
Encosta De Lago 2.35
Street Cry 2.75
Redoutes Choice 5.50
Any Other Individual Sire 6.00
More Than Ready (usa) 10.00
Scenic 15.00
Lonhro 26.00
$100K bet on Tiger Woods
Australian punters are warming to Tiger Woods with a bet of $100,000 at $2.60 struck at Sportingbet Australia.
Woods had been a little easy with bookmakers but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had tumbled into him in the past 24 hours.
“He has been $2.75 to $2.50 with us in the past 24 hours as punters have really got behind as they have seen him hitting the course for practice,” Sullivan said.
“We took one bet to take out over $250,000 and there have been plenty of other bets in the $5000 to $20,000 range placed on him as well.
“Woods is always the best golfer in the field, it is just whether he hits it well and handles the course that is the risk.
“We are happy to keep laying him though as I am not so sure Kingston Heath will suit him.”
Sullivan also reported strong support for some of the Aussie contenders.
“Stuart Appleby has been the best backed of the locals, with bets including one of $100,000 to $2500, while there has also been good money for defending champ Rod Pampling and rising stars Michael Sim and Marc Leishman,” Sullivan said.
Sportsbet.com.au has released a range of markets on the 2009 Australian Masters. Also included below are a variety of novelty markets around hot favourite Tiger Woods.
“Tiger and Geoff Ogilvy have been by far the best backed to win the Masters,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The 20 largest bets we’ve taken have all been on Woods, with a few decent bets on Ogilvy thrown in.
“Although, there have been some doubters who have jumped on the $11 offered on Tiger to miss the cut.
“Punters who want to take on Tiger but can’t narrow his slayer down can back everyone else in the field at $1.48. This option has been quite popular, with one punter laying down $20,000 on the rest of the field,” said Lane.
TIGER WOODS’ WINNING MARGIN
Payout on Tiger’s winning margin at the completion of the tournament.
1 stroke exactly $9.00
2 strokes exactly $13.00
3 strokes exactly $15.00
4 strokes exactly $17.00
5 strokes or more $5.50
Won in playoff $13.00
Tiger will not win $1.48
FRONT-RUNNING TIGER
Payout on Tiger to lead or have a share of the lead after every round in the Australian Masters.
Tiger to lead after every round $9.00
Tiger to give someone else a go at the top $1.05
TWO OR FOUR DAYS OF TIGER AT THE HEATH?
Tiger to miss the cut $11
Tiger to make the cut $1.02
*Other players quoted to make or miss the cut – see Sportsbet.com.au for details.
HOLE IN ONE BET
Yes, there will be a hole in one scored during the Masters $2.70
No, there will not be a hole in one scored during the Masters $1.45
HEAD TO HEAD MARKETS
In all head to head markets, playoffs are excluded unless otherwise stated. Dead heat rules apply. Paid out on official finishing order.
ADAM SCOTT VS MICHAEL SIM
Adam Scott $1.90
Michael Sim $1.90
TIGER WOODS VS GEOFF OGILVY
Tiger Woods $1.38
Geoff Ogilvy $3.05
JOHN SENDEN VS AARON BADDELEY
John Senden $1.87
Aaron Baddeley $1.93
STUART APPLEBY VS RICHARD GREEN
Stuart Appleby $1.90
Richard Green $1.90
MATHEW GOGGIN VS GREG CHALMERS
Mathew Goggin $1.85
Greg Chalmers $1.95
Woods had been a little easy with bookmakers but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters had tumbled into him in the past 24 hours.
“He has been $2.75 to $2.50 with us in the past 24 hours as punters have really got behind as they have seen him hitting the course for practice,” Sullivan said.
“We took one bet to take out over $250,000 and there have been plenty of other bets in the $5000 to $20,000 range placed on him as well.
“Woods is always the best golfer in the field, it is just whether he hits it well and handles the course that is the risk.
“We are happy to keep laying him though as I am not so sure Kingston Heath will suit him.”
