More Strawberries is badly drawn in the outside barrier, but it was my pick at $17. It is interesting to see that it's come in to $11 now and will need plenty of luck in running. If it gets that luck, however, it'll be hard to beat and has a terrific turn of speed.
Here's the latest from the bookmakers:
MONEY ARRIVES FOR CHANCE BYE AND SOLAR CHARGED
More Strawberries has been the best backed Slipper runner this week at Sportingbet Australia but the money has dried up with the prospect of a drier track.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said the money in the day prior to the Slipper had finally come for Solar Charged and Chance Bye.
“More Strawberries was backed solidly from $21 to $11 early in the week with breeding students keen on her heavy track prospects,” said Sullivan.
“Solar Charged and Chance Bye were both unlayable but with the track improving they’ve both been backed heavily in the last day.”
Solar Charged is in from $12 to $10, while Chance Bye has firmed from $13 to $10 with no money for either Brightexpectations or Hinchinbrook.
2010 GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Military Rose 3.50
Crystal Lily 5.50
Brightexpectations 6.50
Chance Bye 10.00
Solar Charged 10.00
More Strawberries 11.00
Beneteau 12.00
Hinchinbrook 17.00
Shaaheq 21.00
Decision Time 26.00
Obsequious 34.00
Carved In Stone 51.00
Georgette Silk 67.00
Elimbari 71.00
Lohan 81.00
Showing posts with label golden slipper odds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label golden slipper odds. Show all posts
Saturday, April 3, 2010
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Golden Slipper update
Before last weekend, we expected the market to bunch up somewhat, which seems to be happening after the barrier draw for the Golden Slipper.
We agree that Military Rose deserves to be favourite, but it is an unpredictable field and could be some value to be had.
From the statements from bookmakers below, punters seem to be looking for value.
More Strawberries jumped badly on Saturday and was caught wide for the majority of the race. The horse battled on gamely and hit the line well despite the unlucky run. That's where the value just might be.
LILY THE ONE TO BEAT IN SLIPPER
Following today's barrier draw, IASbet.com's Gerard Twomey says Crystal Lily is the horse to beat in the 2010 Golden Slipper.
"Crystal Lily ($6.00 into $5.00) is my pick for the Slipper," said IASbet.com's Gerard Twomey. "She's drawn perfectly and should be able to sit in behind the speed. She's a strong filly that will have plenty in hand at the finish and is the one to beat."
Twomey said Military Rose ($3.60) is a deserved favourite but may have a chink in his armour.
"He deserves to be favourite given what he has achieved, but second up after his Magic Millions campaign is a hard task and I think he is vulnerable," said Twomey"
"Brightexpectations ($7.50 into $6.00) also drew well and should get the run of the race."
Shaheeq and More Strawberries (both $15.00 out to $19.00) didn't fare as well in the draw and their odds drifted accordingly.
Market courtesy of IASbet.com
2010 Golden Slipper
$3.60 Military Rose
$5.00 Crystal Lily
$6.00 Brightexpectations
$11.00 Chance Bye
$15.00 Hichinbrook
$11.00 Bennetau
$15.00 Solar Charged
$21.00 Decision Time
$19.00 More Strawberries
$19.00 Shaheeq
$26.00 Obsequious
$51.00 Elimbari
$101.00 Georgette Silk
$51.00 Carved In Stone
$151.00 Lohan
PUNTERS WANT MORE STRAWBERRIES
Sportingbet Australia punters have not been deterred by the wide barrier or late rider change for More Strawberries with two punters backing the Gai Waterhouse filly to win $40,000.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said More Strawberries was the subject of all the final field Slipper action with her price tumbling in from $21 to $16.
“We wrote a bet of $2000 at $21 and the phone was hardly in the cradle before another punter outlaid $2500 at $19,” said Sullivan.
“While Military Rose is still our worst result, the early action suggests More Strawberries could shorten plenty before the betting’s all done.”