Sullivan also reported strong support for some of the Aussie contenders.
“Stuart Appleby has been the best backed of the locals, with bets including one of $100,000 to $2500, while there has also been good money for defending champ Rod Pampling and rising stars Michael Sim and Marc Leishman,” Sullivan said.
Sportsbet.com.au has released a range of markets on the 2009 Australian Masters. Also included below are a variety of novelty markets around hot favourite Tiger Woods.
“Tiger and Geoff Ogilvy have been by far the best backed to win the Masters,” said Sportsbet.com.au’s Haydn Lane.
“The 20 largest bets we’ve taken have all been on Woods, with a few decent bets on Ogilvy thrown in.
“Although, there have been some doubters who have jumped on the $11 offered on Tiger to miss the cut.
“Punters who want to take on Tiger but can’t narrow his slayer down can back everyone else in the field at $1.48. This option has been quite popular, with one punter laying down $20,000 on the rest of the field,” said Lane.
TIGER WOODS’ WINNING MARGIN
Payout on Tiger’s winning margin at the completion of the tournament.
1 stroke exactly $9.00
2 strokes exactly $13.00
3 strokes exactly $15.00
4 strokes exactly $17.00
5 strokes or more $5.50
Won in playoff $13.00
Tiger will not win $1.48
FRONT-RUNNING TIGER
Payout on Tiger to lead or have a share of the lead after every round in the Australian Masters.
Tiger to lead after every round $9.00
Tiger to give someone else a go at the top $1.05
TWO OR FOUR DAYS OF TIGER AT THE HEATH?
Tiger to miss the cut $11
Tiger to make the cut $1.02
*Other players quoted to make or miss the cut – see Sportsbet.com.au for details.
HOLE IN ONE BET
Yes, there will be a hole in one scored during the Masters $2.70
No, there will not be a hole in one scored during the Masters $1.45
HEAD TO HEAD MARKETS
In all head to head markets, playoffs are excluded unless otherwise stated. Dead heat rules apply. Paid out on official finishing order.
ADAM SCOTT VS MICHAEL SIM
Adam Scott $1.90
Michael Sim $1.90
TIGER WOODS VS GEOFF OGILVY
Tiger Woods $1.38
Geoff Ogilvy $3.05
JOHN SENDEN VS AARON BADDELEY
John Senden $1.87
Aaron Baddeley $1.93
STUART APPLEBY VS RICHARD GREEN
Stuart Appleby $1.90
Richard Green $1.90
MATHEW GOGGIN VS GREG CHALMERS
Mathew Goggin $1.85
Greg Chalmers $1.95
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Kevin Sheedy a long term prospect in West Sydney
I've heard of futures betting, but this is a very long-term investment with very little information on players:
Kevin Sheedy has the job ahead of him at West Sydney according to bookmakers, with Sportingbet Australia posting a market that has Sheedy’s worst year at Essendon favourite to better his opening year at West Sydney.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while Sheedy looked the right man for the job, starting a side from nothing was a monumental task and a finals berth in their opening year was a $9.00 outsider.
“Sheedy proved how good a coach he was in 27 years at Essendon but we have his worst year there in 2006 as $1.80 favourite to be better than his first year in West Sydney,” Sullivan said.
“The Bombers won three and drew one in 06 and anything better than that for West Sydney would be a success I would think.
“No matter how good a job he does, you wouldn’t think they are any hope of making the finals in their debut season and we have them $1.05 to be spending September on the sidelines.”
SHEEDY’S GWS 2012 VS SHEEDY’S ESSENDON 2006
Sportingbet Australia Market
GWS 2012 To Do Better Than Essendon 2006 - 14 Points 2.00
GWS 2012 To Do Worse Than Essendon 2006 - 14 Points 1.80
SHEEDY’S GWS 2012 TO MAKE FINALS
Sportingbet Australia Market
GWS To Make 2012 Finals 9.00
GWS To Miss 2012 Finals 1.05
Kevin Sheedy has the job ahead of him at West Sydney according to bookmakers, with Sportingbet Australia posting a market that has Sheedy’s worst year at Essendon favourite to better his opening year at West Sydney.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said while Sheedy looked the right man for the job, starting a side from nothing was a monumental task and a finals berth in their opening year was a $9.00 outsider.
“Sheedy proved how good a coach he was in 27 years at Essendon but we have his worst year there in 2006 as $1.80 favourite to be better than his first year in West Sydney,” Sullivan said.
“The Bombers won three and drew one in 06 and anything better than that for West Sydney would be a success I would think.
“No matter how good a job he does, you wouldn’t think they are any hope of making the finals in their debut season and we have them $1.05 to be spending September on the sidelines.”
SHEEDY’S GWS 2012 VS SHEEDY’S ESSENDON 2006
Sportingbet Australia Market
GWS 2012 To Do Better Than Essendon 2006 - 14 Points 2.00
GWS 2012 To Do Worse Than Essendon 2006 - 14 Points 1.80
SHEEDY’S GWS 2012 TO MAKE FINALS
Sportingbet Australia Market
GWS To Make 2012 Finals 9.00
GWS To Miss 2012 Finals 1.05
Hong Kong International Sprint
At risk of becoming a Sportingbet conduit, here's their take on the Hong Kong Sprint:
All Silent, Apache Cat and Scenic Blast look like sharing the stage in the Cathay Pacific Hong Kong International Sprint on December 13 and Sportingbet Australia punters have the opportunity to pick which of the local stars will perform the best with the bookmaker offering exclusive head to head and trio markets.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan believes All Silent is the pick of the Australians but Apache Cat and Scenic Blast are close behind.
“We mark All Silent at $2.50 in a trio with the other two heavyweights, having beaten Apache Cat in last Saturday’s Group One Patinack Farm Classic.
“He’s one of Australia’s form horses and has won his last two starts over 1200m in Group races,” said Sullivan.
“However, Apache Cat is more than capable of avenging Saturday’s loss having finished third in the same race at Sha Tin last year.
“The Cat is currently $2.75 in the market but that may shorten should he get his usual amount of punter support.
“He won impressively two starts ago in the Group Two Schweppes Stakes over 1200m and his Hong Kong experience can only help,” said Sullivan.
Australian Horse Of The Year, Scenic Blast, also has every right to perform well as he will earn a US $1 million bonus should he win the HK$12m Sprint.
The Dan Morton trained star has already won two Global Sprint Challenge legs in the Lightning Stakes and the King's Stand Stakes and is more than capable of winning another Group One Sprint.
“Scenic Blast opens the trio as a $2.90 outsider but that price can change quickly as he is always well supported at Sportingbet.
“Punters nailed us when he took out the King’s Stand Stakes but we’re hoping the horse is kinder to us in Hong Kong with Australian money shared between the three champions,” said Sullivan.
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT TRIO
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
All Silent 2.50
Apache Cat 2.75
Scenic Blast 2.90
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT HEAD TO HEAD
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
All Silent 1.80
Apache Cat 2.00
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT HEAD TO HEAD
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
All Silent 1.75
Scenic Blast 2.05
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT HEAD TO HEAD
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
Apache Cat 1.85
Scenic Blast 1.95
All Silent, Apache Cat and Scenic Blast look like sharing the stage in the Cathay Pacific Hong Kong International Sprint on December 13 and Sportingbet Australia punters have the opportunity to pick which of the local stars will perform the best with the bookmaker offering exclusive head to head and trio markets.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan believes All Silent is the pick of the Australians but Apache Cat and Scenic Blast are close behind.
“We mark All Silent at $2.50 in a trio with the other two heavyweights, having beaten Apache Cat in last Saturday’s Group One Patinack Farm Classic.
“He’s one of Australia’s form horses and has won his last two starts over 1200m in Group races,” said Sullivan.
“However, Apache Cat is more than capable of avenging Saturday’s loss having finished third in the same race at Sha Tin last year.