2010 GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Military Rose 3.50
Brightexpectations 5.00
Crystal Lily 5.50
Chance Bye 11.00
Solar Charged 12.00
Hinchinbrook 12.00
Beneteau 12.00
More Strawberries 16.00
Decision Time 17.00
Shaaheq 21.00
Obsequious 34.00
Georgette Silk 67.00
Elimbari 81.00
Carved In Stone 101.00
Lohan 151.00
We agree that Military Rose deserves to be favourite, but it is an unpredictable field and could be some value to be had.
From the statements from bookmakers below, punters seem to be looking for value.
More Strawberries jumped badly on Saturday and was caught wide for the majority of the race. The horse battled on gamely and hit the line well despite the unlucky run. That's where the value just might be.
LILY THE ONE TO BEAT IN SLIPPER
Following today's barrier draw, IASbet.com's Gerard Twomey says Crystal Lily is the horse to beat in the 2010 Golden Slipper.
"Crystal Lily ($6.00 into $5.00) is my pick for the Slipper," said IASbet.com's Gerard Twomey. "She's drawn perfectly and should be able to sit in behind the speed. She's a strong filly that will have plenty in hand at the finish and is the one to beat."
Twomey said Military Rose ($3.60) is a deserved favourite but may have a chink in his armour.
"He deserves to be favourite given what he has achieved, but second up after his Magic Millions campaign is a hard task and I think he is vulnerable," said Twomey"
"Brightexpectations ($7.50 into $6.00) also drew well and should get the run of the race."
Shaheeq and More Strawberries (both $15.00 out to $19.00) didn't fare as well in the draw and their odds drifted accordingly.
Market courtesy of IASbet.com
2010 Golden Slipper
$3.60 Military Rose
$5.00 Crystal Lily
$6.00 Brightexpectations
$11.00 Chance Bye
$15.00 Hichinbrook
$11.00 Bennetau
$15.00 Solar Charged
$21.00 Decision Time
$19.00 More Strawberries
$19.00 Shaheeq
$26.00 Obsequious
$51.00 Elimbari
$101.00 Georgette Silk
$51.00 Carved In Stone
$151.00 Lohan
PUNTERS WANT MORE STRAWBERRIES
Sportingbet Australia punters have not been deterred by the wide barrier or late rider change for More Strawberries with two punters backing the Gai Waterhouse filly to win $40,000.
Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said More Strawberries was the subject of all the final field Slipper action with her price tumbling in from $21 to $16.
“We wrote a bet of $2000 at $21 and the phone was hardly in the cradle before another punter outlaid $2500 at $19,” said Sullivan.
“While Military Rose is still our worst result, the early action suggests More Strawberries could shorten plenty before the betting’s all done.”
2010 GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Military Rose 3.50
Brightexpectations 5.00
Crystal Lily 5.50
Chance Bye 11.00
Solar Charged 12.00
Hinchinbrook 12.00
Beneteau 12.00
More Strawberries 16.00
Decision Time 17.00
Shaaheq 21.00
Obsequious 34.00
Georgette Silk 67.00
Elimbari 81.00
Carved In Stone 101.00
Lohan 151.00
Wednesday, March 24, 2010
Golden Slipper ... if the shoe fits, back it
Golden Slipper odds are up and down at a faster rate than a uni student on viagra.
As soon as there's a whisper, a race run and won, or something on the rumour mill, the fluctuations kick in.
Earlier in the week, I said the shortened odds on Military Rose were premature, given that a number of horses in the field still had some opportunities to prove themselves.
This means there will be plenty of fluctuation yet. One of those horses yet to run is Beneteau which was the subject of the below media release. But there are others, not the least of them Hinchinbrook which is set to run this weekend.
There is likely to be money for Masquerader and Crystal Lily will almost certainly shorten if and when nominated. Watching the market movements is an interesting spectator sport in its own.
BENETEAU BACK IN FAVOUR
Former Golden Slipper favourite Beneteau has been the heavily backed in the past 24 hours shortening from $16 to $11 at Sportingbet Australia.