“The Cat is currently $2.75 in the market but that may shorten should he get his usual amount of punter support.
“He won impressively two starts ago in the Group Two Schweppes Stakes over 1200m and his Hong Kong experience can only help,” said Sullivan.
Australian Horse Of The Year, Scenic Blast, also has every right to perform well as he will earn a US $1 million bonus should he win the HK$12m Sprint.
The Dan Morton trained star has already won two Global Sprint Challenge legs in the Lightning Stakes and the King's Stand Stakes and is more than capable of winning another Group One Sprint.
“Scenic Blast opens the trio as a $2.90 outsider but that price can change quickly as he is always well supported at Sportingbet.
“Punters nailed us when he took out the King’s Stand Stakes but we’re hoping the horse is kinder to us in Hong Kong with Australian money shared between the three champions,” said Sullivan.
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT TRIO
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
All Silent 2.50
Apache Cat 2.75
Scenic Blast 2.90
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT HEAD TO HEAD
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
All Silent 1.80
Apache Cat 2.00
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT HEAD TO HEAD
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
All Silent 1.75
Scenic Blast 2.05
HONG KONG INTERNATIONAL SPRINT HEAD TO HEAD
Sportingbet Australia Exclusive Market
Apache Cat 1.85
Scenic Blast 1.95
VRMA Personality of the year
Statement from Sportingbet:
Bart Cumming has been installed as $1.30 favourite to win the VRMA Personality of the year following another phenomenal Spring for the master trainer.
Cummings is clear favourite at Sportingbet Australia ahead of Melbourne Cup winning trainer Mark Kavanagh and Peter Moody.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Cummings had to be favourite after he trained the winner of the Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate and Oaks amongst others and provided punters with a few laughs.
“It was a vintage year for Cummings where he showed he is still the best trainer of stayers in the country and produced some classical one liners to show he has lost none of his wit at 82 years of age,” Sullivan said.
“For any trainer to have four Group 1 winners in the Spring is a sensational effort but when you look at them individually it gets even more impressive.
“He brought a three year old through to win a Cox Plate in just his fifth start and getting last year’s Melbourne Cup winner up to win the Caulfield Cup with top weight just shows how good a trainer he really is.”
Sullivan said last year’s winner, Kavanagh, could not be ruled out after his Spring contained some tremendous highs and lows.
“Mark Kavanagh really saw both sides of racing during the Carnival losing champion Maldivian and Derby favourite Shamoline Warrior to injury and the experiencing the ultimate high of training the Melbourne Cup winner,” Sullivan said.
“The way he handled himself during both the highs and the lows will surely see him attract a lot of support.”
VRMA PERSONALITY OF THE YEAR
Bart Cummings 1.30
Mark Kavanagh 3.20
Peter Moody 7.00
Dan Morton 21.00
Robbie Laing 51.00
Bart Cumming has been installed as $1.30 favourite to win the VRMA Personality of the year following another phenomenal Spring for the master trainer.
Cummings is clear favourite at Sportingbet Australia ahead of Melbourne Cup winning trainer Mark Kavanagh and Peter Moody.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Cummings had to be favourite after he trained the winner of the Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate and Oaks amongst others and provided punters with a few laughs.
“It was a vintage year for Cummings where he showed he is still the best trainer of stayers in the country and produced some classical one liners to show he has lost none of his wit at 82 years of age,” Sullivan said.
“For any trainer to have four Group 1 winners in the Spring is a sensational effort but when you look at them individually it gets even more impressive.
“He brought a three year old through to win a Cox Plate in just his fifth start and getting last year’s Melbourne Cup winner up to win the Caulfield Cup with top weight just shows how good a trainer he really is.”
Sullivan said last year’s winner, Kavanagh, could not be ruled out after his Spring contained some tremendous highs and lows.
“Mark Kavanagh really saw both sides of racing during the Carnival losing champion Maldivian and Derby favourite Shamoline Warrior to injury and the experiencing the ultimate high of training the Melbourne Cup winner,” Sullivan said.
“The way he handled himself during both the highs and the lows will surely see him attract a lot of support.”
VRMA PERSONALITY OF THE YEAR
Bart Cummings 1.30
Mark Kavanagh 3.20
Peter Moody 7.00
Dan Morton 21.00
Robbie Laing 51.00
Australian Idol odds
For mine, Toby has really made a farce of the entire series of Australian Idol. Here's the latest betting news anyway:
Gold Coast singer Stan Walker is a long odds on favourite to win Australian Idol after outshining his competitors on Sunday evening.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Stan had firmed from $2.00 to $1.40 following the show.
“Stan out sang them tonight but that’s only part of the reason we’ve shortened his price,” said Sullivan.
“We’re writing twenty bets on him to one on any other contestant.”
Sullivan did have some advice for punters who wanted to unload early on Stan.
“There’s no doubt that Stan is the frontrunner,” Sullivan said.
“But whoever does the best job of the winners single wins Idol year after year and we don’t get to hear those until next week.”
Wingham’s James Johnston is a $1.40 favourite to be eliminated from the show next week.
WINNER
Stan Walker 1.40
Hayley Warner 3.00
James Johnston 11.00
ELIMINATION 15 NOVEMBER
James Johnston 1.40
Hayley Warner 2.80
Stan Walker 17.00
Gold Coast singer Stan Walker is a long odds on favourite to win Australian Idol after outshining his competitors on Sunday evening.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said Stan had firmed from $2.00 to $1.40 following the show.
“Stan out sang them tonight but that’s only part of the reason we’ve shortened his price,” said Sullivan.
“We’re writing twenty bets on him to one on any other contestant.”
Sullivan did have some advice for punters who wanted to unload early on Stan.
“There’s no doubt that Stan is the frontrunner,” Sullivan said.
“But whoever does the best job of the winners single wins Idol year after year and we don’t get to hear those until next week.”
Wingham’s James Johnston is a $1.40 favourite to be eliminated from the show next week.
WINNER
Stan Walker 1.40
Hayley Warner 3.00
James Johnston 11.00
ELIMINATION 15 NOVEMBER
James Johnston 1.40
Hayley Warner 2.80
Stan Walker 17.00
Tiger Woods in Australia
Here's the latest odds on the Australian Masters this weekend. Is Tiger really worth the investment?
Tiger Woods may be the best golfer in the world but not every punter rates him a certainty to win the Australian Masters with many taking shorts odds about the Tiger being tamed at Kingston Heath this weekend.
Sportingbet Australia is offering top odds of $2.60 about Woods but its CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were rushing to back the rest of the field at odds of $1.45.
“We have taken a lot of bets, including one of $20,000 at $1.45 , that someone other than Woods will be wearing the gold jacket come Sunday afternoon.
“It is a brave move taking $1.45 that the greatest golfer ever won’t defeat this field.
“However, he did blow up in the final round last week and there is a school of thought that the sand belt course won’t suit him.”
Punters are also backing that little known Australian golfer Anthony Painter 's 15 year-old course record of 64 will survive Tiger's attack on Kingston Heath.
“Tiger is a $3.75 chance to break Painter’s record or a $4.50 to equal the mark,” Sullivan said.
“ The Punters have lapped up the $2.00 about Painter’s mark proving too good for Tiger backing it in to $1.50.”