Beneteau had been a $7.50 joint favourite for the Slipper before disappointing behind Hinchinbrook last start but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters still thought he could win the big one.
“One punter backed him to win $40,000 while we also took bets to take out $15,000 and $10,000 this week, Sullivan said.
“He was a little disappointing last start when a raging favourite but he covered more ground than the early explorers and punters have forgiven that run.”
“He has been clearly been the best backed horse this week with the exception of Military Rose who is now a raging Slipper favourite.”
Military Rose is the $3.00 favourite at Sportingbet Australia ahead of Crystal Lily at $5.75 and Chance Bye at $8.50.
“Military Rose has been the one the punters have wanted all week with a bet of $100,000 leading the charge,” Sullivan said.
“Hinchinbrook is the other horse interesting punters and he could well be the big shortener if he impresses in the Pago Pago.”
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Military Rose 3.00
Crystal Lily (nn) 5.75
Chance Bye 8.50
Hinchinbrook 9.00
Solar Charged 10.00
Beneteau 11.00
Decision Time (nn) 14.00
Masquerader (nn) 15.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Zutara 19.00
Psychologist 21.00
Obsequious 23.00
Shrapnel 23.00
Georgette Silk 23.00
Star Witness (nn) (doubtful) 23.00
Elimbari 31.00
Divorces 31.00
Mafia Miss 35.00
Skilled 41.00
Evidentia 41.00
My Amelia 41.00
Dove Lake 41.00
Brightexpectations 41.00
Skorost 41.00
More Strawberries 41.00
Toorak Toff (nn) 41.00
Others 51.00 Plus
As soon as there's a whisper, a race run and won, or something on the rumour mill, the fluctuations kick in.
Earlier in the week, I said the shortened odds on Military Rose were premature, given that a number of horses in the field still had some opportunities to prove themselves.
This means there will be plenty of fluctuation yet. One of those horses yet to run is Beneteau which was the subject of the below media release. But there are others, not the least of them Hinchinbrook which is set to run this weekend.
There is likely to be money for Masquerader and Crystal Lily will almost certainly shorten if and when nominated. Watching the market movements is an interesting spectator sport in its own.
BENETEAU BACK IN FAVOUR
Former Golden Slipper favourite Beneteau has been the heavily backed in the past 24 hours shortening from $16 to $11 at Sportingbet Australia.
Beneteau had been a $7.50 joint favourite for the Slipper before disappointing behind Hinchinbrook last start but Sportingbet Australia CEO Michael Sullivan said punters still thought he could win the big one.
“One punter backed him to win $40,000 while we also took bets to take out $15,000 and $10,000 this week, Sullivan said.
“He was a little disappointing last start when a raging favourite but he covered more ground than the early explorers and punters have forgiven that run.”
“He has been clearly been the best backed horse this week with the exception of Military Rose who is now a raging Slipper favourite.”
Military Rose is the $3.00 favourite at Sportingbet Australia ahead of Crystal Lily at $5.75 and Chance Bye at $8.50.
“Military Rose has been the one the punters have wanted all week with a bet of $100,000 leading the charge,” Sullivan said.
“Hinchinbrook is the other horse interesting punters and he could well be the big shortener if he impresses in the Pago Pago.”
GOLDEN SLIPPER
Sportingbet Australia Market
Military Rose 3.00
Crystal Lily (nn) 5.75
Chance Bye 8.50
Hinchinbrook 9.00
Solar Charged 10.00
Beneteau 11.00
Decision Time (nn) 14.00
Masquerader (nn) 15.00
Shaaheq 17.00
Zutara 19.00
Psychologist 21.00
Obsequious 23.00
Shrapnel 23.00
Georgette Silk 23.00
Star Witness (nn) (doubtful) 23.00
Elimbari 31.00
Divorces 31.00
Mafia Miss 35.00
Skilled 41.00
Evidentia 41.00
My Amelia 41.00
Dove Lake 41.00
Brightexpectations 41.00
Skorost 41.00
More Strawberries 41.00
Toorak Toff (nn) 41.00
Others 51.00 Plus
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