AUSTRALIAN MASTERS – TIGER VS FIELD
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods 2.60
The Field 1.45
AUSTRALIAN MASTERS – TIGER WOODS V ANTHONY PAINTER 1994 COURSE RECORD (64)
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods Hits Course Record 63 or Better During Tournament 3.75
Tiger Woods Equals Course Record 64 During Tournament 4.50
Tiger Woods Doesn’t Hit 64 Or Better During Tournament 1.50
AUSTRALIAN MASTERS – WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods 2.60
Geoff Ogilvy 11.00
Adam Scott 17.00
Michael Sim 17.00
John Senden 21.00
Aaron Baddeley 26.00
Rod Pampling 26.00
Mathew Goggin 34.00
Nathan Green 34.00
Richard Green 34.00
Stuart Appleby 41.00
Marc Leishman 41.00
Alex Cejka 51.00
Greg Chalmers 51.00
Jason Dufner 51.00
James Nitties 51.00
Marcus Fraser 67.00
Cameron Percy 67.00
Others 81.00 Plus
Tiger Woods may be the best golfer in the world but not every punter rates him a certainty to win the Australian Masters with many taking shorts odds about the Tiger being tamed at Kingston Heath this weekend.
Sportingbet Australia is offering top odds of $2.60 about Woods but its CEO Michael Sullivan said punters were rushing to back the rest of the field at odds of $1.45.
“We have taken a lot of bets, including one of $20,000 at $1.45 , that someone other than Woods will be wearing the gold jacket come Sunday afternoon.
“It is a brave move taking $1.45 that the greatest golfer ever won’t defeat this field.
“However, he did blow up in the final round last week and there is a school of thought that the sand belt course won’t suit him.”
Punters are also backing that little known Australian golfer Anthony Painter 's 15 year-old course record of 64 will survive Tiger's attack on Kingston Heath.
“Tiger is a $3.75 chance to break Painter’s record or a $4.50 to equal the mark,” Sullivan said.
“ The Punters have lapped up the $2.00 about Painter’s mark proving too good for Tiger backing it in to $1.50.”
AUSTRALIAN MASTERS – TIGER VS FIELD
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods 2.60
The Field 1.45
AUSTRALIAN MASTERS – TIGER WOODS V ANTHONY PAINTER 1994 COURSE RECORD (64)
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods Hits Course Record 63 or Better During Tournament 3.75
Tiger Woods Equals Course Record 64 During Tournament 4.50
Tiger Woods Doesn’t Hit 64 Or Better During Tournament 1.50
AUSTRALIAN MASTERS – WINNER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Tiger Woods 2.60
Geoff Ogilvy 11.00
Adam Scott 17.00
Michael Sim 17.00
John Senden 21.00
Aaron Baddeley 26.00
Rod Pampling 26.00
Mathew Goggin 34.00
Nathan Green 34.00
Richard Green 34.00
Stuart Appleby 41.00
Marc Leishman 41.00
Alex Cejka 51.00
Greg Chalmers 51.00
Jason Dufner 51.00
James Nitties 51.00
Marcus Fraser 67.00
Cameron Percy 67.00
Others 81.00 Plus
Friday, November 6, 2009
Emirates Stakes odds
Here are some novelty bets being offered by Sportsbet for the Emirates Stakes tomorrow at Flemington:
Will the Emirates Stakes winner have been previously placed at Flemington, or will it be a Headquarters virgin?
Virgins $1.62
Black Piranha, Sniper’s Bullet, King Mufhasa, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, So You Think, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Walking Or Dancing
Pros $2.30
Road to Rock, Vigor, Gold Salute, Red Lord, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero
How much weight will the Stakes winner have to bear?
Lightweights (53-54.5kgs) $1.58
Eagle Falls, Triple Honour, Rightfully Yours, So You Think, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Heavyweights (55kg+) $2.40
Black Piranha, Road To Rock, Sniper’s Bullet, Vigor, Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Sir Slick
See if you can pick the overall winning strike rate of the Stakes winner below:
Guns (win rate 41%+) $2.30
King Mufhasa, Eagle Falls, So You Think
Determined (win rate 35-40%) $3.20
Vigor, Gold Salute, Rightfully Yours
Cruisers (win rate 19-34%) $6.75
Sniper’s Bullet, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, Walking Or Dancing
Slackers (win rate 18% or less) $4.40
Black Piranha, Road To Rock, Red Lord, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Von Costa De Hero
From which class will the Stakes winner hail?
Filthy Rich ($1.5M+) $2.15
Black Piranha, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, So You Think
Posh ($801K - $1.49M) $5.25
Sniper’s Bullet, Vigor, King Mufhasa, Von Costa De Hero
Middle Class ($570K - $800K) $11.00
Road To Rock, Red Lord, All American, Chinchilla Rose
Paupers (under $570K) $2.75
Gold Salute, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Walking Or Dancing
Put your astrological mind into gear and pick the Stakes winner with the Zodiac bet:
Leo/Sagittarius $5.75
Black Piranha, Triple Honour, Chinchilla Rose, Road To Rock
Libra $3.85
Sniper’s Bullet, Sir Slick, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Virgo $2.75
Vigor, Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Eagle Falls, All American
Scorpio $3.05
So You Think
In each of the Alpha-Bet markets below, punters can select the group from which the Stakes winning horse will come from.
Group A $5.50
All American, Black Piranha, Chinchilla Rose, Eagle Falls
Group B $3.80
Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Rightfully Yours
Group C $2.20
Road To Rock, Sir Slick, Sniper’s Bullet, So You Think
Group D $4.60
Triple Honour, Vigor, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Jockey's surnames
Group A $1.92
Black Piranha, So You Think, All American, Walking Or Dancing
Group B $3.50
Vigor, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero
Group C $5.25
Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Sir Slick, Triple Honour
Group D $8.00
Road To Rock, Sniper’s Bullet, Red Lord, Chinchilla Rose
Will the Emirates Stakes winner have been previously placed at Flemington, or will it be a Headquarters virgin?
Virgins $1.62
Black Piranha, Sniper’s Bullet, King Mufhasa, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, So You Think, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Walking Or Dancing
Pros $2.30
Road to Rock, Vigor, Gold Salute, Red Lord, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero
How much weight will the Stakes winner have to bear?
Lightweights (53-54.5kgs) $1.58
Eagle Falls, Triple Honour, Rightfully Yours, So You Think, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Heavyweights (55kg+) $2.40
Black Piranha, Road To Rock, Sniper’s Bullet, Vigor, Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Sir Slick
See if you can pick the overall winning strike rate of the Stakes winner below:
Guns (win rate 41%+) $2.30
King Mufhasa, Eagle Falls, So You Think
Determined (win rate 35-40%) $3.20
Vigor, Gold Salute, Rightfully Yours
Cruisers (win rate 19-34%) $6.75
Sniper’s Bullet, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, Walking Or Dancing
Slackers (win rate 18% or less) $4.40
Black Piranha, Road To Rock, Red Lord, All American, Chinchilla Rose, Von Costa De Hero
From which class will the Stakes winner hail?
Filthy Rich ($1.5M+) $2.15
Black Piranha, Sir Slick, Triple Honour, So You Think
Posh ($801K - $1.49M) $5.25
Sniper’s Bullet, Vigor, King Mufhasa, Von Costa De Hero
Middle Class ($570K - $800K) $11.00
Road To Rock, Red Lord, All American, Chinchilla Rose
Paupers (under $570K) $2.75
Gold Salute, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Walking Or Dancing
Put your astrological mind into gear and pick the Stakes winner with the Zodiac bet:
Leo/Sagittarius $5.75
Black Piranha, Triple Honour, Chinchilla Rose, Road To Rock
Libra $3.85
Sniper’s Bullet, Sir Slick, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Virgo $2.75
Vigor, Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Eagle Falls, All American
Scorpio $3.05
So You Think
In each of the Alpha-Bet markets below, punters can select the group from which the Stakes winning horse will come from.
Group A $5.50
All American, Black Piranha, Chinchilla Rose, Eagle Falls
Group B $3.80
Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Red Lord, Rightfully Yours
Group C $2.20
Road To Rock, Sir Slick, Sniper’s Bullet, So You Think
Group D $4.60
Triple Honour, Vigor, Von Costa De Hero, Walking Or Dancing
Jockey's surnames
Group A $1.92
Black Piranha, So You Think, All American, Walking Or Dancing
Group B $3.50
Vigor, Eagle Falls, Rightfully Yours, Von Costa De Hero
Group C $5.25
Gold Salute, King Mufhasa, Sir Slick, Triple Honour
Group D $8.00
Road To Rock, Sniper’s Bullet, Red Lord, Chinchilla Rose
Maribyrnong Plate late mail
Sportingbet Australia punters are hoping that David Hayes can gain some consolation for a miserable Spring Carnival with Ebony Rock in Saturday’s Maribyrnong Plate.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Fastnet Rock colt had been backed in from $16.00 to $7.50.
“Punters snapped up the $16.00 as soon as we posted a market and there’s still solid support at the $7.50,” said Sullivan.
“The Hayes stable has pulled off plunges in this race before with the likes of Langoustine and Nadeem and punters seem pretty confident that history could well repeat.”
2009 MARIBYRNONG PLATE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Sweet Cheeks 3.00
Stirling Grove 3.30
Brightexpectations 4.00
She’s Got Gears 5.00
Ebony Rock 7.50
Marmaa 8.00
Sleepers 12.00
Tropic Thunder 14.00
Enzed Girl 16.00
Baribo 21.00
Excellence 21.00
General Truce 26.00
Forgiven 26.00
Like A Guest 41.00
Mr Chard 41.00
Indisputably 51.00
Onamissionfromgod 81.00
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the Fastnet Rock colt had been backed in from $16.00 to $7.50.
“Punters snapped up the $16.00 as soon as we posted a market and there’s still solid support at the $7.50,” said Sullivan.
“The Hayes stable has pulled off plunges in this race before with the likes of Langoustine and Nadeem and punters seem pretty confident that history could well repeat.”
2009 MARIBYRNONG PLATE
Sportingbet Australia Market
Sweet Cheeks 3.00
Stirling Grove 3.30
Brightexpectations 4.00
She’s Got Gears 5.00
Ebony Rock 7.50
Marmaa 8.00
Sleepers 12.00
Tropic Thunder 14.00
Enzed Girl 16.00
Baribo 21.00
Excellence 21.00
General Truce 26.00
Forgiven 26.00
Like A Guest 41.00
Mr Chard 41.00
Indisputably 51.00
Onamissionfromgod 81.00
Free sports tips for November 7 and 8
Here's some thoughts about the weekend. Feel free to chime in.
Punters seem keen on Number 5, Gold Salute in the 5th at Flemington tomorrow. There will also be plenty of money floating around for the Patinack Classic, the last big race of the Spring season. And a fair chunk of it will be on the "people's horse", Apache Cat. Look for it to finish late.
Here's something different: A dog. We haven't touched the dish lickers, but Race 4 at Wentworth Park seems to have a special. It's No 2, Amity Bale.
I'm not as bullish as some on Casey Stoner to win the Moto GP. I think after Valentino Rossi made certain of the world championship crown, he'll now be keen to lash out on the Valencia track.
I think India will be a fair thing to beat Australia in the next one dayer to take the series to a decider. And Chelsea at better than even money seem like fair odds to beat Manchester United. Keep in mind though, that this will take on derby proportions, and they often end up in a draw.
Punters seem keen on Number 5, Gold Salute in the 5th at Flemington tomorrow. There will also be plenty of money floating around for the Patinack Classic, the last big race of the Spring season. And a fair chunk of it will be on the "people's horse", Apache Cat. Look for it to finish late.
Here's something different: A dog. We haven't touched the dish lickers, but Race 4 at Wentworth Park seems to have a special. It's No 2, Amity Bale.
I'm not as bullish as some on Casey Stoner to win the Moto GP. I think after Valentino Rossi made certain of the world championship crown, he'll now be keen to lash out on the Valencia track.
I think India will be a fair thing to beat Australia in the next one dayer to take the series to a decider. And Chelsea at better than even money seem like fair odds to beat Manchester United. Keep in mind though, that this will take on derby proportions, and they often end up in a draw.
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